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Defending the Indefensible

by Lee — Monday, 7/26/10, 10:05 pm

Polls should always be taken with a grain of salt, but it’s hard not to be optimistic about Proposition 19 after a PPP poll has it ahead by a wide margin, 52% to 36%. This is after Survey USA had it ahead 50% to 40%.

Of course, there are still special interests and other political dinosaurs who will fight this initiative, but so far their efforts have been less than inspiring. And I’m not sure why anyone thought it was a good idea to start a No on Prop 19 Facebook page, as it’s already overrun with a fascinating mix of legalization supporters debunking the silly arguments and jokesters pretending to be clueless prohibitionists.

All that said, the voting in November won’t be done on the internet, so it’s best not to be too confident just yet.

UDPATE: Nate Silver coins a new phrase, the “Broadus Effect”, to describe a discrepancy he’s seeing with minority voters between automated polls and live operator polls on Prop 19.

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Comments

  1. 1

    delbert spews:

    Monday, 7/26/10 at 10:28 pm

    Reading the headline I thought this was going to be about John Kerry’s yacht, Al Gore’s womanizing, or the Journolist scandal.

  2. 2

    Contemplate this, on the Tree of Woe spews:

    Tuesday, 7/27/10 at 4:22 am

    puff puff pass……….crash.

  3. 3

    Alki Postings spews:

    Tuesday, 7/27/10 at 8:54 am

    @2 Cute :) But, ahem you’re 100 times more likely to have “drink drink pass…crash”. Alcohol is responsible for a 100 fold more car accidents and nearly all domestic violence calls police deal with. Hell, go see Pioneer Square at 2am on a Saturday night and tell me if you want alcohol or marijuana to be the drug of choice. Fuck, cigarettes are carcinogenic, we KNOW they flat out cause cancer, and they’re legal. There is no rational logical scientific fact based possible explanation for allowing vodka and Camel cigarettes but making marijuana illegal. Magic and superstition are the ONLY arguments.

    It will be GREAT to watch all the Republican conservatives now have to support marijuana. They have to…unless they’re full of shit. If it’s what the voters in a state want, and conservatives are ALL about states rights. They think the Federal government shouldn’t even exist (starve the beast and all) and should never be able to overrule the “will of the voters” in a state, or so I’m told when we’re discussing any issue conservatives support at a state level.

  4. 4

    David Aquarius spews:

    Tuesday, 7/27/10 at 9:07 am

    Or…munch, munch Crash! (Subway sandwich)

    or… dab, dab, dab Crash! (applied makeup)
    or… gab, gab, gab Crash! (celphone)
    or… tap, tap, tap Crash! (texting)

    Idiots will do all kinds of shit while driving. From personal experience, it’s far easier to convince someone stoned to not drive as it is to stop someone drunk.

    Besides, why drive when pizza is just a phone call away.

  5. 5

    uptown spews:

    Tuesday, 7/27/10 at 1:49 pm

    Can’t think of a single incidence where I had to stop a stoner from driving, more likely that they would throw the keys to me and say “let’s go to White Castle”; or they would just sit in their cars and fall asleep before they could figure out where they were.

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