The Darcy Burner campaign has seemed awfully cheerful in recent days, and now we know why. A new poll conducted on behalf of the campaign by pollster Lake Research Partners shows Darcy now leading Dave Reichert 47% to 40% in the hotly contested race for Washington’s 8th Congressional District. And this comes on the heels of yesterday’s DCCC poll showing Darcy with a 49% to 44% lead.
I’m sure Reichert fans will self-soothe themselves with the notion that this is just an internal poll, but as I mentioned yesterday, campaigns are not in the business of deceiving themselves. In fact, this represents a substantial turnaround from previous Burner campaign internal polls, which have never once before shown her with a lead. The partisan propaganda part of internal polling comes not from how they are conducted, but rather, from whether or not they are publicly released. And there’s a damn good reason the Burner camp is releasing this poll, as the internals are just as promising as the top line.
Reichert’s job performance rating has “plummeted” to 34% “good or excellent” versus 54% “fair or poor.” And Reichert’s re-elect now stands at just 36%, meaning nearly two-thirds of 8th CD voters would consider voting for somebody else.
No doubt this race is far from over, and will likely come down to a point or two in either direction, but the gloom and doomers who had already written off this race based on polls conducted during the now deflated Palin bounce better start rewriting their post mortems. Given sufficient resources and effective messaging, Darcy is in a position to win this race. So if you haven’t already given all that you can toward turning WA-08 blue for the first time, well, ever… please give to Darcy today.
UNCONFIRMED TIDBIT:
Reliable sources tell me there is another, as yet unreleased private poll that shows Darcy with a small lead over Reichert. I’ll publish details if I can track it down.
UPDATE:
I don’t know if this is the third “poll” I’ve been hearing about, as it’s not really one per se, but a source with the Washington State Labor Council confirms that they are doing phone ID work in preparation for their GOTV efforts, and that among union members, Burner is above 50% and Reichert is down around 38%. Not a scientific poll, but encouraging nonetheless.
Mr. Cynical spews:
Hey Darcy!, if you don’t believe Boeing is headed for Texas, take a look at this article which shows 4 Texas Cities in the Top 10 US Cities in terms of Cost of Living:
Best and Worst Bang for the Buck Cities
Abha Bhattarai, Forbes.com
Oct 10th, 2008
Seattle is soooooooo arrogant.
They truly believe Boeing has no options.
People like Darcy Burner are Arrogant Fools!
Mr. Cynical spews:
Boeing is headed for a Right-To-Work state with much better cost-of-living.
All the taxes, transportation debacles, costly light rail proposals…all add to the cost of living.
Plus, you KLOWNS are determined to kill the Construction Industry.
Boeing isn’t stupid.
Look for Gregoire to make HUGE last minute concessions in a desperate attempt to keep Boeing here….just like Locke did. Locke gave away Waaaaaaaaaaaay more than he had to if only he had stepped up sooner.
Where is Gregoire on this Boeing catastrophe??
Busy dreaming up more ways to sue Rossi??
Fools.
John425 spews:
Hey Goldy: I hope your mental masturbation about winning the 8th CD is satisfying because Burner is a dildo and you can use her if your hand is not up to the job.
My Left Foot spews:
Seems that Obama is going to have coat tails. Darcy is qualified candidate and Sheriff Dave, well, not so much. These polls tend to get more accurate as the election draws near. I am sure that Dave knows this too.
I found klake (Roger, this is for you). He is posting over at the PI in the blog attached to Horsey’s cartoon. Which you can see here for now.
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/.....sp?ID=1842
Posted by klake at 10/14/08 9:05 p.m.
So this piece of crap did not go unchallenged by someone, like Roger, who has figured klake out.
Roger ran him off from here and he found a new home. He does seem to be a glutton for abuse.
correctnotright spews:
@1: Cynical
So what is the problem with Boeing? They want to ship jobs overseas just so they can make even more profit? They want to bribe the Pentagon again? They used to be a well run company that was a pillar of the community – now all they are doing is looking for the biggest buck for the executives. They already have every tax break in the book in Washington. do they need even more to stay here?
Cost of living – you mean the housing prices in other places like Texas have plummeted to zero? Guess we are lucky to live in Washington where our houses are still worth something.
Yup, cynical I would be glad if you left for Texas – we have too many idiots in Washington as it is.
Mr. Cynical spews:
cnr–
Are you clueless as to the impact Boeing leaving would have on Washington’s Economy and Tax Base??
Apparently so.
You must be a Government Workers…who has seniority so you won’t be among the 8,000–10,000 that will be laid off.
More like 15-20,000 if Boeing leaves.