Well…I got a late start at it, but here is your open thread for the GOP debate…

I’ll add some snark and tweetery as the mood strikes.

So…one of the reasons I am so late is that I didn’t realize there was no livestream from CNBC. I ended up on some live-feed that includes a panel of wingnut pundits. Google infowars.com and livestream or something.

One pundit dude refers to “Paul Rino” and later says he doesn’t think Rubio is unqualified.

That Rubio-Jeb(!) exchange is like when your kid whips your ass in one-on-one for the 1st time.

— Chris Cillizza (@TheFix) October 29, 2015

5:43: Issues? Issues anyone?

5:47: I agree with Cruz…let’s put some substance into this debate!

5:48: Of course, Cruz dodged a debt ceiling question in the process.

I don't know if anybody else has noticed, but Carly Fiorina consistently comes of as a tad unlikeable. #GOPDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

5:49: Awwwwww…that’s adorable. They let Rand talk.

5:50: Christie gets a turn. Christie claims the govt. lies to you about Social Security, and then goes on to make the amateurish mistake of calling it “an entitlement”. It isn’t. You paid in.

I don't know if anybody else has noticed, but Carly Fiorina consistently comes of as a tad unlikeable. #GOPDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

Mike Huckabee to Ted Cruz: Keep your Big Government hands off my Social Security.

— Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) October 29, 2015

Remember how the RNC was going to keep GOP debates all civil and orderly this time?

— Kasie Hunt (@kasie) October 29, 2015

By the way, how come Rubio gets counted down for his youth and inexperience while Cruz, the same age and experience, gets a pass?

— David Horsey (@davidhorsey) October 29, 2015

Good question!

Are we at the "I was a poor kid and now I'm rich" part of the debate? #WheresTheFastForwardButton? #GOPDebate #CNBCGOPDebate

— Left Out Loud (@LeftOutLoud) October 29, 2015

Cruz, "My dad was a single mom…."

— Darryl Holman (@hominidviews) October 29, 2015

So far, the moderators are doing the most damaging thing possible to @realDonaldTrump: ignoring him

— Jon Favreau (@jonfavs) October 29, 2015

6:18: Carson is ALL for equal rights for same sex couples…but NO MARRIAGE!

Actually, Ben Carson, believing that LGBT People should have fewer rights than straight people DOES in fact make you a homophobe #GOPDebate

— Will McLeod (@WillMcLeod99) October 29, 2015

Guys, I think Jeb Bush has to make out with Obama: https://t.co/gfDGjXHcJP pic.twitter.com/2c3xUD2QkJ

— igorvolsky (@igorvolsky) October 29, 2015

6:27: The Donald goes after SuperPacs…is he running for Bernie’s VP?

All night candidates have smelled blood, unfortunately for the moderators it's their own

— Joe St. George (@JoeStGeorge) October 29, 2015

6:30: Cruz, “Loose money”. For some reason David Vitter jumps to mind….

I’m still blown away that CNBC couldn’t cite the source on the Trump question. IT’S ON HIS WEBSITE. https://t.co/1cgzqASUYR

— daveweigel (@daveweigel) October 29, 2015

6:34: Mr. Huckabee, I’ve known gas bags and you are one gas bag.

The CNBC moderators seem like substitute teachers: not particularly competent and bullied by smart-alleck students

— Rick Hasen (@rickhasen) October 29, 2015

Incompetent questioning yes, but this was the most important debate to date: it finished off the Bush campaign.

— David Frum (@davidfrum) October 29, 2015

Kasich: "Income inequality is driven by a lack of skills." Not true. Income inequality is driven by rules that are rigged in favor of the 1%

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

My guess: After this debate gets factored in only R’s over 5% in national poll average will be Trump, Carson, Rubio and Cruz.

— Samuel Minter (@abulsme) October 29, 2015

Trump clearly doesn't understand what somebody wrote in his immigration plan about H1-B visas. #CNBCGOPDebate

— Josh Rogin (@joshrogin) October 29, 2015

Trump Once Said Of Guns: “Nothing I Like Better Than Nobody Has Them” https://t.co/sEx6df62bl

— Andrew Kaczynski (@BuzzFeedAndrew) October 29, 2015

So far, I think every candidate has had a moment worth touting or YouTubing… except Bush. #NBC2016

— Chuck Todd (@chucktodd) October 29, 2015

6:52: Christie, “When I’m president, police will know it!” Yep. Overtime traffic jam duty pay.

Fiorina makes call for return to Lochner era, saying that there's no constitutional authority for the government to set min wage. #GOPDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

Clearly, somebody is doing well in his fantasy football league (amirite, Gov Christie?) #GOPDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

Christie just ate Bush's lunch! And probably others. Now this is the inning we have to get some runs!!

— Bill Maher (@billmaher) October 29, 2015

Were this an actual horse race, I'm pretty sure the entire field would be shot. #GOPDebate https://t.co/lD5KIbSCwq

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

Winners: Rubio Cruz Christie Losers: Paul Trump CNBC

— Noah Rothman (@NoahCRothman) October 29, 2015

Huckabee thinks it's easy to eradicate diseases because he knows they don't evolve. #GOPDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

Fiorina: "The federal government should not be in a lot of things. The only things they should be in are marriages & women's private areas."

— Craig Rozniecki (@CraigRozniecki) October 29, 2015

7:10: Chris Christie’s run-on, repeated rant is the second “runaway blimp” story of the day!

Chris Christie using that "keep your hands on your wallet line again." (Though to be fair, whenever I'm in NJ I keep my hands on my wallet.)

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

7:15: Christie repeatedly said he was “deadly serious” about changing things. Did he mean “dead serious”? In any case, brings to mind that bridge traffic jam….

Rand Paul wants a government so small he can't see it. Like a GOP penis. #GOPDebate

— Wonkette (@Wonkette) October 29, 2015

Trump promises America a lifetime of shorter debates. pic.twitter.com/I7OGMHAICl

— Jim Roberts (@nycjim) October 29, 2015

#CNBCGOPDebate Shut up #MikeHuckabee You're there to sell your book.

— esd2000 (@esd2000) October 29, 2015

"I will change the culture in Washington," says the son and brother of two of the last four presidents. #GOPDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 29, 2015

That concludes tonight's debate. We return to ongoing blimp coverage underway in Pennsylvania pic.twitter.com/L1eDPf1nph

— Tim Mak (@timkmak) October 29, 2015

@srjones66 I thought tonight's GOP debate was won by @BernieSanders and @HlLLARY split evenly

— ChuckTv (@Chucktv2) October 29, 2015

Well…that was “a thing.” It was my first GOP debate this cycle (and I was mostly listening to the audio), and it was pretty much the vacuous puffery that I expected. The only surprise to me was Trump’s strong statements against PACs. Other than that, Trump was just a meaningless braggart. Rand Paul morphed into Ron Paul, and came off more fringy than ever. Christie spewed pre-prepared platitudes. Rubio sounded angry and whiny. The Huckster is still a nut. Carson said things, but I don’t really remember them. And there were some other people talking, too. The debate moderators were TERRIBLE (and I am sure that is a bipartisan sentiment).

Please join us this evening for a pre-Republican-debate-discussion-group edition of Drinking Liberally. The Seattle Chapter of Drinking liberally meets tonight and every Tuesday at the Roanoke Park Place Tavern, 2409 10th Ave E, Seattle. You’ll find us in the small room at the back of the tavern. We start at 8:00 pm.

Can’t make it to Seattle tonight? Check out one of the other DL meetings happening this week. Tonight the Tri-Cities chapter also meets. On Wednesday, the Burien and Bellingham chapters meet. The Woodinville chapter meets on Thursday. And next Monday, the Yakima and South Bellevue chapters meet.

There are 184 chapters of Living Liberally, including eighteen in Washington state, three in Oregon and one in Idaho. Find—or start—a chapter near you.

Trevor Noah calls Wolf Blitzer a mean girl bully.

Larry Wilmore: Will the NRA suggest arming every toddler?

How gun advocates sound to normal people:

Young Turks: Lincoln Chafee drops out.

The 2016 Festival of Clowns:

• Spooky Republican candidates theme song
• Young Turks: Most Americans hate Republican foreign policy.
• Chris Hayes: Ben Carson is totally confused about Iraq, Afghanistan, 9/11, Osama bin Laden, and Saddaam Hussein
• David Pakman: Ben Carson claims God is behind his campaign.
• Sam Seder: Jeb Bush aims for studly…lands on creepy.
• Farron Cousins: Jeb Bush is in denial over his brother’s many failures
• Sam Seder’s Does Jeb! even know who was President on 11-Sept-2001?
• Trevor Noah: Jeb Bush and the age of Superheros
• George W. Bush has had enough of Ted Cruz.
• David Pakman: George doesn’t like Ted
• Farron Cousins: Sen. Ted Cruz puts his racism on full display.
• Chris Hayes: Trump attacks Bush for 9/11
• Maddow: Trump’s dominance makes him a GOP target.
• Farron Cousins: The Donald has a man-child hissy-fit because he has no secret service protection.
• Chris Hayes: Trump in new BACK to the FUTURE
• Trevor Noah admits Trump is right about something.
• Kimmel mocks Trump for cancelling
• Young Turks: FAUX News says Trump is a “Truther”.
• Ann Telnaes: The Elephants in the room are crying over Trump.
• Young Turks: Trump cannot believe that Carson is beating him in Iowa.
• Jonathan Mann: Donald Trump Sex Doll

White House: West Wing Week.

Red State Update: Political news of the week

BENGHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAaZZZZZIIII!!!!!1!!11!!!

• Thom: The Benghazi hoax.
• Maddow: Benghazi committee is a “partisan carnival”.
• Young Turks: Republicans attack Hillary at Benghazi hearings.
• Priorities USA: 11 Hours.
• Jonathan Mann: Taco Emoji—Clinton Benghazi
• Thom: The prosecution of Hillary Clinton.
• David Pakman: Hillary Clinton destroys loser Republicans in bogus Benghazi hearing
• Maddow: What new did they learn at Benghazi witchhunt?
• Trevor Noah: The never ending investigation.
• Young Turks: Wrap-up of Clinton’s Benghazi testimony.
• Chris Hayes: Democrats demand RNC pay for Benghazi disinfomercial.
• David Pakman: Republicans caught red handed editing Hillary’s emails to smear her
• What you missed: Hillary at the Benghazi hearing.
• Young Turks: Trey Gowdy’s epic Benghazi fail.
• Priorities USA: Games

Thom: The Good, The Bad, and The Very, Very Lutulently Ugly!

Farron Cousins: Republicans are paid to be stupid.

Texas Blues:

• Young Turks: Texas won’t give citizen children of immigrants birth certificates.
• Matthew Filipowicz: Texas violating 14th Amendment by denying birth certificates to immigrant children:

• Farron Cousins: Texas ends funding for Planned Parenthood

Mental Floss: Misconceptions about the Greek and Roman myths.

Farron Cousins: Nutjobber House Republicans are talking about impeaching Clinton when they lose

Trevor Noah: Canada’s hot new Prime Minister.

Ryan Eyes:

• Ann Telnaes: Does the GOP have Paul Ryan’s Back?
• Sam Seder: Paul Ryan’s heartfelt list of demands.
• Young Turks: House laughs at Ryan’s demands…Ryan runs anyway.
• Your chance to totally agree with Paul Ryan.
• Reid supports Ryan
• Trevor Noah: The Daily Show show uncovers more of Paul Ryan’s demands.
• Chris Hayes to Rep. Michael Burgess: “Why is this not a terrible idea?”

Ole Miss students want Mississippi state flag off campus.

Farron Cousins: Sen. David “DiaperBoy” Vitter got prostitute pregnant and told her to have an aborition.

Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Biden His Time:

• Biden closes the door
• Larry Wilmore to CNN: You don’t need to predict the news.
• Young Turks: Joe passes on a Presidental bid.

Jon and Tracey Stewart on life after the Daily Show.

Mental Floss: 41 fascinating sports facts.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Clinton	Rubio
92.4% probability of winning	7.6% probability of winning
Mean of 304 electoral votes	Mean of 234 electoral votes

My previous analysis in this race showed Secretary Clinton just barely leading Sen. Rubio 65% to 35%. Rubio was second to Jeb Bush in performance against Clinton. In the intervening weeks, Rubio has started to crawl out of the mid-tier rankings in the G.O.P. primary. A week ago he placed third in SC, and today we see he is second in NH

Rubio’s primary “surge” hasn’t translated into general election gains. He seems to be losing ground to Clinton. Now after 100,000 simulated elections, Clinton wins 92,430 times and Rubio wins 7,570 times (including the 404 ties). Clinton received (on average) 304 to Rubio’s 234 electoral votes. In an election held now, Clinton would have a 92.4% probability of winning and Rubio would have a 7.6% probability of winning.

Here is the distribution of electoral votes [FAQ] from the simulations:
[Read more…]

An election is happening in Washington state, and by now you should have your ballot in hand. So pack up your political questions and opinions and let ’em loose over the beverage of your choice at the Seattle Chapter of Drinking liberally.

We meet tonight and every Tuesday at the Roanoke Park Place Tavern, 2409 10th Ave E, Seattle. You’ll find us in the small room at the back of the tavern. We start at 8:00 pm.

Can’t make it to Seattle tonight? Check out one of the other DL meetings happening this week. Tonight the Tri-Cities, Vancouver, WA, and Shelton chapters also meet. The Lakewood chapter meets on Wednesday. The Spokane, Kent, and Woodinville chapters meet on Thursday.

There are 183 chapters of Living Liberally, including eighteen in Washington state, three in Oregon and one in Idaho. Find—or start—a chapter near you.

Clinton	Trump
96.6% probability of winning	3.4% probability of winning
Mean of 315 electoral votes	Mean of 223 electoral votes

There still too many states that have yet to be polled for this match-up for this analysis to have teeth. I count 27 missing states (plus D.C.) and that number includes the possible swing states of Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Maine, New Mexico and more. We have no polls for Washington state yet, but I don’t think Washington is likely to swing in Trump’s direction.

So why do this analysis? Quite simply, because Clinton and Trump are in the undisputed position of leading in their respective primaries.

Even lacking many state polls, this analysis is instructive for the states we have, and for how Trump’s performance compares to the other candidates. A couple of days ago, a similar analysis of Clinton v. Bush showed Bush leading with a 65% chance of winning an election held now. Trump does significantly worse against Clinton than does Bush.

After 100,000 simulated elections, Clinton wins 96,573 times and Trump wins 3,427 times (including the 952 ties). Clinton received (on average) 315 to Trump’s 223 electoral votes. In an election held now, Clinton would have a 96.6% probability of winning and Trump would have a 3.4% probability of winning. In other words, Clinton would almost certainly win an election held right now.

There are a few surprises at the state level. Both Wisconsin and Virginia heavily lean toward Clinton in the two polls in each state conducted within the past month. Now compare those two states to their geographical and political neighbors Minnesota and North Carolina. There we see things nearly tied. In the “classic” swing states, Trump leads in Florida in four of five polls, but Clinton leads in both Ohio polls and in two of three polls in Pennsylvania. Clinton leads in Kentucky, too, but the poll is from way back in mid-June.

Here is the distribution of electoral votes [FAQ] from the simulations:

[Read more…]

Clinton	Bush
35.2% probability of winning	64.8% probability of winning
Mean of 263 electoral votes	Mean of 275 electoral votes

There have only been something over a dozen new state head-to-head polls since the previous analysis of a general election match-up between Secretary Clinton and Gov. Bush. Previously, the race was, essentially, tied with Clinton having a slight edge. This month, the race is, well…tied. But now Bush has a slight advantage.

The trend can be seen from this graph created from a series of elections simulated every seven days using polls from 16 Oct 2014 to 16 Oct 2015, and including polls from the preceding month (FAQ).

In the month and a half since the previous analysis, the race has remained a tie, with a bounce in Bush’s favor followed by a bounce in Clinton’s favor. There isn’t much we can make of these bounces statistically. All of the data in the recent polls were collected before the Democratic debate, so we cannot even pretend the uptick in favor of Clinton is related to the debate. What is clear, however, is that this past summer, Clinton lost a significant edge she held over Bush.

For the most recent period, the 100,000 simulated elections, puts Clinton ahead 35,187 times and Bush ahead 64,813 times (including the 2,215 ties). Clinton received (on average) 263 to Bush’s 275 electoral votes. In an election held now, Clinton would have a 35.2% probability of winning and Bush would have a 64.8% probability of winning.

Here is the distribution of electoral votes [FAQ] from the simulations:
[Read more…]

Red State Update meets Ann Coulter, James Carville, Paul Begala, “Edward Snowden” at Politicon.

Gulahallat Eatnamiin: We Speak Earth.

A Congress in Chaos:

• WaPo: The top 5 House speaker choices.
• Josh Earnest: No White House endorsement in Speaker race.
• Mark Fiore: Conservatives gone wild!
• David Pakman: Chaos as Kevin McCarthy withdraws from speaker race
• Thom: The GOP speaker job sucks
• Young Turks: Republicans are desperate for Speaker of the House.

Adam Ruins Everything: The real reason jaywalking is illegal.

Stephen Colbert and Jack Black: My Kind Of America:

Mental Floss: Misconceptions about hiccups.

The 2016 Clown Show:

• Farron Cousins: Sit back and enjoy the GOP shit show
• Young Turks: Does Ben Carson really want to be President?
• What a Ben Carson ad should look like
• Young Turks: Did Ben Carson lie about “Popeyes organization” robbery.
• David Pakman: Ben Carson in 2nd place is scarier than Donald Trump in 1st
• Maddow: New Scandal for Carson–he’s only been a Republican for one year.
• Your drunk neighbor…Donald Trump.
• Trump’s debate tweets were a cry for help
• Young Turks: Trump calls Sanders a commie maniac.
• Trump: World Trade Center came down on George Bush’s watch.
• Maddow: Old campaign rules out the window for 2016.
• Farron Cousins: Jeb! Bush sends plant to Trump event–who looks stupider?
• Young Turks: Is Mike Huckabee a Twitter troll or a presidential candidate?
• Maddow: GOP candidates escalate war threats to Putin?

Young Turks: FAUX News “terrorism expert” arrested for pretending to be CIA.

Tina Fey for President.

Alabama Disenfranchisement:

• Farron Cousins: Alabama is still living in the 1960s–The return of Jim Crow
• Matthew Filipowicz: Alabama Republicans make it harder for Black people to vote.

Larry Wilmore’s big gay ice cream sitdown with Nancy Pelosi.

Young Turks: Republican politician wants guns taken away from Black people.

Dems Debating:

• Larry Wilmore: This week in Blacklash 2016
• Stephen: Waiting for Joe-dot.
• Farron Cousins: Childish Republicans could learn from Democratic debate.
• Trevor Noah is pumped for the debate
• PsychoSuperMom: When the Grown-ups Take the Stage:

• Red State Update feels The Bern & The Chafee at CNN Vegas Democratic debate
• Clinton answers the tough debate questions.
• Democrats discuss the greatest threats to the U.S.
• Young Turks: Debate assessment.
• Stephen: How about that Democratic debate!
• Hillary weighs in on the first debate
• Farron Cousins: FAUX News stupid debate response for their low-information viewers
• Little Democratic debate.
• Jonathan Mann: The Jim Webb Equal Time Supercut Blues
• Democrats debate gun control.
• Memorable quotes from the first Democratic debate
• Seth Meyers weighs in on the Democratic debate
• Liberal Viewer: Biggest blunder using the word “blunder”?
• Maddow’s take on the first Democratic debate.
• Trevor Noah: Democalypse 2016:

• Young Turks: The biggest FAYLE of the CNN debate.
• The Democratic Debate spin room (in 360)
• James Rustad: Bernie Sanders is sick and tired of hearing about damn emails.

Thom: The Good, the Bad & the Very, Very Demersally Ugly!

Mental Floss: 22 Brian Facts.

David Pakman: Presidential predictions you can bet on.

Political Planned Parenthood:

• Young Turks: Why Planned Parenthood shouldn’t try to appease Republicans.
• David Pakman: Republican admits no wrongdoing by Planned Parenthood found

Young Turks: One toddler shooting each week in 2015.

Chris Hayes: Seth Meyers and political comedy.

White House: West Wing Week.

Benghaaaaazzzzzzzzzziiiiiiii!!!!11!1!!

• Rep. Cummings (D-MD) asks if Benghazi committee is a “taxpayer-funded effort to derail” Clinton.
• Thom: Is this the end of the new McCarthyism witch hunt?
• Farron Cousins: Louie Gohmert goes on Benghazi tirade during Planned Parenthood hearing

Seth Meyers: Jokes of the week

Congressional Hits and Misses: Best of Paul Ryan.

Back To The Future in actual 2015.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Have at it!

5:54: I’ll throw in some random stuff like…

Martin O'Malley looks as much like a Democratic president as Mitt Romney looked like a Republican president.

— LOLGOP (@LOLGOP) October 14, 2015

It was hard for him, but Jim Webb remembered all his daughter’s names. That will get the women’s vote.

— Amanda Marcotte (@AmandaMarcotte) October 14, 2015

I like Bernie but he makes want to throw spitballs and make fart noises in the back of class.

— Ana Marie Cox (@anamariecox) October 14, 2015

Quick fact: Jim Webb and Hillary are the only candidates this cycle who have personally killed people

— David Burge (@iowahawkblog) October 14, 2015

You know…Vincent Foster.

6:00: Anderson is to Hillary as Megyn was to Donald?

6:06: Republican Debate: “Raise your hand if you believe in Evolution.
Democratic Debate: “Raise your hand if you believe in Capitalism.

Chafee wants Democrats to become the Party of Lincoln

— Darryl Holman (@hominidviews) October 14, 2015

Seattle's Roanoke Park Place Tavern is filled with folks paying rapt attention to the #DemDebate. Is it like that at bars nationwide?

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 14, 2015

Jim Webb should offer to place ads on his forehead. Might sustain the campaign for a little while.

— Ana Marie Cox (@anamariecox) October 14, 2015

TFW you've convinced your opponents to attack each other while you sit back and watch: pic.twitter.com/xc2le2JbS9

— Scott Bixby (@scottbix) October 14, 2015

Will someone please ask Chafee about the metric system?

— Taegan Goddard (@politicalwire) October 14, 2015

"I know guns. Guns are friends of mine. You, sir, are no gun." — Jim Webb, basically. #DemDebate

— Chris Cillizza (@TheFix) October 14, 2015

6:25: Goldy: “She is better than anyone else in the room.”

Does Webb's head actually pivot on his neck? Serious question. #DemDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 14, 2015

I will vote for anyone who answers a yes or no question with "yes" or "no."

— Dave King (@DaveKingThing) October 14, 2015

Jim Webb and Herbert Hoover: Separated at birth? #DemDebate pic.twitter.com/JXa2MOL1q7

— Dan Savage (@fakedansavage) October 14, 2015

Seriously… has anybody seen Jim Webb's head pivot? This is really distracting. #DemDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 14, 2015

This is a terrible answer from Sanders. This is a candidate who was not prepped on foreign policy. Clinton is way out in front, here…

— JeffreyFeldman (@JeffreyFeldman) October 14, 2015

IALL GOING ACCORDING TO PLAN. MT @jbarro: Sanders is here to make Hillary look like a moderate; Webb to make Sanders look like a non-crank.

— Ana Marie Cox (@anamariecox) October 14, 2015

This #DemDebate is like being speed-interrogated by an inquisitor on meth.

— John Fugelsang (@JohnFugelsang) October 14, 2015

Cyberwarfare? Really?

6:46 Back from intermission. Time for some emails.

Clinton: "This [Benghazi] committee is basically an arm of the Republican National Committee."

— HuffPost Politics (@HuffPostPol) October 14, 2015

6:48: “The American people are sick and tired of hearing about the damn emails!” An that was not Clinton…

6:49: Bernie just earned himself an Ambassadorship.

6:50: “Secretary Clinton, do you want to respond?” “No.” We have ourselves a WINNER!

6:52: ‘Black lives matter” question interrupted by a “Child Abduction Emergency”.

6:54: Where do the get the Atari computers to run those Amber Alert notices?!?

LITERALLY NOBODY HAS CARED ABOUT A CHILD LESS THAN THE PEOPLE IN THIS BAR

— Alithea (@alithea) October 14, 2015

If all lives actually mattered we wouldn't need #blacklivesmatter #DemDebate

— John Fugelsang (@JohnFugelsang) October 14, 2015

#DemDebate I would love to hear Bernie order a meal. "1st of all, let's understand that I want cheese on my burger."

— Paula Poundstone (@paulapoundstone) October 14, 2015

O'Malley: Reinstate Glass-Steagall. (Thanks to Cooper for explaining to stoopid American public what that means.) #DemDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 14, 2015

The fact that the #DemDebate had to tell us what Glass-Steagall is kinda shows why the crash happened in the 1st place.

— John Fugelsang (@JohnFugelsang) October 14, 2015

Between "five point plan" and Glass-Stiegel, I think a bunch of folks just fled to @Mets and @Dodgers. #DemDebate

— David Axelrod (@davidaxelrod) October 14, 2015

7:08: Chafee just had a slow motion “oops” moment trying to explain his vote.

Linc Chaffee just about pulled a Stockdale with that answer "Who was I, what was I doing there?" #DemDebate #DebateDebateLA

— Lizz Winstead (@lizzwinstead) October 14, 2015

IT WAS HIS FIRST DAY https://t.co/YCZEMWIquE

— Chris Cillizza (@TheFix) October 14, 2015

Why the hell haven't any of these people tried to scare me over Mexicans yet. #DemDebate

— John Fugelsang (@JohnFugelsang) October 14, 2015

RNC Rapid Response email count: 8 #nprdebate

— Scott Detrow (@scottdetrow) October 14, 2015

If Don Lemon can only ask about black people and Juan Carlos Lopez can only ask about Hispanics, Wolf Blitzer only gets to ask about wolves.

— Dave Itzkoff (@ditzkoff) October 14, 2015

Shorter Hillary: any of us is better than those assholes on the other side!

— Michael Maddux (@michaeljmaddux) October 14, 2015

Gonna go ahead and predict that Chafee/Webb/O'Malley all stay below 1% after this debate.

— Conn Carroll (@conncarroll) October 14, 2015

Gonna go ahead and predict that Chafee/Webb/O'Malley all stay below 1% after this debate.

— Conn Carroll (@conncarroll) October 14, 2015

Sorry, watching cartoons with a 3-year-old, but did they really ask candidates if they've *used* pot, but not an actual policy question?

— Lee Rosenberg (@Lee_Rosenberg) October 14, 2015

Whenever I start feeling sleepy, I realize Jim Webb is speaking. #DemDebate

— Dominic Holden (@dominicholden) October 14, 2015

Talking time (so far): Clinton 21:40 Sanders 21:16 Webb 12:29 O'Malley 11:47 Chafee 7:44 (via @meridithmcgraw)

— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) October 14, 2015

Webb and his views serve as reminder that the older Democratic Party is not gone, only eclipsed. #nprdebate

— Ron Elving (@NPRrelving) October 14, 2015

Enemy question: Does Jim Webb still suffer from PTSD?!?

— Darryl Holman (@hominidviews) October 14, 2015

Chaffee Bumper Sticker: No scandals and only two mulligans!

— Sam Seder (@SamSeder) October 14, 2015

The debate had many highlights but Jim Webb’s slow grin at the mention of killing a man will *haunt my dreams.*

— Ana Marie Cox (@anamariecox) October 14, 2015

Chafee: "I did my homework… except for that first vote I took. I winged that one." #DemDebate

— Dan Savage (@fakedansavage) October 14, 2015

"The enemy soldier that threw that grenade that wounded me, but he's not around anymore." So, Jim Webb, gonna whack Congress members?

— Daniel Robinson (@daguro) October 14, 2015

Enemy you're most proud of making? Chafee: Coal lobby O'Malley: NRA Clinton: GOP Sanders: Wall St, Pharma Webb: An enemy soldier #DemDebate

— PBS NewsHour (@NewsHour) October 14, 2015

I'm hoping for his closing, Jim Webb will loosen his tie, and his head will fall off. #DemDebate

— Goldy (@GoldyHA) October 14, 2015

A solid A- for Cooper tonight. Tough questions and, even more surprising, tough follow-ups… 1/2

— Brent Bozell (@BrentBozell) October 14, 2015

I think Clinton’s numbers are gonna jump after tonight. She balanced being warm and fierce — what holdouts were waiting to see. #DemDebate

— Dominic Holden (@dominicholden) October 14, 2015

If Jim Webb had played the I-Killed-A-Guy card earlier, he might have had more success getting Anderson to give him more time.

— Josh Barro (@jbarro) October 14, 2015

This evening there will be a special Debate Edition of the Seattle Chapter of Drinking liberally. Please join us at the Roanoke Park Place Tavern, 2409 10th Ave E, Seattle, for a Democratic debate-watching party.

You’ll find us in the small room at the back of the tavern. Our normal starting time is 8:00 pm, but the debate “pre-game show” starts at 5:30 PDT, and the debate itself starts at 6:00 PDT. So join us early for this one.

Can’t make it to Seattle tonight? Check out one of the other DL meetings happening this week. Tonight the Tri-Cities and Redmond chapters also meet. On Wednesday, the Bellingham chapter meets. On Thursday, the Tacoma chapter meets. And next Monday, the Aberdeen and Yakima chapters meet.

There are 183 chapters of Living Liberally, including eighteen in Washington state, four in Oregon and two in Idaho. Chances are good there’s a chapter meeting near you.

Matthew Filipowicz: Wall Street reacts to TPP agreement.

Both sides of the Clinton email scandal make their case.

David Pakman: Alabama passes voter ID, then closes ID offices in black Counties

The 2016 Clown Festival:

• Trevor Noah: Not so pro-life afterall.
• We collectively are answerable
• Chris Hayes: The Las Vegas Trump rally you can’t unsee!
• Donald Trump approves of Russia’s military activities in Syria.
• Coming Soon: The Republican Spooktacular

• The GOP answer: “Stuff Happens”
• Marco Rubio weighs in on his missed votes
• David Pakman: Ben Carson would wait “for the next one”
• Ben Carson controversy over Holocaust and Oregon shooting comments
• Trevor Noah: Ben Carson blames the victims.
• Dr. Ben Carson’s Self defense course.
• Trevor Noah: Ben Carson, Popeyes Survivor
• Sam Seder: Ben Carson wants armed kindergarten Teachers!
• Young Turks: Ben Carson doesn’t know what the debt ceiling!?!
• Michael Brooks: Carly Fiorina–my medieval history degree will help me fight ISIS!
• Farron Cousins: Isn’t it time for Jeb! to pull the plug?
• Matt Binder: Jeb, “Stuff happens.”
• Ann Telnaes: George W may help Campaign for Jeb!
• David Pakman: Presidential candidates ranked by supporter’s grammar

Mental Floss: Misconceptions about the ocean.

Farron Cousins: Racist right wingers are the biggest threat to America today.

Vladimir Putin can do anything he wants to do.

Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Tom Hartman: California to vote on Citizens United.

The New (Anti-)McCarthyism:

• Stephen: We need a Benghazi hears hearings
• Maddow: McCarthy bails:

• A GAFFE
• Clinton campaign releases funny ad responding to McCarthy admitting true purpose of Benghazi investigation
• McCarthy surrenders.
• Young Turks: Kevin McCarthy’s Benghazi gaffe cost him big time.
• Matthew Filipowicz with Julianna Forlano: The GOP fight to replace John Boehner as Speaker
• Who is McCarthy’s Next Target?:

• PsychoSuperMom: Speaker of the House
• Ann Telnaes: Republicans keep kicking themselves
• Young Turks: The real reason McCarthy dropped out.

Roy Zimmerman: Roy’s birthday AND the end of the world.

Young Turks: Brisol Palin needs to STFU about free birth control.

David Pakman: Legal group representing Kim Davis is declared a hate group.

Thom: ALEC’s 2016 agenda.

Matthew Filipowicz with Julianna Forlano: The problem with gerrymandering.

Honest Political Ads: Health Care costs.

Gunz:

• Red State Update: Arm Christians, beg God not to smite us
• Mark Fiore: Gun Logic
• Larry Wilmore: America’s conversation about not talking about guns.
• Thom Politically Corrects Rush on guns
• Obama speaks after meeting with Oregon victim families
• Jonathan Mann: Gather all the guns.
• Ann Telnaes: Want real gun reform? Get money out of politics
• Young Turks: Bystander opens fire on shoplifter

Ann Telnaes: Which way will the Supreme Court swing this term?

Mental Floss: 24 ridiculous lawsuits.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Please join us this evening for a feast of politics…and a beer at the Seattle Chapter of Drinking liberally.

We meet every Tuesday at the Roanoke Park Place Tavern, 2409 10th Ave E, Seattle. You’ll find us in the small room at the back of the tavern. Our starting time is 8:00 pm, but some folks stop by even earlier for dinner.

Can’t make it to Seattle tonight? Check out one of the other DL meetings happening this week. The Long Beach, Tri-Cities and West Seattle chapters also meet tonight. The Lakewood chapter meets on Wednesday. And the Bremerton, Spokane, and Kent chapters meet on Thursday.

There are 183 chapters of Living Liberally, including eighteen in Washington state, four in Oregon and two in Idaho. Chances are good there’s a chapter meeting near you.

Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Pontifical Politics:

• David Pakman: Vatican admits Pope met with bigot Kim Davis.
• Chris Hayes: Dan Savage on Pope’s meeting with Kim Davis.
• Sam Seder: Vatican on the Kim Davis and Pope meeting
• Young Turks: Pope met with gay couple, too.
• Bill Maher and friends on the Pope.
• Matthew Filipowicz: Republican reacts to Pope’s visit:

David Pakman: Christian hate group leader wants “Christian Sharia” forced conversion of immigrants.

Mental Floss: 26 fun facts about money

The 2016 Clown Parade:

• Red State Update: Which Candidate really believes in God.
• Larry Wilmore: Jeb’s “Black Voters” and “free stuff” association.
• David Pakman: Jeb Bush doesn’t understand his own tax plan.
• Sam Seder: Remember when Carly Fiorina joked about her opponent’s looks?
• Nutburger Ted Cruz threatens to kill Iran’s Supreme Leader
• David Pakman: Rick Santorum confused about marriage and children.
• Sam Seder: Ben Carson’s handler, “This interview is OVER”
• Farron Cousins: Ben Carson thrives on hate.
• Can bigotry help Trump or Carson win the G.O.P. nomination?
• The Trump boys defend their dad.
• Lawrence O’Donnell: Trump’s $12 Trillion tax “plan”
• Young Turks: The Donald flip-flops, would send Syrian Refugees back
• David Pakman: Trump’s tax plan is a deficit-exploding fantasy
• Empire by Trump deodorant.
• Lawrence O’Donnell: Poll shows “Idiot” comes to mind when people think of Trump

• When Trump was single.

What UN delegates really hear through their translators.

ANOTHER Goddamned Mass Shooting?!?

• Obama addresses mass shooting
• Obama’s response to Jeb’s “stuff happens” comment.
• Maddow: Obama angry as America replays gun massacre routine
• Sam Seder: It is time to politicize America’s gun violence crisis.
• PsychoSuperMom: They Say “People, Not Guns, Kill People” (But Honey, The Gun Sure Helps!)
• Young Turks: Obama’s reaction to the shooting
• Remembering the victims
• Sam Seder: What will it take until America wakes up?
• Fire Wayne LaPierre: You didn’t sign up for this shit.
• PSA: How to not murder someone:

David Pakman: Nut-case Rush Limbaugh thinks finding of water on Mars is a Left Wing Conspiracy.

A painfully accurate drug commercial.

A Startling Admission!

• Chris Hayes: Next GOP Speaker admits the shameful truth about the phony Benghazi “scandal”
• David Pakman: Majority leader admits that Benghazi scandal was all about hurting Hillary
• Young Turks: Oopsie! Proof that the Benghazi “scandal” was manufactured to hurt Hillary Clinton
• Maddow: New Speaker admits Benghazi investigation is phoney
• Hillary Clinton on McCarthy’s admission about Benghazi “investigation”

Young Turks: Shameful Congress leaves town without passing 9/11 first responded bill.

Thom: Alabama toughens rules for voting while Black.

Planned Parenthood Politics:

• Young Turks: Carly Fiorina invented horrible story in order to defund Planned Parenthood
• Chris Hayes: Carly Lies!
• Maddow: Planned Parenthood president stands up to House GOP grilling
• David Pakman: Foolish Republican doesn’t have a clue about Planned Parenthood
• Pelosi chastises nutjob reporter over abortion question
• Sam Seder: Watch this idiot G.O.P. Congressman get totally embarrassed by Planned Parenthood Chief
• Young Turks: Planned Parenthood Prez. schools idiot Congressman.
• Seth Meyers: Planned Parenthood argument makes GOP look silly …well, sillier
• Larry Wilmore: Late term distortions — Cecile Richards before Congress
• Sam Seder: Idiot G.O.P. Congressman, “As a guy, I don’t need Planned Parenthood.”
• Young Turks: Idiot Congressman on Planned Parenthood

Mental Floss: Misconceptions about climate change.

White House: West Wing Week.

Smoker of the House:

• Anne Telnaes: Boehner to exit Congress with a little help of his friends.
• Mark Fiore: Speaker Rock replaces Boehner.
• Matthew Filipowicz with Robin MartyThe GOP’s next abortion target after Planned Parenthood
• Sam Seder: Crazy Peter King freaks out over not being the head Crazy
• Harry Reid will miss Boehner’s cigarettes.
• Thom: Seditionists shouldn’t be Speaker of the House!:

The perfect phone for filming police brutality.

Farron Cousins: Elizabeth Warren slams trickle down myth on Colbert’s show

Who did Hillary email?

The Daily Show is Back:

• How did Trevor Noah do?
• The Daily Show asks are cops racist?
• Trevor: Obama meets Putin and awkward happens
• The Daily Show returns without Jon
• The Daily Show: Recap of Trevor’s first week

Farron Cousins: The G.O.P.’s “obstruction of Justice”.

How US companies profit from war.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

It’s Tuesday. And in Seattle that means Drinking Liberally. So please join us tonight for an evening of politics and conversation over a pint at the Seattle Chapter of Drinking liberally.

We meet every Tuesday at the Roanoke Park Place Tavern, 2409 10th Ave E, Seattle. You’ll find us in the small room at the back of the tavern. Our starting time is 8:00 pm, but some folks stop by even earlier for dinner.

Can’t make it to Seattle tonight? Check out one of the other DL meetings happening this week. Tonight the Tri-Cities chapter also meets. On Thursday, the Tacoma chapter meets. And next Monday, the Yakima and South Bellevue chapters meet.

There are 183 chapters of Living Liberally, including seventeen in Washington state, four in Oregon and two in Idaho. Chances are good there’s a chapter meeting near you.

Honest Political ads: Gil Fulbright for President.

Hassan Rouhani’s true feelings about the Iran Nuclear deal.

Roy Zimmerman: Give Measles a Chance:

Young Turks: Majority of Iowa Republicans want to ban Islam…because, religious freedom.

Mental Floss: 28 interesting facts about inventors.

The 2016 Clown Parade:

• Farron Cousins: Let’s face it…if ANY one of the GOP candidates win in 2016, we are SCREWED.
• Last man on earth runs for President
• Red State Update: Debriefing after the G.O.P. debate
• Young Turks: Trump to FAUX News, “You’re cut off!”
• Donald sabotages wife’s interview.
• Young Turks: Trump tries to convince Christians he actually believes this crap
• Chris Hayes: Trump falters, lashes out at FAUX News & whines.
• Sam Seder: Trump’s ultimate insult to Marco Rubio
• Colbert shuts down Trump on birferism.
• Lawrence O’Donnell: Why Trump’s Birferism is so important.
• Maddow: Trump competence in question as “veterans” group event exposed as illegal.
• Matthew Filipowicz: Whose Islamophobia is worse? Ben Carson or Donald Trump?
• José Díaz-Balart: Carson and Trump fall out with Muslim voters.
• James Rustad: Ben the Friendly Fascist
• Farron Cousins and Sam Seder: Ben Carson shouldn’t quit his day job.
• Sam Seder: Ben Carson thinks a Muslim should not be president!
• Dear Dr. Carson, a Muslim CAN be President!
• White House reaction to Ben Carson’s anti-Muslim statement.
• Young Turks: Ben Carson thinks Satan invented the Big Bang theory
• Sam Seder and Farron Cousins: Will anti-Muslim tirade force Ben Carson out?
• Kareem Abdul Jabbar on Carson’s anti-Mulsim statement.
• James Rustad: Carly Fiorina.
• David Pakman: Hypocritical Carly Fiorina criticized her own opponent’s looks
• Pres. Scott Walker In Memoriam
• Young Turks: The real reason Walker dropped out.
• Sam Seder: Sorry Scott Walker, Sarah Palin is still the biggest quitter of all time
• Farron Cousins and Sam Seder: Scott Walker’s resignation and wealthy donors
• David Pakman: Scott Walker is OUT
• Maddow: With Walker out…who is next?
• Ted Cruz sound like the Church Lady
• Lawrence O’Donnell:Lying Ted Cruz’ “five unelected lawyers”
• Sam Seder and Cliff Schecter: Jeb Bush’s Mitt Romney moment.
• Young Turks: Silver spoon-fed Jeb Bush sick of poor people getting free stuff
• Sam Seder and Cliff Schecter: Jeb Bush’s mission for 2016 is to save his family from embarrassment.
• The GOP crisis of faith.

Ann Telnaes: The UN thinks Saudi Arabia is a defender of human rights.

Thom: The impact of a government shutdown.

Reformed Whores: Who should be on the $10 bill

Liberal Viewer: Will Kim Davis allow man to gay marry Jesus?

Pope Politics:

• Don’t miss the Pope’s whirlwind North American tour

!

• Thom: Greed is the “dung of the Devil”.
• Maddow: Pope Francis gives voice to immigrants’ plight
• The whole thing: Pope Francis addresses Congress
• Young Turks: Pope Frances makes Republicans cry.
• Farron Cousins and Sam Seder: Pope knows best on climate change.
• 28 cool facts about Pope Francis
• Pope Frances visits Congress and works both sides of the isle
• Mark Fiore: The Saint of small type.
• Ann Telnaes: Conservatives roll out a welcome mat to the Pope

How will the world end?

David Pakman: Recessions happen 4 times more frequently under Republicans:

Minute Physics: Why do we put telescopes in space?

Thom: The Good, the Bad, and the Very, Very Gallinaceously Ugly!

Honest Political ads: The plan.

VSauce: Messages for the future.

Down Goes Boehner:

• Young Turks: Republicans lose their Boehner.
• Obama on Boehner resignation.
• Goodbye to John Boehner.
• Sam Seder and Cliff Schecter: Why John Boehner finally resigned
• Young Turks: Republicans elated over John Boehner’s resignation

White House: West Wing Week.

Mental Floss Misconceptions about the film industry.

Meet the new Nightly Show hire:

Young Turks: Is Ted Nugent being anti-Semitic on Facebook?

Today’s Daily Inspiration with Dick Cheney.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.