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Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza!

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Samantha Bee: The Republican campaign of voter suppression, Pt. 1.

Samantha Bee: The Republican campaign of voter suppression, Pt. 2.

Robert Reich: Seven ways 2020 has exposed America

SCOTUS Surprises:

The Daily Show: FAUX News’s law & order experts

Bruce W. Nelson: I know a wrestling coach who’ll kick your butt (a Ted Cruz song).

ТрампPlague:

Trevor: Stacey Abrams—“Our time is now” and ending voter suppression.

Black Lives Matter:

Full Frontal: Meet reference man.

Foundation Singers: “Farewell far-right!” Hannity and Murdoch meet Billy Joel:

John Oliver: Facial recognition.

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Wednesday Open Thread

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Man, I don’t know if it’s just me getting older or something to do with the quarantine, but I am not sleeping well at all. I am still going to sleep and getting up at the same time as before. But now I am just exhausted all the time.

Anyway, wash your hands right now.

Open Thread 6/15

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Cases of COVID-19 are increasing in Washington. It seems like this is to do with Memorial Day. Grand reopening maybe grand reclosing.

I don’t know if we’ll see future spikes based on the protests. It being outside, with masks, and in some cases spaced out, mitigates the spread. But big crowds and not always being able to keep distance isn’t great. I assume that we would have started hearing about cases if they were happening in large numbers.

Anyway, stay safe and wash your hands right now.

Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza!

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Robert Reich: Who’s really looting America?

ТрампPlague:

Courtney Jaye: FAUX News is the devil

The Night the Lights Went Out on Georgia’s Voters:

Trevor: Joe Biden on healing the country and acknowledging weaknesses

Black Lives Matter:

Hasan Minhaj: The news industry is being destroyed

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Friday Open Thread

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Higgldy Piggledy,

The CHAZ has anarchy.

Building something without

The police.

.

However tenuous

The claims of

Autonomy

I hope they won’t cease.

(Also, wash your hands right now)

Open Thread Monday Morning

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Christ. You can’t just. I mean. It’s bad enough what the police are doing. But random civilians driving into, and shooting into, crowds. What a shit. Just an absolute, unparalleled shit.

Anyway, wash your hands right now.

Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza!

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Trevor: A look back at the legacy of stop-and-frisk in New York City.

ТрампPlague:

The Daily Show: Eight times America surprised Trevor.

The Dotard Fiddled While America Burned:

Wyatt Cenac: Segregation problems and school integration

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Election 2020: Biden still leads in early June

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Biden
Trump
> 99.9% probability of winning
< 0.1% probability of winning
Mean of 354 electoral votes
Mean of 184 electoral votes


Electoral College Map

Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Lousiana Maine Maryland Massachusettes Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia D.C. Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

Electoral College Map

Georgia Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Delaware Connecticut Florida Mississippi Alabama Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia D.C. Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

It has been mid-May since I published one of these analyses. back then, Biden led Trump in the electoral college with a mean of 348 to 190 votes.

Now, with over 40 new polls, Biden still leads. In the 10,000 simulated elections, Biden won all 10,000 times. Biden received (on average) 354 to Trump’s 184 electoral votes. If the election was today, we would expect Biden to win with a greater than 99.9% probability.

Here is the distribution of electoral votes [FAQ] from the simulations:
[Read more…]

Open Thread 6/3

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The other day, a helicopter was circling over my neighborhood. It was during the day, and not particularly close to any protest that I was aware of. The urban core has more helicopters since the George Floyd murder.

Anyway, a crow that lives in one of the trees near my apartment and that crow was not having it. It stayed cawing at the helicopter for like an hour. Wir wir wir. Caw caw caw. Going to protest kind of feels like being that crow. It may or may not be making a difference, but it would be worse to say nothing.

This isn’t a great metaphor, but it would be great if you wash your hands right now.

Open Thread June 1

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Dear Mayor Durkan (cc Chief Best),

While I have many problems with the police response to the protests over the weekend, this email is about one aspect. I read with horror about the rifles that briefly went missing on Saturday. Shame on the city for bringing rifles to a protest.

Were the police planning on getting into a shootout with protesters? However much property damage and calamity there may have been, there is no situation where having rifles is an improvement. It is horrible policy on its own. It is also bad symbolism at a protest of deadly police violence. I urge you to not bring rifles to future civilian protests.

Thank You

Carl Ballard

(Not included in the letter, wash your hands right now.)

Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza!

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Lauren Mayer: “One Plate at a Time”.

Bill Maher: All bets are off

ТрампPlague:

Now This: Michelle Obama surprises students engaged in voter registration.

Hasan Minhaj: The legal marijuana industry is rigged

Roll Call: Congressional hits and misses of the week.

Black Lives Matter:

Robert Reich: Robert Reich’s advice to the Class of 2020.

Vice News: Navajo Nation may finally get a better shot at voting in the presidential election

Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.

Wednesday Morning Open Thread

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A few months after the initial need, this week the stimulus package finally got help to me. The stimulus check arrived. And, more important to me, the company I work for finally had its PPP loan approved. So that’s good.

It is still frustrating. These things should have happened sooner. I have enough savings and if worst came to worst, I could have moved in with family. So the delay wasn’t bad for me (except for the stress of not knowing about my job) but it really should have been faster for people who needed it right away.

Anyway, go wash your hands right now.

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