A new KING-5/SurveyUSA poll to be released today shows R-71 passing by a 50-43 margin, while Tim Eyman’s vindictive I-1033 is failing 50-38. The poll was of 561 likely and actual voters; further details and cross tabs are not yet available.
These results are largely in line with the Washington Poll released this morning, which showed similar results, if by different margins.
Update [Darryl]: Over at Hominid Views, I’ve conducted a series of Monte Carlo analyses on the Washington Poll and the Survey USA poll, both separately and combined. The Readers Digest Condensed results:
- I-1033: 99.7% probability of failing (using the combined SUSA/WA Poll polls)
- R-71: near-100% probability of passing (using combined polls)
- KC Exec: 98.1% probability that Constantine wins (WA Poll only)
- Seattle Mayor: 89.9% probability of a Mallahan win (WA Poll only)
The full analytical details, in all of their geeky glory, are given here.
Great news.
Yes on R-71
NO on I-1033
Dow Constantine for King County Executive.
Fill out your ballot – send it in today!
Anyone wanna buy my mail in ballot? Presigned?
Seriously ..
Goldy deserves credit if this is true!
There’s hope for the human race after all!
It would be so cool if KCE, R-71 and I-1033 went our way and troll heads started exploding all over this fucking cesspool.
Listen for resounding silence (yes, I know….) from Konservix (citation needed) and Puddly on this here thread here even.
Cynical, who is so fond of polls, hasn’t said anything about either of these polls. I hope he’s alright.
@2 That’s illegal.
@6 He’s probably dead. Either a goat kicked him in the head, or his gold trading blew up in his face after the dollar strengthened this week.
Let’s hope this election is the beginning and end of Suzie Cute’s political career. Doing worse than cigaret smoke (38%) would send her a message: Stick to what you know (giving away Chuck Simonyi’s money) and never run for public office again!
Maybe voters around here ain’t as dumb as the GOPers hoped they were.
This poll is great news…..for John McCain!!! (Sorry, I know it’s an oldie, but I couldn’t resist).
@ 2:
GOLDY deserves credit? I see. Tens of thousands of Democrats are out there canvassing their precincts, phone-banking friends, neighbors, and total strangers, and getting the word out online and in person, but GOLDY deserves the credit.
I get it. Goldy enables your fantasy world, so you feel the need to praise him. Goldy has done his usual good job in this campaign, nothing more, nothing less.
TOO EaRLY
@8:
It’s more likely they’ve been kicked in the testicles, since they are goatfuckers.
I’d suppose it’s possible to be kicked in the head if they were lapping up the post coital goatorum, but I’d note that being kicked in the head would not matter a wit in their case since there is no vital organ (i.e., a brain) to damage.
This is great news.
Of course, we can’t let up. At Fuse we are continuing to phone bank right up until the last day. We also have a comprehensive look at the progressive choices in this election, the Progressive Voters Guide. You can access it at http://www.ProgressiveVotersGuide.org.
So all you last minute progressive voters, make it easy!
Cheryl (cheryl@fusewashington.org)
Great, as long as people actually vote. Don’t stop nagging your neighbors until you see that completed ballot getting mailed back in! Approve71.org