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Last fall I walked into the McDonald’s on Madison Street in Seattle to order myself a metaphor. The point was to demonstrate how incredibly cheap fast food is by historical standards, and how little impact a $15 an hour minimum wage would really have on fast food prices.

I estimated that even if the entire cost of raising the minimum wage to $15 was passed on to consumers (and it wouldn’t be), menu prices would rise by only 20 percent, tops. Probably closer to 16 percent. Maybe as little as 10 percent.

And considering that, adjusted for inflation, the same 15 cents that bought you a McDonald’s hamburger back in 1948 buys you a $1.49 double cheeseburger today, it’s hard to argue that consumers can’t afford to pay a little bit more for their burgers.

Friday I walked into that exact same McDonald’s and paid $1.69 for the exact same double cheeseburger, a 13.5 percent price hike in less than six months. And yet for all the warnings from the industry that higher prices would drive away customers, it was business as usual at the Madison Street McDonald’s.

The fact is, restaurants and other businesses implement price hikes like these all the time, for various reasons, and nobody notices! In the worst case scenario for franchise owners under the proposed minimum wage ordinance, their labor costs would rise by no more than 18 percent a year over three years, before being indexed to inflation. But labor only accounts for a third of their costs. Pass all of that along to consumers (and again, they won’t), and you are looking at just a 6 percent annual price hike—less than half the rise in double cheeseburger prices just since December.

To put that in perspective—using the industry’s same minimum-wage-hikes-equals-higher-prices math in reverse—if all of the gains from a 13.5 percent price hike were passed on to employees in the form of higher wages, Madison Street McDonald’s workers would be making about $13.35 an hour today! Just from charging the equivalent of 20 cents more for a double cheeseburger! A price hike that customers apparently accepted with a shrug, if they noticed at all!

So let’s not pretend that fast food franchisees can’t afford to cover the cost of raising the minimum wage to $15 over three years, when they routinely pass on to consumers similar cost increases all the time.

– On Friday I had a breezy piece on the filing deadline. Joel Connelly has more info.

– Spitting, Stalking, Rape Threats: How Gun Extremists Target Women

– I’m excited about a possibility of a coal free state of Washington (Columbian link).

– You know the GOP are extreme on immigration when their leadership won’t even let the ENLIST Act come up for a vote.

– Rep. Matt Manweller’s plan to put a surcharge on one concert venue only to pay for medical bills seems maybe not as thought out as he would like.

– In Which I Cross All Limits To Acceptable Human Law

– Anyone enjoying museum week?

Last week’s contest was a tough one, it went unsolved as of Saturday morning. It was Rosario, Argentina.

This week’s contest is a random location somewhere in the state of Hawaii, good luck!

Deuteronomy 28:53
And you shall eat the fruit of your womb, the flesh of your sons and daughters, whom the LORD your God has given you, in the siege and in the distress with which your enemies shall distress you.

Yummy. Discuss.

Got student dept? So do these politicians.

Greenman: Dark Snow Project, 2014:

Massive Right Wing March on Washington to Overtake the Government:

• David Pakman: “Patriotic” group march on D.C. to drive Obama from office.
• Young Turks: Operation American Spring!!!
• Maddow: Arrest Obama, Pt 1
• Maddow: Arrest Obama, Pt 2
• Sam Seder reports on “Operation American Spring” that calls for millions to overthrow Obama.

Thom: Why Mitch McConnell should be fired for VA Death Panels.

Liberal Viewer: Are most terrorists Muslim?

Ann Telnaes: Chris Christie is back to his charming self.

Stephen takes on #BringBackOurGirls.

Pap: Big Pharma’s deceitful practices.

The Totally Normal Idaho GOP Gubernatorial Primary Debate:

• HuffPo: Lessons from the Idaho GOP Primary debate
• Highlights from the great Idaho debate.

• Young Turks: Idaho GOP debate gets kkkraaaaaaazzzzzyyyyyy.
• Chris Hayes: The Cartoonish GOP debate
• More highlights from Idaho.

Stephen calls BS on Amazon’s newest patent.

Thom: The GOP is no different from Boka Haram.

Donald Sterling’s inner monologue.

Jon explains India’s election.

ONN: The Onion Week in Review.

Jon on Rush on Michelle on the kidnapped Nigerian girls (via TalkingPointsMemo).

Mental Floss: The surprising hobbies of many well known persons.

Sam Seder: The humiliating GOP Obamacare hearing.

Thom: Cliven Bundy is The Ugly American.

John Oliver’s How is this Still a Thing? Dressing up as other races.

BENGHAAAAAAAZZZZZZZZIIII!I!!11!!1!!!!!:

• Mark Fiore: Learn to speak BENGHAZI.
• Ed: Republicans engage in some more dishonesty….
• Sharpton: Why GOP’s Benghazi witch-hunt will never be Watergate.
• Ari Melber: The GOP fundraising stunt, Part I
• Ari Melber: The GOP fundraising stunt, Part II
• Alex Wagner: The big GOP recycle job, Part I
• Alex Wagner: The big GOP recycle job, Part II

White House: West Wing Week.

Stephen does Glen Greenwald.

Young Turks: White bred Republicans.

WaPo: The private life of Jacqueline Kennedy.

Morgan Ferretti: Brain damage and other awful things.

Dr. Karl Rove, M.D.:

• Young Turks: Karl Rove’s latest dirty trick
• Stephen is worried about Karl Rove’s brain AND ass.
• David Pakman: Hillary’s brain injury.
• Sam Seder: Disgusting Rove
• Jon: Donald Sterling and Karl Rove.
• Sharpton: KKKarl Rove gets schooled.

David Pakman: Right wing policies are literally killing women.

Eric Schwartz: STFU Ann Coulter:

Jon: The Media receive a miracle!

Thom: Why can’t we all be Sarah Palin?

Ann Telnaes: One man…lots of votes.

Young Turks: Free health clinics are closing…THANKS ObamaCare!!!

The FCC wishes happy 25th to the World Wide Web.

Sam Seder and Ari Berman: The Voter Fraud Myth.

Rubio Goes to School:

• Young Turks: Prof. Marco Rubio (R-Nutsville) on anthropogenic climate disruption..
• Sam Seder: Rubio thinks he knows more about climate change than climate scientists.
• Ari Melber: Marco Rubio, Rand Paul & the GOP’s “Flat Earth Society”
• Chris Hayes: Rubio and the GOP Climate Denialists
• Ed and Pap and Gov. Schweitzer: The dull brain of Marco Rubio.
• Joy-Ann Reid: Rubio on climate.
• David Pakman: Rubio is no climate scientist.

David Pakman: Even Mitt Romney says raise the minimum wage.

Jon rips Harry Reid for his Koch obsession and Adelson amnesia.

A Republican explains Godzilla:

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

It snuck up on me this year, but it looks like if you had to file for office, in Washington, your chance is up. Here’s the list for Congressional, legislative, and court races.

Not much jumped out at me, but I will say as a history/civics nerd, kudos to Mike The Mover for running on the National Union Party line. Not enough to make me vote for him if I lived in the district, but well done nonetheless.

With the last few days so nice, a lot of people have decided to take their bike to work (yay!). And some of those people are riding on the otherwise bus only 3rd Avenue Downtown (boo?). Most of the time, as someone who bikes and takes buses in bike and bus lanes, I love that they exist, and can mostly coexist. Going from Downtown to Ballard in either mode is enhanced by lanes that bikes and buses can both use. And normally when someone complains about those damn bikes in the car lanes, the proper response is to complain about how poorly they must be driving if they can’t get around and to remind them that the roads are for everybody.

But 3rd Ave, at least during rush hour, isn’t for everybody. It’s to get buses as quickly through downtown as possible given how shitty the rest of Downtown is for traffic. If you slow down a car that was already inching along, or that could go around, it’s not as big of a deal as slowing down a bus in a corridor where that isn’t the case.

And look, I realize that 2nd and 4th are one way, and on a hill, so it can be problematic to ride a bike from one to the other to get going the right direction. And I’m certainly not advocating ticketing bicyclists like they ticket cars. It’s one of the few situations where I’m not sure it’s better to have bikes.

Really, Ed? It’s not even worth talking about?

Murray said Thursday he let the group know that the city council is not prepared to rework a Memorandum of Understanding between the city, county and Hansen to build a Sodo arena for a hockey team ahead of an NBA franchise.

“They wanted to explore the possibility of opening the MOU so a hockey team would go first,” Murray said. “My read right now is that opening up the MOU is not something the council is interested in at this time.”

Why? Why on earth would we be unwilling to even consider reopening the MOU in the interest of bringing an NHL team to Seattle? I presume, because Murray just wants to kill the whole McGinn-branded SODO arena deal. You know, because.

Sorry, sports fans. If he can’t stamp his name on it, he’s not interested.

This July, five Washington medical marijuana patients will be tried in federal court in Spokane. The plight of these defendants, known as the Kettle Falls Five, has started to gain national attention. Despite the passage of I-502 and the overwhelming popular support across the nation for allowing the use of medical marijuana, the ugliest aspects of the drug war continue in this state, if only in the parts where fewer people live.

The facts of the case are relatively simple. On August 9, 2012, police came to the home of 70-year-old Larry Harvey and his 55-year-old wife Rhonda Firestack-Harvey in Kettle Falls, WA. The Harveys had a collective garden of marijuana plants used to provide relief for themselves and three others patients – their son, his wife, and a family friend – all with valid doctor’s authorizations. Here in Washington state, where an attempt to create a fully regulated medical marijuana distribution system failed in 2011, this was still the only proper legal avenue for medical marijuana patients to provide for themselves.

During this initial visit by police, Harvey was in violation of state law in only one way. He had too many plants in his garden. Collective gardens are limited to 15 plants per patient with a maximum of 45. Many gardens have tried to get around the maximum limit by establishing multiple plots on a single property, but officials generally don’t allow that when they come across it. As a result, police confiscated the 29 plants over the limit and left them with 45.

In most parts of the state, that would be the end of it. Here in very rural Stevens County, it wasn’t. A week later, another group of law enforcement officials showed up. These were federal officials, and federal law still maintains that any amount of marijuana is illegal. During this raid, they took all the plants and confiscated their car, motorcycle, ATV, computers, cash, and several legally owned firearms. The U.S. Attorney’s office for Eastern Washington is charging all five as drug traffickers, using the confiscated firearms as justification for the harsh charges. Because of federal mandatory minimums, all five are facing minimums of a decade or more behind bars.

Ever since Obama came into office, there have been assurances that the federal government will respect state marijuana laws. But the memos issued by the DOJ to provide guidance have given individual U.S. Attorneys enough leeway to bring about these types of senseless prosecutions. In Washington, the more liberal western half of the state has been more lenient. In the more conservative eastern half, under U.S. Attorney Mike Ormsby, we’ve seen several prosecutions of individuals who were attempting to comply with state law.

In the end, five individuals who pose no threat whatsoever to society will be sitting in a Spokane courtroom this summer fighting to stay out of jail for decades. None of these individuals were doing anything different from what thousands of other Washington residents have been doing. And yet, because of the way federal trials are stacked against defendants, none of the five will be able to present evidence that they were medical marijuana patients or that they were attempting to comply with state law. None of those facts are relevant in a federal trial so federal judges routinely bar those defenses from being made.

Even worse, the seriousness of the charges being thrown at these defendants comes from the fact that they were also legal gun owners. Even putting aside the fact that gun ownership in rural Stevens County isn’t unusual, folks who maintain medical marijuana gardens across the state are at a higher risk of having armed intruders trying to rob them. It makes sense for them to be armed. They’d be crazy not to have guns for their own protection. Yet this fact has allowed Ormsby’s office to charge these five innocent people as if they were operating as some kind of dangerous drug cartel. This is completely insane.

It’s hard to accept that this level of bullshit still happens in Washington in 2014. When this trial begins in July, adult residents of Spokane will be able to walk into newly-opened state-licensed retail stores and buy marijuana for recreational use. Yet this trial will continue in that same city, within a giant bubble of bullshit carefully crafted to blindfold the reality that the Harveys are the real victims here. Hopefully, the pleas to Attorney General Holder will be heard and this outrageous abuse of power will be ended before then.

Seattle Mayor Ed Murray released a 22-page proposal (pdf) today for implementing high-quality universal preschool in Seattle, starting with a four-year demonstration project that would serve 2,000 three- and four-year-olds in 100 classrooms by 2018. If approved by the city council, a $58 million property tax levy ($14.5 million a year) that would add about $43 a year to the average Seattle homeowner’s property tax bill would be put before voters on the November, 2014 ballot.

(FYI, while the document is boldly labeled “Mayor Murray’s Proposal,” it is largely the result of an effort led by city council member Tim Burgess long before Murray was sworn in as mayor. So credit where credit is due.)

I’ve only just skimmed the proposal, so you’ll have to wait for a more detailed analysis, but my initial response is that it is very thorough, very promising, and not quite as ambitious as I had hoped for.

During the demonstration period, enrollment would be open to all 4-year-olds, and all 3-year-olds from families earning less than 300 percent of the federal poverty level ($71,550 for a family of four). Tuition would be free for students below 200 percent of the federal poverty level ($47,700 for a family of four), and subsidized on a sliding scale based on income. Families up to 600 percent of poverty ($143,100) would pay no more than 40 percent of the project $10,700 per student costs.

That’s a bargain. So of course demand will far outstrip supply. Enrollment will be prioritized to children already in the program (the previous year’s three-year-olds), children with siblings concurrently in the program, and geographic proximity to the classroom. The plan calls for prioritizing the initial placement of classrooms in neighborhoods with the lowest levels of academic achievement. These enrollment and location priorities will tilt demonstration project access to Seattle’s neediest families.

The stated 15- to 20-year goal is to serve 80 percent of of all three- and four-year-olds from families under 300 percent of poverty by 2035. Which like I said, could be more ambitious. But considering the existing constraints on both classroom infrastructure and trained teachers, the demonstration program looks like a very good start.

Again, this is a very thorough proposal, so a more thorough analysis will have to wait. But with both $15 minimum wage and universal preschool proposals working their way through council, 2014 is shaping up to be a very exciting year.

In the comment threads at HA and elsewhere, some critics have shrugged off the looming Metro bus service cuts in suburban and exurban King County by asserting that most folks out there already have cars. Eliminate the less efficient feeder routes, they argue, and just focus on providing more park and ride spots. Which I suppose would be a welcome solution for Mercer Islanders accustomed to fighting for spots at its overcrowded park and ride.

But for the suburban poor, not so much.

The problem is, not everybody owns a car and not everybody who does own a car can really afford one. According to AAA’s annual Your Driving Costs report (pdf), released just this week, the average cost of car ownership is $8,876 a year.  By comparison, a full-time worker earning the Washington State minimum wage of $9.32 only takes home $19,385 in pre-tax income.

Of course, you can drive for less. But not as much less as you might imagine. AAA estimates average depreciation and finance charges at $3,510 and $847 respectively. So if you inherited a 15-year-old car from your grandmother, you can subtract that. But older cars generally have lower average fuel economy and higher annual maintenance costs (AAA estimates about 5 cents a mile for normal routine maintenance and wear and tear just over the first five years of the car, plus another penny a mile for tires), so you gotta figure those costs would be substantially higher on your typical beater. As for insurance, sure you can save bucks by declining collision and comprehensive on grannie’s clunker, but the poor generally have lower credit ratings and thus higher insurance rates, and the young (or their parents), well, they’re just generally screwed when it comes to auto insurance.

So when every penny is counted, I’d be surprised if there are many folks who can drive a car for much less than $4,000 a year. By comparison, a two-zone Metro bus pass costs $108 a month.

One of the side effects of Seattle’s booming economy and relatively strong real estate market is that we have been relentlessly driving our middle class families, let alone the working poor, out of the city and into cheaper suburban housing. It’s a tradeoff: longer commutes in exchange for lower rent. But for many households who rented an apartment or purchased a house based on proximity to a bus route that is no longer there, adding a car to their monthly budget just doesn’t pencil out.

Short term, there’s not much Seattle voters can do for suburban bus commuters. But we shouldn’t just shrug off their plight.

– I’m assuming we won’t see any opinion pieces from Senator Pearson complaining that people breaking the law to get their way on steelhead release are bullies. [h/t to Roger in the comments]

– Congrats to Idaho couples and activists.

– The Clackamas County Clerk is sure a decent person doing her job well, so stop saying that she isn’t.

– Recess Shrinks At Seattle Schools; Poor Schools Fare Worst

– Ramesh Ponnuru is one of the conservatives that the liberal intelligentsia loves to like. He isn’t a James Dobson bible-beater, nor is he a Louie Gohmert reactionary. He’s the kind of conservative who wears a suit, speaks in measured tones, and is still a liar.

– Here are some South Sound sports.

Goddamn liberal Seattle and its goddamn job-killing liberal policies!

April’s jobless rate of 6.1 percent was down from 6.3 percent a month earlier.

Joblessness in the Seattle metro area, which includes Bellevue and Everett, also declined two-tenths of a percentage point in April, to 5.0 percent.

As usual, Seattle accounted for most of the state’s job growth, with 7,100 of the 7,700 total coming from King and Snohomish counties alone.

No wonder the rest of the state hates us: our high taxes are stealing their jobs!

State Senator Kirk Pearson takes a strong stance against bullying. Is he opposed to people beating up kids because they’re gay? Maybe, but not in this article. Is he trying to figure out a way to make sure that schools and workplaces are free from harassment? No! He’s against bullying to the extent that it’s a metaphor for advocating a position he doesn’t like (Everett Herald link).

Most of us have to deal with bullying at some point in our lives. The key is to recognize the type of bullying you face and make sure that you don’t respond the way the bully wants. Most of all, you should never give in to intimidation or threats, lest you plan to hand your milk money over on a regular basis.

That’s how it is in movies and TV, but I’m not so sure it’s how it works best in real life. Maybe go to an authority figure? I don’t know, it probably depends on your specific situation. Anyway, OK, so that’s a setup. Now maybe we can smoothly transition away from that and talk about the thing he wants to talk about.

It’s a lesson the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife apparently has yet to learn. The agency claims its mission includes providing sustainable fish and wildlife recreational and commercial opportunities, yet it recently slashed fishing opportunities by cutting a deal with Wild Fish Conservancy — a bully threatening the state with lawsuits.

OK. So a group saying that they’ll sue if they don’t think the state is living up to its responsibility hardly sounds like a bully. More like fairly routine. Lawsuits and the threat of a lawsuit are part of the way these environmental protection laws are designed. You can disagree with it if you want (and for what it’s worth, I don’t have any opinion one way or the other), but it’s not really accurate to say that just because you disagree with it, that it’s bullying. Anyway, then for a while he talks about policy, and then more leaning on his shitty metaphor.

By giving in to bullying, DFW has created an unequitable and unacceptable situation for sport fishermen, tribes and our state’s economy as a whole.

Does Senator Pearson understand that actual people are actually the victim of actual bullying? Because I feel like he might choose a different metaphor if he did.

True, the federal court agreement will keep the bully at bay for the next 2 ½ years at most, preventing the Wild Fish Conservancy from suing DFW over its Puget Sound hatchery programs during that time. But like any bully, it is likely that the group will simply resume the pursuit of its agenda by threat and lawsuit once that window has closed. And what is to prevent others from seeing the success of this tactic and launching similar bullying strategies of their own?

Like any bully, if you hammer out an agreement with them in Federal court, they’ll be back. Look, I realize that not every metaphor works. Lord knows that.

Seattle Times columnist Danny Westneat gets it half right when it comes to special levies:

If you’re feeling fatigue at all this, council members say: Blame Tim Eyman. The property-tax cap inspired by Eyman forces the city into paying for services “a la carte,” one special request at a time. They said constantly asking for more money creates a perception that taxes are high, but they remain about average for a big city.

“The reason we keep going back to this well is because of Tim Eyman,” Burgess said.

Except other local cities have figured out how to survive under Eyman’s boot heel without being in a perpetual state of need or crisis. Bellevue, for instance, has only one special levy, a parks tax that passed six years ago.

Um, so here’s the thing, Danny: We’re not Bellevue. Or Renton. Or Issaquah. Or Zillah for that matter. We’re Seattle. Which means we have different values and different needs than other cities. I don’t expect Snoqualmie, for example to feel it necessary to raise taxes to buy back in-city bus routes. But then, Snoqualmie’s not nearly as transit dependent as Seattle is. So if they don’t want to pay extra to preserve Metro, that’s up to them. But Seattle is different.

Do you think other cities are magically spending money more efficiently than Seattle? No, they’re just making the political decision to provide fewer public services. Should Seattle reject universal preschool simply because none of our neighboring cities pay for it?

The point to remember, and it’s one I’ve emphasized repeatedly, is that none of these special levies and transportation benefit districts would have been necessary without Eyman’s initiatives. The whole purpose of these initiatives was to force the funding of public services to a la carte public votes. And with the sole exception of universal preschool, all of the levies we’re being asked to approve are to preserve existing services, not create new ones.

Seattle is not a high tax city. Never has been. So rather than comparing ourselves to how other King County cities tax themselves (none of which compare to Seattle in any way), we should be focusing on what we need, what we want, and what we can afford.