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Like Benedict Arnold. And Jesus.

by Carl Ballard — Monday, 6/18/12, 7:57 pm

When Lee and I (and some other folks) used to do metacommentary one of our favorite blogs to make fun of was Reagan Wing. Nowadays, they’re pretty much just a Ron Paul blog. And is keepusfree upset with Rand Paul, but don’t criticize him.

Rand Paul a Traitor?

No. He endorsed a different presidential candidate than you. Unless that presidential candidate is Jefferson Davis, it ain’t treason.

Along with many of you in the Liberty Movement, I watched and listened with sick horror to Rand Paul’s endorsement of Mitt Romney. But thinking about it, in a political sense, in a global context of what is happening in our world, I would like to offer a hypothesis.

I think you’ll be surprised to learn that there’s a difference between vague half articulated conspiracy theories and a hypothesis.

We do not know the pressures that might have been brought to bear on Ron and Rand Paul. The power wielded by the enemies of the free people of the world is enormous and they have no scruples, no mercy, and no justice. In a perfect world, there might be a “John Galt” moment, where Rand steps aside to reveal the gun pointed at him. But that is a novel. Real life is not so clean.

I think the enemies of free people probably brought a bear to bear on Rand Paul. What I’m saying is watch out for his family getting mauled by a grizzly if he switches back to his father. It can’t possibly have anything to do with delegate math. I know the Ron Paul people think they’ll just overwhelm the national convention. But (a) they won’t, and (b) even if they did, maybe Rand Paul thinks it would be immoral (or just bad politics) to nominate someone who couldn’t win the majority of a single state. But you know what, fuck all that: mysterious forces.

If the Powers That Be can see our heroes brought low, it is to their great advantage and will serve them well. That someone breaks under the kind of pressure that they can exert is to be expected.

The pressure of winning the nomination. Wait, am I defending Mitt Romney? What’s wrong with me? It must be The Powers That Be. Anyway, it goes on like this for a while: they’re brave truth tellers, and it’s oh so tough. Then we reach the conclusion.

Rand Paul’s Cross

In this metaphor, Rand Paul is Jesus. But maybe, I’m being too over the top. It’s a fairly common metaphor that we all understand. It’s not like she called his father “Father” with a capital “F” or something.

Before you criticize Rand Paul, you should walk a mile in his shoes. The road he is traveling cannot be easy and will be rocky and dangerous. But his Father must have passed on some of his stalwart principles to his son, and he may yet serve us, even while he faces our ire and castigation for something which well may be completely out of his control, or may be a part of something we cannot yet see or understand. It may be the cross he has to bear and the sacrifice he has to make in order to continue in the fight at all. Only time will tell.

Or, he’s just a politician with some awful ideas that are closer to his dad’s. But since his dad isn’t going to win the nomination, he endorsed the other guy with horrible ideas.

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Open Thread 6/18

by Carl Ballard — Monday, 6/18/12, 7:57 am

– the ideas are to restrict the rollover of surplus campaign funds from one election to the next to $5,000, and to limit campaign fundraising to begin in January of the election year.

– This story about how Obama’s DREAM act executive order will play out in the Tri-Cities is interesting, but is Tri-Cities a reasonable dateline?

– This is where the knee-jerk conservative resentment of anything deemed “liberal” leads. Prudence, fitness, frugality, conservation: These are the kind of old-fashioned American values that conservatives claim they stand for. But since liberals also agree that saving money, doing right by your body, and having a liveable environment are good things, Republicans have to childishly reject all that on the grounds that liberals tainted it. This is how far we’ve fallen as a country.

– The Vagina Monologues to be performed at the Michigan capital.

– Good question.

– Extra value?

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Bird’s Eye View Contest

by Lee — Sunday, 6/17/12, 12:00 pm

Last week’s contest was won by wes.in.wa. It was the resort in Scottsdale, AZ that was used as Nathan Arizona’s mansion in Raising Arizona.

This week’s contest is a location somewhere in Washington, good luck! And Happy Father’s Day!

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HA Bible Study

by Goldy — Sunday, 6/17/12, 7:00 am

Genesis 9:20-25
Noah farmed the land and was the first to plant a vineyard. One day he got drunk and was lying naked in his tent. Ham entered the tent and saw him naked, then went back outside and told his brothers. Shem and Japheth put a robe over their shoulders and walked backwards into the tent. Without looking at their father, they placed it over his body.

When Noah woke up and learned what his youngest son had done, he said, “I now put a curse on Canaan! He will be the lowest slave of his brothers.”

Discuss.

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Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza!

by Darryl — Friday, 6/15/12, 11:56 pm

Slatester: Michigan lawmaker says “vagina,” is banned from House floor.

Minneapolis Mayor RT Rybak: Mitt Romney has history of firing people.

Bill Maher: Obama’s hologram.

Susie Sampson’s Tea Party Report at Netroots Nation.

You’re Welcome: BP Voices from the Gulf:

Stephanie Cutter: Mitt distorts.

Romney’s bizarre “jobs plan”.

Thom: More Good, Bad, and Very, Very Ugly.

Jon: Senate’s misguided drone criticism.

Young Turks: Obama admin. will stop deporting young immigrants.

Mark Fiore: Big Latvia success story!

Alyona’s Tool Time Award: Attack of the vagina.

White House: West Wing Week.

Pap: How Wisconsin uprising was hijacked.

Thom: The root of Romney’s comfort with lying.

Young Turks: “Vagina” gets Rep. banned.

Jon: Judging Jamie Diamon.

Romney senior advisor Kevin Madden has an Etch-A-Sketch moment on immigration.

Thom: Money has crushed the voice of the people.

Eric Schwartz: Vagina Jase Bolger (R-MI):

Romney advisor says his position on immigration is the same as President Obama’s.

Actual Audio: Mitt v. jobs.

Thom: The Good, the Bad, and the Very, Very Ugly.

I Didn’t Speak Up, 2012.

Sam Seder: Don’t say “vagina” in Michigan.

Obama: Department of Homeland Security Immigration announcement.

Stephen: Union cafeteria workers.

Sam Seder: Virginia Republicans war on words “Sea Level Rise”.

Jonathan Mann: The Vagina Song:

Thom: The GOP witchhunt against Holder.

The Mitt Romney “jobs plan”.

Letterman: Romney and doughnuts.

Liberal Viewer: Steven Crowder supports NAMBLA?

Obama: LGBT Pride Month reception.

Newsy: U.S. will stop deportation of young immigrants.

Ben LaBolt: Mitt Romney is running for office on a false premise.

Young Turks: Obama heckled by Daily Caller reporter during immigration remarks.

Ezra Klein: Nailing Romney for supporting Bush policies.

Newsy: “Vagina” comments get lawmaker blocked in Michigan.

Thom and Pap: Why are Senators fondling banksters?.

Daily Show: Florida voter purge.

Pap: Rick Scott and the pathology of lying.

Jen with pollster, John Whaley, How to ask poll questions.

Obama Boy: Crush on Obama:

Sam Seder: Rick Scott still disenfranchising voters, suing Homeland Security to save face.

Mitt Romney: Out Of Touch!

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

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The Quality of Writing

by Carl Ballard — Friday, 6/15/12, 5:40 pm

On Friday David Brooks and Paul Krugman share space on the New York Times Op-Ed page. Sometimes, the contrast between the quality of writing is embarrassing. Today, I noticed the transitions between paragraphs. Here’s how Bobo starts each paragraph after the first:

I guess I’d say
But many Republicans
“We have a sense
To Republican eyes,
America’s economic stagnation
In America as in Europe
The welfare model favors
This is the source of Republican extremism
Mitt Romney hasn’t put it this way
Democrats have had trouble grasping
In his speech
Obama championed
This is what this election is about
Republicans and Democrats have different perceptions

Sometimes it ties the previous paragraph to the next one. But more often than not it’s jarring. Oh here’s a new idea. Maybe there are connections, but you’ll have to make them yourself. Compare that to K-thug.

Never mind
In the remarks
You can see
So would getting rid of teachers, police officers, and firefighters help the American people?
But the more relevant question
First of all
And, if we had those extra jobs
The really decisive evidence
But recovery never came
And the point is
So the former governor
Actually, it’s kind of ironic
And that’s not just an inference
In fact
Needless to say

Whatever you think of Krugman’s argument in this piece, you can see the way he ties one paragraph into another pretty much every time.

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Candidate Answers: Kathleen Drew

by Carl Ballard — Friday, 6/15/12, 7:51 am

My questions in bold Kathleen Drew’s are unbolded.

1) How will you make sure elections are fair?

Washingtonians expect a Secretary of State who is fair and impartial. Those are the characteristics I have shown throughout my career. I am not a career politician, I am an effective and experienced manager committed to fair elections and increased voter participation. I authored our state’s Ethics in Public Service law and served on our state Commission on Government Ethics and Campaign Finance Reform.

As Secretary of State I will ensure consistency and transparency in election processes across the state. I will require a paper trail for votes cast. I will increase auditing of equipment and processes to ensure that our election system is secure and accurate.

I will also implement consistent statewide policies on the use and distribution of ballot drop boxes so that they are available in communities and on college campuses across the state. I’ll reach out to all demographic groups in both urban and rural communities to encourage all eligible citizens to vote. Working together we can identify barriers that eligible voters face and eliminate them. However, all of these improvements will be at risk if we allow corporate interests to participate in elections without restriction or accountability. I’ll fight any efforts to suppress voting, such as those we’ve seen in other states. I strongly oppose the Supreme Court’s decision in the Citizens United case and support a constitutional amendment to repeal the decision. I also support passage of the DISCLOSE Act. I’ll work here in Washington State to increase transparency and accountability in the initiative process.

2) The last Democratic Secretary of State retired in 1964. What makes you think you’re going to finally flip that?

Both of the previous two Secretaries of State had statewide experience and worked in the executive branch of state government. I am the only candidate of any party in this race that has similar experience in state government, both as a policy advisor to the Governor and as a State Senator. I have a clear vision of why I am running and what I want to accomplish. I have the most active and effective campaign of any candidate and have been traveling across the state listening to voters’ concerns and ideas since November. I am the nominee of the Washington State Democratic Party and have been endorsed by dozens of organizations, state and local elected officials, community leaders and citizens from every part of this state. Many of these endorsements are listed below.

Washington State Democratic Party Nominee
Washington State Labor Council
International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, AFL-CIO District 751
Washington Federation of State Employees
American Federation of Teachers, Washington
SEIU 1199NW
Teamsters Joint Council 28
UFCW 367
IBEW Local 77
IBEW Local 112
IBEW Local 483
Spokane Fire Fighters Union Local 29
EMILY’s List
NARAL Pro-Choice Washington
National Organization for Women
National Women’s Political Caucus of Washington State
King County Democrats
Pierce County Democrats
Snohomish County Democrats
Thurston County Democrats
Kitsap County Democrats
Grays Harbor County Democrats
Metropolitan Democratic Club of Seattle
1st Legislative District Democrats (Bothell)
5th Legislative District Democrats (Issaquah)
11th Legislative District Democrats (Renton)
15th Legislative District Democrats (Yakima)
22nd Legislative District Democrats (Olympia)
27th Legislative District Democrats (Tacoma)
30th Legislative District Democrats (Federal Way)
32nd Legislative District Democrats (Shoreline)
33rd Legislative District Democrats (Kent)
34th Legislative District Democrats (Seattle)
35th Legislative District Democrats (Mason, Kitsap, and Thurston Counties)
36th Legislative District Democrats (Seattle)
37th Legislative District Democrats (Seattle)
41st Legislative District Democrats (Bellevue and Mercer Island)
42nd Legislative District Democrats (Bellevue)
43rd Legislative District Democrats (Seattle)
45th Legislative District Democrats (Redmond)
46th Legislative District Democrats (Seattle)
47th Legislative District Democrats (Covington)
49th Legislative District Democrats (Vancouver)
Young Democrats of Washington
King County Young Democrats
Pierce County Young Democrats
UW Young Democrats
WSU Young Democrats
Adam Smith, United States Congressman (WA-9)
Robert Utter, Former Chief Justice, Washington State Supreme Court
Faith Ireland, Former Justice, Washington State Supreme Court
Jennifer Belcher, Former Public Lands Commissioner
Michael J. Murphy, Former Washington State Treasurer
Ron Sims, Former King County Executive
Jolene Unsoeld, Former United States Congresswoman (WA-3)
Rosemary McAuliffe, Washington State Senate (D-1)
Luis Moscoso, Washington State House of Representatives (D-1)
Derek Stanford, Washington State House of Representatives (D-1)
Andy Billig, Washington State House of Representatives (D-3)
Margarita Prentice, Washington State Senate (D-11)
Bob Hasegawa, Washington State House of Representatives (D-11)
Brian Blake, Washington State House of Representatives (D-19)
Mary Helen Roberts, Washington State House of Representatives (D-21)
Karen Fraser, Washington State Senate (D-22)
Sam Hunt, Washington State House of Representatives (D-22)
Chris Reykdal, Washington State House of Representatives (D-22)
Sherry Appleton, Washington State House of Representatives (D-23)
Christine Rolfes, Washington State Senate (D-23)
Steve Tharinger, Washington State House of Representatives (D-24)
Larry Seaquist, Washington State House of Representatives (D-26)
Jeannie Darneille, Washington State House of Representatives (D-27)
Laurie Jinkins, Washington State House of Representatives (D-27)
Tami Green, Washington State House of Representatives (D-28)
Connie Ladenburg, Washington State House of Representatives (D-29)
Steve Kirby, Washington State House of Representatives (D-29)
Maralyn Chase, Washington State Senate (D-32)
Cindy Ryu, Washington State House of Representatives (D-32)
Ruth Kagi, Washington State House of Representatives (D-32)
Karen Keiser, Washington State Senate (D-33)
Dave Upthegrove, Washington State House of Representatives (D-33)
Sharon Nelson, Washington State Senate (D-34)
Eileen Cody, Washington State House of Representatives (D-34)
Kathy Haigh, Washington State House of Representatives (D-35)
Adam Kline, Washington State Senate (D-37)
John McCoy, Washington State House of Representatives (D-38)
Mike Sells, Washington State House of Representatives (D-38)
Kristine Lytton, Washington State House of Representatives (D-40)
Marcie Maxwell, Washington State House of Representatives (D-41)
Jamie Pedersen, Washington State House of Representatives (D-43)
Hans Dunshee, Washington State House of Representatives (D-44)
Gerry Pollet, Washington State House of Representatives (D-46)
Sharon Wylie, Washington State House of Representatives (D-49)
Jim Moeller, Washington State House of Representatives (D-49)
Julia Patterson, King County Councilmember
Larry Phillips, King County Councilmember
Lloyd Hara, King County Assessor
Gael Tarleton, Port of Seattle Commissioner
Brian Sullivan, Snohomish County Councilmember
Stephanie Wright, Snohomish County Councilmember
Dave Gossett, Shohomish County Councilmember
John Lovick, Snohomish County Sheriff
Cindy Portmann, Snohomish County Assessor
Sonya Kraski, Snohomish County Clerk
Doug Lasher, Clark County Treasurer
David Peterson, Kitsap County Clerk
Sandra Romero, Thurston County Commissioner
Karen Valenzuela, Thurston County Commissioner
Shawn Myers, Thurston County Treasurer
Steven Drew, Thurston County Assessor
George Barner, Thurston County Port Commissioner
Mike Doherty, Clallam County Commissioner
Bruce Walker, Pacific County Assessor
Jean Godden, Seattle City Councilmember
Richard Conlin, Seattle City Councilmember
Bruce Harrell, Seattle City Councilmember
Tom Rasmussen, Seattle City Councilmember
Ray Stephanson, Everett Mayor
Lauren Walker, Tacoma City Councilmember
Ryan Mello, Tacoma City Councilmember
Anders Ibsen, Tacoma City Councilmember
Dennis Higgins, Kent City Councilmember
Dana Ralph, Kent City Councilmember
Joan McBride, Kirkland Mayor
Jim Cooper, Olympia City Council
Karen Rogers, Olympia City Council
Jeff Gadman, Lacey City Councilmember
Ron Lawson, Lacey City Councilmember
Cynthia Pratt, Lacey City Councilmember
Andy Ryder, Lacey City Councilmember
Carol Arends, Bremerton City Councilmember
Greg Wheeler, Bremerton City Councilmember
Leslie Daugs, Bremerton City Councilmember
Sissi Bruch, Port Angeles City Councilmember
Ken Hays, Sequim Mayor
Laura Dubois, Sequim City Councilmember
Gerald Robinson, Burien City Councilmember
Joan Cathey, Tumwater City Councilmember
Tom Oliva, Tumwater City Councilmember
Wayne Ehlers, Former Washington State Representative and Speaker of the House (D-2)
Valoria Loveland, Former Franklin County Treasurer and Washington State Senator (D-16)
Bill Smitherman, Former Washington State Senator (D-26)
Nancy Rust, Former Washington State Representative (D-32)
Harriet Spanel, Former Washington State Senator (D-40)
Pat Thibaudeau, Former Washington State Senator (D-43)
Dawn Mason, Former Washington State Representative (D-37)
Val Ogden, Former Washington State Representative (D-49)
Mary Ann Ottinger, Former King County District Court Judge
Mary Verner, Former Spokane Mayor
Cathy Pearsall-Stipek, Former Pierce County Auditor

3) Sam Reed has been pushing to count the ballots that are received by election day (like in Oregon) rather than the ones postmarked by election day. Do you support or oppose this?

Although many are frustrated by the length of time it takes to get final election results, I do not support changing the due date for ballot returns. First, we have required ballots to be postmarked by Election Day for about 30 years. Changing this practice will disenfranchise many who have consistently voted in this state. Second, the legislature recently changed the primary date to ensure overseas and military voters could receive and return ballots by Election Day. We have had a system of requiring votes to be postmarked by Election Day and this will once again shorten the timeframe for our service men and women overseas. Third, we are facing federal cutbacks to our US Postal Service. The future of regional post offices is uncertain. If postal service declines, the impact on mailed ballots could mean additional days for delivery. Requiring the ballots to be dropped off or postmarked by Election Day provides for the most consistent statewide rule where voters do not have to guess when their ballots will be received.

4) What legislation, if any, will you lobby for as Secretary of State?

There are three crucial bills that I will lobby for and make Secretary of State legislation. All three were introduced last year, but did not make it into law.

1. HB 2205 / SB 6128 – Allowing 16 and 17 year olds to preregister to vote

As it stands, 40% of Washingtonians register to vote when they get their driver’s license. This system works well, but it currently precludes our sons and daughters who get their driver’s license before the age of 18 from participating in this successful program. Allowing them to preregister will increase access to voting and actively engage young people in the political processes.

This is a crucial bill and I’m honored to have the support of Rep. Billig, the prime sponsor of this legislation.

2. SB 6127/HB 2204 – Election Day Registration

This is a necessary step towards greater access that will allow all of our citizens to vote in elections, even if they have not registered ahead of the election. This policy needs a supportive Secretary of State who is willing to work with local Auditors to implement the plan and involve community organizations to assist in the efforts.

3. HB 2612 / SB 6381 – The Washington State Voting Rights Act

This bill will allow communities with a history of racism to work towards transforming their election system from an at large system to one that is district based and does not disenfranchise communities of color. I’m enthusiastic about working on this bill, having previously met with the students who led the research towards this effort and many of the stakeholder groups that are working introduce more fairness for all into our system.

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Sports Radio Discovers the Seattle Times Puke-Funnel

by Lee — Thursday, 6/14/12, 9:47 pm

Over the past year, as I’ve been commuting downtown every day, I’ve become a fan of ESPN Radio. In particular, I really like the 9am show with former NFL QB Brock Huard and Mike Salk. And over the past few days, as the possibility of getting a new arena has slowly gathered steam, they’ve been introduced to something that political nerds like us have known for a while: the Seattle Times editorial board is a complete laughingstock.

It started last week when Salk responded to their editorial by pointing out the poor logic in saying that there’s only a finite amount of money that people will spend on sports and that bringing an NBA team back will threaten the Mariners and Seahawks.

A few days later, Bruce Ramsey gets a few basic facts wrong in a “Civil Disagreements” section discussion with Lynne Varner. Even stranger, he doesn’t even seem to grasp that the things he demands of an arena deal are largely satisfied with what Christopher Hansen is trying to do. So this morning, Ramsey actually agreed to be on their show, and my goodness, it was brutal. You can listen to it here. I almost felt sorry for him. Almost.

It does make me feel a little better to know that folks even outside of the political realm are starting to realize what a disaster our last daily print newspaper’s editorial board has become.

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A Positive Sign

by Carl Ballard — Thursday, 6/14/12, 8:26 pm

Post Wisconsin there’s reason to worry about corporate cash flowing to Mitt Romney. But I agree with Blue Texan that it’s good for the Democratic brand.

The Democratic Party’s embrace of Wall Street in the 1990s has been a disaster for the country and the party. It’s led to horrible policies such as the repeal of New Deal banking regulations — and badly diluted the brand.

Let’s go back to welcoming their hatred, please.

The only thing I’d add is that it also probably means something positive about banking reform as a policy. It’s certainly not perfect by a long shot, but if it pisses off the bankers, it can’t be totally toothless.

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Cheap thrills

by N in Seattle — Thursday, 6/14/12, 3:42 pm

Here in New Hampshire, beer and wine are available at grocery stores, convenience stores, general stores. Liquor can only be purchased at the 77 state-owned, state-run liquor stores scattered around the state.

You may be familiar with this type of system for the sale of alcoholic beverages.

I stopped in a state store — one of their specialty wine & spirits stores — this afternoon. I’m not familiar with a lot of Washington’s liquor prices, so I couldn’t make anything like a comprehensive comparison between NH and WA prices. But there’s one particular item that I do know about, because I bought a bottle of it a few weeks ago back home in Seattle. That was before the privatization change-over. IOW, before the prices went up.

I paid $44.95 for a 1.75 liter bottle of Bombay Dry Gin (not the Sapphire variant) in a Washington state store. By all indications, were I to buy it today (I’m not really sure where it’s sold these days), that bottle would cost somewhat more than that.

New Hampshire was having a sale on Bombay today, charging $3.00 less than its standard list price. So that 1.75L bottle wouldn’t have set me back the usual $27.99; I could have walked out of that state store with it after putting a $24.99 charge on my credit card.

For the numerically-minded, the price at the New Hampshire store was only 54.3% of the Washington state store price (the regular price would have been 60.9%). The NH price would be an even smaller proportion of the private-store Washington price, or so I’m told.

Ain’t privatization grand?

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Open Thread 6/14

by Carl Ballard — Thursday, 6/14/12, 8:19 am

– Phone books are a mandate Rob McKenna can get behind.

– 1/3 of all online shopping.

– That’s a lot of military bases near Iran.

– John Edwards is still a creep, but still a creep who won’t be going to jail.

– The amount of money Sheldon Adleson has to spend is pretty mind blowing.

– David Brooks, wtf?

– And not to pick on The New York Times too much, but this Tumbler of questions for Tom Freedman is brilliant [h/t].

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If You’re Upset With This, Why Take it out on Gay Couples?

by Carl Ballard — Wednesday, 6/13/12, 8:50 pm

Starbuck the dog (maybe with some help from his owner BGK) has a good overview of the marriage equality debate shaping up. Go read the whole thing.

While I was there, this particular argument from the anti-side struck me as pretty disingenuous.

While the bill has been amended to provide narrow exemptions for religious organizations that do not choose to be involved in same-sex ceremonies, it contains nothing to provide the same protections for private businesses that refuse service for these ceremonies on the grounds of religious conscience. That invites massive new lawsuits against photographers, bakers and decorators, tuxedo and wedding dress stores, hotels, caterers and others involved in the wedding industry.

I want to be clear here: It should be illegal to discriminate in business in Washington, including in the wedding industry.* Discrimination is wrong, and it doesn’t make sense to carve out this piece from our anti-discrimination laws.

But even if that’s your problem, it seems like this referendum is a pretty poor way of going about solving it. I mean these groups have shown they can gather signatures en masse. If that’s the concern, why not let the marriage equality law pass and get their particular exception to our anti-discrimination laws on the ballot?

[Read more…]

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Yay for Someone Else’s Problem

by Carl Ballard — Wednesday, 6/13/12, 5:14 pm

The tone of this piece is a little odd, but you know what, I support the sentiment.

We love it when Seattle tops a best-cities list. Are Seattlites fashionable? Check. Are we bookish? Sure. Are our hotels and apartments infested with bedbugs?

Not really. At least, not like the ones in Philadelphia.

We’re not in the top 15 (if a survey by a pest control company is accurate, it may well not be).

Anyway, they’re pretty aggressive about keeping bedbugs out in my building. We have posters for how to recognize bedbugs and we had a dog come in a while ago to sniff out each apartment. So as of, like February, I’m good on this front.

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Publicola to Return

by Darryl — Wednesday, 6/13/12, 9:21 am

Via Crosscut:

This is our last post at Crosscut. The team here is great — and founder David Brewster has been particularly gracious and supportive, bringing Erica and me on board so we could continue to report and write. […]

We’re grateful for Brewster’s amazing support, but PubliCola is our thing. And it will live on. More details to come, but the Cola will be back in full force later this month.

Glad to hear it!

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Poll Analysis: Romney squeaks out a little more

by Darryl — Tuesday, 6/12/12, 7:03 pm


Obama Romney
99.2% probability of winning 0.8% probability of winning
Mean of 313 electoral votes Mean of 225 electoral votes

The previous analysis showed President Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney with a mean of 321 to 217 electoral votes, and a 99.4% probability of winning an election held now.

Since then, eighteen new polls covering fourteen states have been released:

start end sample % % %
st poll date date size MOE O R diff
CO Rasmussen 06-Jun 06-Jun 500 4.5 45 45 tie
CO Purple Poll 31-May 05-Jun 600 4.0 48 46 O+2
CT Quinnipiac 29-May 03-Jun 1408 2.6 50 38 O+12
FL Purple Poll 31-May 05-Jun 600 4.0 45 49 R+4
FL PPP 31-May 03-Jun 642 3.9 50 46 O+4
IA Rasmussen 11-Jun 11-Jun 500 4.5 46 47 R+1
MI EPIC/MRA 02-Jun 05-Jun 600 — 45 46 R+1
MN PPP 31-May 03-Jun 973 3.1 54 39 O+15
MO Rasmussen 07-Jun 07-Jun 500 4.5 42 49 R+7
NY Siena 03-Jun 06-Jun 807 3.4 59 35 O+24
NC PPP 07-Jun 10-Jun 810 3.4 46 48 R+2
ND Mason-Dixon 04-Jun 06-Jun 625 4.5 39 52 R+13
OH Purple Poll 31-May 05-Jun 600 4.0 45 48 R+3
PA Quinnipiac 05-Jun 06-Jun 997 3.1 46 40 O+6
PA Franklin & Marshall 29-May 04-Jun 412 4.8 48 36 O+12
VA Purple Poll 31-May 05-Jun 600 4.0 49 46 O+3
VA Quinnipiac 30-May 04-Jun 1282 2.7 47 42 O+5
WI We Ask America 06-Jun 06-Jun 1270 2.8 48 43 O+5

[Read more…]

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  • Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza! Friday, 5/2/25
  • Friday Open Thread Friday, 5/2/25
  • Today’s Open Thread (Or Yesterday’s, or Last Year’s, depending On When You’re Reading This… You Know How Time Works) Wednesday, 4/30/25
  • Drinking Liberally — Seattle Tuesday, 4/29/25
  • Monday Open Thread Monday, 4/28/25
  • Monday Open Thread Monday, 4/28/25

Tweets from @GoldyHA

I no longer use Twitter because, you know, Elon is a fascist. But I do post occasionally to BlueSky @goldyha.bsky.social

From the Cesspool…

  • We found the Waste on Friday, Baby!
  • His Holiness Robert Prevost on Wednesday Open Thread
  • Roger Rabbit on Friday, Baby!
  • Vicious Troll on Wednesday Open Thread
  • Roger Rabbit on Wednesday Open Thread
  • Roger Rabbit on Wednesday Open Thread
  • Donnie Definitely Touches Barbie between the legs on Friday, Baby!
  • Roger Rabbit on Wednesday Open Thread
  • Roger Rabbit on Friday, Baby!
  • Roger Rabbit on Friday, Baby!

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