HorsesAss.Org

Whatever.

Danny Westneat’s got it exactly right in talking about British Columbia’s continued success at building mass transit, versus our Sisyphean struggles:

In the past decade, British Columbians have voted directly on transit issues exactly zero times.

Meanwhile, we here in Puget Sound have voted on transportation issues 12 times. Twice on light rail, five times on monorail, twice on gas taxes and three times on Tim Eyman transportation initiatives.

Anyone else sick of all this voting?

I know I am. And judging from the decisive defeat of I-912 (yes… 7 points is decisive) coming from an electorate with a history of supporting anti-tax measures, it looks like a lot of other people are getting sick of all this voting too.

WA’s highest paid politician, Tim Eyman, promises to come back next year with yet another $30 car tabs initiative, which like I-776 before it, is mostly intended to undermine light rail. I suppose there might be a place for direct democracy, but constantly subjecting complex transportation projects to vote after vote — even while under construction — is a surefire recipe for gridlock, both political and otherwise.

So I’m with Danny:

How about we butt out now and see if government can make work what we’ve got?

Yes watchdog ’em, audit ’em, make ’em do it right.

But enough with the people power. It may make us the envy of the world, but when it comes to transportation, we’re only the laughingstock of Canada.

Hmm. After Dino Rossi’s lawyers had their asses kicked in a Wenatchie courtroom, I seem to remember the mouth-breathers in my comment threads mentioning something about political payback… a voter revolt that would sweep us evil, election-stealing Democrats from power.

So… how’s that revenge thing going for you, guys?

Ron Sims 14-point victory would suggest, not so well… but then, given the “hard core leftist base in Seattle,” I suppose that’s not really a fair measure, is it? So, since Initiative 912’s backers aggressively urged voters to send a message to “Queen Christine”, enthusiastically adopting Rossi as their mascot, I thought it’d be interesting to do a little (u)SP-like comparison.

The following table shows results from the 12 counties in which Rossi drew his strongest support, and compares the percentage of the vote Rossi received in 2004, with the percentage of the vote I-912 received in 2005.

County		Rossi		I-912
Adams		68%		61%
Benton		68%		58%
Grant		68%		61%
Franklin		67%		63%
Columbia		66%		59%
Lewis		65%		62%
Lincoln		65%		64%
Garfield		65%		59%
Douglas		65%		58%
Chelan		64%		56%
Yakima		64%		55%
Walla Walla		63%		48%

All but Lewis County are located in Eastern Washington, and in each county, I-912 drew less support than Rossi… sometimes substantially less. Walla Walla actually fell into the No camp, giving the initiative 15 points less support than it gave Rossi.

So what does this say about voter backlash in Eastern Washington? There wasn’t any.

Even as the returns started coming in early Tuesday night, and the numbers still looked close, I heard a Republican consultant on KUOW saying that I-912’s passage would be a huge blow to Gov. Gregoire, crippling her ability to lead the Legislature. So given that level of expectation, and given the clarity in which the “send a message” message was delivered statewide, the relative lack of support for I-912, even in the most Republican leaning counties, sends a message of it’s own: the 2004 election is finally over.

Christine Gregoire is governor, and her reelection prospects in 2008 will be based mostly on how well she governs. And the fact that she could lead both a majority of the Legislature, and a majority of the people, to support an inherently unpopular gas tax increase, is a pretty damn good start.

You’ve got to accentuate the positive
Eliminate the negative
Latch on to the affirmative
Don’t mess with Mister In-Between

You’ve got to spread joy up to the maximum
Bring gloom down to the minimum
Have faith or pandemonium
Liable to walk upon the scene

That what they’re singing over at (un)Sound Politics, where the unsound folk are tinkering with their reality distortion field in a desperate attempt to spin the GOP’s embarrassing performance in Tuesday’s election into something, um… less embarrassing.

Timothy Goddard claims he found a pony in the shitpile, pointing to the Republican wins on the Snohomish County Charter Review Commission:

Even so, the GOP-endorsed candidates did quite well, especially when compared to the Democrat-endorsed ones. Six Republican-endorsed candidates are taking commissioner spots, compared to only three Democrat-endorsed ones. … This gives Republicans 40% of the commission, to 20% Democrats and 40% people not endorsed by either party. Not too shabby.

Uh-huh.

Meanwhile, Matt Rosenberg sees good omens in the election of Jim Nobles, “an out-of-the closet Republican” to the now-defunct Seattle Popular Monorail Board, and the election of “independent and Dino Rossi supporter Jack Creighton” and “former City of Seattle Treasurer and fiscal conservative Lloyd Hara” to the Port of Seattle Commission.

Um, Matt… Tim… these are all nonpartisan offices. Hmm. I wonder why the races Republicans do best in are those in which the voters don’t get to see the candidates’ party affiliation?

Perhaps the answer lies in our good friend Stefan’s own cockeyed optimism. He attempts to put Ron Sims 14 point victory “in context”, producing a table of King County election results, and concluding that…

Only a handful of Democrats have ever done worse than Sims, and an even smaller handful of Republicans have ever done better than Irons.

So… um… I guess this was a moral victory for David Irons and the Republicans, huh? I’m sure that should provide them comfort during the next four years of the Sims administration. I for one, am comforted by the fact that Republicans like Stefan think it’s a victory when their candidate polls over 40 percent.

But if you really want to know why Republicans do so sucky in King County, you need to read further. According to Stefan:

The only Republican who has actually even won King County in recent years is Norman Maleng. And partisan label aside, Maleng is such a reliable water boy for the Democrat-dominated machine that the Ds didn’t even bother to oppose him the last time he ran.

Yes, the Republicans should have been able to do better this year. A constructive post mortem to propose ideas for improving the game should commence. But given the hard core leftist base in Seattle, the most realistic options for Republicans who care about county government —

a) join the machine ala Maleng (and why bother, unless all you aspire to is a job in county government)
b) resign oneself to permanent minority status
c) work to divide King County into a Seattle County and a suburban/rural county.

That’s right, the only Republican Stefan bothers dissing is the only one during the last 12 years to garner more than fifty percent of the countywide vote… Norm Maleng. And you wonder why the majority of KC voters think the GOP is out of touch with their values?

Of course there is another option one might add to Stefan’s “constructive post mortem” and that might be to run candidates who listen to voters and who respond to their needs and concerns. But nah… that would involve a introspection, and that’s a way too scary place for somebody like Stefan to go.

Better just accentuate the positive, eliminate the negative….

I’ll be on TV this evening taking your questions. Well… public access cable, anyway.

Tune in to Moral Politics with Eric Oemig, at 6:00 PM tonight, on ScanTV (cable channel 77 or 29 in most of King County, internet stream available), for a live call-in show. Eric and I will be discussing the growing influence of the blogosphere.

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again… I’m guessing that the day Progressive Majority set up shop in Washington state will stand out as one of the most significant recent developments in state and local politics.

PM focuses on the hard work of recruiting, training and supporting progressive candidates for “down ballot” races, building a farm team of local elected officials from which future political all-stars will rise. And their results in Tuesday’s election were truly impressive:

18 of 27 candidates won election (67%)

2 races are still too close to call

5 of 9 women won (56%)

5 of 7 people of color won (71%)

2 of 3 union members won (66%)

7 of 11 first time candidates won (64%)

Two of PM’s highest profile victories were that of Dave Somers and Steve Stuart, both of whom the BIAW spent big money to defeat. Stuart’s win keeps control of the Clark County Commission in the hands of Democrats, and was one of PM’s biggest priorities. And Somers huge upset win over incumbent Jeff Sax gives the Democrats control over the Snohomish County Council.

A big thanks to Dean Nielsen, Edie Giliss and everybody else at PM for a job well done. And a special congratulations to PM candidate Marko Liias, whose Mukilteo City Council victory makes him the first graduate of my class at Camp Wellstone to win his first race for office. (At least I think. I’m terrible with names, so let me know if I missed somebody.)

What do Judy Miller and Stefan Sharkansky have in common? They’ve both been booted from their respective papers.

(I’m pretty sure I’m the first to compare The New York Times and The Stranger in anything but post-consumer fiber content.)

You know it was a bad night for the Republicans when the best spin they could muster over on (un)Sound Politics was this feeble flip of the political dreidle from the site’s soundest contributor, Matt Rosenberg:

A bit of good news tonight… For the first time in quite a while, an out-of-the closet Republican has been elected in a Seattle-wide contest, albeit a non-partisan race.

Um… yeah… elected to a seat on a board that Seattlites also voted to dissolve. That’s some consolation prize Matt.

But of course, the blow was even worse than the righties are letting on, for they didn’t just lose a couple of high profile initiatives and a coveted county executive race… they lost their entire campaign strategy for 2006 and beyond. Initiative 912 was cleverly launched last May as the election contest controversy came to a head, and from day one it was always pitched as an opportunity to send a message to “Queen Christine” and the Democrats who they accuse of stealing last year’s excruciatingly close gubernatorial election.

Likewise, the focus of the Republicans’ campaign against Ron Sims was always the so-called “mess” in King County Records & Elections, with our good friend Stefan, the Pied Piper of GOP paranoids, focusing his relentless efforts on proving a conspiracy theory that seems to flow from the premise that Republicans would actually dominate state and county politics if not for the widespread fraud and corruption in KCRE.

Way back during the election contest trial, during a debate with Stefan on the John Carlson Show, I argued that the GOP’s lawsuit had long since ceased to be about who really won the 2004 election, that it was now focused mainly on defeating Sims in 2005. And this strategy was never clearer than in Stefan’s own election-day call to action:

The choice between David Irons and Ron Sims could not be more clear. A vote for Irons is a vote for integrity and accountability. A vote for Sims is a vote for corruption, fraudulent elections, ridiculous boondoggles and a culture of secrecy and retaliation. … If you want more of Dean Logan and his fraud, dishonesty, disregard for the law and refusal to take responsibility for his work, then by all means vote for Ron Sims. If you’re as sick and tired of reading about Dean Logan as I am sick and tired of writing about him and you want to restore clean elections, then vote for David Irons.

I’m not sure who followed whose lead, but Stefan, Carlson, Kirby Wilbur, Chris Vance and the rest of the GOP leadership seemed to share the same delusion… they confused their own anger and disappointment over Dino Rossi’s loss with that of rank and file voters. How else to explain the arrogant overreaching blunder of the GOP’s fraudulent voter challenge stunt just days before the election?

The framing was clear. An Irons victory would be payback for Gregoire’s disputed win last November, and I-912 was always about sending a bold message that would weaken her administration, paving the way towards big Republican wins in 2006 and beyond.

Well… voters did send a message last night, and it wasn’t exactly the message the R’s had intended: policy trumps politics. In reelecting Sims by a margin that anywhere else in our fractured political terrain would be considered a crushing landslide, King County voters resoundingly rejected the GOP’s year-long smear campaign. And in refusing I-912’s tax cut — not in a squeaker, but by a surprisingly comfortable spread — voters sent a clear message to both the governor and Democratic and Republican legislators alike, that they will not punish elected officials for governing responsibly, even if it means enduring a little financial pain.

It’s hard to blame Irons and the KC GOP for adopting the kind of “anybody but Sims” strategy they ran; what else could they do with such a deeply flawed, totally unqualified candidate running against an experienced, competent and likable incumbent? But John and Kirby should be kicking themselves for jumping the gun on a long term political strategy that has clearly backfired.

Back in May, Kirby told me that one of his main reasons for sponsoring I-912 was so that we could have a public debate over transportation issues… a debate that he felt the Legislature had short circuited. Well, thanks to I-912, we’ve had that debate, and Kirby and his cohorts have lost. The KVI crowd had attempted to wield an incipient gas tax revolt over the heads of elected officials, but their election-contest-forged Sword of Damocles has proven to be little more than a rubber dagger. On this issue at least, voters have given their stamp of approval to Olympia, and rather than weakening Gregoire, I-912 has only enhanced her stature as a leader who is willing and able to take controversial positions on tough issues… and come out on top.

I-912, born out of the ratings spike that accompanied the election contest trial, was intended to be a continuation of the GOP’s relentless propaganda campaign to undermine Gov. Gregoire’s legitimacy, and yet another step down the road towards Rossi’s eventual succession. If the initiative had passed, there is no doubt it would have been politically damaging, but its failure not only leaves Gregoire one of last night’s biggest winners, it leaves Rossi one of its biggest losers… not just by default, but by his total unwillingness to step out in front on the most contentious issue on the state ballot.

As one political wag put it, “when Rossi was asked to lead, he ran away,” whereas Gregoire personally championed the transportation package from the day she brokered the bill out of legislative deadlock, to the moment the last ballot was cast. Gregoire spent her political capital and was rewarded handsomely, whereas Rossi refused to even speak his mind.

Last night was a huge win for both Sims and Gregoire, the two former primary rivals having their political fortunes oddly intertwined in yet another election. So it was especially gratifying to watch the two, side-by-side before the cameras, jointly proclaiming victory.

The coming year promises more bruising campaigns, over land use restrictions, control of the Legislature, Sen. Maria Cantwell’s re-election and other races… and everything we saw last night suggests that Matt, Stefan and their unsound comrades will have at least as much trouble spinning next year’s election night as they did this year’s.

Well… so much for the wingnuts’ predicted backlash over the contested gubernatorial election:

King County Executive:
Ron Sims (D)		54.35%
David Irons (R)		40.80%
Initiative 912
Yes		47.18%
No		52.82%

This might have been the first election in Washington state history in which the blogosphere had a measurable impact on the results, and I think it is fair to say on behalf of my fellow progressive bloggers, that… we kicked the other guys’ asses!

More gloating in the morning.

Early returns look good for Ron Sims, and I-912 isn’t drawing quite what it probably needs in Eastern WA. So I’m feeling good right now. Have at it.

Democrats John Corzine and Tim Kaine have apparently won their races for governor in New Jersey and Virginia respectively. Corzine has a commanding 54% to 43% lead with 58% of precincts reporting. And I love this little description of Kaine’s victory:

Democrat Lt. Gov. Tim Kaine won the Virginia governor’s race Tuesday, soundly defeating Republican Jerry Kilgore in a contest for a GOP-leaning state that was closely watched by political analysts for signs of the public’s mood ahead of next year’s midterm elections.

Kilgore lost despite a last-minute rally with President Bush and a harsh campaign ad that alleged that Kaine, a Roman Catholic opposed to the death penalty, would not have executed Adolf Hitler.

Kaine had 812,235 votes, or 51.2 percent, to Kilgore’s 737,747 votes, or 46.5 percent, with 82 percent of precincts reporting.

These were the two highest profile races in today’s election, and neither bodes well for the Republicans. Goody.

Our good friend Stefan at (un)Sound Politics stormed off his post as Provisional Ballot Judge at St. Bennedicts Parrish today, after the polling place inspector reprimanded him for harassing a provisional ballot voter into leaving without casting a ballot.

In a nutshell, I quit as a poll judge because the inspector threatened me for doing my job of dissuading ineligible individuals from voting.

That’s Stefan’s explanation of his job, but that’s not how Bobbie Egan of King County Records and Elections describes it. “Our procedures are very clear,” Egan said. “Provisional voters are to have their ballots accepted at the polling place, and the determination as to eligibility is to made later in the elections office.”

Silly me, I tried to convince someone who is not eligible to vote in this election to vote in the next election.

Yes, silly you, Stefan. According to Egan, the inspector reported that Stefan was “overzealous” in challenging the voter, asking if he was sure he wanted to perjure himself by claiming he was eligible to vote. The voter reportedly replied that “this just isn’t worth it,” and walked out. Egan says that KCRE is trying to contact the voter to tell him to vote at any other polling place.

Stefan also says that the inspector “threatened” him. According to Egan, Stefan was told that he needed to either follow instructions, or move to a different position. At that point, Stefan said he could “no longer fulfill his oath”, and stormed out of the polling place.

Sounds to me like Stefan was unable to “fulfill his oath” from the moment the polling place opened.

See, when we talk about Republican voter intimidation and suppression, this is exactly the type of crap that would happen all the time should people like Stefan control the polling places… exactly the type of crap that already occurs in Florida and Ohio and many other states.

UPDATE:
I was listening to John Carlson bloviate on this subject while I was driving. Oy.

Let’s just make one thing perfectly clear. I know that Stefan thinks he is an election expert, but in truth, these polling place judges and inspectors only get a few hours of training and work maybe 2 or 3 days a year. And so, KCRE’s wise policy is to have these decisions made by the actual professionals, with the training, experience and tools to best determine a voter’s eligibility… rather than leaving it to some hot-head, partisan asshole administering some improvised poll test.

Yes, even on election night, the Seattle chapter of Drinking Liberally meets tonight (and every Tuesday), 8PM at the Montlake Ale House, 2307 24th Avenue E.

I’m going to be doing a little election night party hopping, but I’ll be stopping by DL either early, or late… or both. The Montlake Ale House has free wireless internet access, so I may post some election night updates from the festivities. Hope to see you all there… in a celebratory mood.

Via Slog, King County Council Chair Larry Phillips has sent a letter to Prosecuting Attorney Norm Maleng, formally asking him to investigate Lori Sotelo for perjury:

Metropolitan King County Councilmembers have been contacted by challenged voters whose voter registrations are not only correctly registered to their home addresses, but who also have no prior contact or relationship with Ms. Sotelo. Thus, Ms. Sotelo’s basis for “personal knowledge and belief” of falsified voter registrations is highly questionable, and her voter challenges should be investigated for possible perjury.

I urge you to investigate Ms. Sotelo’s possible perjury in this matter; a violation of state law and a constitutional violation of numerous voters’ inherent right to vote in King County.

Here’s the point… challenging a voter’s registration at any time, let alone days before an election, should not be taken lightly. Yet that’s exactly what Sotelo and the Republican Party did.

This is particularly offensive when you consider the basis for their challenges… not that voter fraud has occurred, or that ineligible voters are casting ballots… but that otherwise eligible voters have technical errors in their registration. According to KCRE, many of those who revised their registration on Saturday only needed to swap their street address for their mailing address… they had merely put the wrong address on the wrong line.

And yet, not only is the GOP bragging about their efforts to deny these people the franchise, they also apparently feel it is justified to inconvenience or even disenfranchise hundreds of wrongly challenged voters in the process!

But with all the wailing and gnashing of teeth over alleged corruption and incompetence in KCRE, what the Republicans haven’t been able to show us is a single scrap of evidence proving widespread voter fraud. After the most scrutinized election in state history and an unprecedented election contest trial, only seven voters out of nearly one million ballots cast have been prosecuted for casting illegal votes. Seven!

The Republican solution? Disenfranchise tens of thousands of legal voters by purging the rolls, eliminating ballot duplication and enhancement, enacting photo ID and stricter signature matching standards, and yes… falsely challenging hundreds of legally registered voters.

The only fraud in the 2004 gubernatorial election was Dino Rossi’s fraudulent lawsuit contesting it.

Back in 1991 I co-authored the book and lyrics for an Off-Broadway musical. Much to my dismay the NY Times sent Mel Gussow to opening night, a theater reviewer who occasionally confessed that he didn’t really care for musicals. (He didn’t much care for ours either.)

And so in talking about the initiatives on today’s ballot, I should start with a similar caveat: I don’t much care for the initiative process. Indeed, for those unfamiliar with my bio, this blog’s domain name is a vestige from my accidental pratfall into the political arena, when a joke between me and some friends somehow turned into an initiative to officially proclaim Tim Eyman a “horse’s ass.”

Oh, I think that initiatives are fine in theory, but in practice, I don’t find anything particularly direct or democratic about direct democracy. All it takes to get an initiative on the ballot is half a million dollars of paid signature gathering (or free use of the airwaves.) And the battle at the polls is too often won by whoever spends the most money. Moreover, the vast majority of initiatives are actually complex pieces of legislation that would greatly benefit from a more deliberative legislative vetting, rather than just being thrown together in some watch salesman’s bonus room, and shoved onto the ballot for an up or down vote.

Perhaps the only initiative on today’s ballot that remotely resembles the type of simple, straightforward policy issue direct democracy is equipped to deal with, is I-901, which bans smoking in public places. Do you want smoke-free bars and restaurants? I do. Cigarette smoke is a nuisance and a health hazard, and a smoker’s right to puff away in public clearly infringes on my right to breath clean air. Breathing trumps smoking. So I’m voting Yes.

The other initiatives, I’m voting No.

I-900…? Say what you want about my anti-Eyman posturing, but I’m guessing I’m one of only a handful of citizens in this state to actually read the full text of I-900 and compare it section by section to the performance audits initiative passed by the Legislature last spring. I-900 is superfluous and over-reaching, placing too much power in the hands of the State Auditor. Sure, I trust Brian Sonntag to use this power wisely, but he won’t be auditor forever. How soon do you think it’ll be before the BIAW spends a million bucks to put some hack into the auditor’s office, who can use I-900 to harass and disrupt state and local agencies of their choosing?

And finally, while I certainly support experimenting with performance audits (I even testified on behalf of the bill last spring), Eyman is dramatically over-promising the impact. These are complicated audits that require a great deal of expertise… and the full compliance of those being audited. It’s kind of like psychoanalysis… it only works when you have a good therapist and a cooperative patient.

I-912…? What can I say… it’s a shortsighted, intentionally misleading, possibly life-threatening load of crap. Our state’s economic health, and the safety of its citizens, depends on maintaining our transportation infrastructure… that’s why I-912 has drawn opposition from such an unusually broad coalition of groups: labor, business, environmental, etc. Indeed, the only groups that seem to be actively supporting the initiative are politicians and radio talk show hosts.

The bipartisan transportation package that I-912 would repeal was painstakingly negotiated, and includes hundreds of desperately needed safety and improvement projects scattered throughout the state. Kill it now, and nothing will replace it for years. This is too important an issue to fall victim to petty political maneuvering.

I-330 / I-336…? Confused as to which is which? Well one is backed by the insurance industry and the other is backed by the trial lawyers… and they both deserve to be defeated. There is most certainly NOT a medical malpractice insurance crisis going on in WA state right now, as I-330’s backers deceitfully claim, and even is there was, I-330 is a totally one-sided solution that takes away your rights, and hands them over to the insurance industry.

As for I-336, it contains a few good ideas, but this is much too complicated an issue to warrant a thumbs up at the polls. Medical malpractice and tort reform need to be addressed by an open, deliberative process in the Legislature, not in an advertising war on the airwaves.

And I almost forgot… the Seattle Monorail. It’s never fun euthanizing a pet, but show some mercy and put this dog to sleep now. It’s not that I don’t want a monorail, it’s just that this particular one just isn’t worth the money.

I’ve got nothing against the technology, and I’m a big fan of elevated rail, but the monorail folks went about this entirely backwards. They started with monorail technology, and then tried to figure a way to fit it into our cityscape and transportation infrastructure… when really, they should have started by looking at our transportation needs, and then finding the solution that would make the most sense. Maybe that would have been a monorail? Or maybe dedicated bus lanes? Or maybe a giant roller coaster from West Seattle to the downtown waterfront? (Wheee!) But we’ll never know.

But yet, you gotta admire a city that still has the youthful joy to give something like this a try.

So in summary, Yes on I-901, an emphatic No on everything else. (And I wouldn’t be so disappointed if all the initiatives failed.)