|100.0% probability of winning||0.0% probability of winning|
|Mean of 364 electoral votes||Mean of 174 electoral votes|
Yesterday’s analysis had Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 360 to 178 electoral votes. If the election had been held yesterday, it almost certainly would have gone to Obama.
Today there were 17 new polls in 13 states released. The polls are something of a mixed bag, but Obama gets the better of ‘em.
Now, after 100,000 simulated elections, Obama wins every one.
Obama gains back four electoral votes from yesterday for an average of 364 to McCain’s 174. Once again, an election held now would go for Obama with a near 100% chance.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.