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So let me get this straight… when Dave Reichert and the WSRP shop around the bullshit notion that Darcy Burner is lying when she sometimes describes her Harvard degree in computer science and economics as a “degree in economics,” the fair, balanced and impartial editors at the Seattle Times decide that’s worthy of a front page story.  But when a judge determines that the evidence implicating Rossi in the Buildergate scandal—a fundraising scam the PDC has already determined to be illegal—is sufficient to compel Rossi to testify under oath just days before the election… they bury that story in the B section?

And they have the nerve to call me a partisan hack?

Whether that proves harmful or helpful to Rossi remains to be seen, said Matt Barreto, a University of Washington political-science professor. “It could be a game-changer. But it’s not necessarily a nail in the coffin for Rossi. It depends on how he responds, what comes out and what the media coverage is,” Barreto said.

I don’t doubt that most reporters attempt to be objective, but if you believe in these final days of the election that the Times isn’t writing its headlines, placing its stories, and otherwise shaping its coverage so as to favor the candidates it prefers, well then, I’ve got an 8-lane 520 bridge to sell you.

Obama	McCain
100.0% probability of winning	0.0% probability of winning
Mean of 376 electoral votes	Mean of 162 electoral votes

Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 376 to 162 electoral votes, on average.

Today we got 35 new polls covering 19 states. The net result of all these new polls is…not much. Obama holds firmly to his lead today.

A Monte Carlo analysis utilizing 100,000 simulated elections shows Obama winning each and every mock election. Obama receives (on average) 376 to McCain’s 162 electoral votes. The analysis suggests that Obama would have a 100.0% probability of winning an election held today.

Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.

Methods are described in the FAQ. The most recent version of this analysis can be found on this page.

Obama spokesman Bill Burton utterly dismantled Fox Noise political operative Megyn Kelly in the clip above. Priceless. And surreal. Is there anyone in this country who still believes some hairdo chanting “fair and balanced” means Fox is actually fair and balanced? Talk about doublespeak. Her efforts to shake Burton were another EPIC FAIL, just like everything else the McCain campaign has tried.

I don’t know how these Fox Noise employees can lie so repeatedly without shame, but that’s what they do. They’re not journalists, they’re paid political prostitutes. There’s no reason for an Obama administration, should he keep his lead and win, to give them wide access any more than they would give wide access to a supermarket tabloid or Hollywood gossip show. Covering the White House comes with a certain amount of professional integrity, which Fox Noise employees clearly lack. (Like duh, or they wouldn’t work for Fox Noise.) Frankly, the National Enquirer has more journalistic bona fides than Fox Noise, come to think about it.

Change is coming. There are many serious problems facing this country, but I’d imagine Congress could make time for hearings on media oligarchies at some point. I’d like to see this sorry episode played for some Fox Noise executives, perhaps they could enlighten some members on how this sort of blatant campaigning for John McCain constitutes journalism.

And no, pointing at the “EM ESS EM” and bleating “liberal bias” isn’t going to cut it any more. The truth hurts, and the truth is biased, as they say. All the lies, all the corruption, all the incessant demagoguery and nastiness that is the modern Republican Party has now caught up with what was once the party of Lincoln, leaving it and its allies exposed to face the full wrath of the American voting public.

And yes, News Corpse is entitled to First Amendment protection, just like supermarket tabloids and gossip shows. You can basically spew any old nonsense that strikes your fancy when it comes to public figures. That doesn’t mean anyone else in the traditional media or government has to treat Fox Noise and Rupert Murdoch’s little stable of hacks at the Wall Street Journal editorial page with anything but the contempt they so richly deserve.

It’s all one big top-down Republican media machine, and while they’re pressing all the levers marked “scary” and “socialist” and such, it’s not working. That’s why they’re so frightened and angry. One can only imagine the self-loathing some of these MiniTru workers must feel as the Ponzi scheme and the big con game fall apart at the same moment in history.

The Fox Wall is threatening to come down on their sorry apparatchik heads. Time to head for the dachas and party like it’s 1991.

(Props to Jed L. at Daily Kos for catching the video.)

What the headline says.

That’s good news for Boeing, good news for the machinists, and good news for the region.  And in a gubernatorial election where Dino Rossi has pegged much of his message on exploiting voters’ growing sense of economic insecurity, I suppose that’s marginally good news for Gov. Chris Gregoire.

Happy voters make for happy incumbents.

Joel Connelly does a good job explaining why Tim Eyman’s attack on red light cameras in I-985 would likely end up killing and maiming people.

These are not the cash cows Eyman claims they are, with most of the fines actually going to pay for the cost of installation, operation and maintenance.  If I-985 passes, and these local revenues are directed to the state general fund, the cameras will be removed, as there will be no way to pay the contracters who operate them.  And drivers will once again be free to run lights at these dangerous intersections.

So I-985 means no red light cameras and no red light camera revenue to pay for promised congestion improvements.

Of course, that’s not the only promise Eyman’s made that he cannot deliver.  Timmy’s done a good job hyping up his initiative’s promise to open HOV lanes to single occupancy drivers during non-peak hours, planting visions of zipping through traffic in many voters’ heads, but it turns out that at least on 520, rather than opening the HOV lane to all comers, I-985 will likely result in the lane being closed off entirely.

According to former WSDOT head Doug McDonald, there’s just no way to safely and efficiently bring three lanes of traffic down to two as 520 approaches the floating bridge westbound; attempting to merge three full capacity lanes down to two would actually create longer backups and ultimately slow down traffic more than eliminating the third lane altogether.

Not being a transportation engineer myself, I checked with a WSDOT official who confirmed off the record that this issue has been studied, and that yes, shutting down the westbound HOV lane would be a likely response to I-985’s passage.

Yet more unintended consequences from an Eyman initiative.

The latest Washington Poll of 600 registered voters, conducted October 18 to 26, shows Gov. Chris Gregoire leading Republican challenger Dino Rossi by a 48-43 margin.  When leaners are included, Gov. Gregoire’s lead increases slightly to 51-45.  That’s the second public poll in a row to suggest the race may be breaking toward Gov. Gregoire after months in a virtual deadlock.

Other findings from the poll:  Barack Obama leads John McCain 55-34, I-1000 leads 56-38, I-1029 leads 65-20, Prop 1 leads 50-43, and I-985 remains a toss-up at 45-43.

In the interest of contributing a little fairness and balance to HA’s coverage of Prop 1, the proposed Sound Transit expansion, I am posting this audio message from Kemper Freeman Jr.

[audio:http://horsesass.org/wp-content/uploads/kemper.mp3]

Alaska Sen. Ted Stevens, the longest serving Republican in U.S. Senate history, has been convicted on all 7 counts of making false statements on his Senate financial disclosures, involving hundreds of thousand of dollars in unreported “gifts” from friends and political backers.

Stevens was already in a tough reelection battle with Democratic challenger Mark Begich, and I think most analysts would expect his conviction to cost him the election.

Either way, Stevens’ long political career has come to end; if he refuses to resign, the Senate will expel him as a convicted felon.  And under a new Alaska law, Gov. Sarah Palin does not have the power to appoint a replacement.

UPDATE:
Gov. Palin sets the record straight on her relationship with Sen. Stevens, arguing that he “needs to be heard across America” so that Alaska can “lead the rest of the US.”

Nothing up on the SurveyUSA website yet, but the word is that their latest poll has Democratic challenger Jeff Merkley leading Republican incumbant Sen. Gordon Smith, 49-42.  This would be a huge pick-up for the Democrats, in race that most experts considered to be a longshot just 10 months ago.

The stock market, home prices, payrolls, consumer spending and just about everything else may be down… which of course means guns sales are up!

Several variables drive sales, but many dealers, buyers and experts attribute the increase in part to concerns about the economy and fears that if Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois wins the presidency, he will join with fellow Democrats in Congress to enact new gun controls. […] Gun purchases have also been climbing because of the worsening economy, which fuels fears of crime and civil disorder, industry sources and specialists said.

Yup, because nothing keeps you and your kids safer than a firearm and a chamber full of live ammo:

An 8-year-old boy died after accidentally shooting himself in the head while firing an Uzi submachine gun under adult supervision at a gun fair.  […] The boy, Christopher Bizilj of Ashford, Conn., was with a certified instructor and “was shooting the weapon down range when the force of the weapon made it travel up and back toward his head, where he suffered the injury,” a police statement said.

Personally, I loved riflery when I was a kid at overnight camp, and always looked forward to the annual “gun show” when we would get a chance to put aside our 22 caliber target rifles and shoot up some cans with a few handguns and other cool weapons.  But the instructors never, ever let us put more than one bullet in the chamber at a time.

An 8-year-old with a loaded Uzi?  If this is the type of idiocy we see under the supervision of a “certified instructor” just imagine all the accidents waiting to happen in the wake of this new surge in gun sales.

An item from Clark County I missed last week while on vacation strikes me as emblematic of the problems facing Republicans up and down the ticket. They’re really scraping the bottom of the barrel in a suburban swing district that traditionally should be full of likely Republican candidates.

It seems the candidate the GOP found to take out Rep. Jim Dunn, R-Vancouver, who was disciplined by Republican leadership for inappropriate comments to a female staffer and subsequently lost in the primary this year, has some issues of his own.

Last Wednesday The Columbian reported that Republican Joseph James, who is on the general election ballot along with Democrat Tim Probst in the 17th LD, is accused by a local couple of improperly listing a payment made to James’ dog boarding business as a contribution to his political campaign. From The Columbian on Oct. 22:

Thomas and Beth Baker boarded their dog at Joseph James’ dog boarding business in Stevenson several times last year, and usually paid by check.

But the last time they used the service, the Camas couple put the $200 fee on a credit card. When their statement came, they were surprised to learn that the payment had gone to an organization called Complete Campaigns, which offers Web-based services to help campaigns track supporters, votes, fund-raising and volunteers.

James, a Republican who is running for an open House seat in the 17th District, paid the San Diego company $311 in credit card processing fees between Dec. 24, 2007, and Jan. 15, 2008, according to state campaign finance records.

On Jan. 2, James’ campaign reported a $200 contribution from Thomas Baker.

Baker said he never intended for his dog care payment to end up in James’ campaign chest.

James did not return calls to his campaign office and mobile phone seeking comment.

I’ve heard of a lot of lowly actions by Republicans, but taking a customer’s money and trying to make it appear as a campaign contribution without the customers’ knowledge is a fascinating twist. How would anyone want this guy voting on a state budget?

This isn’t the first time James has drawn attention to himself for questionable campaign activity. In February Aneurin at Politics is a Blood Sport ran down James’ claims about having an “MBA” from a place called “Almeda” University.

Who’s Almeda University? Almeda, a website with a post office box located in Boise, Idaho, offers online distance learning and confers degrees based on “life experience”. And there’s the slight issue of accreditation, in other words, there is none from any recognizable accreditation organization.

And in August of this year Chris Mulick took a look at some of James’ spurious claims on transportation and apparent gross over-inflation of fundraising totals.

By claiming a $3,000 monthly in-kind contribution for use of personal space as a campaign and a $700 in-kind contribution for use of a personal vehicle the James campaign haul has been bolstered by $41,000.

Mulick also posted some highly entertaining videos James put up on the YouTube, if you wish to click through.

Contrast James as a candidate with Democrat Tim Probst, a former Republican who once worked for the governor of Illinois and is well versed in economic policy. Which party is actually a big tent and which party is attracting talent and leadership? Maybe we once could (sorta kinda) afford to have buffoons like Jim Dunn or Joseph James in office, but with hard times on the horizon we need all the smart people we can get doing the public’s business.

Being a quality candidate or public official, it turns out, requires more than money and pre-fabricated dogma. In the 17th LD you can chalk up another EPIC FAIL for the GOP Party on that score.

It was hard to read this article in the Sunday NYT, particularly this passage

…Democrats, who are within reach of the 60 votes needed to break a filibuster in the Senate, would also face high expectations, especially from the party’s more liberal quarters, that could be difficult to meet even with enhanced numbers in the Senate as well as the House. And they would be at risk of overreaching, a tendency that has deeply damaged both parties in similar situations in the past…

and not get nervous that a President “Purple America” Barack Obama might pull a Rep. Frank “One Washington” Chopp and freak out about “overreach.”

And this, dear believers, means the popular Democratic agenda that will likely have swept Obama and a super majority of Democrats into office—universal health care, ending the war in Iraq, repealing the Bush tax cuts, restoring civil liberties,  cap and trade, stem cell research, massive investment in infrastructure, and mandating accurate sex ed—will be sidelined for loads of bipartisan bills. 

And while I’m talking about Democratic underreach, may I suggest one piece of legislation for Rep. Chopp and our local Democrats (and if Chris Gregoire wins, she should get in on this too): Reform the state’s Public Disclosure Commission. And by reform, I mean: Clean house, appoint watch dogs, and rewrite the rules so they’re actually rules instead of murky pseudo rules. 

I actually suggested this prior to last session in the wake of Dino Rossi’s Forward Washington shenanigans, but it didn’t take. So, now that Rossi has laughed off ethics rules again by apparently coordinating fundraising with the  BIAW (illegal), not to mention that the BIAW’s fundraising scheme itself was illegal … and now that Rossi, GOP Attorney General Rob McKenna, and GOP Commissioner of Public Lands Doug Sutherland may have gotten illegal campaign loans (and we all know how the PDC is going to rule on that), can the Democrats please prioritize an overhaul of our state’s campaign finance laws next session so that Republicans can’t drive SUVs through them?

President Josiah Bartlet is just as fictional as the disingenuous arguments actor Martin Sheen is making in those No on I-1000 ads.  I’m just just sayin’…