by Goldy — ,
Last night I projected that Carolyn Edmonds would take the lead over Bob Ferguson once today’s batch of absentee ballots were counted. Um… man am I glad I added the following caveat:
Still, in Ferguson’s favor, projections like this turned out to be a complete and utter load of crap during the first count in last November’s gubernatorial race.
As it turned out, Ferguson expanded his lead to 134 votes, taking a 9583 to 9449 advantage. Oops.
by Goldy — ,
I have been researching the engineering reports on the Alaska Way Viaduct, the 520 floating bridge, and other fast deteriorating bridges and structures in WA state… and the more I learn, the more frightened I get. It will not require a major earthquake or other natural disaster to bring down some of these structures: one of our run-of-the-mill, winter wind storms could easily sink the 520 bridge, while the Viaduct is slowly toppling over onto the waterfront, all on its lonesome. And yet, one of the typically smug taunts I routinely get from I-912 proponents whenever I raise these issues is, “If it’s so dangerous, why is it still open to traffic?”
Hmm.
And so I would like to make an appeal to any attorneys in my audience, or other concerned citizens willing to contribute materially or financially, to join me in suing WSDOT and other responsible public agencies to immediately shut down the Viaduct, the 520 bridge and other structures that present an imminent danger to public safety. Really.
I suppose there are some in this region who simply do not believe that these structures are unsafe, or who are willing to gamble that “the big one” won’t strike during their lifetime, or at least, when they or their loved ones are traversing one of these hazardous roads. It is human nature to procrastinate in the face of possible, yet uncertain, deadly disasters (hence, New Orleans inadequate levees.) But how many voters are willing to cancel or delay the state transportation improvement package when faced with the imminent threat of adding an hour or more to their daily commute… each way?
If the Viaduct closes, it will not only spill traffic onto the surface streets, but onto an already congested I-5… which will in turn push traffic onto the even more congested I-405. And if the 520 bridge closes, I-90 will crawl to a virtual standstill for much of the day. Close them both at the same time, and… well… good luck to those regularly commuting across or around Lake Washington.
Don’t get me wrong; this is not just some Machiavellian ploy. These roads really are that unsafe, and if the only alternative is inaction, we would be doing a public service by shutting them down. But in the weeks leading up to the vote on I-912, something needs to be done to drive home to voters the truly dangerous state of our decaying infrastructure… and I’m not afraid to be the one cutting the reality check.
No doubt a successful lawsuit would deliver a huge blow to our regional economy, but I have talked to several elected officials who would privately welcome somebody taking such a politically untenable action. In the wake of Hurricane Katrina our collective paralysis is unconscionable, and anybody who understands the engineering reports understands the moral imperative to act now.
The 520 bridge is brittle and crumbling, its pontoons springing leaks faster than they can be patched up. The Viaduct’s columns rest on unstable soil, and no amount of reinforcement can keep it from falling over. These and other structures are public hazards that need to be replaced immediately, or removed entirely… and I intend to make my case in a court of law.
I have neither the legal training nor the financial resources to pursue this on my own, so if you can substantially contribute money or legal expertise, or know of others who can, please drop me an email. I hope to file suit by early October, and if I can generate enough interest to proceed, I will open a “legal offense fund” so that others may contribute according to their means.
Of course, none of this would be necessary if Republican “leaders” like Dino Rossi would take a responsible, public stance on this dire issue, persuading their core constituents to vote no on the foolishly obstructionist I-912. But barring such an uncharacteristic fit of candor, I will be forced to follow the only lead Rossi has ever given the people of this state, and turn to the courts to achieve an objective I might not be able win at the polls.
by Goldy — ,
A SurveyUSA poll commissioned by KING-TV has some interesting numbers about several of the state-wide initiatives on the November ballot:
| Yes | No | Undecided | ||
| I-912 | 52% | 41% | 7% | |
| I-901 | 67% | 32% | 1% | |
| I-900 | 45% | 48% | 6% |
I-912 would repeal the state transportation improvement package, I-901 would ban smoking in public buildings and vehicles, and I-900 is Tim Eyman’s superfluous performance audits initiative. Of course, everybody expects I-901 to pass by a large margin, but I was pleasantly surprised by the relative weakness of both I-912 and I-900.
That I-912 is only polling at 52% just 7 weeks out from the election proves that this incredibly short-sighted initiative is beatable, and should encourage opponents to spend whatever is necessary to defeat it. Anybody who still thinks I-912 is a sure thing, is kidding themselves. Voters may not like higher taxes, but the more they understand what they’ll lose by passing the initiative, the less attractive it looks.
As for the over-reaching I-900, it looks like Eyman’s comeback initiative may fall short after all… a particularly amusing prospect considering it’s drawn no organized opposition. I think it is quite possible that the reference to the sales tax in the ballot title might actually confuse voters into thinking this is a tax increase… thus hoisting Timmy on his own anti-tax petard. I’d say the closeness of this poll would portend an election night drama… that is, if anybody actually cared about I-900 besides me and Timmy.
In any case, I’m liking these numbers.
by Goldy — ,
King County Elections just posted an update, including a batch of late arriving absentee ballots, and Carolyn Edmonds has closed the gap on Bob Ferguson to a mere 25 votes. Ferguson now leads 8093 (49.97%) to 8068 (49.81%).
The county received 27,000 absentee ballots today, and these numbers represent all the ballots they had on hand. According to Elections spokesperson Bobbie Egan, they will continue to receive ballots through next Tuesday, so it is “impossible to determine” how many might be outstanding. Edmonds did substantially better amongst absentee voters than at the polls, so it is still possible she could take the lead some time over the next week.
UPDATE:
I think I misunderstood Bobbie. From the KCRE website:
King County Elections today counted 53,068 additional ballots […] Ballots counted through today include those received through Election Day.
I think that means that today’s update does not include the 27,000 ballots received today. Assuming the rest of the absentee ballots break similarly to those already counted, Edmonds will likely win by a margin that should survive a recount.
UPDATE, UPDATE:
I just did a little math, and it turns out that Edmonds continued to garner 54% of the late absentees counted today, just as she had with the early absentees counted on election night. Since there’s no reason to suspect that these trends will reverse themselves, it looks like Edmonds is headed to victory.
The 3515 new votes added to this afternoon’s tally represent about 6.6% of the 53,068 total new ballots countywide. Thus, extrapolating from previous returns, Edmonds would open up about a 120-vote margin on the strength of the 27,000 absentees that arrived today. It now seems likely that she’ll win by a large enough margin to avoid an automatic recount.
Still, in Ferguson’s favor, projections like this turned out to be a complete and utter load of crap during the first count in last November’s gubernatorial race.
by Goldy — ,
From: Reed, Sam [Sec. of State]
Sent: Wednesday, September 21, 200511:03 AM
To: Logan, Dean
Cc: [County Auditors]
Subject: King County Election Goes Well
Dean —
Congratulations on a very smooth election. Based on the calls I received alone, I know you were in a pressure cooker being scrutinized, analyzed and second-guessed throughout the election. It’s very impressive how well you and your crew executed it.
With a few minor glitches here and there around the state, the election went well everywhere. What a relief! It reafirms what exceptional leadership we have in the County Auditors’ offices throughout the state.
Onward and upward!
— Sam
by Goldy — ,
Other than the stunning defeat of HA favorite son Richard Pope, yesterday’s primary election in King County pretty much went as expected. In nearly every nonpartisan race, the pre-primary favorites captured the top two spots, and there were no upsets in the partisan races. Indeed, yesterday’s only real drama was generated by the closely fought Ferguson-Edmonds race, where Carolyn Edmonds still has a shot at closing Bob Ferguson’s 308-vote lead once all the late absentee ballots are counted.
But the real election news is that there was no real election news regarding the primary’s conduct. No scandals, no significant glitches, and as Evergreen Freedom Foundation (EFF) observers reported, “no major smoking guns.” By 9:30 p.m. last night, Sims staffers were downright cheerful at reports from the polling places and the elections center. In fact, the election went so smoothly that the EFF’s Jonathan Bechtle was reduced to complaining that this one didn’t count.
“There may not be a problem this time, but that’s because (the primary) is so small. If we had another major election like last year, I think we’d have the same problems again.”
Hmm. Can’t question scholarship like that… the EFF is a think tank after all. Well, at least Bechtle wasn’t just flinging vague, unsupported accusations. No, that job was left to KCGOP Chairman Michael Young:
“There has already been evidence that the absentee ballot process was not conducted correctly. So we are very sensitive as to whether those ballots are coming from the person who they say they are.”
And your “evidence” of this misconduct is where, Michael? Oh… it’s up your ass, you say? Well, yank it out, wipe off the shit, and let’s have a look-see.
Even David Irons’ webmaster — reporting on his first day as a novice poll worker — was reduced to nitpicking, glumly concluding that “the day mostly went okay.” I suppose by that he was referring to his own nefarious efforts to double vote:
“… one vote (my own!) [was] counted more than once.”
Don’t worry Stefan, now that you’ve admitted your crime, I’m sure Norm Maleng will go easy on you. In fact, considering my dead-on legal analysis of Dino Rossi’s doomed election contest, you may want to hire me as an advisor to your legal team. (I strongly urge an insanity defense.)
So the biggest contest yesterday was the election itself, and the GOP’s pathetic efforts to spin it. Well, the results are in, and I’d say it was huge victory for big “D” and little “d” democrats alike.
by Goldy — ,
According to a high ranking GOP insider, the Irons campaign and the KCGOP phone banks were burning up the lines this week, asking Republican voters to take the Democratic ballot and vote against Ron Sims. This has apparently pissed off a couple Republican candidates, who are seeing their numbers deflated in today’s primary.
Hmm. I suppose the strategy is to try to build up the false impression that Sims is in trouble. If you ask me, it’s Irons who is in trouble if he’s stooping to petty, pointless tricks like this.
by Goldy — ,
I just have to go back to yesterday’s article in the Seattle Times: “Who’ll be to blame if viaduct, 520 bridge collapse?” Some of the comments are truly stunning.
Gov. Christine Gregoire said state engineers told her the viaduct probably would have collapsed if the 2001 Nisqually earthquake had lasted 15 more seconds.
Since that quake, the viaduct has shifted more than four inches. If it moves much more, the state plans to shut it down.
Um… just to be clear, by “shifted more than four inches”, what they mean is that it has started tipping over towards the waterfront by four inches. And the tilt is increasing at a rate of about an inch a year.
“Our best advice is to get off it five minutes before the next quake,” state Department of Transportation spokeswoman Linda Mullen quipped earlier this year.
Laughing yet?
“It’s not a little problem, it’s not a maybe problem,” said Mark Hallenbeck, director of the Washington State Transportation Center at the University of Washington. “The viaduct is just a question of when. If you’re on the lower level when it goes down, you’re dead.”
I’m guessing being on the top deck ain’t too safe either.
Gregoire says every political leader should be losing sleep over the state’s long-neglected bridges. “There’s no question in my mind
by Goldy — ,
The latest SurveyUSA poll shows a dramatic rise in Gov. Christine Gregoire’s approval ratings: 45% approve, 49% disapprove. That’s a huge improvement from the 38%-52% she polled shortly after Dino Rossi’s election contest was dismissed “with prejudice.”
It seems that the more voters get to know Gov. Gregoire, the more they like her… and the further we get away from the election contest, the less voters blame her for the controversy. Eleven governors now have worse approval differentials, including such GOP notables as CA Gov. Arnold Schwartzenegger and NY Gov. George Pataki. (And Gregoire polls a helluva lot better than of our failed President.)
I’m guessing Gov. Gregoire’s rising popularity might wipe some smugness off the faces of the Republican faithful who were counting on last year’s election controversy to sweep them into power.
by Goldy — ,
The Seattle chapter of Drinking Liberally meets tonight (and every Tuesday), 8PM at the Montlake Ale House, 2307 24th Avenue E.
We’ll twist the barkeep’s arm into tuning in the election results, and Nick plans to bring his laptop for up-to-the-minute results. I may stop by another election night gathering first, but I’ll definitely be there.
by Goldy — ,
I suppose I should have posted my endorsements before most people voted… but then I’ve never claimed to be as responsible, forward thinking and independent conservative as say… the Seattle Times editorial board. (Tip to future candidates: the secret to gaining the Times’ endorsement is to rail against the estate tax and shoot a few dogs.)
Anyway… for what it’s worth, here are my choices in a handful of contested races. Ignore them if you choose… just get out there and vote.
King County Council District 1: Carolyn Edmunds
I know I probably should like Bob Ferguson, what with all his grassroots, door-belling, bus riding, status quo stomping, gosh darn hard-workin’-guy style of politics… but I don’t. Where others see a refreshing independent voice, I see a calculating, ambitious politician, carefully cultivating his contrarian reputation.
Carolyn Edmunds, on the other hand, is a Democrat, with an established record and strong connections to community groups throughout her district. The way I look at it, outside of District 1 there’s going to be four Democrats and four Republicans on the council. Elect Edmunds and you give the D’s a reliable 5-4 majority. Elect Ferguson and he becomes an unpredictable swing vote.
For my peace of mind, vote for Edmunds.
King County Council District 9: Steve Hammond
Devout Democrat as I am, if I lived in District 9 I’d be grabbing a Republican ballot and casting my vote for Steve Hammond. Not that I like Hammond’s politics… he’s an arch-Conservative Christian preacher with an overbearing, holier-than-thou demeanor and a complete and utter lack of political nuance. But he is what he is, and pretty honestly represents his district.
On the other hand, who the hell knows who Raymond Shaw Reagan Dunn really is? He’s been running like an arch-Conservative Christian preacher with an overbearing, holier-than-thou demeanor and a complete and utter lack of political nuance… but it just comes across as so much grandstanding. I think he made a miscalculation running towards the right, as first impressions count. Republicans need to run towards the middle to win broadly in King County and WA state, and while he likely has the money, the consultants, and the name to overcome these early missteps, I think we’ll all be better off if this GOP golden boy learns a few lessons from stumbling early.
Clearly, a mere council seat is beneath a man of such lofty political pedigree, so we might as well give it to a candidate who genuinely sees the council as an opportunity to serve his community (however misguided his politics), rather than just as a springboard to higher office. Vote for Steve Hammond.
Seattle City Council, Position 2: Richard Conlin
I dunno… I’m just not feeling that “throw the bum out” spirit this year. Conlin’s not given me any reason to dump him, and his opponents haven’t given me any reason to give them a try… and then the Times sealed the deal by endorsing Paige Miller. Vote for Richard Conlin.
Seattle City Council, Position 4: Linda Averill
Fuck The Stranger! I mean really… fuck them! I was so absolutely sure that I would be the only person to the right of Trotsky’s ghost endorsing Linda Averill… and then those cirrhotic fuckers at The Stranger steal my thunder. Well fuck them.
Why Averill? Well mostly I just wanted to piss off my righty trolls by endorsing the only Freedom Socialist Party candidate on the ballot. And… well… The Stranger actually makes some good points in her defense. (But fuck them anyway.) But if you really can’t bring yourself to vote for Averill, I’d just like to remind you that Casey Corr was once an editorial writer for the Times. Need I say more?
Seattle City Council, Position 8: Dwight Pelz
I know I said I don’t have that “throw the bum out” spirit, and I really don’t want to throw out Richard McIver… but damn it, the Council needs an asshole like Dwight Pelz to get in Greg Nickels’ face from time to time. (And Dwight… I mean “asshole” in the best sense of the word.) Truth is, I really haven’t made up my mind on this race yet, and just want to see Pelz and McIver face off in the general election. So whatever you do, don’t vote for Robert Rosencrantz.
Port of Seattle: Molloy, Hara and Pope
No surprise on my first endorsement. Lawrence Molloy is every liberal’s favorite incumbent in this year’s Port Commission elections. The Weekly endorsed him. The Stranger endorsed him. The P-I endorsed him. The Times didn’t. Need I say more? (Plus, I met him last night at the Red Cross fundraiser, and not only is he articulate and knowledgeable, he came across as a nice guy.) Vote for Molloy for Position 1.
Position 3 was a tough one for me. I really, really wanted to endorse Peter Coates, a reform candidate with strong Labor backing… but the pragmatic, good-government Dukakis-Democrat in me thought, gee, I dunno… maybe the Port could use a former City Treasurer and County Auditor like Lloyd Hara. And then the Times ruins everything for me, by endorsing Hara too. Well… screw the Times… I’m voting for Hara anyway.
For Position 4, I’m standing by my man: perennial candidate and HA regular Richard Pope. Sure, Richard’s a little nutty, and he’s probably unqualified for the job, but he’s got a couple good points to make about the Port being a drain on taxpayers, and what the hell… he doesn’t stand a chance of winning anyway. If you really don’t want to throw away your vote, Jack Jolley’s your man… but I’m voting for Richard.
Seattle Popular Monorail Authority: Stockmeyer and Goldberg
The Monorail looks so dead right now, it’s really hard to get too excited over these races, but whoever wins, I think their first act should be to remove the word “Popular” from the authority’s name.
Cleve Stockmeyer is an easy choice for Position 9. Yeah… he wants to build the Monorail, but he’s a pragmatist, a principled good-government activist, and an all around good guy. In the proudest tradition of representative democracy, I trust Cleve to make an informed decision on my behalf.
I’m not so enthusiastic about Beth Goldberg, who is clearly running to kill the Monorail, whatever the circumstances or final proposal. Yet she grudgingly earns my reluctant endorsement because, as her opponent Cindi Laws knows, all us Jews stick together… so I really don’t have a choice. Mazel tov on my endorsement, Beth.
by Goldy — ,
I keep searching for clues as to “Where’s Rossi?” on Initiative 912… but according to Andrew Garber in this morning’s Seattle Times, Dino is clueless:
The campaign, in its polling, found that former Republican gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi could have a significant impact on how people vote if he endorsed or opposed I-912. Rossi said recently he has no position.
No position? Gimme a break. This is a guy who wants to be governor, and he has no position on an initiative that will determine the ability of the state to start addressing its massive transportation infrastructure needs? He has no position on a transportation package that passed both houses of the Legislature with a bipartisan majority, and which is strongly backed by his longtime patrons in the business community? He has no position on an initiative that has been sold by its backers as revenge for Rossi’s loss at the polls and in the courts?
Actually, what he told Garber was that he was not going to take a position, not that he didn’t actually have one, and I really have trouble believing that my friends in the MSM will let Rossi get away with this prevarication. I-912 rode Rossi’s election contest trial onto the ballot, and if he wants to be taken seriously in WA politics, he has an obligation to take a public stance, one way or the other.
In a companion piece, Ralph Thomas raises the ominous question of “Who’ll be to blame if viaduct, 520 bridge collapse?”
Politicians, clerics and ethicists agree we have a moral obligation to fix infrastructure such as highways and levees that we know pose a risk to the public.
But where does that obligation lie?
Well, if I-912 passes due to Rossi’s silence, and the resulting delays result in a catastrophic collapse, I know one person I’m going blame: Dino Rossi.
by Goldy — ,
Just a reminder… tonight I will be co-hosting a Red Cross fundraiser at the home of Jennifer McCausland, 2601 Cascadia Ave. S., in Seattle’s Mt. Baker neighborhood. The event takes place from 5:30 p.m. to 7:30 p.m.
King County Executive Ron Sims will be the guest of honor — it was originally slated to be a campaign fundraiser — and he will be giving a short talk on the region’s disaster preparedness.
This is a great opportunity to meet Ron (and me) while raising money for a very worthy cause… the victims of Hurricane Katrina. Hope to see you all there. Please R.S.V.P.
by Goldy — ,
So… where is Dino Rossi on I-912, the initiative that would repeal the recent gas-tax hike (9.5 cents over four years) and the transportation improvement package it would fund? Here’s a clue:
Dino Rossi’s 6% voting record with the Washington State Labor Council ranks among the worst and most partisan of any legislator during his 1997-2003 tenure in the State Senate. He managed only five positive votes in 77 chances, and those were on issues with which labor, business and the leadership of both parties were all in agreement. For example, his one positive vote out of 15 in 2003 was to approve the 5-cent gas-tax increase to fund transportation improvements.
That’s right… in 2003, one of the most partisan, anti-labor legislators in Olympia votes with labor on a single bill… a 5-cent gas-tax increase. Why? Because he’s a passionately pro-business politician, and business desperately wants transportation improvements.
Hmm. So where’s Rossi on I-912?
by Goldy — ,
If the headline sounds like the opening to an offensive joke, well… it sorta is. Andrew at NW Progressive writes about Clark County’s Annual Mayor’s and Community Leaders Prayer Breakfast and how the organizers, the Full Gospel Business Men’s Fellowship International was forced to cancel a similar event last year in Beaverton OR:
Organizers canceled a planned prayer breakfast Tuesday after learning that most of Washington County’s mayors and one of two main speakers wouldn’t attend the May 5 event because a Muslim leader was excluded from participating.
Uniting the community’s pastoral, political and business people in prayer had been the purpose of the Mayors’ Prayer Breakfast of Washington County, he said. Without the host — Beaverton Mayor Rob Drake — and other mayors, he said, that couldn’t happen.
Shahriar Ahmed, president of the Bilal Mosque Association in Beaverton, along with Rabbi David Rosenberg of Portland, had been invited to the otherwise Christian breakfast at Drake’s request.
Ahmed had been scheduled to give the breakfast’s closing prayer from the dais before the fellowship informed him he couldn’t.
[…]
A fellowship spokesman, Peter Reding, had said the invitation was withdrawn by the steering committee because Muslims pray to a God they call Allah and they aren’t part of the fellowship’s “Judeo-Christian tradition.”
Ah yes… the Judeo-Christian tradition of excluding people of other faiths. And oh yeah… women too.
Andrew sums up the issue quite nicely:
The problem here is that this group is trying to hold an event with mayors participating as mayors – not as private citizens. It’s a “mayor’s prayer breakfast”, essentially. A prayer breakfast that is for “Christians” (certain types of “Christians”) only.
Hmm. I’ve got nothing against prayer. (Or breakfast, for that matter.) But if I were one of these mayors I’d think twice about attending this exclusionary event. Some blogger might get ahold of the list of attendees and publish it.
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