|100.0% probability of winning||0.0% probability of winning|
|Mean of 372 electoral votes||Mean of 166 electoral votes|
Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 376 to 162 electoral votes. There were 21 new polls in 15 states released today. The polls slightly favor McCain, so that he gains a handful of electoral votes today.
Now, after 100,000 simulated elections, Obama wins 100,000 times. Obama receives (on average) 372 to McCain’s 166 electoral votes. Obama would still have a 100.0% probability of winning an election held now.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.