An Elway poll taken last week and released today has some not-so-bad and some not-so-good news for Rob McKenna (via Publicola).
But first the not-so-bad news for McKenna. The poll didn’t really do a typical head-to-head between Jay Inslee and McKenna. Rather, they took a smorgasbord approach (rotating the order of answers, of course):
Several candidates may run for Governor next year. As things stand today, whom would you support if the candidates were:
- Republican Rob McKenna
- Republican Bill Bryant
- Republican Clint Didier
- Democrat Dow Constantine
- Democrat Lisa Brown
- Democrat Aaron Reardon
- Democrat Jay Inslee
- Democrat Brian Sonntag
The not-so-bad part for McKenna is that he took 20% to Inslee’s 17%. But with five Dems to three G.O.P. names on the list, and about half the respondents offering no opinion, the question does little beyond assessing the potential viability of any candidates besides Inslee and McKenna.
(The answer: none shows any potential. Still, Mr. Didier, don’t let numbers and reality stand between you and the Governor’s mansion!)
The not-so-good news for McKenna came from another question:
Asked which type of candidate they were most likely
to support, 48% said a Democrat and 36% said a
Republican. More specifically:
- 22% said a “liberal Democrat”
- 26% said a “moderate Democrat”
- 16% said a “moderate Republican” and
- 20% said a “conservative Republican.
McKenna has spent years cultivating his image as a moderate Republican. He has shown remarkable discipline doing so.
But it was a single decision to “go rogue” in joining a lawsuit against the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act—action he took against the wishes of the Governor and the legislature—that will prevent him from gaining the support of independents and moderate Democrats.
So, the not-so-good news is less good than the not-so-bad new, which isn’t really so good anyway.