HorsesAss.Org

It sure is tempting to pour through the numbers from last week’s primary for tell-tale signs of what’s to come in November’s general, but as others have pointed out, past primaries have not proven to be predictive, and it’s impossible to compare our new pick-a-party primary with results from previous open ballots.

But Jim Camden makes some interesting observations in today’s Spokesman-Review by not just exploring the vote totals in Spokane County, but by also looking at the undervotes… those ballots in which voters do not mark any preference in a particular race.

Undervotes are the reason that vote totals for different contests in the same city, county or legislative district don’t match, because nobody ever gets through an election without somebody refusing to vote for him. In most elections, the farther down the ballot one goes, the more likely for casual voters to say, “Forget it!” and stop marking the ballot.

But not in this year’s Spokane County’s Republican primary.

The race with the fewest GOP undervotes was the sheriff’s primary between Ozzie Knezovich and Cal Walker. Of the 56,510 voters who marked a Republican ballot, only 1,794, or 3 percent, left the sheriff’s race blank.

That’s pretty amazing, considering it was second from the bottom of the partisan ballot. By comparison, one voter in 10 didn’t mark a choice in the U.S. Senate race at the top of the ballot featuring Mike McGavick and five other choices, and one in six didn’t fill in the circle for the next race, Cathy McMorris’ uncontested House primary.

Comparing the House primary, which was about average for undervotes, to the sheriff’s primary, there was a steady drop-off in votes throughout the cities of Spokane and Spokane Valley and heavy drop-offs in a few traditionally Democratic precincts and in the rural southern precincts of the county. In only a few isolated precincts were there more undervotes in the House race than the sheriff’s race.

OK, so the sheriff’s primary was one of the hottest in the county

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Whatever you do, don’t tune in to “The David Goldstein Show” tonight on 710-KIRO… because I won’t be on. However, feel free tune in to KIRO for the Seahawks game and post-game coverage.

It’s a shame really. There is so much to talk about.

I just had my home heating oil tank topped off with 242 gallons of B30 biodiesel. With the recent pre-election plunge in oil prices, it ended up costing me a few pennies a gallon more than regular oil, but it’s worth the small premium to cut emissions and shift some of my energy consumption to renewable fuels. (For most of the past year, biodiesel has actually been cheaper.)

I know that’s not much of a personal sacrifice, but it’s a start. If you’re interested in shifting to biodiesel, check out Laurelhurst Oil. They also deliver B99, but considering how little oil I use (I last filled my tank in December of 2004) I couldn’t financially justify the $285.00 to put a compatible pump on my furnace. Perhaps when my finances improve.

On Thursday afternoon I put a challenge to my readers: I asked for 34 new donors to Darcy Burner and Peter Goldmark via my Act Blue page by the end of quarter fundraising deadline midnight tonight.

I’m pleased to report that we surpassed that target in slightly less than 48 hours.

Over the past two days 35 of you generously donated $3,746, bringing HA’s total since March to an amazing 201 donors and $14,122.38. To put that in perspective, the folks at ActBlue suggest that over the course of a year, a typical blog might expect to raise about one dollar per average daily visit. Together, we’ve already raised over six times that. Wow.

Of course, just because we’ve met our target doesn’t mean we have to stop giving. Right now we’re less than $878.00 shy of the $15,000 mark, and it would be awfully gratifying to reach that plateau by midnight. So to those of you who haven’t yet given, I ask that you please give now. And to those of you who have already given, I thank you so much for your generosity and support.

UPDATE:
Final tally: 204 donors for a total of $14,352.38 raised thus far. Thank you all.

In his new book, “State of Denial,” Bob Woodward describes a White House in disarray, and a deteriorating war in Iraq that is going much worse than the Bush Administration portrays it. But there was also this tidbit I found interesting:

The book also reported that then-CIA Director George Tenet and his counterterrorism chief, Cofer Black, grew so concerned about a possible al-Qaida attack in summer 2001 that they abruptly decided to drive straight to the White House to get high-level attention.

Tenet called Rice, then the national-security adviser, from his car to ask to see her in hopes that the surprise appearance would make an impression.

But the meeting on July 10, 2001, left Tenet and Black frustrated and feeling brushed off, Woodward reported. Rice, they believed, did not feel the same sense of urgency about the threat and was content to wait for a policy review.

Never before as an administration been so wrong on so many things with such devastating consequences. This is what comes from governing on belief rather than knowledge.

Tonight, KIRO-TV reported on the unfortunate predicament of community of retired ministers, missionaries and lay people who Pastor Joe Fuiten is seeking to evict from the Cedar Springs Bible Camp. This is a story I first broke a couple weeks ago, but have reluctantly sat on since… not because I don’t want to stick it to Pastor Fuiten, but because the residents asked me to hold my fire so that they would have the opportunity to work out a mutually acceptable lease. I even had the residents scheduled to come on KIRO radio with me, but cancelled their appearance after Fuiten’s attorney requested a truce.

Twice the residents extended the deadline, and twice Pastor Fuiten refused to negotiate in good faith. And so today the media truce was canceled, leaving me free to post.

Indeed, rather than negotiating a fair lease, Pastor Fuiten spent much of the past few weeks intimidating and disparaging the residents, threatening a local community newspaper with a libel suit, and personally telling one retired minister that his neighbors were conspiring with “Christian-hating Jews and homosexuals.” (I suppose he was referring to me.)

Of course, Pastor Fuiten has a documented history of duplicity and hate speech. As I’ve previously written, Pastor Fuiten was not only one of the most vocal backers of Referendum 65’s failed effort to repeal our state’s gay civil right’s legislation, he knowingly lied about R-65 to his parishioners. So it comes as no surprise that Pastor Fuiten and his spokespeople would lie about the lease dispute at Cedar Springs.

On KIRO-TV, Fuiten representative Ben Waggoner tried to deflect attention from the Pastor’s role in the controversy, claiming that he was “just one board member” out of many. But that’s not how Pastor Fuiten described his takeover of the camp in a sermon delivered at his local mega-church, the Cedar Park Assembly of God:

One of these days I hope to get in some fields on our north property and to develop the ballfields we already have into first-rate, all-weather surfaced fields. That will take a pile of money, but I personally think it is money well spent.

We are going to get a chance to do some of this work up in the Lake Stevens area. We were looking for land up there, and had found some which we pictured for you in the bulletin, when we were approached by Cedar Springs Camp about hooking up with them on their 153 acre campground just a mile down the road from where we wanted to buy. We have come to an agreement with them. Our board will become the official board of the camp. With that change, we will continue to strengthen the camping program while at the same time accommodating the development of day camps, youth sports, a school, our existing church and more.

And one of the ways he’s going to accommodate all that development is apparently by kicking retirees out of their houses.

I’ll have much more on this story as court documents are filed and become public record… unless of course, Pastor Fuiten changes his mind and chooses to do the right thing. I also intend to delve deeply into Pastor Fuiten’s close relationship with Mike McGavick, on whose exploratory committee he served, and for whom he continues to be a close advisor.

Sound like a threat? Damn right. And don’t think I don’t have the goods to carry it out.

Yesterday I challenged you, my readers, to help me reach a target of 34 new donors to Darcy Burner and Peter Goldmark via my Act Blue page by midnight Saturday, and the response so far has been both astounding and disappointing. Astounding, because in the past 24 hours we have raised an additional $2,865.00. Disappointing, because that money has come from only thirteen of you.

I’m now 21 donors shy of my goal of 200, with less than a day and a half to go, and all I’m asking from you is as little as $5.00 if that’s all you can afford. Every new donation is a sign of grassroots support, and helps the candidates raise money and attract independent expenditures during the crucial last weeks of the campaign. I wish money didn’t play such a crucial role in politics, but it does. So if you care about helping the Democrats take control of the House and bring accountability back to the other Washington, then please give now.

Thank you all for your tremendous support.

Sen. Maria Cantwell was one of 34 US Senators to vote against a detainee bill that suspends habeas corpus and grants President Bush the power to reinterpret the Geneva Conventions as he sees fit. Here is her statement on her vote:

“We must win the war on terrorism by being smarter and tougher, and by passing legislation that makes our troops more secure. I believe the bill passed by the Senate Armed Services Committee earlier this month met this test. The legislation voted on tonight still has critical flaws.

“The legislation voted on by the full Senate will permit the Bush Administration to undermine the Geneva Conventions, broadly expand the definition of enemy combatants, allow for coerced and secret evidence and abandon habeus corpus. For more than three years, our ability to try terrorists has been hampered by the Administration’s refusal to abide by U.S. law. The provisions in this legislation may be once again deemed unconstitutional by the U.S. Supreme Court, only further delaying our goal of bringing the terrorists to justice.

“Short-term political goals should never come ahead of America’s long-term success in the war on terror.”

Meanwhile, Republican challenger Mike McGavick says he would have voted for the bill:

“Very simply, this legislation is a necessary piece of the long term struggle against radical Islamic terrorism. Our security depends on our military and intelligence communities possessing intelligence gathering tools, and we are in need of a system to try our terrorist enemies.”

On both moral and pragmatic grounds, Sen. Cantwell defends the basic right to habeas corpus, and opposes the use of torture. McGavick disagrees.

Sometimes, politicians are faced with simple choices. And sometimes, so are voters.

Looks like the Democrats just picked up a House seat:

Congressman Mark Foley (R-FL) planned to resign today, hours after ABC questioned him about sexually explicit internet messages with current and former Congressional pages under the age of 18.

Hours earlier, ABC News had read excerpts of instant messages provided by former pages who said the congressman, under the AOL Instant Messenger screen name Maf54, made repeated references to sexual organs and acts.

Hmm. Not exactly the kind of behavior one expects from the chairman of the House Caucus on Missing and Exploited Children. In the words of, um… Rep. Mark Foley:

“For too long our nation has tracked library books better than it has sex offenders. That day is coming to an end,”

It certainly is.

It is unclear whether Florida law allows the GOP to replace Foley on the ballot. In any case, Democratic challenger Tim Mahoney has been running a credible campaign in a district that tilts Republican, but not irreversibly. Thus I think you’d have to say that FL-16 has instantly shifted from a longshot, to a near certain Democratic pick-up.

UPDATE:
“I am deeply sorry and I apologize for letting down my family and the people of Florida I have had the privilege to represent,” Rep. Foley said in a statement.

Hmm. Well, if he really is “deeply sorry,” I’ve got a suggestion for how he can show it.

Rep. Foley is currently sitting on a $2.8 million war chest, much of it left over from a dashed US Senate bid. Typically, that money might go to the NRCC’s campaign coffers, to help elect other Republicans.

But if Rep. Foley really wants to show some contrition, he should donate it all to the Center for Missing and Exploited Children.

We all have personal failings of one sort or another. At least this way Rep. Foley might achieve some good out of his. So send him an email and encourage Rep. Foley to do the right thing. For the kids.

UPDATE, UPDATE:
ABC News has released a transcript of Rep. Foley’s instant messaging log. Oh my. Shades of Jim West.

UPDATE, UPDATE, UPDATE:
It turns out that the Republican House leadership knew almost a year ago that Foley was having sex talk with underage pages, and yet they let him remain as chairman of the House Caucus on Missing and Exploited Children.

The page worked for Rep. Rodney Alexander, R-La., who said Friday that when he learned of the e-mail exchanges 10 to 11 months ago, he called the teen’s parents. Alexander told the Ruston Daily Leader, “We also notified the House leadership that there might be a potential problem,” a reference to the House’s Republican leaders.

Um… when we talk about the lack of oversight in Congress, this is the type of shit we’re referring to. The GOP leadership has totally lost its compass.

UPDATE, UPDATE, UPDATE, UPDATE:
This has just become a HUGE scandal. Expect to see calls for Speaker Hastert’s resignation. This is inexcusable.

From the AP:

“Five years after 9/11, the worst attack on the American homeland in our history, Democrats offer nothing but criticism and obstruction and endless second-guessing,” Bush said at a GOP fundraiser.

“The party of FDR and the party of Harry Truman has become the party of cut and run,”

Asshole.

“A prince, whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.”

Courtesy of David Neiwert.

“A prince, whose character is thus marked by every act which may define a tyrant, is unfit to be the ruler of a free people.”

I am planning the violent overthrow of the United States government. There, I said it.

Decide for yourself whether I’m serious or not, or whether I’m just trying to make some rhetorical point. But it no longer matters what you think or what I think, or what a grand jury or a prosecutor or a court of law might think. All that matters now is what the President of the United States thinks.

If President Bush believes that I am an enemy combatant — or merely chooses to label me as such — that is what I am. I can be held without charge. I can have my rights to habeas corpus suspended. I can be tortured.

That is the America we now live in… an America where a single man can determine who does or does not deserve the protections of our constitution. An America were some people are now presumed guilty until proven innocent.

Today, 65 US Senators disgracefully voted to give President Bush the power to abrogate the rule of law — the kind of powers normally reserved for dictators — and while Washingtonians should be proud that our two Senators, Maria Cantwell and Patty Murray, were not amongst them, we should also be ashamed to live in a nation that claims to champion liberty and freedom, yet so easily jettisons its values when they become inconvenient. Like the Japanese internment and the Alien and Sedition Acts, this will go down in American history as one of those black marks that future generations will shake their heads at in disbelief.

But if there is a lesson to be learned by the current generation, it is that we not only need more Democrats in Congress, we need better Democrats.

UPDATE:
Okay, so let’s be clear:

SEC. 7. HABEAS CORPUS MATTERS
(e)(1) No court, justice, or judge shall have jurisdiction to hear or consider an application for a writ of habeas corpus filed by or on behalf of an alien detained by the United States who has been determined by the United States to have been properly detained as an enemy combatant or is awaiting such determination.

So the President says I’m an alien enemy combatant, or is in the process of determining if I am an alien enemy combatant. I could easily challenge the “alien” determination in a court of law, that is… assuming the court would hear a writ of habeas corpus, but they won’t, because the President has already determined that I am being properly detained under SEC.7(e)(1).

As of 4PM today, 166 donors have contributed to either Darcy Burner or Peter Goldmark (or both) via my Act Blue page since I first started promoting it in March. That’s 139 contributions for Darcy and 93 contributions for Peter, for a total of $10,376.38 raised.

I thank you all for your tremendous generosity. But it’s not enough.

Both Darcy and Peter are in competitive races where dollars can translate into votes, and as we head into the homestretch it’s up to all of us to do whatever we can to help the Democrats retake control of the House and bring some accountability back to the other Washington. For some of you, that means working on the campaigns. For others, that means opening your wallets.

So here’s the challenge. The final quarterly reporting period before the November election ends Saturday at midnight, and I’m looking for at least 34 new donors between now and then to bring us at or over the 200 donor mark. I’m not asking for a lot of money — only $5.00 per candidate if that’s all you can afford. Remember, the number of individual contributions is seen as a measure of grassroots support, and will definitely influence where the big money flows during the final few weeks of the campaign.

So if you haven’t given yet, please give now. And if you’ve already given, then pat yourself on the back… and give some more.

Why is Pastor Joe Fuiten scrubbing the pages of his megachurch website?

I know. He knows. And unless he does the right thing — and soon — you’ll know too.

UPDATE:
For example:

We now know that the old secular idea that religion is not relevant to the public square wasn’t true. We now have to evaluate religion by its fruit. What kind of results does that religion produce? If one of the fruits of Islam is the rubble of the World Trade Center then we need to get some answers about this religion.

Americans need to hold Islam accountable for what it actually produces in the world. Americans need to hold me accountable for what results my religion produces in the world. Just as we have the right to hold Islam accountable for its results, so I expect to be held accountable for Cedar Park’s results in our community.

Oh. The link to the sermon doesn’t work? Well, amen for Google’s cache.

UPDATE, UPDATE:
Brian from Cedar Park just sent me the following email:

Hey, Goldy. Just thought I’d let you know that we just posted a completely new website (check it out

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