|100.0% probability of winning||0.0% probability of winning|
|Mean of 376 electoral votes||Mean of 162 electoral votes|
Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 373 to 165 electoral votes (on average). Obama almost certainly would have won an election held yesterday.
With the addition of fifteen new polls from thirteen states today, Obama earns a couple more electoral votes….
A Monte Carlo analysis consisting of 100,000 simulated elections shows Obama winning them all. Obama receives (on average) 376 to McCain’s 162 electoral votes—a gain of three. Obama would still have a near-100.0% probability of winning an election held today.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.