|100.0% probability of winning||0.0% probability of winning|
|Mean of 369 electoral votes||Mean of 169 electoral votes|
Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 368 to 170 electoral votes. Obama would have almost certainly won an election held yesterday. With the release of 14 new polls from 12 states today, Obama edges forward in his electoral vote total.
Now, after 100,000 simulated elections, Obama still wins them all. Obama takes, on average, 369 of the 538 electoral votes. McCain takes 169. With little doubt, Obama would win an election held now.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.