John Oliver: Juries.

Lauren Mayer and Carla Ulbrich: Stand up and act!

Robert Reich: What do Russia and the United States have in common?

The Biden-Harris 2020:

• The Late Show: America—Endgame
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп destroys the DNC and Joe Biden!
• Mark Fiore: Why change horses mid-stream
• Samantha Bee: Expect the worst from this election season, pt. 1
• Don Winslow Films: #FromRosaToKamala
• Trevor: The DNC kicks off & Michelle Obama brings down the house
• Randy Rainbow: KAMALA!

• Stephen: Barack Obama’s fiery, emotional speech sets the stage For Historic Kamala Harris VP Nomination
• Eleven Films: The #BlueWave2020 trailer
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп reacts to Michelle Obama and night 1 of the Democratic National Convention
• br0keb0i: The interview that ruined Pence
• The Late Show: Dr. Destruction crashes Kamala’s DNC speech
• Robert Reich: On November 3, we defeat The Dotard Трамп and Mitch McConnell
• Samantha Bee: Expect the worst from this election season, pt. 2
• Priorities USAWreck
• Meidas Touch: Had enough Трамп?
• Seth Meyers: Трамп and FAUX try to distract from the DNC
• Trevor: The DNC kick-off & Трамп’s boat parade
• Stephen: Monologue after day 1 of the Democratic National Convention
• Trevor: Why you shouldn’t be asking if Kamala Harris is “Black enough”
• VoteVets: A real commander-in-chief
• br0keb0i: Joe Biden’s speech at the 2020 DNC best moment
• Sheryl Crow: Woman in the White House
• Trevor: DNC Day 2
• Stephen: Monologue after day 2 of the Democratic National Convention
• Now This: Joe Biden and the Violence Against Women Act
• Foundation Singers: It is what it is:

• The Late Show: John Legend previews the DNC
• The Daily Show: FAUX News is right—Any idiot can read off a teleprompter
• Here’s why you can’t sit out this election
• Trevor: DNC Day 3
• Stephen: DNC Day 4—Joe Biden states his purpose

Dulcé Sloan: Who did the 19th Amendment really give voting rights to?

Bill Maher: Think like a true QAnon.

The Dotard Трамп and Other Liars and Miscreants:

• The Daily Show: Americans fight for the post office and Obama speaks out
• Meidas Touch: Трамп’s course—Driving us in the wrong direction
• Seth Meyers: Трамп and the GOP are trying to destroy the Post Office
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп unveils the four main themes for the RNC
• Bruce W. Nelson: 25 great ways to fire Трамп
• br0keb0i: The nightmare of the Трамп presidency
• Really American: Republican confessions
• Jimmy Dore: Трамп’s presidential debate preparation with Chris Christie!
• Lauren Mayer: Save the USPS
• Stephen: Amb. Susan Rice says the American people need to “call B.S.” on Трамп’s attack on the postal service
• Bruce W. Nelson: Goodyear, Трамп, and explaining his general lack of sensitivity
• The Late Show: Трамп messed with the wrong tire guys
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп celebrates the 100th anniversary of the Negro leagues
• Really American: Трамп swamped America
• FOD: Трамп talks social media
• Amber Ruffin shares what Трамп has done for women:

• Don Winslow Films: #MeetMotherPence
• Meidas Touch: Tick tock, Трамп
• Now This: Трамп praises followers of crazy “QAnon” conspiracy theory
• The Late Show: Exclusive footage of Steve Bannon’s perp walk
• Bruce W. Nelson: On Steve Bannon and conservatives today
• Mother Jones: That time Steve Bannon accused the Clintons of corruption and money laundering
• VoteVets: Postmaster General Louis DeJoy must resign or be fired
• Seth Meyers: Ex-Трамп adviser Steve Bannon arrested and charged with fraud
• br0keb0i: The Dotard Трамп wants to stop you from voting
• Really American: Rigger in chief
• Meidas Touch: Divorce Трамп!
• Stephen: Трамп courts conspiracy theorists from the White House podium, offering to “save the world”
• Trevor: DNC, Day 4

WaPo: Why she votes—12 female leaders share their stories of suffrage.

Robert Reich: Why Democrats and Republicans need to unite against the oligarchy

Samantha Bee: There’s a race problem in journalism.

ТрампPlague:

• br0keb0i: Jared Kushner calls coronavirus deaths a success story
• Jimmy Dore: My Pillow CEO urges people to take poison (to cure coronavirus)!
• Priorities USA: Life and death
• Robert Reich: Трамп’s “law and order” campaign is a distraction
• br0keb0i: My Pillow guy and the fake doctors of The Dotard Трамп

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Trevor: Veronica Chambers—Reframing the story of the 19th Amendment

Brave New Films: Alec Baldwin says “Make America wote again”.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Randy Rainbow: CHRISTOPHER CUOMO! (A special birthday BONUS!)

Now This: Breaking down New York AG’s lawsuit against the NRA

Biden—Harris 2020:

• The Late Show: The Vice Presidential condolence card collection
• Desi Lydic: Who is Kamala Harris?
• Meidas Touch: Biden Harris 2020.
• J-L Cauvin: Mike Pence has no fear of Kamala Harris!!!
• Seth Meyers: Трамп and FAUX struggle to attack Sen. Kamala Harris
• Now This: Трамп promotes racist birther lie about Kamala Harris
• The Late Show: Трамп deploys female candidate detector for Kamala
• Priorities USA: Her movement
• Stephen: Kamala Harris hits Трамп where it hurts—the economy
• Trevor: Kamala Harris is Biden’s VP pick
• Meidas Touch: Bye, Hannity.
• John Di DomenicoТрамп rant—Rips Kamala Harris as a liar, a phony & a nasty, nasty woman who doesn’t like puppies!
• Bruce W. Nelson: Nasty women
• Move On: Kamala Harris picked as Joe Biden’s running mate
• Stephen: Alex Wagner and Mark McKinnon on what Kamala Harris’s candidacy means for the Democratic Party
• Trevor: Kamala Harris—The person, the politician…and the chef?
• Jimmy Fallon: Trump calls Kamala Harris “nasty”
• Meidas Touch: Prosecute him—Kamala Harris makes the case against Трамп
• Now This: Cory Booker reacts to Kamala Harris VP pick.
• The Late Show: Biden picks Kamala despite no geriatric medical degree
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп issues statement about Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
• br0keb0i: Трамп’s “nasty woman” comments are hurting his campaign
• Lauren Mayer: Kamala!
• Trevor: Трамп and FAUX News struggle to attack Kamala
• Stephen: Sen. Kamala Harris breaks new ground as Joe Biden’s running mate.

Roy Wood, Jr.: Citizen’s arrest—How is this still a law?

Trevor: Pramila Jayapal on political change, Трамп & the 2020 election

The Dotard Трамп and His Band of Liars, Criminals, and Brown-nosers:

• br0keb0iТрамп calls his son an “environmentalist”
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп Bible study—Book of Genesis
• Stephen: April Ryan’s unfiltered take on Kayleigh McEnany, Kanye West’s candidacy, and our “racist-in-chief.”
• Really American: Трамп klills USPS
• Sarah Cooper hosting Kimmel’s show does a “crazy president” political monologue
• Bruce W. Nelson: Трамп, bankrupt again!
• Now This: Трамп admits to defunding USPS to stop mail-in votes
• Trevor: Трамп attacks vote-by-mail and the U.S. Postal Service
• The Late Show: Mary Todd Lincoln doesn’t want Трамп anywhere near Gettysburg
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard issues statement about his brother Robert Трамп
• John Di Domenico: Трамп 1AM Rant—Biden hates God, guns, yo-semites, thighland, the Bible, energy, but loves Chyna!
• Seth Meyers: Трамп signs sham executive orders and takes credit for Obamacare
• Bruce W. Nelson: Dotard Трамп wants to be added to Mount Rushmore:

• The Late Show: What if a chef added condiments to Peter Navarro every time he lied?
• J-L Cauvin: Donald Трамп defends executive orders and Jeffrey Epstein
• Vote Vets: The Dotard goes to war on the Post Office
• Trevor: Prof. Timothy Snyder on maintaining democracy in times of tyranny
• John Di Domenico: Trump cancels election, suspends Constitution, becomes President for life!
• br0keb0i: Трамп USPS mail-in hypocrisy
• Really American: Rescue our votes
• The Late Show: Need some extra power in your shower? We’ve got you covered!
• Seth Meyers: Трамп’s plan to sabotage the post office before the election
• Stephen: Michael Cohen teases a bombshell book while Трамп admits he’s slowing USPS to tilt the election
• Trevor: Trump plainly admits plan to limit mail-in voting
• J-L Cauvin: Michael Cohen gives a shower of golden praise to The Dotard
• Bruce W. Nelson: The new monuments to Dotard Трамп
• Priorties USA: C’mon man
• Bad Lip Reading: Трамп interview:

• Really American: Progressives for Biden
• Seth Meyers and Amber Ruffin on what Трамп has done for Black people
• Stephen: As his popularity plummets, Трамп teases battleground state location for RNC speech
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп delivers the Gettysburg address

Brave New Films: Suppressed 2020—The fight to vote.

Seth Meyers: John Berman made the Electoral College sexy

ТрампPlague:

• Robert Reich: How billionaires are getting rich off COVID
• Trevor: Трамп makes a mess of COVID relief & eyes a spot on Rushmore
• Mark Fiore: Art of the executive order
• Meidas Touch: Трамп emptied stadiums
• Stephen: Трамп’s terrifying math—A “tiny fraction of deaths” is acceptable among school kids….
• Robert Reich: Betsy DeVos’ deadly plan for reopening schools
• Jaboukie Young-White: It’s time for scientists to absolutely lose their shit!
• Stephen: Europe discovers ugly truths about America, as 250,000 bikers gather in Sturgis despite covid risk
• The Daily Show: What was Трамп asked about?

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Meidas Touch: Vote proud—Enough is enough!

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

John Oliver: American history

The Daily Show: Our best FAUX News mashups.

Foundation Singers: Good trouble (in honor of John Lewis).

The Democrats: Commemorating 55 years of the Voting Rights Act.

Roll Call: Top 10 most vulnerable senators.

The Dotard Трамп and Other Failed Liars and Grifters:

• Meidas Touch: Трамп has no healthcare plan
• Seth Meyers: Трамп twice mispronounces Yosemite and other mostly political observations
• The Daily Show: This Presidential candidate is not well
• Scottacular: Boy Трамп interviewed by Axios
• Priorties USA: Winning?
• Meidas Touch: Трамп donors—Don’t be Don’s next con
• Seth Meyers: Трамп investigated for fraud and says coronavirus will “go away”
• Priorties USA: Racist Трамп
• Parody Project: Failed as the Chief:

• Don Winslow Films: #ConsequencesForТрамп
• Vice News: Meet the guy who planned Трамп’s crackdown in Portland
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп will protect God from Joe Biden!!
• Meidas Touch: Трамп hoaxed America
• Bill Maher: The incredible sulk
• Mrs. Betty Bowers: Ivanka, daddy’s little empathizer!
• Jimmy Fallon: Трамп’s train-wreck interview with Jonathan Swan on HBO
• Now This: Robert Reich debunks Трамп’s economic claims
• Mark Fiore: MAGA Mail!
• Seth Meyers: Трамп rushes back to FAUX after disastrous Axios interview
• Meidas Touch: Vote out racism
• br0keb0i: PLUMP FICTION—Cancel Трамп song
• J-L Cauvin and Reggie Brown: The Dotard Трамп wishes President Obama a happy birthday!
• >Lauren Mayer: The way Pence looks at Трамп
• New York Times: He predicted a Трамп win in 2016. What’s his forecast for 2020?
• Really American: Biblical idiot
• Jonathan Mann: Yo, Semites! [Klezmer remix]:

• WaPo: What Трамп’s executive order means for TikTok
• Now This: Who is Sebastian Gorka? Narrated by comedian Shalewa Sharpe
• Vice News: Pop quiz! Can you pass Трамп’s mental acuity test?
• Priorities USAPolice state
• Meidas Touch: #RightFromWrong—The rule of law or Трамп?
• Brave New Films: Трамп vs. Трамп—Hire / Fire
• Now This: Трамп’s mind-numbing interview with Axios

Really American: Republicans are lying about Social Security.

Robert Reich: How Mitch McConnell’s Republicans are destroying America.

Brave New Films: Why are so many women in prison?.

Roll Call: Top 10 most vulnerable House members

Rachel Maddow: : NY AG lawsuit paints vivid picture of how NRA membership money is spent.

ТрампPlague:

• J-L Cauvin: Трамп forms super team
• Now This: Grieving widow writes blunt obituary after losing husband to COVID-19
• Mother Jones: The Dotard twists coronavirus realities by slamming Fauci, CNN, China, and Democrats
• Daily Show: Smart poop—Collecting data from our crap to fight COVID
• Jimmy Dore: Herman Cain calls from the afterlife.
• John Di Domenico: Трамп EPIC rant—Nobody likes me, Fires Fauci, hires Dr. Stella Immanuel w/alien DNA & demon sperm
• Now This: School principal records COVID-19 parody of ‘Can’t touch this’
• Trevor: The great mask war
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп challenges the punisher
• Vice News: How Mississippi became the COVID-19 hotspot
• Seth Meyers: Jared Kushner’s failed testing plan (and Трамп threatens to ban TikTok)
• Now This: Georgia student suspended for photo of crowded school
• Matt Buechele: School open plan.
• The Daily Show: Parodies in the time of coronavirus
• J-L Cauvin: Mike Pence is thrilled Трамп isn’t banning Tik Tok (yet)!
• John Di Domenico: Трамп Rants about interview, “I want a Do Over with more charts & graphs & no Jonathan Swan!
• Now This: Teacher regrets 2016 Трамп vote as schools reopen during COVID-19 epidemic

Jimmy Fallon: Political news of the day.

Bruce W. Nelson: Non-political song.

Now This: NY AG Letitia James files suit to dissolve NRA.

Foundation Singers: Ghislaine Maxwell’s in the slammer:

Really American: Protect our votes

Roll Call: “We’re so used to it”—Lawmakers talk sexism in Congress

Full Frontal Rewind: Black Lives Matter.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Seth Meyers: Sen. Kamala Harris explains the George Floyd Justice in Policing Act.

Trevor: Florida news (LeBron helps ex-felons vote & The Dotard axes convention.

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week

Now This: Immigrant children illegally detained by ICE in Texas Hotel.

The Dotard Трамп and Other Fascists and Dictator Wannabes:

• Meidas Touch: Wall against Трамп
• John Di Domenico: Трамп rant & top 5 reasons to be re-elected in 2020! (Part 1)
• Really American: Lying Трамп
• Seth Meyers: With less than 100 days until the election, Трамп and the GOP are desperate
• Sarah Cooper: How to tick tock
• Meidas Touch: Трамп grifts, you die
• Трамп The Internet: Трамп reads Stormy Daniels
• Roy Zimmerman: “Vote him away #2 (The liar Tweets tonight)”:

• br0keb0i: RAGING BULLSHIT—Cancel Трамп song
• Robert Reich: Трамп’s worst attacks on working Americans
• Trevor: Трамп wants to delay the election & stamp out affordable housing
• Bruce W. Nelson: Donald J, Go Away
• Eleven Films: The dangerous ones
• Jimmy Dore: Mike Pompeo tries to buy Greenland for Трамп!
• Seth Meyers: Трамп rolling Back environmental regulations
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard REJECTS the Yankees
• Meidas Touch: Evict Трамп from the White House
• Chris Cuomo on Трамп’s comment “nobody likes me”
• Don Winslow Films: #TrumpsEvilPlan
• The Lincoln Project: Wake up
• The Juice: Honest government ad—A message from the White House:

• Really American: Rep. Jayapal got it right!
• Meidas Touch: Nobody likes Трамп
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп is FURIOUS about Michelle Obama’s new podcast
• VoteVets: Forget
• Seth: Трамп suggests delaying the election, which he can’t do
• Trevor: Are Трамп secret police leaving Portland?
• Meidas Touch: Трамп mails it in
• Jonathan Mann: Fascist fucks

Trevor: Breonna Taylor—Who she was, how she died, & why justice is overdue.

John Oliver: China and Uighurs.

Now This: Pres. Obama delivers powerful eulogy at John Lewis’ funeral.

Meidas Touch: Are you better off?:

Trevor: Sen. Tom Cotton opposes 1619 project-inspired history curriculum

ТрампPlague:

• Seth Meyers: Трамп praises “demon sperm” doctor who pushed hydroxychloroquine
• Now This: Dr. Fauci shuts down GOP Rep. trying to play scientist
• Mark Fiore: The Twitter virus task force
• Trevor: GOP COVID relief package & Трамп’s plan to protect his DC hotel
• Really American: Трамп hates science
• Meidas Touch: Трамп kills Texas
• Trevor: Coronavirus ramps up in the U.S. and claims Herman Cain
• Robert Reich: 5 key demands for the new coronavirus bill
• Now This: Трамп praises doctor pushing alien DNA medical theories
• Lewis Black: Outdoor dining rules
• Seth Meyers: Sen. Kamala Harris wants to freeze evictions and foreclosures
• Trevor: Coronanews

Move On: Your vote is power.

Lauren Mayer: Voter fraud is fraud.

Desi Lydic: Dr. David Campt about how white people can fight racism in their own social circles.

The Daily Show: FAUX News on deploying federal agents 2020 vs. 2014.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Biden	Trump
> 99.9% probability of winning	< 0.1% probability of winning
Mean of 378 electoral votes	Mean of 160 electoral votes

My last analysis was about three weeks ago, and former Vice President Joe Biden was leading President Donald Trump by 375 to 163 electoral votes. After adding about 150 new polls and undertaking 100,000 simulated elections, Biden wins all 100,000 times. Biden received (on average) 378 to Trump’s 160 electoral votes. In an election held now, Biden would have a greater than 99.9% probability of winning and Trump would have a less than 0.1% probability of winning.

I decided to do an extended set of simulated elections every seven days over the past year, where each simulation includes polls from the preceding month (FAQ). The resulting plot shows that Trump has been losing ground in the electoral college totals since early April.

For the simulated elections for today, here is the distribution of electoral votes [FAQ]:
[Read more…]

The Late Show: Ted Cruz warns Texas about the Blue Wave.

Trevor: Remembering John Lewis

Samantha Bee: From Hopeless to Hope-ish with Masha Gessen

Mother Jones: Mitch McConnell refuses to honor John Lewis’ legacy.

The Dotard Трамп and Other Liars, Scoundrels, and Treason Weasels:

• Bruce W. Nelson: Трамп does Portland like Putin did Crimea
• Stephen: Mary Trump says The Dotard demonstrates sociopathic tendencies
• Meidas Touch: Трамп threatens America
• Trevor: Трамп sends federal agents to break up Portland protests
• The Late Show: Person, woman, man, camera, TV—The movie
• Seth Meyers: Late Night White House press briefing
• Bruce W. Nelson: The Трамп law and order song
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп as Fredo Corleone
• Jordan Klepper: The Dotard’s boat rally.
• Stephen: Ava DuVernay—Трамп’s assault on Portland isn’t a Republican vs. Democrat issue
• Jimmy Fallon: Трамп’s shocking interview with FAUX News’ Chris Wallace
• The Late Show: Let’s extend a warm Chicago welcome to Трамп’s secret police
• Really American: Dictator Трамп:

• Jonathan Mann: The president is playing golf
• John Di Domenico: Трамп RANTS. Cognitive test genius! Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV. Cat. Easy test.
• Meidas Touch: Unpresidented idiot—The Dotard humiliates himself on FAUX News
• Stephen: Mary Trump felt an obligation to write a book about The Dotard
• The Late Show: Cognitive test elephant calls out The Dotard Трамп
• Bruce W. Nelson: Трамп and freedom of speech
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard’s Goya food fight
• Trevor: The truth behind Трамп’s “intelligence test”
• The Late Show: Everyone is super impressed that Трамп passed his cognitive test
• Really American: End the nightmare in Portland
• Don Winslow Films: #AmericasGreatestMistake
• Foundation Singers: We are the worst!:

• Stephen: Trump proves his cognitive abilities with five magical words—Person, woman, man, camera, TV
• Jonathan Mann: Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.
• Songify The News: Трамп vs. Test – Person. Woman. Man. Camera. TV.
• Lauren Mayer: The “Person Woman Man Camera TV” song
• Bruce W. Nelson: “Person, Woman, Man, Camera, TV”, the song Трамп plans to sing at the RNC
• The Lincoln Project: Трампfeld
• Seth Meyers: Трамп’s insane Chris Wallace interview; secret police in Portland
• Mark Fiore: The very stable genius
• Sarah Cooper: How to person woman man camera tv
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard reads Mary Trump’s book
• Bruce W. Nelson: Ain’t never dreamt of sleeping with Betsy DeVos
• Trevor: Трамп’s brutal interview with Chris Wallace
• Jonathan Mann: Christopher David:

• Meidas Touch: Enough is enough—Трамп gestapo attacks Navy veteran in Portland
• Really American: Cognitive Трамп
• Courtney Jaye: #DementiaDon
• Seth Meyers: Трамп obsesses over his cognitive test, deploys more secret police
• Bruce W. Nelson: People say he was born without testicles
• Stephen: Трамп sends thugs to arrest Portland protesters, threatens Chicago and New York
• Desi Lydic interviews Uncle Rudy Giuliani
• Jonathan Mann: Moms are the best
• Meidas Touch: The Dotard Трамп is a disaster
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп reads John Bolton’s book
• Stephen: Mary Trump is pretty sure The Dotard failed his cognitive test
• Really American: Gestapo Трамп

Brave New Films: How prisons abuse the mentally ill

Stephen: A crowd surfing American hero—Remembering Congressman John Lewis.

Robert Reich: Reimagining public safety.

The Late Show: The King of Caveat knights Rep. Ted Yoho.

Now This: 93-year-old convicted in one of the last Nazi trials ever.

ТрампPlague:

• Jen Houston: Trump & DeVos get an ‘F’ for protecting kids
• Trevor: The class of COVID-19—School reopening still unclear
• Seth Meyers: Трамп shares photo of himself wearing a face mask and other news
• Really American: Flunk Трамп
• Trevor: Susan Rice on working on a pandemic plan & watching Трамп trash it
• J-L Cauvin: 25 years of Mike Pence coronavirus briefings in a minute!
• The Late Show: Gamblers bet on Mike Pence sending his kids into a death trap
• Samantha Bee: Deniers, dimwits, and lies—How governors have responded to the pandemic, Pt. 1
• Samantha Bee: Deniers, dimwits, and lies—How governors have responded to the pandemic, Pt. 2
• Meidas Touch: Protect our kids
• The Daily Show: Back to school—Corona sale!
• Seth Meyers: Gov. Gavin Newsom (Josh Meyers) on California’s second coronavirus lockdown
• Randy Rainbow: Gee, Anthony Fauchi!:

• Trevor: If you don’t know, now you know—COVID-19 vs. 1918 “Spanish” flu
• Seth Meyers: Al Gore explains what COVID-19 and climate change have in common
• Don Winslow Films: #KeepYourChildHome
• Stephen: Greta Thunberg on environmental activism in the time of coronavirus
• The Late Show: Karen, please just wear a mask
• John Di Domenico: Трамп rants and hypes rebooted corona task force show!
• Trevor: Dr. Michele Harper on fighting on the front lines of the pandemic
• Priorities USA: Cases, updated.
• The Daily Show: The 1918 “Spanish” flu vs. COVID-19. Spot the difference.
• John Oliver: Corona conspiracy theories
• Seth Meyers: Трамп holds coronavirus briefing and threatens to send more secret police
• Trevor: Трамп’s “new tone” on coronavirus?
• Stephen: A desperate Трамп promises new covid strategy….

Samantha Bee offers name alternatives for racist sports teams.

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Seth Meyers: Joy Reid on White people joining the Black Lives Matter movement

Stephen: Greta Thunberg—Humanity is “setting fire to the boat” instead of facing the climate crisis.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Desi Lydic FAUXSplains “cancel culture”.

Bruce W. Nelson: Tucker Carlson’s the poster boy for meritless White privilege.

Now This: Militarized federal agents are seizing U.S. protesters in Portland

Stephen: W. Kamau Bell—America was built on White supremacy. it won’t go away until we redesign the system.

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week

The Dotard Трамп and His Barrel of Swamp Monkeys:

• Now This: Why this long time Republican rejects Трамп
• Trevor: Ivanka’s Goya support, Mary Трамп’s new book
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп mourns 7/11
• The Late Show: Attorney General Barr dodges Roger Stone question with his fortress
• Mark Fiore: Presidential clearinghouse sweepstakes!
• Stephen: Трамп supporter behind crumbling border wall segment wins $1.7B contract to build more wall
• Sarah Cooper: How to immigration policy
• John Di Domenico: Трамп rant Part 1—“I barely know Mary “Loser” Трамп & her book is full of LIES!”
• John Di Domenico: Трамп rant Part 2—SLAMS, Mary Trump: “TRUE, I DID hire someone to take SAT’s but still a liar!”
• Lauren Mayer: “(Ivanka tells me) find something new”:

• The Late Show: Goya bean can claps back at Ivanka Трамп
• Bruce W. Nelson: Take the the Трамп dumb-ass song challenge!
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп is hacked and attacked on Twitter!!!
• The Late Show: We must stop dogs from voting in the 2020 election
• The Daily Show: What was The Dotard asked about?
• Sarah Cooper: How to AIDS vaccine
• Seth Meyers: Трамп shakes up campaign as Biden’s lead grows
• The Late Show: Ivanka Трамп loves her beans!
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп hates Mary Трамп’s new book!
• Trevor: Hillary Clinton on voter suppression, The Dotard, and Roger Stone.
• Bruce W. Nelson: ObamaCare, Трамп no care at all
• The Late Show: President Трамп’s everything quits
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard reacts to #CreepyTrump

Vox: The fight for America’s 51st state, explained.

Jimmy Fallon: Stacey Abrams breaks down how to dismantle voter suppression.

Seth Meyers: Sen. Tammy Duckworth calls Tucker Carlson a gnat.

WaPo: 50 nights of protests—What you need to know about the tension in Portland.

Trevor: Biden’s poll numbers surge, but will 2020 be another 2016?

Mother Jones: Deconstructing the design and demolition of Confederate monuments.

ТрампPlague:

• Trevor: California rolls back reopening
• The Late Show: Does Трамп’s anti-Fauci ad make you doubt the doctor?
• Seth Meyers: Трамп and his allies want you to “adapt” to the coronavirus crisis
• The Daily Show: Трамп & FAUX News’s premature coronavirus celebration
• Conan: Conan gets answers about Трамп & Dr. Fauci’s relationship
• Stephen: GOP lawmakers set to skip Трамп’s convention in Jacksonville as Florida’s covid numbers spike
• Trevor: Трамп wears a mask & the White House goes after Fauci
• FoD: Ode to Masks
• Jimmy Fallon: Rep. Val Demings calls out The Dotard’s response to COVID-19
• The Late Show: Betsy DeVos stars in “The Tragic School Bus”
• Stephen: Trump’s new coronavirus plan—Threaten America’s schools, trash Dr. Fauci in the press
• Trevor: Rep. Katie Porter on when and how should schools reopen?
• John Di Domenico: The Dotard finally wears a mask & loves it!
• The Daily Show The White House blames Fauci
• Seth Meyers: The Dotard Трамп is the last person we can trust to safely reopen schools
• Conan: The CDC’s confusing COVID-19 recommendations
• Lauren Mayer: You’re never fully dressed without a mask
• The Late Show: Coughing Republican Congressman
• Samantha Bee: The dangerous spread of mask hysteria, Pt. 1
• Samantha Bee: The dangerous spread of mask hysteria, Pt. 2
• Jimmy Fallon: Трамп finally wears a mask in public
• Trevor: Should kids go back to school this fall?
• Stephen: Трамп’s secretive covid data-grab overshadows good news about a promising vaccine

Roll Call: Democrats well positioned to take the Senate.

Samantha Bee: : The Homophobic History of Blood Donation, Pt. 1

Samantha Bee: : The Homophobic History of Blood Donation, Pt. 2

Jonathan Mann: Socialism for the rich, capitalism for the poor:

Mother Jones: Why scientists are so worried about this glacier.

Dulcé Sloan: Census suppression and why it matters.

Courtney Jaye: Get lost @TuckerCarlson.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Now This: Artists protest immigrant detention with skywriting

Robert Reich: Monopoly mayhem—Corporations win, workers lose.

The Dotard Трамп and Other Racist, Sexual Preditors, and Con-men:

• Rachel Maddow: Трамп scandals pass by, lose spotlight to new Трамп scandals
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard’s cognitive test revealed
• The Late Show: Mount Rushmore Presidents leave Трамп’s 4th celebration early
• WaPo: What Mary Трамп’s book tells us about “dysfunctional” Трамп family
• Randy Rainbow: Poor deplorable troll:

• Now This: Clammer says Трамп’s climate agenda is “treason”
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп remixes the Independence Day speech
• Rachel Maddow: Rep. Adam Schiff, Трамп commuting Stone an appalling attack on rule of law
• WaPo: Трамп’s tax returns and other Supreme Court rulings, explained by Ruth Marcus
• John Di Domenico: Трамп RANTS about fake news reaction to MT. Rushmore 4th of July speech!
• J-L Cauvin: The Трамп workout
• Jordan Klepper versus Трамп supporters.
• The Late Show: A mystic caterpillar makes sense of Kayleigh McEnany’s address
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп threatens to take away casinos
• Mother Jones: The Supreme Court just told Трамп, “You’re not above the law.”
• Foundation Singers: Amazing waste:

• Rachel Maddow: William Barr “decapitates” third U.S. Attorney’s office looking at Трамп
• J-L Cauvin: Did The Dotard fake his SAT scores
• Sarah Cooper: How to cognitive
• The Late Show: Трамп ass-kissing garbage makes a horse sing
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп EXPLODES on Brett Kavanaugh after taxes case!!!

Anthony Anderson: Political monologue.

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week.

ТрампPlague:

• Chris Hayes: How Трамп’s hurricane Maria response foreshadowed his coronavirus failure
• Sarah Cooper: How to mask
• Now This: Watching FAUX News coincides with higher COVID-19 death rates
• The New York Times: How ICE helped spread the coronavirus
• WaPo: Трамп vs. the coronavirus:

• Chris Hayes: GOP is becoming a pro-virus party before our eyes
• Matthew Buechele: If people today were on the Titanic….
• Trevor: Growing up in the time of corona
• Rachel Maddow: Coronavirus follows Трамп on tour
• Now This: Bill Nye conducts a mask experiment
• Chris Hayes: The last person we should trust with safety of kids
• Vox: How humans are making pandemics more likely
• The Late Show: Mount Rushmore Presidents leave Трамп’s 4th celebration early

Roy Zimmerman: The Orange County Rolling Acres Senior Center Cannabis Club

Now This: Joe Biden and Ady Barkan on the future of long-term healthcare.

Black Lives Matter:

• Jaboukie Young-White in quarantine
• BuzzFeed: Why police reform doesn’t work in the U.S.
• AJ+: I was nearly lynched on Independence Day
• Lawrence O’Donnell: Police body cam shows George Floyd’s last word was “please”
• Anthony Anderson chats with Bubba Wallace
• Lauren Mayer: Stand Up and Act (Words Are Just the Beginning)
• The New York Times: What it means to be policed in America
• VICE News: Are the Boogaloo Bois a national security threat?

WaPo: Biden’s $700 billion economic plan, in 4 minutes.

The Late Show: Aliens discover racist Tucker Carlson.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Biden	Trump
> 99.9% probability of winning	< 0.1% probability of winning
Mean of 375 electoral votes	Mean of 163 electoral votes

My previous analysis of the Biden-Trump head-to-head polls was way back in early June, in part because the dynamics of the race didn’t seem to be changing much. Trump is slowly slipping in the polls, as the COVID-19 epidemic worsens in the U.S., as Trump resists movements for police reforms, and as we learn bizarre things like Trump not responding to Russian bounties on American soldiers in Afghanistan.

After 100,000 simulated elections, the results are not surprising. Biden wins 100,000 times and Trump wins 0 times. Biden received (on average) 375 to Trump’s 163 electoral votes. In an election held now, Biden would have a greater than 99.9% probability of winning and Trump would have a less than 0.1% probability of winning.

Basically, if the election was today, Biden would win in a landslide.

Trump has a serious electoral college problem. Many swing states are now trending strongly for Biden, including Florida, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Other swing states are pretty solidly in Biden’s camp, like Arizona, Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. Even Ohio trends slightly toward Biden. Iowa and Texas are in toss-up territory, but leaning slightly toward Trump. Remarkable!

The trend over the past couple months are clear from from a series of elections simulated every seven days using polls from Jul 2019 to the present, and, at each point in time, including polls from the preceding month (FAQ).

There is, of course, plenty of time to turn this trend around. Still, Trump’s bizarre and impulsive behavior will make doing that very difficult.

[Read more…]

Now This: Sen. Mark Warner on cleaning up national parks.

BuzzFeed: How Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos will make 1 million dollars during this 7 minute video.

The Dotard Трамп and Other Immorals, Incompetents, and Incontenents:

• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп was offered Bounty paper towels from Putin
• Songify The News: Трамп v. Ramp
• Lauren Mayer: Трамп will go down!
• Now This: Senator Tammy Duckworth slams Трамп over Russian bounties
• Now This: The Dotard’s guide to American history:

• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп calls with world leaders leaked!
• Robert Reich: Трамп’s 2020 election strategy in 25 steps
• Samantha Bee: Трамп attacks our nation’s free press, part 1
• Samantha Bee: Трамп’s ongoing attacks on our nation’s free press, part 2
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп denies VERY STRONGLY knowing Ghislaine Maxwell
• Mark Fiore: Make fireworks great again!
• John Di Domenico: Трамп’s last minute, hastily put together, totally unrehearsed “Happy Canada Day” speech.
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard watches Hamilton on Disney+
• Now This: Veterans call out Трамп over paid killings of U.S. troops

Samantha Bee: How to save the Postal Service

Now This: The fight to expand vote-by-mail before election day.

Trevor: The CIA is hiring.

Black Lives Matter:

• Full Frontal: Mike Brown learns how to do the uprising thing.
• WaPo: How to be anti-racist—It’s more than books, quotes and Blackout Tuesday
• Vox: A brief history of police impunity in Black deaths
• The Daily Show: Educate your White friends with Blacklexa
• Jonathan Mann: Karen’s got a gun.
• New York Times: Why some Black Americans need guns to feel safe in their country
• The Daily Show: White people unnecessarily calling the cops on Black people
• WaPo: “Enough is enough”—Seattle police clear protest zone after mayor’s executive order

Hasan Minhaj : Why doing taxes is so hard.

The Foundation Singers: NOVEMBER!

ТрампPlague:

• John Oliver: Coronavirus IX—Evictions
• Sky News: “Heading to pure hell”—Texas counts the cost of lifting coronavirus lockdown early
• Randy Rainbow: COVER YOUR FREAKIN’ FACE!:

• John Di Domenico: Трамп RANTS about all the names for Covid, then announces he is going to sue the Kung flu!
• Roll Call: How to stay safe this July 4th
• Now This: Biden, “Трамп doesn’t understand the basic facts of the COVID-19 crisis”
• Jonathan Mann: Masks, I think they work (Sean Hannity remix)
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп’s Mt Rushmore speech on July 3rd (preview)

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Now This: Who is Ron DeSantis? (Narrated by Yedoye Travis)

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Hasan Minaj and AOC discuss the Green New Deal

Stephen and Jon: Joe Biden, humbled by grief, may be the leader America needs right now

ТрампPlague:

• Stephen: Трамп stoked a culture war over masks that put everyone at risk…even the Secret Service
• Bruce W. Nelson: The woodtick song (inspired by Mike Pence)
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп delivers Arizona church rally
• Trevor: U.S. hits all-time high in coronavirus cases
• Bill Maher: Live free or die hard
• Lauren Mayer: Empty chairs at empty eallies
• Jonathan Mann: Please wear a mask
• The Late Show: Jesus wants nothing to do with Mike Pence’s policies
• John Oliver: Coronavirus VIII—Prisons and jails
• Reflect: Трамп threatens rule of law by firing New York District Attorney Geoffrey Berman
• Stephen: Трамп’s risky rally tour touches down in covid hotspot Arizona as cases spike in 29 states
• Jimmy Fallon: Mike Pence refuses to wear mask at coronavirus briefing
• Seth Meyers: Trump amps up the racism because he’s failed at everything else
• Trevor: Трамп’s Tulsa rally flop
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп DESTROYS Brad Parscale and Ron DeSantis (LEAKED CALL)
• The Late Show: Rep. Louie Gohmert gets douchebusted
• Samantha Bee: Black trans lives matter
• Samantha Bee: Violence against trans women of color
• James Corden: Trump takes Tulsa, dominates drinking water
• Stephen: As Arizona covid cases spike, Трамп delivers speech to packed crowd of maskless student supporters
• Jimmy Dore: Chris Christie has cure for COVID-19!
• The Late Show: Oklahoma! Where the crowd turnout was really lame:

• Stephen: Трамп does an epic walk of shame after TikTok users and K-Pop fans troll his Tulsa rally
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп meets the President of Poland
• Sarah Cooper: How to empty seat
• Courtney Jaye: Boogie on Down to the Rally (Pt. 1)
• Courtney Jaye: Boogie on Down to the Rally (Pt. 2)
• Robert Reich: America is not exceptional
• The Late Show: Michael Bolton sings John Bolton’s book
• Bruce W. Nelson: Empty Seats, empty heart, empty head
• Jimmy Fallon: Трамп furious over lack of turnout at Tulsa rally
• The Late Show: Time for “Answer Plinko” with The Dotard
• Stephen and Jon: Let’s Address The President As #SwampyDon
• The Daily Show: The Dotard Трамп—Never not joking
• Courtney Jaye: The Ballad of Billy Barr
• Bruce W. Nelson: Tulsa
• Stephen: Melania Трамп rates The Dotard’s performance at his Tulsa rally debacle
• The Late Show: The Dotard’s post-rally walk of shame
• Seth Meyers: Трамп’s Tulsa rally was a flop
• John Di Domenico: Трамп RANTS about his Tulsa Rally in his Father’s Day Message
• Sarah Cooper: How to second term
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard goes after KPOP fans
• Stephen and Jon: Advice from 1918 and thoughts on Трамп’s handling of the coronavirus

Hasan Minhaj: We’re doing elections wrong

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses

Black Lives Matter:

• Trevor: Axed Statues and NASCAR racism
• Mark Fiore: Preserve the racist statues
• AJ+: Can Black voters swing the 2020 election?
• Trevor and Jon talk Confederate Statues, COVID-19 & “Irresistible”
• Vox: Why America’s police look like soldiers
• The Late Show: A message from Mrs. Butterworth
• Roy Zimmerman: DWB (Driving While Black):

• The Chicks: #MARCHMARCH
• Trevor: Noose in Bubba Wallace’s garage was not a hate crime
• The New York Times: Philadelphia police violated their own guidelines, here’s how
• Vox: What “defund the police” really means
• Hasan Minaj and Keith Ellison on justice for George Floyd
• Trevor: Bubba Wallace on the noose incident & bringing BLM into NASCAR

WaPo: House passes bill to make D.C. the 51st state.

Samantha Bee: Tarana Burke on the connection between police brutality and sexual violence

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Samantha Bee: The Republican campaign of voter suppression, Pt. 1.

Samantha Bee: The Republican campaign of voter suppression, Pt. 2.

Robert Reich: Seven ways 2020 has exposed America

SCOTUS Surprises:

• Roll Call: “I cried tears of joy”—Democratic leaders react to DACA decision
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп complains about DACA and Tulsa!
• Trevor: Supreme Court outlaws LGBTQ workplace discrimination
• Now This: What the Supreme Court’s DACA ruling means
• Roll Call: Will the Supreme Court’s landmark LGBTQ decision impact health care discrimination rules?
• Seth Meyers: Supreme Court rules on LGBTQ rights, police reform gains steam
• Trevor: SCOTUS protects dreamers

The Daily Show: FAUX News’s law & order experts

Bruce W. Nelson: I know a wrestling coach who’ll kick your butt (a Ted Cruz song).

ТрампPlague:

• Seth Meyers: Sen. Bernie Sanders is doing everything to prevent Трамп’s reelection
• Bruce W. Nelson: The immutable, unsuitable Dotard Трамп
• Trevor: Kimberly Jones speaking out about Black experiences in America
• The Late Show: Watch your step, Mr. Pres’nit
• Foundation Singers: “Stay home Oklahoma” with Oklahoman Brad Pitt:

• Sarah Cooper: How to more cases than anybody in the world
• Hasan Minhaj: In coronavirus world, is college still worth it?
• John Di Domenico: Трамп wishes himself happy birthday, because NO ONE can do it better
• Stephen: Трамп’s bone spurs act up at West Point, denying the President a graceful exit
• Jimmy Kimmel: Трампiversary, Paw Patrol outrage and Pence sells RVs!
• Vox: Why all Americans should honor Juneteenth
• The Late Show: Sneak peek at Mary L. Трамп’s tell-all book
• Bill Maher: America strong
• Lars Nelson and Bruce W. Nelson: Donnie don’t care about Tulsa
• John Di Domenico: Трамп’s ramp rant tweet verbatim
• Trevor: Bolton book bombshells—Трамп is corrupt and weird as fuck
• Seth Meyers: Bolton tries to cash in with Трамп Book
• Mark Fiore: MAGAmmunity
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп rally in Tulsa
• Stephen: Leaked excerpts from Bolton’s book detail Трамп’s pattern of corruption and obstruction
• The Late Show: The Dotard competes in the 2020 West Point Ramp Stakes
• Jimmy Kimmel: Трамп struggles at West Point and celebrates 74th birthday
• Seth Meyers: Трамп’s coronavirus cover-up and Bolton’s tell-all book
• Bruce W. Nelson: Трамп’s West Point water hazard
• Now This: Joe Biden slams Трамп’s coronavirus response as deaths exceed WWI
• Jimmy Fallon: Трамп is trying to block the publication of John Bolton’s tell-all book
• Stephen: Трамп can’t spin his choice of Juneteenth for Tulsa rally, pushes it back a day
• John Di Domenico: Трамп announces the theme for Tulsa rally
• The Late Show: John Bolton’s mustache thanks Трамп for making him rich
• Lauren Mayer: It takes a woman
• Courtney Jaye: Happy Obama day to you:

  happy @BarackObama day, president bunker boy @realDonaldTrump pic.twitter.com/lNDTs2lXzn

  — Courtney Jaye (@TropicaliJaye) June 14, 2020

• Jimmy Kimmel: Трамп fends off tell-all books, supporters fend off masks
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп addresses the West Point ramp with Scott Pelley of 60 Minutes
• Lars Nelson and Bruce W. Nelson: Thrilled to death
• The Daily Show: Gun masks—The only mask that’s also a gun

Trevor: Stacey Abrams—“Our time is now” and ending voter suppression.

Black Lives Matter:

• Trevor: Трамп signs police reform while praising the police
• The Daily Show: 9-1-1 for White people emergencies
• Now This: Why COVID-19 hits Black and Latinx communities hardest
• Bill Maher with Malcolm Nance and Andrew Sullivan: What monuments should we tear down?
• Stephen: Трамп’s tiny police reform order doesn’t honor his pledge to families of police shooting victims
• Trevor: Why did Rayshard Brooks have to lose his life?
• Seth Meyers: Sen. Bernie Sanders Wants police officers to be held accountable for their actions
• Now This: What “defund the police” really means
• The Daily Show: A guide for White people Supporting Black lives matter
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп issues police reform executive order
• Trevor: Civilian militias, Black band-aids & the NFL’s apology
• Now This: Myths about Confederate monuments
• Susan Rice: Susan Rice’s advice for Joe Biden.
• The Daily Show: What is Juneteenth? Dulcé Sloan explains
• Late Night: Amber Ruffin answers frequently asked Juneteenth questions

Full Frontal: Meet reference man.

Foundation Singers: “Farewell far-right!” Hannity and Murdoch meet Billy Joel:

John Oliver: Facial recognition.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Robert Reich: Who’s really looting America?

ТрампPlague:

• Courtney Jaye: Babygate
• Bruce W. Nelson: Cows, Fences and The Dotard Трамп
• The Late Show: Ghosts of Confederate soldiers have new military base name ideas for Трамп
• Bill Maher: New Rule—Democracy’s safe word
• Bruce W. Nelson: Put your mask on!
• Trevor: Coronavirus is on the upswing
• Lars von Retriever: MetalTrump–Dig (Mudvayne)
• Bruce W. Nelson: Bunker Room
• Lauren Mayer: Ivanka is the new Karen:

• Courtney Jaye: STFU, Ivanka
• The Late Show: Platitudes generator can’t handle Ivanka Trump’s commencement speech
• Bruce W. Nelson: Babygate!
• Seth Meyers: Трамп defends the Confederacy, complains about polls
• Robert Reich: The deadly FAUX News-Трамп syndicate
• Jimmy Kimmel: Трамп’s back out, COVID sex guidelines & NASCAR flag ban
• Courtney Jaye: Fuck this fucking president
• Bruce W. Nelson: Bunker fevor

Courtney Jaye: FAUX News is the devil

The Night the Lights Went Out on Georgia’s Voters:

• Stephen: Voter suppression plagues Georgia’s primary
• Trevor: Georgia’s disastrous primary
• The Late Show: Think you can get past Georgia’s voter suppression boss?

Trevor: Joe Biden on healing the country and acknowledging weaknesses

Black Lives Matter:

• Stephen: Jon Batiste on leading a musical march for justice
• Trevor: Confederate symbols are coming down
• Jonathan Mann: Jackboot
• Samantha Bee: America’s long-standing tradition of police brutality
• Daily Show: FAUX News is suddenly anti-protest
• The Late Show: A special message from Antifa
• Randy Rainbow: The Bunker Boy:

• Seth Meyers: Trump sinks in polls as protesters call to defund the police
• Trevor: Трамп doubles down and Democrats respond to protests
• Stephen: Megan Rapinoe’s parents taught her that you need to help people, period.
• Courtney Jaye: Bunker Boy
• Seth Meyers: Трамп and the police lash out at the Black Lives Matter protests
• Trevor: Joe Biden on reforming the police
• Jimmy Kimmel: Трамп’s “Army,” Mitt Romney marches & Americans come together
• Stephen: Emmanuel Acho—Being anti-racist means calling out racism wherever you see it
• Jonathan Mann: The Capitol Hill autonomous zone
• John Oliver: Police
• Sarah Cooper: How to bunker
• Trevor: Cops meet police brutality protests with more police brutality
• Stephen: Trump openly insults Black Americans by scheduling MAGA rally on Juneteenth in Tulsa, OK
• Jimmy Kimmel: Трамп tweets conspiracy theory & cousin Micki’s words of hope
• The USA Singers: The Ballad of George Floyd:

• Samantha Bee: It’s time to defund the Police
• Trevor: America protests police brutality and systemic racism
• The Late Show: Beware…The elderly Antifa!
• Mark Fiore: Defunding everything but the police
• Stephen: Calls to defund the police intensify while Трамп attacks Buffalo man assaulted by the cops
• Trevor: What should we do about police unions?

Hasan Minhaj: The news industry is being destroyed

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Trevor: A look back at the legacy of stop-and-frisk in New York City.

ТрампPlague:

• John Oliver: Voting by mail
• The Late Show: Melania needs a new smile machine
• Now This: Trump waives environmental protection regulations
• Bruce W. Nelson: The legend of slimy Don and the wreck of the ship “America”
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп has a new doctor for America
• The Late Show: New Jersey makes a bid for Трамп’s relocated convention
• Jimmy Kimmel: Трамп attacks Mattis and builds White House fence
• Bill Maher with Rosa Brooks and Michael Steele: Blood in the streets next November?
• Vox: Why Covid-19 is more AND less deadly than we knew
• Sarah Cooper: Трамп on how to bible
• John Di Domenico: Трамп demands voter fraud, ballot harvesting & children be OUTLAWED!
• Bruce W. Nelson: If Трамп were a ship he would be the Titantic
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп responds to Obama’s speech

The Daily Show: Eight times America surprised Trevor.

The Dotard Fiddled While America Burned:

• Seth Meyers: Mattis Denounces Трамп, Cotton calls for deploying troops against protests
• Late Night: Pained historical comparison cowboy
• Conan: Van Jones on George Floyd, police brutality, & what comes next
• Bill Maher: Is America great enough for you yet?
• NY Times: We’re sick and tired—Voices From Minneapolis protests
• The Late Show: The gospel according to Don
• College Humor: Tide CEO says soap isn’t medicine
• Late Night: Amber Ruffin’s experience with the police—Skipping in Chicago
• Now This: Michigan Sheriff joins protesters marching for George Floyd
• James Corden: Malcolm Corden teaches Трамп how to hold the bible
• J-L Cauvin: Трамп promises to dominate Jesus Christ
• Foundation Singers: HELL! Трамп, George Floyd & protesters:

• Stephen: After days of unrest, America needs moral leadership. Instead, we have The Dotard Трамп
• Jimmy Kimmel: Jimmy Kimmel on protests, Трамп’s bible photo op & white privilege
• Seth Meyers: Michael Che talks about the Black Lives Matter protests
• Hasan Minhaj: How coronavirus broke America
• Conan: Statement on the killing of George Floyd
• Stephen: Trump sics military on peaceful protesters and clergy to make way for bible photo op
• The Late Show: God photo-bombs Трамп
• Late Night: Amber Ruffin’s experience with the police—When I tell you to stop, you stop
• WaPo: Here’s how to identify law enforcement officers and National Guard units
• The Daily Show: Experience the upheaval of the 1960’s all over again
• Bruce W. Nelson: Bunker bitch
• Stephen: America’s citizens will not be silenced by government intimidation
• James Corden and Reggie Watts: It’s time for change in the US
• Seth Meyers: Трамп threatens to deploy military in response to protests
• Lauren Mayer: I’m a Jew (but I know that ain’t Christian), bible photo-op edition:

• Jonathan Mann: I am anti fascist and the President says i’m a terrorist
• Jimmy Kimmel: Trump fumes over bunker & bible photo op
• Stephen: Chris Hayes—Трамп’s “Enemy of the people” rhetoric has put the press in danger
• Conan: W. Kamau Bell on #BlackLivesMatter & the importance of showing your work
• Late Night: Amber Ruffin’s experience with the police—Driving as a teen
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard finally addresses the protests
• Stephen: Sen. Cory Booker talks race, empathy, and his legislation to stop abuses of power by law enforcement
• Mark Fiore: Operation Photo Op
• Jimmy Kimmel: Wanda Sykes on Black Lives Matter, quarantine with her twins & Twitter feud with Scott Baio
• The Late Show: Трамп’s speech has RoboCop thinking about a career change
• J-L Cauvin: Bunker Трамп addresses the nation
• Stephen: Chris Hayes—You couldn’t find a worst person for this moment
• Late Night: Amber Ruffin’s experience with the police—It’s a new day
• Jimmy Kimmel: Shaquille O’Neal on George Floyd, discrimination & talking to his sons
• Hasan Minhaj: We cannot stay silent about George Floyd:

• Seth Meyers: Трамп’s deranged response to the George Floyd protests
• Jonathan Mann: Did you hear what happened in Boston
• Stephen: Shockingly brutal police tactics deployed nationwide as protests unite Americans of all backgrounds
• Bill Maher: The blue wall of silence
• WaPo editorial: The rot in policing has spread beyond just ‘a few bad apples’
• The Late Show: GOP Senators speak out after Трамп gasses U.S. citizens
• Vox: Protests aren’t what they look like on TV
• James Corden: Dr. Michael Eric Dyson discusses civil unrest across America
• Trevor breaks down reparations & white privilege
• J-L Cauvin: The Dotard Трамп has the strongest sympathy
• Bruce W. Nelson: Трамп and his bunker, and the Devil and Hell
• Stephen: Dictator fanboy Трамп gets his wish as military vehicles roll down the streets of Washington
• Late Night: Amber’s minute of fury—Police violence against peaceful protestors

Wyatt Cenac: Segregation problems and school integration

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Biden	Trump
> 99.9% probability of winning	< 0.1% probability of winning
Mean of 354 electoral votes	Mean of 184 electoral votes

It has been mid-May since I published one of these analyses. back then, Biden led Trump in the electoral college with a mean of 348 to 190 votes.

Now, with over 40 new polls, Biden still leads. In the 10,000 simulated elections, Biden won all 10,000 times. Biden received (on average) 354 to Trump’s 184 electoral votes. If the election was today, we would expect Biden to win with a greater than 99.9% probability.

Here is the distribution of electoral votes [FAQ] from the simulations:
[Read more…]