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Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza!

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Electile Dysfunction 2024:

ONN: U.S. deploys socially awkward men along border to deter migrants

Cult of The Felon Von Shitzenpantz:

Robert Reich: The tax loophole billionaires die for

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Comments

  1. 1

    The part about election stress plaguing 69% of Americans, surprised it isn’t higher.

  3. 3

    I don’t blame Darryl one bit for not doing the Monte Carlo thing this year.

    Perhaps Darryl could share with us his thoughts on Nate Silver’s claims that many pollsters are engaged in herding behavior. His statistics are persuasive.

  4. 4

    A fourth: She didn’t fucking earn it.

    The Three Reasons Harris Will Lose the Election
    Traditional Democrats are deserting the party, she was unprepared, and she has no clear message.

    The vice president had nearly four years to rise to levels of national and international prominence—to expand her vitae beyond being Joe Biden’s choice to fill a designated slot. She squandered that opportunity, or perhaps Mr. Biden and his inner circle didn’t loosen the leash. Either way the result is the same: She isn’t the person who matches the moment.

    She was a chickenshit in moments that called for a bit of spine.

  5. 5

    Who was the HA dumbshit who said Trump was scared to go anywhere?

    Yesterday he campaigned in Dearborn, Michigan. Largest Arab-majority city in the nation.

    Boxcheck Momala couldn’t be bothered to campaign there.

  6. 6

    Boxcheck Momala is about to be the second straight Democrat woman to blow a billion dollars on advertising and then lose to Donald Trump.

  7. 7

    The only question at this point is the length of Donald Trump’s coattails.

    WV and MT are in the bag.

    OH?

    WI?

    MI?

    PA?

    If the GOP numbers in NV are big enough for Trump, he might even pull Sam Brown along with him, although that’s a stretch.

  9. 9

    The second-happiest Democrat in the country on Tuesday night will be DOCTOR Jill Biden. Five years she has waited for this opportunity.

  11. 11

    On the economy, Harris’ tax and tariff proposals are politically driven, but as many economists have noted, they would do far less damage to consumers and businesses — and to the national debt — than Trump’s.

  12. 12

    @4

    Good God our Dumbfuck is really scraping the bottom of the barrel of confirmation bias.

    Mr. Khachigian was chief speechwriter to Ronald Reagan and an aide to Richard Nixon. He is author of the memoir “Behind Closed Doors: In the Room With Reagan and Nixon.”

    Last three campaigns he was involved in..Bob Dole lost…John McCain lost…Fred Thompson disnt make it to Super Tuesday.

    Yes THAT’S a guy who really knows how the 18-45 voter ticks.

    Shame you can’t get contemporary G. Gordon Liddy analysis.

  13. 13

    @5

    While he was there he refused to answer a direct question about a two state solution costing him any momentum he might have had with area Muslims.

    While someone very near the microphone started chanting USA! USA! at the Reporter.

    Then he went to Wisconsin and was the ONLY speaker of the night who couldn’t use the microphone so he pretended to give it a blowjob and bragged about not paying his bills.

    The pain.

  14. 14

    Who was the HA dumbshit who said Trump was scared to go anywhere?

    Not scared, just broke.

    Which ought to concern Republicans more than it does. It means he isn’t going away after he loses. He can’t afford to.

    The whole phony “Trump landslide” charade being collectively engaged in by not just the campaign, but the entire party only ensures that no matter how devastating his imminent loss, he gets to claim the right to remain in charge.

    America is done with Fat Hitler. But Fat Hitler is not yet done with Republicans. Their brutal humiliation will continue for another four years. Or until his final criminal appeals are exhausted and he flees to a non extradition jurisdiction.

  16. 16

    House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) handed his Democratic foes another last-minute gift on Friday by saying Republicans would try to repeal the CHIPS and Science Act

  17. 17

    I thought that was a comedy bit. No, he said that.
    JD Vance claimed that he and Donald Trump could likely win the votes of “normal” gay men because they “just want to be left the hell alone.”
    >>LGBTQ will not be targeted as much if they strive to be invisible.

  18. 18

    @16

    On a live call with Fox News Donald makes it three consecutive days of fantasizing about Liz Cheney getting shot.

  19. 19

    @17

    They’re gross.

    They’re pedophiles.

    Are we going to let people marry horses too?

    They’re sinful.

    Marriage is ONE MAN AND ONE WOMAN!

    God hates fags.

    Straight Pride.

    I don’t care what you do in the privacy of your own home just don’t do it in public.

    They covert your children to gay.

    Some of them are normal.

  20. 20

    Rashida Tlaib, MI.

    “Vote the straight Democratic ticket at the top of the ballot.”

    Right wing news

    “Leftist Michigan Rep Tlaib REFUSES to endorse Kamala Harris”

  21. 21

    Trump: “Can you imagine a wife not telling a husband who she’s voting for? Did you ever hear anything like that? Even if you had a horrible — if you had a bad relationship, you’re gonna tell your husband.”

    Yeah. As hard to imagine as banging a pornstar just after your third wife gave birth to your son.

  22. 22

    @21. Republican only see women as having only the rights and responsibilities of slaves, sex toys and brood mares.
    Vote blue.

  24. 24

    North Carolina

    By Monday the disparity of women vs men who have already voted will be 500k. Given North Carolina women favor Harris 61-39 that leaves a 100K votes to make up.*

    So unless those bread winning head of household Alpha Males actually show up in person Tuesday Harris is winning North Carolina no matter what the prayerful believe about polls.

    * there are also 250k ‘refuse to state’ gender early votes. Unscientifically I suggest that the kinds of people not answering their gender don’t tend to be ‘xx xy you can’t change’ GOP base.

  26. 26

    This is heartening

    Update from Milwaukee – the field office I’m volunteering out of today had 550 more volunteers show up than had signed up and they ran out of lists. About 200 people waiting for them to generate more lists right now. They are telling us every field office in Milwaukee has the same situation right now. Record breaking volunteers across the city! Enthusiasm is high!! Let’s gooo

  27. 27

    Fat Hitler loses NC and he doesn’t just have to win a blue wall state, but that state can’t be Wisconsin.
    Losing NC leaves him with only two maps and Harris with six.

    Even if the polls are right and it’s a dead heat, that six coin flips for Harris and two coin flips for Fat Hitler, without factoring in any turnout effects.

  28. 28

    Nice to see Walz use “gay” as a slur against Elon Musk.

    I use the existence of The Even Bigger Fucking Moron as a slur against gays.

  29. 29

    I think a problem with Silver’s herding claim is that he is treating a voter as no different than a tossed coin.

    A coin cannot refuse to be tossed. A coin cannot say there will be one outcome and then intentionally produce the opposite outcome. A coin cannot create a third flat surface rather than land head or tail.

    I think Silver is correct. But I do not think his rationale is without flaw.

    I wonder what Darryl thinks.

  31. 31

    Democrats are so desperate that for the next four days they will pretend to care what GWB43 thinks.

  33. 33

    Watching my Eagles play Montana State. They are wearing special helmet decals for Native American Heritage month. For a school whose athletic department is sponsored by a tribal casino, hard to believe they once had an offensive mascot. Eagles, or “uł pql̓qeyn,” replaced Savages.

    https://www.khq.com/news/eastern-washington-university-to-unveil-salish-helmet-decal-for-native-american-heritage-month-celebration/article_01d65378-9747-11ef-8d40-7bd7462577fc.html

    https://www.krem.com/article/sports/eastern-washington/mascot-mania-how-the-eagles-became-the-eagles/293-203f7eb6-087a-41ac-8583-262a950a8779

  34. 34

    @12 “Good God our Dumbfuck is really scraping the bottom of the barrel of confirmation bias.”

    Should we be preparing some sort of intervention in case his candidate loses?

  35. 35

    @21 “Yeah. As hard to imagine as banging a pornstar just after your third wife gave birth to your son.” And not telling his wife.

  38. 38

    @28. Oh dear, the troll has called me bad names. Oh what shall I do? Oh I know. Voted for Democrats up and down the ticket and found the liberal judges and voted to keep them and rejected the rest.

    Now compare that to what the convicted criminal says at every rally he’s given this week. I bet we get him calling Vice President Harris, soon to be President Harris, the N word before close of business Tuesday.

  41. 41

    The troll is seething, upset his chance to turn us into the gestapo for challenging him is slipping away, and he’s lashing out.

  44. 44

    I mean maybe send Dick Cheney to Iowa on Monday if he’s not doing anything.

    Democrat Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Iowa 47% to 44%, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows.

  45. 45

    @ 42

    I’m going to take a flier here and postulate that three days before an election isn’t the best timing for a civil war between a candidate and his campaign manager.

    Three days before the election in 2016 would have been enough time for #CrookedHillary to visit Wisconsin. Instead Robby Mook had her writing thank you notes to Dem bigwigs in Georgia and Arizona.

  48. 48

    40, Can you possibly blame him?

    In the last twelve months nearly half of all the money raised and spent by the candidate campaign committee has gone to LaCivita.

    And Fat Hitler is losing.

    To a Black woman.

    Nobody knows better than Scotty P how badly his campaign all fell apart beginning July 21st.

  51. 51

    Remember twelve months ago when Fat Hitler was “tithing” the down ballot Republicans 10% of their rake in return for his endorsement?

    Beautiful.

  52. 52

    “Vice President Harris has taken a 3-point lead over her opponent, former President Trump, in red-leaning Iowa, according to a new poll released on Saturday.”

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4967899-harris-takes-lead-over-trump-in-iowa-poll/

    We should be careful about trusting polls too much, we don’t want to become overconfident, and we certainly shouldn’t extrapolate from an Iowa poll that Harris might win Florida and perhaps even Texas. But we can at least daydream about a massive Harris blowout, can’t we?

    HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR HAR

  53. 53

    @ 52

    But we can at least daydream about a massive Harris blowout, can’t we?

    Sure you can. It will take your mind off of the Emerson poll of Iowa voters, also released today:

    November 2024 Iowa Poll: Trump 53%, Harris 43%

    A new Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense survey of Iowa likely voters finds 53% support former President Donald Trump and 43% support Vice President Kamala Harris for president in 2024. Three percent are undecided and 1% plan to vote for a third party. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Trump’s overall support increases to 54% and Harris to 45%.

    There is no reason that senior women in the DMR poll should break so hard for Harris. None at all.. From the Dumbfuck Rabbit link:

    The vice president has an advantage among those aged 65 and above. She leads Trump by 35 points, 63 percent to 28 percent, among senior women.

    Set aside your ideology and focus just with your common sense. Does that sound right to you? Evangelical women over 65 are suddenly going to vote their reproductive freedom? Freedom to do what, exactly?

    Here’s Emerson:

    “Both female and male voters in Iowa support Trump, women by a five-point margin, 51% to 46%…

    If women in Iowa overall support Trump by 5 points, there’s no way that a substantial cohort of women support Boxcheck Momala by 35 points.

    It’s easy to conclude that one of these polls is wrong, and it’s the poll that looks so obviously wrong. This is why Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit prefers to daydream rather than face reality.

  54. 54

    Iowa voters over 65

    DMR poll:

    The vice president has an advantage among those aged 65 and above. She leads Trump by 35 points, 63 percent to 28 percent, among senior women. Her lead is significantly smaller among senior men, beating Trump 47 percent to 45 percent, according to the survey.

    That sounds like an 18 point margin for Harris among senior voters in Iowa, doesn’t it?

    Emerson:

    Harris’ strength in Iowa is with voters under 30, who break for her over Trump 54% to 46%, while Trump leads among all other age groups over 30 with varied support between 6 percentage points and 23 points.

    That sounds like a margin for Trump among senior voters of somewhere between 6 and 23 points.

    So we should either believe DMR’s claim that Harris leads among senior voters by 18-19 points, or Emerson’s claim that Trump leads among seniors by somewhere between 6 and 23 points.

    Selzer is wrong on this.

    Gee, I wonder what Darryl thinks.

  56. 56

    @45

    When reality and anger start to set in.

    It’s not going to be pretty for you come Wednesday.

  57. 57

    There is no reason that senior women in the DMR poll should break so hard for Harris. None at all..

    You mean other than many of them living through pre Roe days?

    Some of them before the pill.

    No way any of them remember being unwed mothers or trapped in an abusive marriage by pregnancy.

    Or the great again days when if they left that abusive husband they could bank without a man whether they like it or not.

  59. 59

    @53 “Set aside your ideology and focus just with your common sense. Does that sound right to you?”

    Yes it does, because Iowa is a farm state, and agricultural exports will be the #1 target of retaliatory tariffs, and no state will suffer more than Iowa, therefore Republican farm families voting against the candidate advocating sweeping tariffs in order to preserve their livelihoods makes more sense than you have between your ears.

  61. 61

    @58

    If you come to terms with the idea that women are going to break +20 in every single state for Harris at least you’ll understand when Wednesday comes. The percentage of non-evangelical woken voting Donald is going to be close to zero.

    Every pollster is missing the Dobbs effect. Except maybe the one who really doesn’t do a ton of weighting and modeling based in the LAST election and who is an LV based on what traditionally happens.

    It’s the precise reason they missed Kansas so very badly. Tossup in polls just before they voted. 60-40 result.

  62. 62

    No way any of them remember being unwed mothers or trapped in an abusive marriage by pregnancy.

    Or the great again days when if they left that abusive husband they could bank without a man whether they like it or not.

    just think of the future if they should succeed in setting back women’s rights, the heterosexual Neanderthal virus will only skyrocket. Unfortunately this message isn’t going to be seen by those dead women of their future.

  63. 63

    There’s reason to doubt the “tossup” narrative.

    A Vanderbilt professor and NBC editor noticed the polls are improbably similar, and suspect “the spate of polls showing a dead heat could be due to pollsters weighting different categories in a certain way to ensure a poll delivers a narrow margin.”

    https://www.rawstory.com/tight-race-2024-trump-harris/

    Pollsters, the media, and campaigns all have a vested interest in pushing the “tossup” narrative.

    Pollsters, because if they predict a winner, and turn out to be wrong, it hurts future business.

    The media, because keeping readers and viewers on the edges of their seats boosts eyeballs.

    Campaigns, because keeping their supporters nervous keeps donations flowing and boosts turnout.

    I’m not saying there’s a conspiracy or collusion; it’s just that everybody’s interests align with us believing it’s “too close to call,” therefore we’re told it’s too close to call. Plus, it might actually be too close to call.

  64. 64

    @ 61

    Every pollster is missing the Dobbs effect.

    They’re missing the dragons and unicorns, too.

  65. 65

    The Des Moines Register poll is interesting, because Iowa’s 6 electoral votes could offset a loss in Nevada, or allow Harris to lose Pennsylvania if she wins Arizona and Nevada, or lose all three of those states if she wins Georgia, assuming Wisconsin and Michigan are in her camp.

  66. 66

    Florida and Texas won’t allow federal monitors to observe their elections. I wonder why?

  67. 67

    @61

    Kansas.

    Red wave.

    An observable phenomenon over several cycles Dumbfuck laughs off as ‘mythical creatures’.

    Mmmmmmkay.

  68. 68

    @64 Wherein the dumbfuck troll asserts that abortion has no effect on the election and the huge gap between women and male voters is a mirage.

  69. 69

    It may come down to whether Roberts, Thomas, Alito, Kavanaugh, Gorsuch, and Barrett can outvote 270-plus duly elected Electors.

  70. 70

    Why would Boxcheck Momala waste time in NYC tonight if the race is close?

    This is Clintonian final weekend stupidity.

  71. 71

    @70 It must be for some reason other than every poll since July has shown her from 14 to 21 points ahead in New York.

  72. 72

    71)Isn’t there some 50 year old tv show vases out of there? Forget the name, like many, don’t watch it much.

  73. 73

    After the issues with Proterra, looks like Everett Transit is going back to Diesel.

    https://www.facebook.com/reel/1576130929929164?fs=e&s=TIeQ9V&fs=e&fs=e&s=TIeQ9V

    Actually, waiting on 14 electric buses from another manufacturer, but the 2002 Orion Vs can’t last much longer in service, although interestingly, over the years I have seen several newer diesels in Everett Transit’s junkyard across the street from their maintenance facility. These 5 reconditioned diesels will fill the gap.

  74. 74

    @70

    You did know that that New York visit will end up being seen by 5.3
    million people tonight in all 50 states and another 20-50 million views on the youtube, tiktok, twatter by Tuesday.

    Or did you think SNL is only on the TeeVee in New York?

    Imbecile

  75. 75

    Meanwhile, while Harris prepares to be seen by millions, Donnie is getting in some more white supremacy before thousands.

    I will keep American communities for American citizens. We’re gonna have American people in our communities now

  77. 77

    Here’s some background on the Iowa poll the dumbfuck troll blows off:

    J. Ann Selzer is an American political pollster who is the president of the Des Moines, Iowa-based polling firm Selzer & Company, which she founded in 1996. Her polls of Iowa voters have a reputation for being highly accurate, based on their performance in major elections from 2008 through 2020. She has been described as “the best pollster in politics” by Clare Malone of FiveThirtyEight, which also gives Selzer & Company a rare A grade for accuracy.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ann_Selzer

    I’m not hung up on polls like doc is. All I’m saying is, for someone as stuck on polls as he is, he ought to be interested in what “the best pollster in politics” came up with, that’s all. Perhaps a farm belt red state going for Harris isn’t what he wants to hear and he’s in denial. All I can say is, he’s the one always parading polls in front of us.

  80. 80

    Emerson missed Iowa outside of the MOE in both 2016 and 2020.

    Ann Selzer has never been off by more that 1 point.

  81. 81

    @ 80

    Ann Selzer has never been off by more that 1 point.

    Yes, but…

    Ryan James Girdusky
    @RyanGirdusky
    ·
    If this is true, it means senior women in Iowa (virtually all who are white) are the most left-wing demographic in the state and are voting to the left of seniors in New York and California.
    Matt Viser
    @mviser
    Other key findings in Iowa Poll:

    Independent women back Harris by a 28-point margin, 57% to 29%

    Senior women support her by a more than 2-to-1 margin, 63% to 28%

    97% of Dems support Harris, while only 89% of Republicans support Trump

    https://desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/
    6:23 PM · Nov 2, 2024

    I understand the worth of poll quality. While Darryl doesn’tdidn’t factor it in to his analyses, Nate Silver and others do, to some extent. I do not dispute that in the past Selzer has been a good pollster.

    What I am saying is, just look at that senior women cohort. Now explain it, relative to results in adjacent Midwest states, and relative to results in the deep-blue states in California and in New York. Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit wants us to believe that senior women are suddenly concerned that Trump tariffs might harm the economy. OK, but why aren’t senior men – like Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit – concerned as well? Because senior men in this poll went for Trump by 2 points.

  82. 82

    Three/two days before the 2024 presidential election HA libbies are making poll arguments based on the pollster.

    The day before before the 2016 presidential election HA libbie Goldy did the same thing:

    Garbage In, Garbage Out: Are Republican “Pollsters” Gaming Poll Aggregators with Bullshit “Polls?”
    by Goldy — Monday, 11/7/16, 4:37 pm

    Goldy’s angry screed is worth a read, because he mentioned some rational observations by Darryl about those Trafalgar and Remington polls. Oddities in the polls. There’s nothing wrong with examining poll data rather than just doing the Welfare Queen YLB thing and cheerleading the top line result of a poll she favors. Nothing wrong at all.

    What’s wrong is what Goldy did at the end of his screed when he theorized that GOP-leaning pollsters might be intentionally fucking with their numbers to:

    • Bump up turnout in support of down-ballot Republicans.
    …
    • Undermine public faith in the outcome of this election.
    …
    • Fuck with Nate Silver.

    I have no reason to allege the same shenanigans of Selzer and her team. In 2 1/2 days we’ll know whether Selzer is the first to spot a last minute, massive shift in the voting sentiment of senior women toward Harris, or whether Selzer has some ‘splainin’ to do.

    Goldy’s conclusion paragraph included this;

    But I’ve no doubt that Republicans are attempting to game the system in a way that makes this whole poll aggregation endeavor far less useful than it was in the past two presidential cycles.

    Well, I’ve no doubt that Selzer’s senior women cohort poll response is an outlier, and that without it Trump likely carries a small lead in Iowa.

  83. 83

    Also from Goldy in 2016:

    Goldy @GoldyHA
    I’m a big lefty too, but Jesus Christ, Twitter friends, Hillary is the nominee! Push her on policy, but stop attacking her credibility.
    27 May

    Yes. Let’s leave the attack on her credibility to the general election voters, shall we?

  85. 85

    Richard Spencer and Al Sharpton each adore the same candidate.

    Politics
    Prominent white supremacist Richard Spencer endorses Kamala Harris

    He also liked Harris because “for better or for worse, [she] goes with the flow.”

    “And in my mind, that flow is going towards centrism, towards rational government, towards a sort of democratic hegemony . . . This is “something that I can responsibly support. So, I’m happily voting for Kamala Harris.”

    So is Welfare Queen YLB, who hates the Asians in her neighborhood.

  86. 86

    I don’t think Democrats have spent enough time calling GOP voters garbage, or Nazis, or anti-American. Perhaps your political ads could focus on those slurs for the next couple of days. You know, since Boxcheck Momala has such a large lead. I hear she’s gonna win Iowa and it won’t be close.

  87. 87

    Also Goldy on Election Eve 2016:

    So don’t be surprised on Tuesday night if the presidential election turns out to be less competitive than we’ve all been led to believe.

    On Friday Nate Silver said pretty much the same thing.

  88. 88

    What I am saying is…

    “…this poll has destroyed my ‘vibes’.”

    I know exactly where Scotty P is at. This is where I was in 2016 at right about this point a few days before election day. I was living on the “vibes” as well as a completely unrealistic mental model of who and what Republican voters were and still are.

    I learned to my profound sorrow and disappointment that a vast cohort of American “conservative” voters wearing oversized T-shirts bearing unrepentantly vulgar and misogynistic slogans were basically unreformed racist assholes who despise women. And a bunch more will instinctively herd with them essentially out of fear. I swore off “vibes” and devoted myself to measurable data. And I stopped entirely giving any attention to crosstab analysis used to model election outcomes among targeted demographics. I haven’t even looked at crosstab data for Selzer. Because the folly of doing so lies in the smaller sample sizes involved. And this is just as true whether it’s being done to cheerlead a poll or discredit it.

    But I certainly do pay attention when a public polling firm is exposed for having accepted payment for custom feeding results to favor a particular campaign as with Rasmussen and a few others.

    The lesson here isn’t that Vice President Harris is going to win Iowa. The lesson here is that she doesn’t need to. I don’t expect to see any Iowa head fakes from her campaign. They are too disciplined for that. Besides, MAGA Turds like Scotty P are doing a perfectly splendid job of publicly shitting themselves for our amusement without any outside help. They grew addicted to the “vibes” buzz just like I was eight years ago. And they all just went cold turkey.
    🍿😆

  89. 89

    HA libbies, 2024: Neil Silver sucks Donald Trump’s schlong.

    HA libbies, yesterday: Ann Selzer is Neil Silver’s highest-rated pollster!

  90. 90

    Strong close while Vice President Harris dis SNL Donald was in Greensboro NC

    If I don’t win this thing after all this talk I’m in big trouble. Will you please go and vote. I mean I came here whatever the hell time it is who the hell knows I’m givin ya the full bore ya wouldn’t let me leave in half an hour. I coulda run up here done it start screaming make America great again for five or six times then leave to the cheers if the crowd. In woulda been home sleeping right now.”

    Deeply inspiring talk about HIS needs.

  91. 91

    Troll: Ann Selzer is a woman who isn’t telling me what I want to hear so I lash out. Where’s Tulsi?

  92. 92

    @ 88

    The lesson here isn’t that Vice President Harris is going to win Iowa. The lesson here is that she doesn’t need to.

    I can’t believe I’m responding this way, but @ 65 Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit (assuming his math is correct – I haven’t checked) says she might need to if PA, NV, and AZ flip red from 2020 results.

    AZ is probably gone for her. Ralston warns of a possibly insurmountable GOP lead in the early voting in NV. PA is the Trumpiest of the three Rust Belt battlegrounds.

  93. 93

    On climate change, Harris recognizes the opportunity that exists for the US to reap the economic rewards that come with leading the clean energy transition rather than allowing China or other nations to beat us to it.
    The convicted criminal and project 2025 doesn’t seem to believe climate change is a problem and would allow the fossil fuel industry to continue polluting our air and water.

  94. 94

    90,
    One thing that has been consistently true throughout is that when Fat Hitler talks about himself he loses.

    Where he is in his head right now, I’d love to see him on SNL unscripted. I sure hope he still has at least one large appearance left in him to really drive down turnout and ass fuck the down ballot campaigns. Might be enough to push Colin Allred over the goal line.

  95. 95

    A Warren Buffet expecting further market advances might not be holding so much cash.

    Bloomberg
    Berkshire Hathaway’s Cash Pile Reaches Record $325.2 Billion

  96. 96

    @ 94

    I’d love to see him on SNL unscripted.

    I’d love to see Anna Wintour relent and allow Melania on her cover.

    Which is more likely?

  97. 97

    @ 93

    The convicted criminal and project 2025 doesn’t seem to believe climate change is a problem and would allow the fossil fuel industry to continue polluting our air and water.

    So would Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit. But at least he would claim to feel mildly conflicted about it. It’s just that he just can’t turn down the money.

  98. 98

    Congratulations, President-Elect Harris, says NYT/Siena:

    Tom Bevan
    @TomBevanRCP

    Final NYT/Siena battleground state polls:

    3:52 AM · Nov 3, 2024

    Georgia and North Carolina and Wisconsin go blue, rendering PA and MI meaningless.

  99. 99

    “Across these final polls, white Democrats were 16 percent likelier to respond than white Republicans. That’s a larger disparity than our earlier polls this year, and it’s not much better than our final polls in 2020 — even with the pandemic over. It raises the possibility that the polls could underestimate Mr. Trump yet again.”

    – Nate Cohn, NYT

    Republicans are sick of and disgusted by being tarred with the labels Nazi, garbage, anti-American. They’ll just silently go to the polls.

    Also silent: Darryl.

  100. 100

    Kill a squirrel, change an election result.

    Marianne Williamson
    @marwilliamson

    I was fine until they killed that cute little squirrel.

    5:06 PM · Nov 2, 2024
    ·

  101. 101

    Morning Consult is a D-friendly pollster. (Since we’re suddenly huge fans of how Nate Silver ranks pollster quality, he’s got MC as D plus 1.2 points.)

    The final MC poll of the Ohio Senate race has Sherrod Brown trailing Bernie Moreno.

    Not by much, but still.

  102. 102

    On Tuesday night downtown Portland will go fucking insane. Vancouver is just across the river and because of this proximity Jay Inslee has activated the Washington National Guard.

    I mean, it has to be PDX. It can’t be because of Seattle.

    Can it?

  104. 104

    Republicans are sick of and disgusted by…

    …their own nominee.

    Right up until July 21st they had a plausible excuse to justify staying on board. Then Scotty P’s whole world collapsed. One conservative professional I know booked travel to the far east this week just so he could cross the international date line and skip November 5th altogether.

    The best part about all this is something I posted about yesterday at 14. Fat Hitler is not going away. And this gap will persist until he does. Which may not be for another four years.

  105. 105

    Yes. Joe Biden is on the ballot.

    T. Becket Adams
    @BecketAdams

    “Donald Trump called Joe Biden a retard, according to three sources familiar with the matter” is perhaps the greatest unintentionally funny line to appear in an article that isn’t supposed to be funny.

    10:07 AM · Nov 2, 2024

    Retard is what Bi-Done is on one of his better days.

  106. 106

    What I am saying is, just look at that senior women cohort. Now explain it, relative to results in adjacent Midwest states, and relative to results in the deep-blue states in California and in New York.

    Simple. The Klan Rally in MSG moved the needle. It featured 23 men speaking and 6 women one being the daughter of the Candidate. The Klan Rally was chock full of open statements and allusions to removing what is left of women’s reproductive rights.

    That and the aforementioned ‘herding’ effect of polling. Most pollsters are weighting their samples based on the past 2-3 election cycles. So if they get a response of 64% of New York Senior women saying ‘Harris’ they say, no that can’t be right that has to be sample error because that has never happened before.

    When they get 15-20% of registered republicans saying “Harris” well that’s never happened either so we will just make some assumptions based on the past.

    “Whether (women) like it or not!”

  107. 107

    @ 106

    So the Iowa women polled by Selzer watched several hours of live MSG feed and the Iowa women polled by Emerson were busy preparing for a bake sale instead?

    You can only justify Selzer if you can also explain Emerson.

  108. 108

    @107

    See part 2.

    The highlights package of MSG had zero women. Thought I’d throw you a bone there.

    “Women since 2016 have never responded like this so we clearly need to weight the sample because past performance IS indicative of future returns.” Emerson.

  109. 109

    @ 108

    Women since 2016 have never responded like this…

    Since 2016 we’ve never had:

    • a major presidential party’s nominee struck by an assassin’s bullet during a speech
    • a major presidential party’s nominee chosen without a full primary election/caucus process
    • a major presidential party’s supporters, who constitute a plurality of the US electorate, called garbage by the sitting US president
    • a major presidential party’s nominee targeted for prosecution at federal and state levels due to nominee’s electoral threat to the party in power

  110. 110

    Closing argument. North Carolina

    No one remembers ‘The Silence of the Lambs’ except me. I have great brain. Migrants are Dr. Hannibal Lector. Insane asylum. We’re letting them in they’re eating the dogs they’re eating the people’s liver. Do the weave. Fake press doesn’t get me but I’m memory great. I have a smart uncle M.I.T and so Jack Nicklaus is not going to produce a bad golfer and that’s the way it works.

  111. 111

    And at long last there it is

    a major presidential party’s nominee targeted for prosecution at federal and state levels due to nominee’s electoral threat to the party in power

    It’s not like he DID pay off the porn star illegally with campaign funds using a shady lawyer and shell corporation to hide it and a jury unanimously agreed on ALL 34 counts guilty.

    He’s Donald. He can’t be prosecuted because he’s running.

    Side note:

    a major presidential party’s nominee chosen without a full primary election/caucus process

    The reason even OANN has dropped this is because outside the foaming at the mouth MAGA cult not a single voter cares. Remember when y’all were playing the race card by pointing out a vote for an aging Biden was really a vote for Harris. No one cares. Well Mike Lindell cares. Rudy is crying into his 75 count thread pillowcases from the thrift store.

    The women are coming for Donnie’s head. Deal with it.

  112. 112

    @ 111

    His opponents are shooting at Donnie’s headv. And DOCTOR Jill helped make it possible.

  113. 113

    I have previously gone on record saying that nobody treats a woman more viciously than another woman.

    In light of current events I must revise this to

    Nobody treats a woman more viciously than two other women in collusion with a tranny.

    Holy shit.

    Reportedly, according to the Title IX complaint filed by the associate head coach and obtained by Quillette, Fleming allegedly conspired with an opponent to help San Jose State lose a match and attempt to injure teammate Brooke Slusser.

    Fleming and another unnamed Spartans’ player met with Colorado State player Malaya Jones prior to the two teams playing on October 3, the complaint continues.

    Batie-Smoose says that Fleming and the teammate left the team hotel, a violation of team policy, the night before the match to visit Jones at her residence.

    During this meeting, Fleming allegedly gave Jones scouting reports for San Jose State and made a deal not to defend shots from Jones that would be hit towards Slusser.

    I’d take the accusation with a grain of salt ordinarily, but one of the conspirators got cold feet and ‘fessed up.

  114. 114

    @112

    His opponents supporters are shooting at Donnie’s headv. And DOCTOR Jill helped make it possible.

    Fixed

    And Jill Biden nor her husband are of concern to voters other than you and the mouth breathing public wankers at Donnie’s Klan Rallies

  115. 115

    A fake tranny and a dead squirrel decide the presidency.

    We, the University of Nevada Reno women’s volleyball team, forfeit against San José State University and stand united in solidarity with the volleyball teams of Southern Utah University, Boise State University, the University of Wyoming, and Utah State University. We demand that our right to safety and fair competition on the court be upheld. We refuse to participate in any match that advances injustice against female athletes.

  116. 116

    @115

    “We are so afraid of the opposing team’s third best player who we played against last year and won that we’re willing to, as an Institute of higher learning, virtue signal handing the second place team in the league another victory.” Snowflakes of the Mountain West

    The first place team is Colorado State by a single game so it TOTALLY is believable to the dumbfuck D-1 athletes would pick that team to tank. According to….an Australian anti-trans tabloid that Bari Weiss absolutely loves.

    Cool story bro.

  117. 117

    Biggest winner: Robby Mook.

    Breaking
    Trump Vs. Harris Fundraising Race: Harris Outraised Trump 3-To-1 With Last Pre-Election Report

    #CrookedHillary only outraised Trump 2-to-1 before losing to him.

    The disaster that has been the Boxcheck Momala candidacy will make most people (although not me, ever) forget all about how shitty a job #CrookedHillary and her team did eight years ago.

    I wonder how close to $2 billion Boxcheck Momala’s expenditures will be once it’s all added up. Fairly close, I suspect.

  118. 118

    …just look at that senior women cohort.

    Nah.
    Too small of a sample to produce any reliable estimates of probability relative to the modeled cohort.

    You can only justify Selzer if you can also explain Emerson.

    I just did. It’s Scotty P’s problem if he’s terrible at math.

    An arbitrary analysis of an unrepresentative crosstab cohort sample is stupid, whether you are doing it to support your preferred conclusions or discredit your opponent’s. But it also does not serve as a justification to discredit the overall survey.

    To nurture his cope Scotty P should try finding some weakness in the overall sample itself. After all, once we fight our way past his thicket of mathematical illogic, what he’s arguing is that the sample must not be random.
    Prove it.

    Just keep in mind that once he manages to do so all he’s done is rescued fucking Iowa.
    😆😆😆😆🥳👍

  119. 119

    I think it’s safe to say from today’s unhinged performance before even lunchtime that Dumbfuck has grasped that the GOP is going to get creamed.

    See ya, Ted Cruz. Enjoy the margaritas and guest spots on Fox as far as the eye can see.

  120. 120

    I don’t think there is any bigger POS than our resident Troll.

    Dellusional and provocatour that prefers to see the demise of Freedom, and Democracy. Shameful mother fucker.

  121. 121

    @ 118

    Too small of a sample to produce any reliable estimates of probability relative to the modeled cohort.

    In that sample senior women went for Harris over Trump by 35 points.. A margin that large gets to statistically significant right quick. Fisher’s Exact Test could work, I think.

  122. 122

    @ 118

    But it also does not serve as a justification to discredit the overall survey.

    It does if it’s far enough out of the mainstream.

    Example: If 98% of senior women support Trump in Iowa vs only 2% who support Harris, leading to a Trump advantage of 16% in the state, do you believe the poll? Or does this senior women cohort vary so far from reality that the poll must be discredited as too unrepresentative to warrant publication?

    My argument is that Iowa senior women preferring Trump by 35 points skews the overall results and supports at least partial discrediting of the poll’s findings. We’ll find out in 2 1/2 days if I’m correct. I can wait.

  123. 123

    “I did NOT have sexual relations with my friends’ wives. I met Melania on a different island and the first time I schtupped her was definitely not on the plane I borrowed for the campaign that belonged to that guy I barely knew. I only cheated on my wives
    A couple times. I’m no Bobby Jr but GOD DAMN I respect the player. None of it is true and I don’t care it’s on tape. I loooove Evangelicals. Corinthian 2. Leather seats. Fantasy island weave.

  124. 124

    Selzer also predicts two Democrat House seat flips from the GOP:

    The Political HQ
    @ThePoliticalHQ
    🚨Selzer Congressional District Polling🚨

    (All four seats currently held by GOP)

    Iowa’s 1st Congressional District

    🔵 Christina Bohannan – 53%
    🔴 Mariannette Miller-Meeks – 37%

    Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District

    🔴 Ashley Hinson – 45%
    🔵 Sarah Corkery – 42%

    Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District

    🔵 Lanon Baccum – 48%
    🔴 Zach Nunn – 41%

    Iowa’s 4th Congressional District

    🔴 Randy Feenstra – 53%
    🔵 Ryan Melton – 37%

    Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register (A+)
    808 LV
    10/28-10/31
    Last edited
    3:31 AM · Nov 3, 2024

    One by 7 points, one by 14 points.

    Back to the presidential poll: Selzer predicts senior voters, who went for Trump by 9 in 2020, to flip to Harris by 19 on Tuesday. That’s 28 points.

    I’m looking forward to the DMR interview with Selzer to be published Wednesday morning.

  125. 125

    My argument is that Iowa senior women preferring Trump by 35 points skews the overall results

    Like I said, Scotty P thinks the overall sample is not random. He just doesn’t understand how the verb “to skew” is applied in here.

    The responses recorded in the data are just what they are. It isn’t as if the pollster is fabricating the data or changing some of the responses. From Selzer earlier this morning:
    “The Des Moines Register includes a methodology statement with each story they publish. It’s the same methodology used to show Trump winning Iowa in the final polls in 2016 and 2020. It would not be in my best interest, or that of my clients—The Des Moines Register and Mediacom—to conjure fake numbers.”

    Scotty P continues to insist that based on his arbitrary choice to pluck out and focus on women over 65 that the entire poll must be wrong because he finds that small sample cohort incompatible with his expectations. But we can and should understand that just because we should not rely on a cherry picked cohort with a small sample size to predict that cohort, does not mean the whole sample is not random.

    Within a randomly sampled population we expect responses to be randomly distributed. If the appearance of star bellies is randomly distributed among sneetches, then within any random sample of sneetches we expect the distribution of star bellies within that sample to mirror the whole population. But our confidence in that expectation is limited by the size of the sample.

    Scotty P is starting with a predicate condition insisting that the appearance of star bellies is not random. He is insisting that the appearance of star bellies is more frequent or less frequent among some arbitrarily cherry picked subclass of sneetches for which he has no reliable sample. He asserts that a random survey of sneetches makes a claim about this subclass that it does not make. And finally he combines this false claim with his erroneous or unsupported conjecture about frequency to discredit the survey and resolve his mounting panic and looming misery.

    I was probably guilty of doing something just like this exactly eight years ago today. I learned my lesson. Thank God Republicans are incapable of learning theirs.

  126. 126

    @124 Someone is very nervous.

    Older Americans tend to be very Patriotic.

    Love their Country.

    Love the Flag.

    Wonder if storming the capitol and parading a Confederate flag through the rotunda and murdering* a Capitol Police Officer and beating others with blunt objects effected their thinking on the Orange Maniac who set it aflame?

    *He absolutely would have had that fatal stroke if he had been allowed to just stand around all day near a security checkpoint like most days in the work routine of a Capitol Police Officer

  127. 127

    It would also be hard to understate how much of a disaster the last few weeks have been for ole Donnie Trump.

    Very publicly told he can’t enter an Arizona City unless he pays his five year past due bill. Wanders around a stage lost because he hired the cheapest AV Company because he stiffed the other ones on all the other bills. Holds an impromptu music jam of Pavarotti recordings for some reason. Hold a klan rally and STILL hasn’t admitted that the guy calling Puerto Rico ‘garbage’ crossed a line a week later. Microphone blowjobs. THE EPSTEIN TAPES!

    Seniors recognize the signs of the guy in the community that used to be really nice but now no one really wants to sit with him in the dining room because the dementia has really advanced and he’s either going to say something totally skin crawling or he’s going to dribble the creamed corn out his mouth and into his lap.

    The image of him as a strong competent person capable of running the country is totally gone. Except for the mouth foaming cultists who insist he could take on Mike Tyson if he trained for a couple days.

    “I know he wants to die in his house but we can’t afford in home care and unless one of us quits working we have to find a place that will take Dad’s insurance and watch over him.”

    So what are you left with. People who just take the GOP Nominee because they’ve always voted GOP, the true flock who see him as the savior of this great white nation, the billionaire class who just wants another tax cut.

  128. 128

    Hey, Don’t forget leaving us all without a bus to get back to our parking lot.

  129. 129

    Heh.. So is kreepshit all breathless over the last Times/Siena poll?

    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/politics/harris-trump-times-siena-poll.html

    I’m not.. I’ll settle for the only poll that counts Tuesday evening/Wednesday morning, and not too long after if it can be helped.

    All my household and other family have voted. More than enough to cancel out teh degenerate widbee kreepshit, all due respect to Mary Kay.

    Seniors recognize the signs of the guy in the community that used to be really nice but now no one really wants to sit with him in the dining room because the dementia has really advanced

    Too bad Rudes went first..

    Everyone be good now.

  130. 130

    ‘I can’t understand why the women turned on me.” -Ted Cruz

    It’s because we screamed at you about EXACTLY what would happen and it did Ted. You failed to protect us from harm. YOU KNEW.

    The number of women in Texas who died while pregnant, during labor or soon after childbirth skyrocketed following the state’s 2021 ban on abortion care — far outpacing a slower rise in maternal mortality across the nation, a new investigation of federal public health data finds.

    From 2019 to 2022, the rate of maternal mortality cases in Texas rose by 56%, compared with just 11% nationwide during the same time period, according to an analysis by the Gender Equity Policy Institute. The nonprofit research group scoured publicly available reports from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and shared the analysis exclusively with NBC News.

    Up 56 among WHITE women. Christian Grandmas, conservative wives, poor paycheck to paycheck WalMart clerks, the daughters of oil millionaires either know somebody or know somebody who knows somebody who’s died or been hospitalized because pregnancy complications.

  131. 131

    Joey Mannarino
    @JoeyMannarinoUS

    Kamala Harris is not winning Iowa.

    I’m so certain of it I’ll castrate myself on camera if it happens.

    7:22 PM 11/2/24 578k views

    Okay Iowa.
    You have your assignment.

  133. 133

    We watched people dying and unable to speak to their loved ones. All while that fuckwit was telling everyone to open back up and drink bleach and stick a UV light up their ass and NOW he’s vowing to put Ivermectin fan boy who thinks fluoridated water is poison and DipTet causes autism in charge of the NIH.

    Fuck that shit.

  134. 134

    “I Wouldn’t mind if someone shot at (the news media present at his rally)” -Donald Trump.

    “Wait WHAT?” – The Constitution

    “That’s some real fascist shit” -Voters

  135. 135

    Donald J Trump
    @realDonaldTrump
    . 58 min

    I WAS NOT PERFORMING ORAL SEX ON MY MIC, FOLKS! I WAS PRETENDING TO EAT A CORN DOG WHILE WAITING FOR THE TOTALLY INCOMPETENT CREW TO FIX THE MIC. THIS IS PURE ELECTION INTERFERENCE! FAKE NEWS!

    Absolutely beautiful.

  136. 136

    @81 “OK, but why aren’t senior men – like Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit – concerned as well? Because senior men in this poll went for Trump by 2 points.”

    Because they’re dumber than their wives. You should know that from your own personal experience. Your wife certainly does.

  137. 137

    Justice for Peanut.

    Some are turning this into a government over reach issue, which it really is, but the explotation against the liberals is somewhat unfounded without all the facts known, and targeting liberals just because it happened in NY State.

    I never met Mark Longo, but are paths crossed while building in NYC. He worked for another company but worked on one or two of the Projects that I worked on. I wish I did meet him.

    But I think there is more to the story here. And I think someone had a personal vendetta against Mark and caused issue with him. It has been going on for many months.

    I have a feeling that they didn’t like that Mark had other x rated identities. Some conservative minded person probably had issue with that and wanted to make Mark’s world a nightmare.

    Sure I may be jumping to conclusions – but why would the complaintant have tried so hard to fight Mark.

    Bob – did you know that Mark was also known for more than just being a Squirel Dad? He had and has very sexually explicit postings along with acts with his girlfriend. It is out there, if you care to see a penis, and he has a fairly big one. You may even get to see his asshole.

    So this stuff didn’t bother me, obviously it made Mark more interesting. But I think it also made him a target for what happened. Some conservative hillbilly probably got a hair crossed their ass and caused problems for Mark.

    No, no evidence, but let’s see who the complaintant was. Why is it mysteriously being withheld? I don’t see where all the facts are known here. And just because NY State is Blue, doesn’t mean the governement officials directly involved with what happen are Democrats.

  138. 138

    @82 “In 2 1/2 days we’ll know whether Selzer is the first to spot a last minute, massive shift in the voting sentiment of senior women toward Harris, or whether Selzer has some ‘splainin’ to do.”

    Yes, we will know. I have no idea how accurate the polls are, which is why I don’t pay much attention to them, but I feel pretty sure that if Harris wins, one of the pieces of “evidence” that GOP election deniers will use to claim the election was “stolen” is poll results different from the actual vote. If polls are meaningless before an election, all I can say is they’re even more meaningless after an election. Poll data aren’t ballots. Votes count; polls don’t. Another reason to ignore them.

    By the way, is there some reason why voters can’t massively shift in the last 72, 48, or 24 hours before an election? If Trump keeps talking the way he has been, might that not change some voters’ minds?

  139. 139

    She’s a chickenshit.

    One thing is clear about Vice President Harris’ intent to stick to her old liberal views or govern with new centrist thinking: She doesn’t want voters to know.
    …
    Zoom in: Harris and her staff have refused to detail her position on more than a dozen of her previous stances the past three months in response to questions by Axios. The response to those inquiries: No comment.

  140. 140

    @ 138

    In which Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit belatedly discovers the downsides of early voting and mail voting.

    By the way, is there some reason why voters can’t massively shift in the last 72, 48, or 24 hours before an election? If Trump keeps talking the way he has been, might that not change some voters’ minds?

  141. 141

    @85 People are known by the company they keep. Trump gaily consorts with murderous dictators and invites white supremacists onstage with him. Don’t hold your breath for Harris to invite Spencer to a campaign event or do a photo-op with him.

  142. 142

    @ 137

    … why would the complaintant have tried so hard to fight Mark.

    “Tried so hard”?

    What’s difficult about an online anonymous complaint, G-clown?

  143. 143

    @86 “I don’t think Democrats have spent enough time calling GOP voters garbage …”

    I agree and you should be high on their list.

  144. 144

    @142

    well, it’s been a saga for over 3-4 months for one. If not longer. At first the State did nothing. Then, many months later, well why did it take so long?

    Second did you know that Mark had very explicit xxx content and identities. Not part of the story? Were you aware of that? Do you think what happened partly happened because of that?

    Conservative latching onto a porn star will go over very big, but obviously you didn’t know that that is part of the story.

  145. 145

    @88 “who despise women”

    Now why is that? Here are some clues. They’re not reproducing a whole lot. They’re trying to force women into motherhood, and what precedes motherhood? They watch a lot of porn. They’re gropers and pedophiles. Yeah, I understand why they despise women. Because most women won’t have anything to do with them.

  147. 147

    I see Bob disappeared. When he can’t win a conversation, which he never does, he disappears.

    JUSTICE FOR PNUT!

  148. 148

    @92 If Harris wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Iowa, Trump has to win Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada to get 270.

  149. 149

    @97 “So would Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit. But at least he would claim to feel mildly conflicted about it. It’s just that he just can’t turn down the money.”

    I voted against Initiatives 2066 and 2117, but since fossil fuels are beyond my control and someone will collect the oil company dividends, I don’t feel conflicted about taking the money.

  150. 150

    Luckily for conservatives there is not much time between now and the election for it to come out that PNut’s dad was a porn star and showed his asshole quite proudly, and it was definately a nice hole to show.

    🍌🍌🍌

  154. 154

    @99 After the war, Germans were sick of being tarred as Nazis and hanged as war criminals, which was kind of irrelevant.

    The truth is that some Trump voters are Nazis. Those who attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6, were involved in fake elector schemes, or otherwise tried to overturn a legitimate election are anti-American. And a great many Trump voters are garbage human beings. Like the Trumper in this anecdote, for example.

  155. 155

    NBC Philadelphia Website:

    Harris goes to church while Trump muses about reporters being shot

  156. 156

    Republican Foundations

    Justice for PNut!

    I really hope Mark Longo sues the State of NY

  157. 157

    @120 “I don’t think there is any bigger POS than our resident Troll.”

    If the horse carries him out to the curb on pickup day, I’ll understand.

  158. 158

    @118 “Just keep in mind that once he manages to do so all he’s done is rescued fucking Iowa. 😆😆😆😆🥳👍”

    If you’re a Republican, you pretty much have to rescue Iowa, because if Trump loses Iowa and the blue wall states, he has to run the table on the remaining 5 swing states.

  159. 159

    @109 “a major presidential party’s nominee targeted for prosecution at federal and state levels due to nominee’s electoral threat to the party in power”

    I guess you might believe this if you can talk yourself into believing that prosecutors take orders from party officials and grand juries do, too.

    Nobody but Republican morons believes that, though. Probably not even the Republican propagandists who conjure this nonsense.

  160. 160

    Cumment from the Reddit link of Squirel Dad.

    “This story did not go where any of us expected it too…”

    I knew it was part of the story many, many, many months ago.

    See what happens when all your convictions are founded on quicksand.

    All of little Bobby’s foundations are on quicksand.

    By the way – Mark Longo’s job was to insure buildings were built on solid ground. Too funny for Repukes!

    JUSTICE FOR PNUT!

  162. 162

    Chris Vance on Xitter:

    My take on the Selzer poll:
    1. You can’t talk about how accurate Selzer is, and how critical this poll will be before it is released, then hedge when it comes out with a result you didn’t expect. This poll is almost certainly accurate, and…1/

  164. 164

    @148

    It’s been covered. Trump isn’t winning NC. Women +475,000 votes delivered so far.

    In the the data from Yesterday the difference between R and D dropped to 40,000

    Women in NC are 61/39 by most accounts.

    So even if there AREN’T more GOP crossover votes than Dem that leaves a deficit of 249,000 votes Donnie has to make up among people who mailed ballots Friday or Saturday or will vote in person on Tuesday.

    And that’s not even taking into account that NYT/Sienna has Independents +6 for Harris. There are 1.5M ballots from Unaffiliated already in the NC count. That would add 90K to the deficit Team Orange has to make up.

    Good luck Donnie.

  166. 166

    As you all know, I’m no fan of polls. I’m only posting this to troll the dumbfuck troll.

    Donald Trump’s Support From Black Voters Plunges, New Poll Shows
    Published Nov 03, 2024 at 11:27 AM EST
    Updated Nov 03, 2024 at 4:49 PM EST

    Former President Donald Trump is seeing support from Black voters decrease just days before Election Day, a poll published on Sunday shows. According to the final national NBC News poll of the 2024 presidential campaign, Trump … is only earning 9 percent of Black support, lower than the 12 percent he received during the 2020 presidential election when he ran against Joe Biden.

    https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-support-black-voter-plunges-new-poll-shows-1979300

    Did someone say something about last-minute voter shifts?

  167. 167

    The way to win GA with a last minute rally is to bring in the guy who lost by 100k votes during the Red Wave of 2022 who wraps his speech with,

    Vote for Donald Trump Jr. (pause) Jonald J Trump

  168. 168

    @166

    Anybody want to Query Dumbfuck Posts about Harris losing due to all the massive movement of black male votes, black generally, to Trump? I put the over under at 49 since July 1.

    Wednesday is going to suck for him. I feel bad.

    Wait no. He’s a giant misogynist fuckwad so suck it.

  169. 169

    Ralston questions whether Clark County turnout will be enough to overcome the GOP front-loading. He also thinks the rural areas are turning out more than expected, further increasing pressure on Clark Co.

  170. 170

    On her knees in front of a black guy. Which gives Welfare Queen YLB oh! such fond, fond memories of the Obama years.

    Libs of TikTok
    @libsoftiktok

    “Kamala did what Kamala always does. She put her head down and went to work.” – Doug Emhoff

    One of the greatest unintentional admissions of all time 🤣

    1:41 PM · Nov 3, 2024

  171. 171

    When speaker after speaker after speaker today declared themselves “Proud to be Garbage” they really thought they had a ‘basket of deplorables’ moment on their hands.

    But other than the foaming MAGAts at the rally voters hear, “He still hasn’t disagreed that Puerto Rico is a floating island of Garbage.”

    “We, the best and the brightest of the GOP stand before you proudly and defend the guy who called Puerto Ricans ‘garbage’ because after all, that’s a shit hole country and there STILL isn’t any reason to apologize for THAT either which is why he never has. And now welcome to the Stage, Your Next President Mr. “I have a roll of paper towels” Jonald J Trump Jr!”

  172. 172

    Shorter @170:

    “Harris is cock sucking migger cunt.”

    For Scotty P it’s been an absolutely terrible day at the end of an absolutely terrible week, month, etc. At this point Scotty P desperately needs this release.

  173. 173

    After Fat Hitler loses this week and Republican voters grab their hockey sticks and pipe bombs and fire extinguishers and set out once again to beat some police officers to death it may be worth it for them to keep in mind that President Joe Biden enjoys total immunity from civil complaint and criminal prosecution for all the face-painted, cosplaying weird-beards he maims and slaughters in defense of those cops.
    🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿🍿😉

  174. 174

    @169

    I’m sure that’s a problem.

    This is where you contemplate a 8 Harris among independents, NYT, that Nevada is a ‘Postmarked by’ state and…

    Of 483,171 mail ballots received as of Friday, 40.2% were sent by Democrats, 30.3% by Republicans, and 29.4% by others.

    Of the slightly more than one million total votes – mail and early in person – reported cast during the early voting period, Republicans accounted for 38.4% to Democrats 33.6% and 28% for the nonpartisans/other parties.

    So what you are so proud to post here is that as of today, the GOP has a less than 5% advantage over the Democrats. By the time all the Democratic Mail in Ballots come in Wed. or Thursday after election day that 5% will be….not existent.

    A desperate Dumbfuck in search of a ray. I suspect Ralston is aware of the dem/rep divide in mail in ballots but engaging in a “I’m not sure if” got you to click through and that’s the important thing.

  175. 175

    Finishing strong:

    “All of you people wouldn’t have a chance to see before you pull the lever on Tuesday about a Whistleblower released the information on the 18, on the 800thousand cops. The Whistleblower said, “You know there were not 800thousand and 18thousand you add em up, thass, and then you add a hundred and think of it 112thousand jobs.”

    The Whistleblower he’s referring to is the Bureau of Labor Statistics revisions. We think I mean who the fuck knows what Grandpa is on about.

    Stable. Really got it together.

  177. 177

    174,
    Unless welfare cows vote, “rural” Nevada isn’t going to save them.

  178. 178

    @170 Funny how these folks interpret everything as dirty. They must be the most sexually deprived people on earth.

  179. 179

    Gen Z men who support Donald Trump are having a difficult time dating, as more women reject men who support him.
    —
    This is called natural selection. The species has recognized a flaw and is evolving away from it.

  181. 181

    This is called natural selection. The species has recognized a flaw and is evolving away from it.

    Saving themselves from The HN Virus. Smart of them. Otherwise they’d be groomed by them Neanderthals.

  182. 182

    @ 179

    This is called natural selection. The species has recognized a flaw and is evolving away from it.

    Yup. Dinosaurs died out when too many of them began to embrace homosexuality as a lifestyle.

  183. 183

    @ 178

    They must be the most sexually deprived people on earth.

    This from Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit, who hasn’t successfully achieved erection in the current millenium.

  184. 184

    the top line result of a poll

    in 2012 there was a poll taken on a November election day. By 8:00pm the result was called.

    in 2020 there was a poll taken on a November election day. Took a little longer before the results were called.

    Yours truly favored the outcome of those two polls.

    A degenerate kreepshit from widbee did not favor those outcomes.. It meant a longer wait for a tax cut and in the recent case a much higher probability of an IRS audit.

    We’ll see what happens on Tuesday evening/Wednesday morning.

  189. 189

    What’s with the voters in this State? Almost 5 million ballots were sent out and not even half, a bit over 47 percent have been returned..

    I sure hope that changes bigly the next couple of days.

  191. 191

    @186 Now the idiot gets to be a felon for the rest of his life:

    Fl. Stat. §784.08(2): Whenever a person is charged with committing an assault or aggravated assault or a battery or aggravated battery upon a person 65 years of age or older, regardless of whether he or she knows or has reason to know the age of the victim, the offense for which the person is charged shall be reclassified as follows:
    (a) In the case of aggravated battery, from a felony of the second degree to a felony of the first degree. …
    (c) In the case of battery, from a misdemeanor of the first degree to a felony of the third degree. …
    (3) Notwithstanding the provisions of s. 948.01, adjudication of guilt or imposition of sentence shall not be suspended, deferred, or withheld.

    http://www.leg.state.fl.us/Sta.....84.08.html

    That’s right, in Florida every battery of a person over age 65 is automatically a felony and can’t be deferred. Unless the D.A. agrees to keep this case in juvie court, and why would he since the victim was injured, this shithead is gonna have a record.

  192. 192

    Donald Trump
    @realDonaldTrump

    I haven’t seen the Drudge Report for years, but everyone tells me it is doing really badly. Is it remaining open, or will they close it up?

    And you brought it up this evening just out of the blue?

  193. 193

    Tonight:

    “We have the biggest rallies, bigger than any country ever. (Well your mentor got 700k in Nuremberg) there are no empty seats.”

    Camera pulls out to show entire second level empty, pans left to show lots of empty main level seats.

  196. 196

    The final NYT/Siena poll gives Harris 274 EVs without Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Iowa.

    This poll shows her ahead in Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, and Nevada; Pennsylvania and Michigan tied; and Arizona going to Trump.

    https://www.aol.com/last-york-times-siena-poll-012747772.html

    I ran this lineup on an interactive map and got 274-224 without Iowa. Trump could afford to lose only one of the four states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia to keep Harris under 270. Iowa could become the decisive state if Trump won Pennsylvania and two of the other three but lost in Arizona.

  197. 197

    The RCP aggregate national poll average has Trump leading Boxcheck Momala both head-to-head and in multi-candidate tallies.

    Whatever will Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit do with a Trump electoral victory and a Trump national popular vote plurality?

    Expire sometime during DJT47, probably.

  200. 200

    @193

    Wonder what the true MAGA believer sitting next to a section of empty main level seats thinks when the Messiah stands up there and says there are none.

  201. 201

    @ 200

    … sitting next to a section of empty main level seats thinks when the Messiah stands up there and says there are none.

    She might be thinking that if it was a Boxcheck Momala event, she’d be in a quarter-full high school gymnasium unless a Beyonce concert as part of it was heavily teased leading up to it.

    She might also be thinking that it’s impressive that Trump can draw a crowd this big when since Labor Day he’s been to the same part of the state twice before.

    GLWT whole “indoor arena not totally full” thing. Your candidate is badly underperforming, and you have to take what you think you can get.

  202. 202

    @ 200, 201

    Trump is in Raleigh right now, filling an indoor arena in the capital of the Tarheel State.

    It’s a Monday and the place is full. Click the link for the live feed, and do your best to find an empty seat. It might help you feel better if you can spot one or two.

  203. 203

    From The Downballot:

    Across the 85 legislative chambers holding regularly scheduled elections in 44 states this year, Republicans are defending 3,169 seats while Democrats are protecting 2,616. But Republicans have failed to field a candidate in 1,066 Democratic seats, while Democrats have left 1,127 GOP seats uncontested.

  204. 204

    Claire McCaskill on MSNBC, about Elon Musk;

    “He thinks because he can do rockets and electric cars, that he can figure out how to get people to vote.”

    • #CrookedHillary lived in the White House for eight years, was a US Senator for eight years, and was SoS, spent $1.2 billion, and she couldn’t.

    • Boxeheck Momala has spent nearly four years a heartbeat from the presidency, has virtually every minority status known to man to draw from, and is spending nearly $2 billion, and she won’t.

    In addition to being the first guy to develop a reuseable rocket, singlehandedly restore communications to western NC after Helene, manufacture and sell EVs and turn a profit doing it, he also owns a neurobiology company, Neuralink, valued at $8 billion earlier this year. His Neuralink company is developing compounds to alter brain function. If anyone can figure out how to alter sentiment in order to juice voting turnout, it’s Elon Musk.

  205. 205

    It might help you feel better if you can spot one or two.

    At the moment Scotty P was struggling to compose this mighty rejoinder his very own campaign is trying to conjure base vibe grievance from a gay porno squirrel.

    Yup

  206. 206

    Donald Trump has Elon Musk offering to help drive turnout by showing up repeatedly at ‘Trump campaign events.

    Boxcheck Momala has Joe Biden offering to help drive turnout by showing up repeatedlly at Momala campaign events.

    The only similarity between Musk and Biden is that neither drives the vehicles they ride in.

    Didja see what I did there, libbies.

  207. 207

    @201, 202

    The things you’ve convinced yourself are so cute.

    Harris, Raleigh, Thrusday, Coastal Credit Union Arena Capacity, 20,600 Filled.

    Donald Today, Dorton Arena, Raleigh, Capacity 7,100. There’s a live stream RIGHT NOW. There are empty seats directly behind the podium. The other fun note is the two kids on the other side of the podium in suits, looking not old enough to vote and not a single non-white face in the crowd.

    Good clapback, dude.

  208. 208

    @197 “Whatever will Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit do with a Trump electoral victory and a Trump national popular vote plurality?”

    Pay lower taxes on my capital gains, dividends, and Social Security, and watch Hispanic citizens being carted off in paddy wagons without due process and protesters being shot.

    I’ve always said you humans are stupid. I wasn’t wrong. Even if Trump doesn’t win, you tried your best to destroy your democracy and immolate yourself.

    I’m just an observer.

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