The news of Mexico’s drug war violence is finally starting to get the attention it deserves – primarily because it’s starting to affect American (and even Canadian) cities. Much of the response has even been positive, with a number of insightful editorials, and some initial attempts by politicians in border states to begin discussing the connection between drug prohibition and the violence. But not everyone gets it just yet.
At a website called investors.com comes the most confused editorial I’ve seen on the Mexican violence so far this year.
Now that Phoenix has become a kidnap capital, it’s official: Mexico’s drug war is spilling over into the U.S. The administration vows a strong response, but so far seems to be putting special interests first.
Trouble from Mexico is cropping up in the usual place: the border, a nexus of illegal immigration, human smuggling and drug trafficking, all of it interlinked. It’s all about illegal routes into the states. As they grow scarcer, traffickers’ war on the Mexican state intensifies.
The intensification of this war has had nothing to do with border routes. The intensification was a result of a massive effort by Mexican President Felipe Calderon to go after the cartel leaders. The resulting violence was an entirely predictable response to Calderon’s push, based upon the numerous times in the past that Mexico has tried to eliminate the cartel and seen violence skyrocket. The smuggling routes aren’t becoming scarcer, they’re being fought over.
The U.S. seems to recognize the gravity of the problem — or is at least paying it lip service. A recent Pentagon report cited a risk of a sudden collapse in Mexico if cartels win. A Homeland Security report vows to ready a response if Mexico’s war spreads here. Last Friday, the State Department’s global counternarcotics report called the cartels “a significant threat.”
But for a threat this grave, the Obama administration places it below other priorities. Yes, Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano calls the violence “a top priority.” But how does that jibe with her response to the Texas governor’s request for more border troops? “We do not want to militarize the border,” she said.
The Obama Administration has been far from perfect in how they’ve discussed what’s happening in Mexico, but this is a foolish criticism. Considering that Mexico doesn’t allow American military personnel on Mexican soil, there’s not much that an increased military presence on the border would do, other than to lead to actual warfare in cities like El Paso.
This editorial is still premised on the archaic belief that the only way to defeat cartels is by killing off the “bad guys.” We know now that this doesn’t work. The only way to defeat the cartels is to cut off their profits. Collectively, the Mexican cartels earn roughly $1 billion per week. Once you kill a “bad guy”, there will be a dozen people fighting each other to be the next “bad guy” and get a piece of that pie.
Human trafficking is a real and serious problem, but it’s one that we’ll never be successful at fighting as long as we continue to maintain a drug policy that helps these criminal organizations remain untouchable.
The editorial goes on to criticize Obama’s attempts at resurrecting gun control legislation, criticisms that I generally agree with, but then it goes off the deep end:
Other Obama officials also send mixed messages. The new drug czar, former Seattle police chief Gil Kerlikowske, stresses “harm reduction” instead of tough action. Sounds humane, but it essentially expands cartel market bases by enabling users and expanding the buyer base for the cartels.
“Harm reduction” distributes new needles, legalizes medical marijuana and puts pot at the bottom of enforcement priorities. Legalization lobbies are happy. But cartels have one more reason to smuggle.
What? And this website gives investment advice?
First of all, if medical marijuana were fully legal, the cartels would easily be pushed out of the market by legal American growers. If marijuana were fully legalized for recreational use, you could massively reduce the amount of money being used to wage this war against Calderon’s government. And you could free up the resources to shut down human trafficking networks, which don’t have the same enormous level of demand that drugs do.
Second, this editorial is assuming that harm reduction techniques for dealing with hard drug addiction increases demand. That hasn’t been true anywhere in the world where it’s been tried. Not in Switzerland. Not in Australia. Not in Canada. Not in Holland. The idea that needle exchanges give cartels “one more reason to smuggle” is an idea so outdated that it would have been laughable a decade ago.
The choice of Gil Kerlikowski to head the Office of National Drug Control Policy has generally been positive among drug law reformers, but he will certainly find that various members of the media and the political elite will see no distinction between his moderate support of a public health approach to drug problems and the views of more outspoken legalization advocates. We’ve long been used to Drug Czars who never let anyone take a more authoritarian posture than them. Now that the country at our southern border is in real danger of succumbing to the downstream effects of that legacy, Kerlikowske should find it easier to advocate for a new direction.
rhp6033 spews:
Playing devil’s advocate:
1. If marijuana were de-criminalized, but not other drugs, would it seriously affect the cash inflow to the cartels and also reduce the violence on the border? Wouldn’t the cartels, at least initially, simply switch to using their resources to smuggle more of the other drugs? We know they aren’t going to “go down quietly” without a fight.
2. Why don’t we have the same problem (violent drug cartels) on the Canadian border, if the U.S. prohibition laws are to blame for the crisis? Aren’t the economic pressures the same – if a cartel can make that much money on a daily/weekly basis, then what difference does it make whether the point of entry into the U.S. is Tiajuana or Vancouver, B.C.?
Marvin Stamn spews:
The “war on drugs” is lost. It was started 40 years ago and things have only gotten worse, so before wasting any more money let’s do the right thing.
Also…
The “war on poverty” is lost. It’s a war that has lasted longer than the failed “war on drugs” with no exit strategy in sight.
There are more poor democrats today than when the war on poverty started.
Hhmmm… Are they poor because they believe in democrat planks/principles or democrats because they are poor and looking for handouts.
Marvin Stamn spews:
Of course. Wouldn’t you if you were a drug dealer?
Be careful, you’re bordering on being a racist.
Lee spews:
@1
Rhp, thanks for the great questions. I’ll answer inline…
1. If marijuana were de-criminalized, but not other drugs, would it seriously affect the cash inflow to the cartels and also reduce the violence on the border?
That depends on a few other factors. If it’s just de-criminalized, but not legalized (in other words, possession is not a crime, but production and selling still is), there will be little impact on the cash inflow to the cartels or the violence.
If it’s legalized with regulated markets, that’s a different story. This editorial cited a statistic that marijuana is 61 percent of the illicit drug traffic from Mexico. I was surprised to see a figure that high (and I don’t know where that figure comes from either), but even if that number is more like 30-40%, taking that much money from the cartels will certainly be noticed.
Wouldn’t the cartels, at least initially, simply switch to using their resources to smuggle more of the other drugs?
Possibly, but since demand is fixed, the more likely outcome of that effort would be a lowering of the price moreso than a big gain in revenue for the cartels.
We know they aren’t going to “go down quietly” without a fight.
I agree, and I think the slow elimination of marijuana prohibition will lead to cartels exploring other criminal activities, like kidnapping.
2. Why don’t we have the same problem (violent drug cartels) on the Canadian border, if the U.S. prohibition laws are to blame for the crisis?
Well, we do have a certain level of violence on the Canadian border, it’s just dwarfed by what’s happening in Mexico. Marijuana has long been produced in Mexico and exported north, long before B.C. Bud. And Mexico’s perennial instability has allowed for gangs to thrive there more easily than in Canada.
Drug trafficking tends to find the “path of least resistance”. That’s why the opium trade which used to stretch from Turkey to China is now mostly concentrated in lawless Afghanistan.
In addition, Mexican gangs are a natural fit for trafficking cocaine and opium (which are both produced in South America) into the U.S. for a few reasons. First and foremost, getting the drugs across the U.S.-Mexico border is the biggest part, and they can do it. Second, they share a common language with the folks who produce it.
Aren’t the economic pressures the same – if a cartel can make that much money on a daily/weekly basis, then what difference does it make whether the point of entry into the U.S. is Tiajuana or Vancouver, B.C.?
Sure, the economic pressures are the same, but Mexican-based cartels have a few things that Canadian organizations don’t have. For one, they don’t have as easily corruptible system to work with. And two, and this is a big one, they don’t have as many disenfranchised individuals willing to be pawns in the game. It’s far easier for a Mexican gang to find individuals to take enormous risks for them.
Smuggling from Canada certainly happens (in fact, more ecstasy comes from Canada than from Mexico, but that’s about the only major drug that that’s true for), but Mexican organizations are far more powerful, well-established, and for drugs like heroin and cocaine, they have the extra advantages that I mentioned above.
Thanks again for reading and sharing your thoughts. I always appreciate the feedback.