|100.0% probability of winning||0.0% probability of winning|
|Mean of 364 electoral votes||Mean of 174 electoral votes|
Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 363 to 175 electoral votes. There were new polls in California, Colorado, and Delaware released today, and as a consequence, Obama earns another electoral vote.
Now, after 100,000 simulated elections, Obama still wins them all. Obama receives (on average) 364 to McCain’s 174 electoral votes. Obama would almost certainly win the election if it was held today.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.