Obama | McCain |
100.0% probability of winning | 0.0% probability of winning |
Mean of 370 electoral votes | Mean of 168 electoral votes |
Yesterday’s analysis showed Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 369 to 169 electoral votes. An election held yesterday almost certainly would have gone to Obama.
There were new polls released in Florida, Maine, North Carolina and Wisconsin today. The net result is the gain of another electoral vote for Obama.
Today, after 100,000 simulated elections, Obama wins all 100,000 times. Obama receives (on average) 370 to McCain’s 168 electoral votes. The analytical results suggest that Obama would have a near 100.0% probability of winning an election held today.
Detailed results for this analysis are available at Hominid Views.
Methods are described in the FAQ.The most recent version of this analysis can be found on this page.
busdrivermike spews:
Anyone remember when I told this blog that the guillotine should make a comeback? Take off a few heads, and watch the rich stand in line to write checks to the Federal Treasury.
Looks like Maureen Dowd agrees with me. Look at her Sunday column. Maybe she reads this blog.
Mr. Cynical spews:
busdrivermike talks just like Socialist comrade O-blah-blah.
When Obama told Joe the Plumber Obama’s Big Government would “spread Joe’s wealth around”, it reminded me of this famous quote, “From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs.” — Karl Marx.
Wikipedia says, “Socialism… a broad set of economic theories of social organization advocating state or collective ownership and administration of the means of production and distribution of goods, and the creation of an egalitarian society. Karl Marx posited that socialism would be achieved via class struggle and a proletarian revolution which represents the transitional stage between capitalism and communism.”
European Socialist leaders are upfront & honest about these beliefs. Obama & his ilk squeal “personal attack” & “racism” whenever someone calls Obama what he is…a Socialist.
The greed of Wall Street and Corporate America created this opportunity for a Socialist to become President. Are all Democrats Socialist? Absolutely not. Many Democrats who see Obama for what he is…a Socialist…are struggling with this Election decision.
Obama has mesmerized young people across America with promises of an easy life courtesy of Obama taking more from the rich and giving it to them in the form of Tax Credits, free Health Care and lots of other free stuff. Mighty appealing to someone starting out in life. Socialism isn’t sustainable. It’s a shallow power grab…not the answer.
Obama understands the need for “Progressive” steps toward a Socialistic State and the words of 6-time American Socialist Party Candidate, Norman Thomas, “”The American people will never knowingly adopt Socialism. But under the name of ‘liberalism’ they will adopt every fragment of the Socialist program, until one day America will be a Socialist nation, without knowing how it happened.”
Colin Powell’s reasons for endorsing O-blah-blah are irrelevant. Interesting the anti-war crowd would embrace Powell after his “role” in the Iraq War.
Think hard. Reject Obama’s Utopian Socialist agenda.