I haven’t done too much analysis yet, but it sure does look like the late voters tended to break strongly Democratic, at least around these parts.
For example, at the end of last night, Patty Murray had registered a comfortable 61.82% of King County vote. But in today’s batch of 50,148 votes, Murray scored a whopping 66.7%. Meanwhile, Rick Larsen has taken a small lead in WA-02; we’ll see if that holds up after the Snohomish County vote comes in at 7PM.
Very interesting. And encouraging.
UPDATE:
Matt Baretto of the Washington Poll has a spreadsheet up comparing county by county ballot returns reported on election night, 11/2 to those reported today, 11/3, and it’s kinda stunning. 22 counties reported new results today, and of them, only three—Franklin, Pend Oreille and Spokane—reported higher margins for Rossi. The rest moved in Murray’s direction, sometimes by substantial amounts.
For example, Island went from 51.43 for Murray on 11/2 to 54.42 in the 11/3 returns, Skagit from 47.75 to 48.57, Snohomish from 51.3 to 53.2, and Whatcom from 51.17 to 57.49. And I use these counties as examples, because they constitute the four biggest chunks of WA-02, where incumbent Democratic Rep. Rick Larsen climbed from a 1,400 vote deficit on election day to a 500+ vote lead over challenger John Koster today, based on the latest returns. And that appears to suggest that late voters didn’t just break hard for Murray, but for Democrats in general… which also helps explain a number of legislative races moving in the Dem direction today.
Will this trend hold up? Can’t think of a good reason why it wouldn’t.
Oregonian: Kitzhaber reelected (6k margin).
http://www.oregonlive.com/poli....._john.html
Off topic, but too good to pass up.
You’ve got to give ups to the voters MO!
@1
But, but, but, it’s an anti-liburl year! How can Kitzhaber, Brown, and Hickenlooper get elected in an anti-liburl year? I smell ACORN!
The West Coast is a bastion against nonsense. Can we secede?
3 – ACORN is bankrupt. Wow. Teddy K., Byrd, ACORN and pretty soon Nancy Pelosi.
What’s the right wing going to do?
Ooooooohhh.. Barack Obama! How silly of me. Expect a hate frenzy that will make the babbling of the KLOWN and his batshit insane sidekick Puddybud look like pikers.
@4: It’s tempting, isn’t? It should be with BC, OR, Northern CA and think about SoCal.
I’d really like to keep Montana, North Idaho; parts of Utah, Wyoming, and Northern Ariz but we’d probably have to deal with all the crazy fuckers in Idaho (my family comes from there).
Colorado is basically left coast now. After that, who cares? I’ve always thought the country wasn’t worth shit east of the Black Hills and I’m really thankful most of the people live there.
@6
If we could just teach the people in Idaho how to drive, I’d be OK with them. I spend some time in Spokane and while I’m over there I keep my eyes peeled for Idaho plates, ‘Cause you never know what kind of crazy shit they will pull.
@ 7
Heh, the only requirement for licensing drivers in Idaho is the ability to move the steering wheel back and forth.
Just a guess for the late-breaking Dem vote (and just a guess): The GOP vote was fired up and ready to go early and mailed in their vote early. I know I did 2 years ago. This year, I just voted, as normal. Less “enthusiastic” but still certain to vote. Not to mention the Dem vote got more fired up as Election Day got closer. See those lines at Union Station?
Larsen up 0.26% (from 0.20)!
Gee is anyone surprised?
King County to the rescue!
Larsen has a 507 vote lead.
@12: He improved from the ballots counted in SnoCo, dipshit. RTFP (read the fucking post), stupid goatfucker!
It also means he’s got this if the SnoCo trend holds up. King County’s gravy and a small part of his district.
What’s this dipshit stuff? I hope Larsen wins. Koster’s a member of the American Taliban.
Does that have you pissed off?
@11 King County has a third of the state’s population, so why shouldn’t King County voters have a third of the votes? Or are you one of those dingnuts who think a rural county with 1,000 voters should carry the same weight as an urban county with 1,000,000 voters?
Let’s hope this trend holds in Pierce County, too, where anti-Girl Scout candidate Hans Zeiger (prefers Dipshit Party) has fallen behind Democrat Dawn Morrell by 16 votes. Latest tally: Morrell 19,747, Zeiger 19,731. That one’s going to recount for sure.
If Zeiger loses, Goldy probably can take credit for it. If even 20 people changed their votes because of Goldy’s expose, then HA changed the outcome of that race.
@17 Without Goldy, I doubt that anybody would have known about those hairy-legged lesbian girlscouts.
@14: If that was directed at me, I’m on your side.
I was pointing out to the dipshit dissing King County that the improvement for Larsen came from recently counted (7:00pm) SnoCo ballots where he is having trouble.
He’s 9 points ahead with many ballots to be counted in KingCo.
Murray has widened her lead from 18,000 to 28,000 and I think that’ll improve as King County, which is always the last county to report (because it has so many more to count), continues reporting. It’s over for Rossi. Close, but no cigar. Time for him to pack in his political non-career and become a TV spokesman for Handi-Mop, or something.
@17
W/O Goldy The News Tribune would have gotten away with calling Zeiger a thoughtful young man and not addressing crazy ass rants.
@18 Hairy-legged girls, ugh! Mrs. Rabbit has her faults … ow! I just got hit with a saucepan! … but her legs ain’t one of ’em. Mrs. R has always been a looker and still is. I mean, you don’t think a rabbit with my gonads would marry a carpenter’s dream with pencil legs, do ya?
[kiss, smack]
Btw, Goldy met Mrs. Rabbit for the first time at DL last night. Too bad you weren’t there, Darryl.
what a bunch of morons i have to live with and support. i cannot fathom anyone voting for the pork / dumb senator murray. really….i mean other than a predictable leftie vote, what good is she?
20 – Chris Gregoire could only dream of having such a lead back in ’04.
The latest results are salve for our wounds. Larsen pulling through, Murray pulling ahead, Zeiger dropping behind … sweet. History will record that Republicans won nothing last night except responsibility for the deficit. Which they will try to increase by floating more tax cuts for the rich.
The problem for them is you get to a point of diminishing returns when you keep trying to cut taxes for people who don’t pay any taxes to begin with.
@18:
They really are sick aren’t they?
Thanks, Goldy!
Geoff Simpson went down in flames. That’s one person with a D next to his name that I don’t mind seeing lose.
@24 YOU complaining about pork? A Republican-voting shill whining about porculus? Surely you jest! Republicans are the all-time champions of Earmark Waste, Fraud, and Abuse! By voting Republican YOU are part of the problem, my friend! You’re like shit complaining about flies. Your violin is so tiny I can’t even hear the music.
If you want specifics, we could start with a $220 million bridge to an island inhabited by 220 people, courtesy of the late REPUBLICAN Senator Ted Stevens …
A terrific hair remover for right wing idiots.
Don’t waste your money on rogaine right wingers. All of Patty Murray’s many good works for Washington State will make you pull your hair out just the same.
Her seniority is good for the State. Suck on it fools.
Alaska, home turf of Self Reliance Party candidate Sarah Palin, happens to be the biggest porker of all. Nobody there could buy groceries or pay rent if it wasn’t for federal spending and state oil-revenue checks. It’s not like there’s any meaningful work there besides building military bases and off-loading military supplies, except in the oilfields, where all the laborers come from Texas and Oklahoma and send their allotment checks back to their families in those states. The federal government owns 90% of the land and is 90% of the economy up there.
Unintended Consequences: Be Careful What You Pray For
Among yesterday’s big losers are the House’s pro-life Democrats. AOL News reports that GOP victories swept away half of them.
http://www.politicsdaily.com/2.....-pray-for/
Roger,
“Btw, Goldy met Mrs. Rabbit for the first time at DL last night. Too bad you weren’t there, Darryl.”
I sure as hell WAS there! I was at the same table as Goldy, opposite side, one seat over. I had my nose in the laptop until it quit.
Sorry I missed Ms. Rabbit!
Zotz @6
Certainly, I’d like to include BC. Western Montana, for sure (trout streams, true libertarians who really don’t care what you do privately as long as you don’t care what they do). Northern Idaho is a problem. Beautiful country, now that it is starting to recover from all the timber and mining rape it has experienced. Lots and lots of dumbfucks. I have family there, too, and much history at Priest Lake. Have to include northern Idaho, somehow. The South, simply, can go fuck itself.
@36
I love Priest Lake. Didn’t get a chance to get up there this year. :-(
O’ man, I knew Daryl Romeyn in the 5th CD was going to get clobbered, but I didn’t think it was going to be that bad.
@34
Yeah, That’s one of the reason I’m not all broken up about this election, the Republicans took out a lot of people with D’s next to their names that I wasn’t very fond of.
Michael,
Did you ever get up to Upper Priest Lake (protected by federal wilderness policies that would rile up today’s GOP)?
Somebody please send that cunt to a dentist!
@40
I did a couple of canoe and sea trips to the upper lake when I lived outside of Spokane in the mid 90’s. Beautiful place.
The thing that really kills me is that quite a few of our first wilderness advocates WERE members of the GOP. I’d love to see wilderness protection become a non-partisan issue.
42
Canoed up there myself in the early 80s. Spectacular, isn’t it? Head up Upper Priest River and you might find moose and wolves. Bears, for sure. Wingies don’t like wild animals. They’re scared of them. They want to eradicate them. I guess so that the wilderness will be safe, or something like that.
Here’s the latest email from Rossi.
SO!!!
That hairy hunchback sitting depressed in the corner was the Pancho to Goldy’s don Quixote last night?
I should have guessed when I saw you with the bearded guy on the jackass. He sure needed a longer lance last night!
Were you guys hacking into King County to flip some votes?
@42, and 43: The Panhandle wasn’t always a wingnut preserve. Check out Bert Russell’s “Caulked Boots and Other NW Writings” just for starters.
One big Union! One big Strike!
Thanks for providing that counterfactual and delusional Rossi email, Michael. No wonder he’s a three-time fucking loser.
To pick out just one error (in arithmetic!), according to the SoS King County has 1,069,791 registered voters and there are 3,601,149 voters in the state. That means King has 29.7% of the electorate, not 30.7%. And, for the record, King contributed only 25% of today’s newly-counted ballots … it was underrepresented in today’s big gains for Patty.
Do they really not understand the way the “remaining ballots” thing works, that it really has very little meaning while ballots continue to pour in and take a couple of days to process? For instance, yesterday Snohomish County reported it had 48,350 ballots awaiting processing. Today, they tallied 14,845 votes, so now they’re down to … well, no, they’re actually way up, to 85,000 unprocessed ballots.
Clueless, utterly clueless.
N Seattle @ 47
At least give Rossi’s spokesperson some credit for keeping the hope and drama alive for the next few days. Rossi ain’t likely to win — and will probably lose by another 10,000 to 20,000 votes. But these things need to play out a little bit when they are so close, and the votes ain’t all been counted yet.
Anyway — ballots do take a while to process. I mailed mine in on Sunday, which means it was postmarked Monday, and arrived Tuesday. It wasn’t scanned in until sometime Wednesday — but amazingly enough, my signature was verified on the same day it was scanned in …
The Democrats have a much better Voter Database than the R’s. They know much better who will likely vote Dem than the Republicans know who will vote R. The Dems get daily lists of who has not yet voted…and call them. It’s not rocket science.
The Dems have simply outwork the R’s in Washington State in compiling data…and then actively using it. The R’s have made some improvements…but still seriously lag the D’s.
You have seen this late break happen election after election.
This is the reason why.
This is why for months I projected Murray by 2-3 points.
My feelings, exactly. From dkos:
Whatever. It doesn’t matter. OFM is saying that because people voted down 1107 there will be more across the board budget cuts before the end of the fiscal year in Washington state. It didn’t fucking matter that there were democrats in the state house and senate. They were a bunch of useless whimps. And because they were useless whimps, the budget is fucked. And it will stay fucked because the state was entirely incapable of communicating what the cuts really mean.
I hope that bitch belly timber woman chokes on a raisin
lauramae, you are so right that the Democrats have failed to communicate the gravity of the state budget cuts. They are quickly going from bad to draconian — yet the public seems to still think balancing the budget can be done by merely eliminating “waste.”
Worf sounds like a coffee house liberal who doesn’t feel a need to get his hands dirty trying to win elections. Hey, worf, if your policy agenda was such a winner why did Feingold go down to defeat?
My take? The prime driver of this election was big money. It was poured into the astroturf organizations that pursued Rovian big lie campaigns. I don’t think it mattered much what an individual Democratic candidate’s leanings were.
You will not see the triumph of liberal legislation until we figure out how to effectively respond to the big money, big astroturf, big lie tactics of the Republicans. And to figure out how to respond WILL take some degree of cooperation between the moderate and liberal wings of the Democratic party.
Recall Ben Franklin’s saying: We best all hang together or we will all hang separately.
41stLD: Senator Randy Gordon, down 1500 votes, is still in the hunt!
Things are looking good for Marcie in the House.
My wife and I are normally early voters, but we didn’t mail in our ballots until Monday.
@52, 53, and all:
Organize to overturn Citizens United and corporate personhood, here:
http://freespeechforpeople.org/
The budget cuts could cost us more in the long run (and swamp hospitals).
So… when will the next results be updated? I’m interested in King and Snohomish counties, the Murray/Rossi and Larsen/Kostner contests.
@56. The conservatives get their taxes cut, which is all that really matters.
After all, they had a good upbringing that taught them to make good choices, they had good genetics and they have a family that looks after them.
Anyone who didn’t have those benefits is not their problem.
Next update for King County is at 4:30, Snohomish County at 7:00 PM.
http://vote.wa.gov/Elections/W.....ctionID=37
58. Blue John spews:
No, it’s not all that matters.
Cutting the size, cost & role of government also matters.
We desperately need certainty about the tax structure before the private sector fires up. This is one hard lesson Obama has learned.
And now he is talking about extending the Bush Tax Cuts for another 1-2 years!
When Obama signs a 2-year extension of ALL the Bush Tax Cuts Blue John…will your head explode???
I mean this is your guy….Obama.
Obama is going to extend for 2 years.
He must or this economy will not get rolling.
The Dow was way up today on just the news Obama will consider it. When the Legislation comes and he does…watch out!
You Progressive KLOWNS sadly continue to look at the economy as a finite pie. We cannot possibly get out of this mess with much faster growth AND drastic cuts in government spending.
Tax cuts fuel economic activity because it improves the ROI after taxes. Cutting onerous regs and big government in general improves the Risk side of the equation.
Did any of you take more than 2 economics courses in college??
Sheesh. It’s not like this is rocket-science.
@53 – Not my words, I’m just passing them along. They were written by a dkos front pager. I’m pretty sure you don’t get on the front page there without working pretty hard for the dems. It is the stated purpose of dailykos, after all.
I echo worf and his passage from dailykos.
The people wanted democratic and progressive programs enacted and we got almost nothing substantive. If the current dems continue to give away the important elements of our economy and republic to appease the republicans, I will work and vote to replace them in the primaries with some a articulate progressive fighter with a spine who will stand up for the middle class. That goes from the president down to the local races.
BJ–
Form your own LATTE Party and stop whining like a girl!! Instead, you vote for whoever has a “D” next to their name and don’t even bother challenging Patty Murray in the Primary.
You got what you deserved.
Get busy….and STOP WHINING!!!
You were sooooo happy when you elected Obama and the other a$$holes who you claim didn’t do enough.
You just bend over and take it, don’t you BJ.
Shame on you…STOP WHINING!!