The Darcy Burner campaign has seemed awfully cheerful in recent days, and now we know why. A new poll conducted on behalf of the campaign by pollster Lake Research Partners shows Darcy now leading Dave Reichert 47% to 40% in the hotly contested race for Washington’s 8th Congressional District. And this comes on the heels of yesterday’s DCCC poll showing Darcy with a 49% to 44% lead.
I’m sure Reichert fans will self-soothe themselves with the notion that this is just an internal poll, but as I mentioned yesterday, campaigns are not in the business of deceiving themselves. In fact, this represents a substantial turnaround from previous Burner campaign internal polls, which have never once before shown her with a lead. The partisan propaganda part of internal polling comes not from how they are conducted, but rather, from whether or not they are publicly released. And there’s a damn good reason the Burner camp is releasing this poll, as the internals are just as promising as the top line.
Reichert’s job performance rating has “plummeted” to 34% “good or excellent” versus 54% “fair or poor.” And Reichert’s re-elect now stands at just 36%, meaning nearly two-thirds of 8th CD voters would consider voting for somebody else.
No doubt this race is far from over, and will likely come down to a point or two in either direction, but the gloom and doomers who had already written off this race based on polls conducted during the now deflated Palin bounce better start rewriting their post mortems. Given sufficient resources and effective messaging, Darcy is in a position to win this race. So if you haven’t already given all that you can toward turning WA-08 blue for the first time, well, ever… please give to Darcy today.
Reliable sources tell me there is another, as yet unreleased private poll that shows Darcy with a small lead over Reichert. I’ll publish details if I can track it down.
I don’t know if this is the third “poll” I’ve been hearing about, as it’s not really one per se, but a source with the Washington State Labor Council confirms that they are doing phone ID work in preparation for their GOTV efforts, and that among union members, Burner is above 50% and Reichert is down around 38%. Not a scientific poll, but encouraging nonetheless.