| Obama | McCain |
| 100.0% probability of winning | 0.0% probability of winning |
| Mean of 368 electoral votes | Mean of 170 electoral votes |
Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 369 to 169 electoral votes. If the election had been held yesterday, Obama would have won with near certainty.
Today there were seven new polls in six states released. As a result, Obama holds his massive lead, but McCain gains back one electoral vote. After 100,000 simulated elections, Obama wins all 100,000 times. Obama receives (on average) 368 to McCain’s 170 electoral votes. Obama, in an election held now, would have a near-100.0% probability of winning.
More details from this analysis are available at Hominid Views.
Methods are described in the FAQ.The most recent version of this analysis can be found on this page.
Look on the bright side. The media’s finally starting to vet acquaintances of Barack Obama.
“We’re trying to track him down,” she said.
Also revealed: His boss’s business probably doesn’t bring in anywhere near $250,000 a year so he should stop dreaming about turning it into one that does and what that might mean for his taxes. Which should be easy enough; he’ll probably be out of work soon anyway. Should have known better than to ask a media darling a tough question before your affairs were in order, Joe. Exit question: The law’s the law and it is, after all, his own fault for not having the papers he needs. If, say, an illegal alien had asked McCain a tough question and some righty media source responded by bringing his status to light, would the left feel the same way?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/.....35319.html
Yes, that Charles Keating. The Charles Keating of the Keating 5 Scandal. For which John McCain was reprimanded by the United States Senate, for his involvement in attempting to illegally influence government regulators. The Charles Keating who John McCain has been trying to avoid have mentioned. So, he basically mentioned it 24 times.
So, you remember Joe the Plumber, who John McCain kept relentlessly bringing up. And up. The apparently undecided plumber who had complained to Barack Obama that he couldn’t buy his own plumbing company because he’d have to pay 3% more in taxes. The plumber who John McCain lauded as an Everyman while oddly proclaiming “Congratulations! You’re rich!” in the midst of a disastrous recession. The fellow who said that Barack Obama “tap dances better than Sammy Davis Jr.”
That guy.
Well, it turns out he’s the one gliding around the dance floor so much, you should expect to see him soon on “Dancing with the Stars.”
You see, Joe Wurzelbacher is apparently related to Robert Wurzelbacher. Who is the son-in-law of (are you ready…?) Charles Keating!
Yes, that Charles Keating. The Charles Keating of the Keating 5 Scandal. For which John McCain was reprimanded by the United States Senate, for his involvement in attempting to illegally influence government regulators. The Charles Keating who John McCain has been trying to avoid have mentioned. So, he basically mentioned it 24 times.
Now we find out that Joe the Plumber is a tax scofflaw. That’s right, he didn’t pay his state taxes, and Ohio has a tax lien against him.
good, he didn’t pay his taxes! that’s less money that can go to bribe ACORN to commit fraud for the Dems.
At least that Joe knows that J-O-B-S is not 3 letters, but 4. I shutter to think that someone a heartbeat away from the presidency can’t count accurately to 3.
Darryl-ict~ I can see why you say analysis…..cuz you pulled those electoral numbers right out of your ass.
From Joe the plumber, to “Joe the Dumber”, The sot Joe Biden is to visit this Sunday in Tacoma. Look for the Drunken buffoon that serves as Obama’s training wheels to yet again, make a complete jackass of himself.
It’s a gaffe a minute with the Dem duo of Dumb/Dumber
From today’s Rasmussen
2 days in a row at 4 points.
Things will tighten,
However, too little too late for McCain…I agree.
5 What the hell is it with you righties’ big rectal fixation?
You see, Joe Wurzelbacher is apparently related to Robert Wurzelbacher. Who is the son-in-law of (are you ready…?) Charles Keating!
No. Really? If that turns out to be true, I’m going to spend an entire day ROFLMFAO!
The McCain campaign is focusing over the next several days on reclaiming Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia – all states carried by Bush in 2000 and 2004. Meanwhile, Obama is carrying on his attack to get even more “red” states to turn blue.
McCain having to play defensive in his home territory this late in the game is pretty telling. At this point it’s hard to envision a scenario of an “October Surprise” which would change the outcome.
Twelve years of Republican economics under Reagan & George H.W. Bush led to the “it’s the economy, stupid” tagline which kept George W. Bush from his second term. Now the same math is making it impossible for voters to swallow another four years of Republican economics under McCain after experiencing the results of eight years of it under Bush.
What the hell is it with you righties’ big rectal fixation?
I think Freud explained this most probably goes back to poor toilet training, where children are made to feel dirty and nasty for accidents they might have while learning how to control their bowels. Some of these children grow up and hire professional mistresses or hookers to dress them in diapers and humiliate them; others may die in strange eroto-autoasphixiation accidents, to be discovered at autopsy with large dildos inserted into their rectums. And still others, unfortunately for the rest of us, simply grow up to become closeted, self-hating Republicans.
Now the same math is making it impossible for voters to swallow another four years of Republican economics under McCain after experiencing the results of eight years of it under Bush.
Indeed, but I do wonder wtf is up with people here in our fair state. I know Gregoire has the campaign charm of a damp dishrag, but she has done a good job over the past four years, our state is in far better shape than most others, economically. Rossi reminds me of a cross between the wolf in “Little Red Riding Hood” and a used car salesman, and his proposed policies such as they are scare the daylights out of me. So I don’t understand why the polls are even close at this point. Do people really want to shoot themselves in the foot/head/groin by voting in this Manchurian BIAW bot?
tlaz-
“I know Gregoire has the campaign charm of a damp dishrag, but she has done a good job over the past four years, our state is in far better shape than most others, economically”
I understand 100% the damp dishrag part….but you are basing the rest of this comment on WHAT GREGOIRE SAYS!
Gregoire says she has done a good job and we are in good shape.
Just because Gregoire says it, doesn’t make it so.
The Voters will tell us the answer to that on November 4.