|100.0% probability of winning||0.0% probability of winning|
|Mean of 362 electoral votes||Mean of 176 electoral votes|
Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 363 to 175 electoral votes. Obama had a 100% chance of winning an election held yesterday.
Today, there were 35 new polls representing 22 states released. The net result is a one-vote decline for Obama.
An analysis of 100,000 simulated elections shows Obama winning every one. Obama receives (on average) 362 to McCain’s 176 electoral votes. Obama still has a 100.0% probability of winning an election held now.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.