@GoldyHA remember when MasterPark claimed $15/hour woudl cost jobs? The picture is different today. pic.twitter.com/AFOq8R4RFf
— Good Jobs Seattle (@GoodJobsSeattle) March 26, 2014
A Not Very Deep Thought About the So-Called “Tip Credit”
It’s really, really complicated. The impact, the morality, the unintended economic incentives… everything about a “tip credit” (or “tip penalty” as opponents call it) is a lot more complicated than our current minimum wage debate allows.
Which is a long way of saying that I’m not finished writing the post on the tip credit that I had previously promised. In the meanwhile, I’d be interested in hearing your thoughts on it in the comment thread.
Ongoing Updates
Sorry if you’re seeing those annoying 508 errors again. I’ve been messing around under the hood trying to optimize site performance and add some nifty new features, and while everything was working fine yesterday, I awoke this morning to find HA struggling to load pages. So I’m dialing some of the updates back in the hope restoring some equilibrium.
In any case, if you see new features that you like, let me know. If you discover bugs, really let me know. And if there’s some change you are aching for, I’d love to get your suggestions and feedback.
Open Thread
– Getting ORCA Cards to people who need reduced fares is a bit of a problem, so one more way is good. If Metro is going to have a reduced rate the next time it increases the fare, I hope that they have that figured out.
– Well, I’m sure if we let McMorris Rodgers get away with using public money for her campaigns (Seattle Times link), she won’t do it again.
– Let people play soccer in a hijab, for goodness sake.
– From Hans in the comments, this certainly helps explain trolls.
Why Do Airplanes Still Rely Solely on Black Boxes?
I haven’t had much to say on the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, because I’ve got no particular aerospace expertise and thus had nothing useful to add to the speculation. But I do know something about modern telecommunications, and so all this talk about attempting to track the plane via pings and other automated transmissions to various satellite and ground-based receivers, got me thinking: in this day of on-board WiFI Internet connections, why are we still relying solely on an aircraft’s “black box” for a record of its final minutes or hours?
This instrument data is simply too important to be left at the bottom of a deep-sea trench, so why isn’t it constantly being transmitted real time via satellite as a kind of off-site backup? Cockpit voice recordings too. All of it compressed and securely encrypted. With no means of turning off the transmission. The technology is there. The satellites are there. Isn’t this a totally obvious solution?
Am I missing something here? Are there any experts out there who can explain why we don’t already do this?
It wouldn’t take much more than the whim of federal and international regulators to mandate this virtual black box on all modern jetliners. And given the low cost of telecommunications technology, it wouldn’t add much to the cost of flying. But it would provide closure for the families of victims of future crashes, as well as valuable data on how to prevent a repeat.
Gardening with Goldy: Winter Kale and Early Spring Sowing
[Oddly, some of my more popular posts over at Slog were about my backyard garden, a stark departure from my wonky policy analysis and foul-mouthed political rants. So I’ve decided to continue these posts here on HA.]
I spent the past few days of fair weather belatedly getting the last of my early spring sowings into the garden before the rains returned. Snap peas, snow peas, carrots, and a variety of lettuces, greens, and herbs have been sown under floating row covers in freshly turned and composted beds. Radishes, arugula, and at least one variety of lettuce have already sprouted. Potatoes have been buried in compost in separate containers. And 20 feet of onion starts are beginning to take root—I’ll start thinning out salad onions in another month so. (I’ve had much better luck with the Walla Walla onion starts that McLendon’s carries than I ever have with sowing directly from seed or from bulbs.)
In case you’re wondering about the floating row covers, they serve dual purposes. These thin yet sturdy pieces of remay fabric let through light, air, and water, yet are light enough to be lifted by the growing seedlings. The result is that they function as a sort of green house, warming and insulating the soil, while keeping out pests. But the row covers are also necessary to protect the beds from cats, squirrels, and other animals that just love to dig through freshly turned soil. Without the row covers the loose soil beckons like a giant kitty litter box. Once the seedlings are well established and the soil crusts over a bit, the cats tend to lose interest.
So I’ve found floating row covers to be an absolute must.
As for what I’m currently eating from my garden, well, not much survived the couple of extended hard freezes we had this winter. I’ve got kale, of course, and in addition to the leaves, the tender stems and flower buds are delicious in stir-fries or sautéed with garlic and tossed with pasta. I’ve still got a few leeks left to harvest, and the over-wintered parsley is coming back nicely and should stock my kitchen until its newly sown replacement matures. Other than that, it’s just perennial herbs—rosemary, oregano, sage, and thyme—plus a few scattered chives.
But next week no doubt I’ll be adding radish and arugula thinnings to my salads, and the 2014 garden season will officially begin.
Drinking Liberally — Seattle
The Seattle Chapter of Drinking Liberally has a new home! After more than two months of searching, the group has decided to settle at the Roanoke Park Place Tavern, 2409 10th Ave E, Seattle.
So please join us for a housewarming celebration this Tuesday evening. We meet at 8:00 pm, but some folks show up even earlier than that for dinner.
Can’t make it to Seattle? Check out another Washington state DL over the next week. The Tri-Cities chapter also meets on Tuesday night. On Wednesday, the Bellingham and Burien chapters meet. And on Thursday, the Woodinville chapter meets.
With 215 chapters of Living Liberally, including nineteen in Washington state, four in Oregon, and three more in Idaho, chances are excellent there’s a chapter meeting somewhere near you.
New Study: Minimum Wage Hikes Have “No Measurable Negative Impact on Employment”
Mayor Ed Murray’s Income Inequality Advisory Committee has released the two studies it commissioned on proposals to raise the minimum wage in Seattle to $15 an hour. I’ve only just skimmed through them—there’s a ton of data and analysis—but I thought it useful to skip straight to the conclusion of the report from three professors at UC Berkeley, Local Minimum Wage Laws: Impacts on Workers, Families, and Businesses:
In 1994 David Card and Alan Krueger published a groundbreaking study that changed how many economists view the minimum wage. Card and Krueger (1994) looked at employment in fast- food restaurants across the New Jersey and Pennsylvania border after New Jersey increased its state minimum wage. They found no measurable negative impact on employment. As we reviewed above, a large body of research has since built upon their methodology. As a result, we have learned a great deal about how employers respond to increases in the minimum wage.
First, paying workers more can change their work performance. It can change their productivity, their attitude about their job, how hard they work, and their ability to make it to the job on time. Second, low-wage labor markets have high levels of job churning. Turnover levels are high as workers leave jobs looking for better wages or because they are unable to stay in their jobs due to poverty-related problems such as difficulties with transportation, child care, or health. As a result, rather than eliminating jobs, raising the minimum wages can reduce turnover and increase job stability. Third, firms can absorb higher labor costs through other means as well. They can pass on some of the increased costs to consumers through higher prices or earn lower profits. In short, firms use a combination of strategies to adjust to higher minimum wages without cutting jobs or hours (Schmitt 2013).
Nonetheless, it is important to emphasize again that the existing research literature is necessarily limited to the range of minimum wage increases that have been actually been implemented. While these studies are suggestive, they cannot tell us what might occur when minimum wages are increased significantly beyond existing local, state, or federal mandates.
Finally, raising the minimum wage is not a cure-all, especially in the face of larger forces generating inequality that require national attention. Still, our assessment of the research evidence is that these policies have worked well. They raise the incomes of low-wage workers and their families. The costs to businesses are absorbed largely by reduced turnover costs and by small price increases among restaurants. Additional benefits, such as reduced spending on public assistance programs and the local stimulus of additional spending by low-income families, might also occur. But we do not yet have enough definitive research on these effects.
Seattle’s business community insists that raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour will result in the loss of hundreds of businesses and thousands of jobs. That’s what opponents claim before every proposed minimum wage hike. Yet according to the UC Berkeley report, there is no evidence that this ever happens.
Yes, the proposed Seattle hike is larger than most others (though not unprecedented), so no, we cannot know for sure that a hike to $15 won’t have a negative impact on businesses or employment. But the point is, there is nothing to suggest that it would. And so the burden of proof is on opponents to support their arguments with more than just the anecdotal empty threats of business owners who are loathe to abandon the low-wage economy to which they’ve grown accustomed.
A Slight Difference Between The Parties
As someone who gives the slightest fuck about politics, I get plenty of email from various politicos. I get policy stuff from Patty Murray in the email associated with this blog, I assume since I write open letters to her here. I get political stuff at my personal email since I was a volunteer on her last campaign. I get emails from all sorts of campaigns for policies and politics. Usually lefty but sometimes others.
I just recently got on the national GOP list. And unlike the policy that lefty groups send, they seem to just be trolling. For instance, I got a link from them over the weekend to some shitty bumper stickers. They were anti-ACA bumper stickers with the odd phrasing OBAMA DOESN’T “CARE” OBAMA “COSTS.” Never mind that the law isn’t called Obamacare; That’s just their nickname for it. If they’re unhappy about the name they gave to a thing, why not stop calling it that instead of being angry?
No, whatever. You want to sell dumbass bumper stickers that don’t make a lick of sense, sure GOP. Who am I to stop you? But the subject of the headline was “Tick off the Democrats.” So I realize there are a lot of digressions for this short post, but here’s another one: just say “piss.” When you use the minced oath you just make it sound like you’re a 12 year old trying to get away with swearing in front of your parents. Well, your parents knew what you meant, and so do people reading your emails.
Second, and finally to the point, I’m not ticked off about a bumper sticker. I’m ticked off that the GOP policy is shit. Democrats and liberal groups email me policy, even when they’re going after the GOP. The GOP seem to think the most important thing is pissing people they don’t like off.
Somebody Should Introduce the Seattle Times Editorial Board to the Other Side of the Financial Ledger
Huh. I’ve got this nagging feeling that there’s something missing from the Seattle Times editorial board’s list of things we need to do to attract and retain corporate headquarters:
Support and fund education for students ages 3 to 23. Raise the quality of and reduce inequity of access to pre-K, K-12 and higher education. Protect and enhance the area’s vaunted quality of life and make strategic investments in transportation. Continue to promote a civic culture that values innovation, diversity and tolerance.
Oh. Yeah, that’s right. They forgot to mention the money it takes to pay for all these great things.
It doesn’t take much courage to argue for expanded funding of pre-K, K-12, higher education, transportation, and other public investments that improve our collective quality of life. I do it all the time. But what’s consistently missing from the editorial page of our state’s paper of record is support for raising the taxes necessary to pay for these things. It’s as if there is only one side to the financial ledger—the spending side—and it would be absolutely crazy to even mention the topic of revenue.
I mean, if attracting corporate headquarters provides the strange logic you need to put you over the top in support of universal preschool, fine by me. Whatever floats your pre-K boat. But then what’s so wrong about taxing the incomes of highly paid executives in order to help pay for all the public investments that draw them to the region? Washington does have the most regressive tax structure in the nation, after all.
Without the mention of revenue, the editorial comes off as scolding the rest of us for stingily refusing to invest in the things corporate executives refuse to pay for. Weird.
Open Thread 3/24
– I usually like it when national and international orgs mention Washington, but boo to having disasters bad enough for that in Snohomish County.
– What would you like to see from the next SDOT director?
– Don’t turn off Twitter, national leaders.
– They are taking a lot of handouts in the financial districts of various cities.
Bird’s Eye View Contest
Last week’s contest was won by wes.in.wa. It was Lake Worth, FL, the location of this disturbing Florida news story.
This week’s contest is related to something in the news from March, good luck!
HA Bible Study: Leviticus 25:44-45
Leviticus 25:44-45
And as for your male and female slaves whom you may have—from the nations that are around you, from them you may buy male and female slaves. Moreover you may buy the children of the strangers who dwell among you, and their families who are with you, which they beget in your land; and they shall become your property.
Discuss.
Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza!
Truth Mashup: Glenn Beck’s crazy defense of anti-gay bill .
John Green: Is the American Dream real?:
Sam Seder: Poor Mitt Romney doesn’t want to be remembered as a loser.
Spying on the Senate:
- Desk to Desk: Explaining the CIA search allegations.
- Sen Feinstein’s double standard.
- Mark Fiore: Bestest Friends.
Thom: What do cancer and Reaganomics have in common?
Mental Floss: 21 mind-blowing now-extinct life forms.
Is this World War III.
Obama Nation:
- Obama calls Putin.
Pap and Thom: Another week, another GOP voter suppression bill.
The Prosecution of the Uber-rich:
- Sam Seder: Another demented billionaire says addressing inequality is Nazi talk.
- Sam Seder: Why do crazy rich people keep talking about Nazism?
- Sam Seder: Billionaire Home Depot founder apologizes for calling us Nazis.
Ann Telnaes: The high cost of the Iraq war.
The Law and Lesbians:
- It’s hard for a lesbian to get a proper stoning these days!
- Young Turks: So, a lesbian knocks on a church door….
Newsy News: CPAC, Crimea & Masturbation.
AC370—Breaking News:
- Young Turks: A freaking psychic?!?!
- Matt Binder: Rupert Murdoch’s insane Malaysia airplane conspiracy theory.
- Young Turks: What Noah’s Ark tells us about Flight 370.
- Sam Seder: CNN W.T.F?!?
- Young Turks: Chuck Todd rips CNN.
- Young Turks: FAUX News host blames flight 370 disappearance on Muslims.
David Pakman: Harry Reid, “Republicans are addicted to Koch”.
Things to do in your 20s: Get Covered:
Republicans Target Millennials in New Ads:
- Paycheck–The Original
- Paycheck with Last Week Tonight goodness
- All of the Above–The Original
- All of the Above with Last Week Tonight goodness
- Sam Seder: The G.O.P.’s bizarre millennial advertisement.
- Young Turks: GOP launches ad campaign courting minorities.
Sam Seder’s moving rememberance of Fred Phelps.
Maher: New Rules (via Crooks and Liars).
White House: West Wing Week.
Republicans Say the Darnedest Things:
- Richard Fowler: Paul Ryan is really convinced poor people are lazy
- Paul Ryan: The inner city expert.
- Richard Fowler takes on Paul Ryan’s stupid, racist comments
- Sharpton: Republicans still obsessed with Black “cheats”.
- Pap and Sam Seder: Why Republicans should not use Twitter.
- Truth Mashup: Watch Republicans dodge Ted Nugent questions.
- Sam Seder: Nutjob Chicago Republican, “gay rights are responsible for natural disasters, mental disorders”.
Last week’s Friday Night Multimedia Extravaganza can be found here.
Initiative Filed to Repeal Caps on Lyft, Sidecar, and uberX
Seattle’s Tim-Eyman-wannabe Elizabeth Campbell, has filed an initiative that would repeal recently imposed caps on popular Transportation Network Companies (TNCs) like Lyft, Sidecar, and uberX. Initiative 111 (pdf) would also eliminate the $50,000 annual license fee per TNC that was intended to fund enforcement of the remaining regulations, while removing any reference to “the stability of the market for taxi and for hire transportations services” from consideration for subsequent regulatory review. If passed, the initiative would pretty much gut the work of the city council, freeing up the TNCs to operate at will and virtually unrestricted, while leaving the taxi industry capped and heavily regulated. So much for the “level playing field” the TNCs have been clamoring for.
Of course, Campbell is a bit of a self-serving pro-business crackpot with a habit of filing initiatives on spec and then hoping the corporate contributions roll in. She’s already filed a faux $15 minimum wage initiative that would not in fact raise the minimum wage to $15 for most workers, while lavishing tax cuts on business. No contributions thus far. So it’s not clear whether Lyft, Sidecar, and Uber were even aware of this initiative before it was filed, let alone whether they would lend it financial support.
That said, my sense is that a well-crafted initiative lifting the caps on the popular TNCs could very well pass. Everybody loves to hate on the taxis. So it wouldn’t surprise me to see the TNCs fund such an initiative, if not this particular one.
I’ve emailed Campbell and other parties for comment. I’ll update when I know more.
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