As has already been widely reported, the latest Elway Poll has Sen. Patty Murray leading real estate speculator Dino Rossi by 50-41%, which is pretty damn consistent with internal Democratic polling, including a recently released DSCC poll that showed Murray up 50-45%.
Curiously, and unlike previous campaigns, not a single Rossi/Republican internal poll has been leaked, suggesting that their numbers don’t diverge much from the Democrats. Of course, recent SurveyUSA and Rasmussen polls showed Rossi in the lead,but the crosstabs suggest SurveyUSA’s sample is totally whacked, while Rasmussen generally leans Republican until the final weeks of the campaign. So both my brain and my gut still tell me that the edge goes to Murray.
That said, the only the poll that matters is the one that closes 8PM, November 2. So Dems better get their shit together and vote, or else.
Update [Darryl]: Elsewhere I do a little number crunching with this poll and other recent polls in this race.