|100.0% probability of winning||0.0% probability of winning|
|Mean of 363 electoral votes||Mean of 175 electoral votes|
Today there were 17 new polls for 16 states released, but not much has changed with the electoral map, except that a new West Virginia puts Obama in the lead by +8%. On the other hand, McCain leads in a Missouri poll today–following two consecutive leads by Obama in the state.
The Monte Carlo analysis employing 100,000 simulated elections finds Obama winning every single one. Obama receives (on average) 363 to McCain’s 175 electoral votes in a hypothetical election held today.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.