2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Capital Survey Research Center | 06-Jul-11 | 06-Sep-11 | 841 | 3.3 | 33.9 | 55.8 | R+21.9 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Romney assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 1.2% wins (1,222 wins ), Romney: 98.8% wins (98,778 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 17-May-12 | 20-May-12 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.0 | 50.0 | R+7.0 |
Magellan Strategies | 30-Apr-12 | 02-May-12 | 909 | --- | 43.0 | 52.0 | R+9.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Talk Business-Hendrix College | 26-Mar-12 | 26-Mar-12 | 759 | 3.6 | 33.0 | 56.5 | R+23.5 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
55 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
LA Times | 17-May-12 | 21-May-12 | 1002 | 3.5 | 56.0 | 37.0 | O+19.0 |
PPIC | 14-May-12 | 20-May-12 | 894 | --- | 50.0 | 39.0 | O+11.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 77.0% wins (76,979 wins ), Romney: 23.0% wins (23,021 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PNA/Keating | 21-May-12 | 24-May-12 | 601 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 44.0 | O+4.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 14-Mar-12 | 19-Mar-12 | 1622 | 2.4 | 53.0 | 37.0 | O+16.0 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Obama assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Obama assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
29 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Obama: 29.0% wins (28,983 wins ), Romney: 71.0% wins (71,017 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marist | 17-May-12 | 20-May-12 | 1078 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 40.0 | O+5.0 |
Quinnipiac | 15-May-12 | 21-May-12 | 1722 | 2.4 | 41.0 | 47.0 | R+6.0 |
Suffolk | 06-May-12 | 08-May-12 | 600 | --- | 45.8 | 45.0 | O+0.8 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
16 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 0.4% wins (362 wins ), Romney: 99.6% wins (99,638 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
InsiderAdvantage | 22-May-12 | 22-May-12 | 438 | --- | 39.9 | 52.3 | R+12.4 |
Rosetta Stone | 10-May-12 | 10-May-12 | 600 | 4.0 | 40.2 | 51.1 | R+10.9 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 13-Oct-11 | 16-Oct-11 | 568 | 4.1 | 59.0 | 32.0 | O+27.0 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Romney assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
20 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Tribune/WGN-TV | 02-Feb-12 | 06-Feb-12 | 600 | 4.0 | 56.0 | 35.0 | O+21.0 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 6.6% wins (6,647 wins ), Romney: 93.4% wins (93,353 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Bellwether Research | 26-Mar-12 | 28-Mar-12 | 503 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | R+9.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 99.5% wins (99,505 wins ), Romney: 0.5% wins (495 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 03-May-12 | 06-May-12 | 1181 | 2.9 | 51.0 | 41.0 | O+10.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 7.2% wins (7,206 wins ), Romney: 92.8% wins (92,794 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 18-Nov-11 | 22-Nov-11 | 510 | 4.4 | 39.0 | 47.6 | R+8.6 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 7.0% wins (6,959 wins ), Romney: 93.0% wins (93,041 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 25-Aug-11 | 28-Aug-11 | 600 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | R+8.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.2% wins (220 wins ), Romney: 99.8% wins (99,780 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Clarus Research Group | 06-Oct-11 | 08-Oct-11 | 602 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | R+16.0 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner. No district-level polls have been released to date.
1 poll
Obama: 92.4% wins (92,439 wins ), Romney: 7.6% wins (7,561 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Critical Insights | 02-May-12 | 07-May-12 | 600 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 42.0 | O+8.0 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Maine PRC | 31-Mar-12 | 02-Apr-12 | 522 | 4.3 | 60.5 | 33.0 | O+27.5 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 85.7% wins (85,733 wins ), Romney: 14.3% wins (14,267 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Maine PRC | 31-Mar-12 | 02-Apr-12 | 471 | 4.5 | 48.0 | 41.4 | O+6.6 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 14-May-12 | 21-May-12 | 852 | 3.4 | 58.0 | 35.0 | O+23.0 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Suffolk | 20-May-12 | 22-May-12 | 600 | --- | 59.3 | 34.0 | O+25.3 |
Rasmussen | 07-May-12 | 07-May-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 56.0 | 35.0 | O+21.0 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
16 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 99.4% wins (99,397 wins ), Romney: 0.6% wins (603 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 24-May-12 | 27-May-12 | 600 | 4.4 | 53.0 | 39.0 | O+14.0 |
Glengariff Group | 10-May-12 | 11-May-12 | 600 | 4.0 | 45.1 | 39.5 | O+5.6 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 99.4% wins (99,422 wins ), Romney: 0.6% wins (578 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 09-May-12 | 10-May-12 | 516 | 4.4 | 52.5 | 38.0 | O+14.5 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 04-Nov-11 | 06-Nov-11 | 796 | 3.5 | 36.0 | 54.0 | R+18.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 57.4% wins (57,402 wins ), Romney: 42.6% wins (42,598 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 24-May-12 | 27-May-12 | 602 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 44.0 | O+1.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 12.9% wins (12,924 wins ), Romney: 87.1% wins (87,076 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 02-May-12 | 02-May-12 | 450 | 5.0 | 44.0 | 51.0 | R+7.0 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Obama: 1.2% wins (1,159 wins ), Romney: 98.8% wins (98,841 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 16-May-12 | 16-May-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 39.0 | 53.0 | R+14.0 |
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.09% Obama, 44.34% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 9.9% wins (9,876 wins ), Romney: 90.1% wins (90,124 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 22-Mar-12 | 25-Mar-12 | 432 | --- | 41.0 | 49.0 | R+8.0 |
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 48.76% Obama, 49.96% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 46.5% wins (46,467 wins ), Romney: 53.5% wins (53,533 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 22-Mar-12 | 25-Mar-12 | 277 | --- | 45.0 | 46.0 | R+1.0 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 0.1% wins (52 wins ), Romney: 99.9% wins (99,948 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 22-Mar-12 | 25-Mar-12 | 319 | --- | 32.0 | 57.0 | R+25.0 |
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 90.0% wins (89,961 wins ), Romney: 10.0% wins (10,039 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 30-Apr-12 | 30-Apr-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 52.0 | 44.0 | O+8.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 99.9% wins (99,851 wins ), Romney: 0.1% wins (149 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 10-May-12 | 13-May-12 | 1163 | 2.9 | 53.0 | 41.0 | O+12.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
14 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 09-May-12 | 14-May-12 | 1582 | 2.5 | 49.0 | 39.0 | O+10.0 |
Fairleigh Dickinson U | 30-Apr-12 | 06-May-12 | 797 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 36.0 | O+14.0 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 99.1% wins (99,116 wins ), Romney: 0.9% wins (884 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 19-Apr-12 | 22-Apr-12 | 526 | 4.3 | 54.0 | 40.0 | O+14.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
29 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Siena | 06-May-12 | 10-May-12 | 766 | 3.5 | 57.0 | 37.0 | O+20.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
15 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Obama: 22.5% wins (22,548 wins ), Romney: 77.5% wins (77,452 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Civitas | 19-May-12 | 20-May-12 | 600 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 47.0 | R+2.0 |
SurveyUSA | 18-May-12 | 21-May-12 | 524 | 4.4 | 44.5 | 45.2 | R+0.8 |
Rasmussen | 14-May-12 | 14-May-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 43.0 | 51.0 | R+8.0 |
PPP | 10-May-12 | 13-May-12 | 666 | 3.8 | 48.0 | 47.0 | O+1.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.4% wins (425 wins ), Romney: 99.6% wins (99,575 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Mellman Group | 12-Nov-11 | 16-Nov-11 | 600 | 4.0 | 33.0 | 47.0 | R+14.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
18 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Obama: 96.0% wins (96,030 wins ), Romney: 4.0% wins (3,970 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marist | 17-May-12 | 20-May-12 | 1103 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 40.0 | O+5.0 |
Quinnipiac | 02-May-12 | 07-May-12 | 1069 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 44.0 | O+1.0 |
PPP | 03-May-12 | 06-May-12 | 875 | 3.3 | 50.0 | 43.0 | O+7.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
SoonerPoll | 07-May-12 | 10-May-12 | 504 | 4.4 | 27.0 | 62.0 | R+35.0 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 84.7% wins (84,686 wins ), Romney: 15.3% wins (15,314 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 07-May-12 | 10-May-12 | 1468 | 2.6 | 47.0 | 43.4 | O+3.6 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
20 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 96.6% wins (96,553 wins ), Romney: 3.4% wins (3,447 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 21-May-12 | 21-May-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 47.0 | 41.0 | O+6.0 |
PPP | 17-May-12 | 20-May-12 | 671 | 3.8 | 50.0 | 42.0 | O+8.0 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 99.9% wins (99,895 wins ), Romney: 0.1% wins (105 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 16-Feb-11 | 22-Feb-11 | 544 | 4.2 | 54.0 | 37.0 | O+17.0 |
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 85.1% wins (85,144 wins ), Romney: 14.9% wins (14,856 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marist | 04-Dec-11 | 06-Dec-11 | 2107 | 2.1 | 45.0 | 42.0 | O+3.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 4.9% wins (4,851 wins ), Romney: 95.1% wins (95,149 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Neilson Brothers | 15-Feb-12 | 17-Feb-12 | 559 | 4.2 | 35.0 | 44.0 | R+9.0 |
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 7.0% wins (7,009 wins ), Romney: 93.0% wins (92,991 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Vanderbilt Poll | 02-May-12 | 09-May-12 | 752 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 | R+7.0 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
38 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (25 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (99,975 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
U Texas | 07-May-12 | 13-May-12 | 511 | 4.3 | 35.0 | 55.0 | R+20.0 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 08-Jul-11 | 10-Jul-11 | 732 | 3.6 | 31.0 | 63.0 | R+32.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Castleton Poll | 07-May-12 | 16-May-12 | 607 | 4.0 | 59.0 | 28.0 | O+31.0 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
13 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 96.3% wins (96,333 wins ), Romney: 3.7% wins (3,667 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marist | 17-May-12 | 20-May-12 | 1076 | 3.0 | 46.0 | 42.0 | O+4.0 |
Washington Post | 28-Apr-12 | 02-May-12 | 964 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 44.0 | O+7.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
12 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 99.8% wins (99,839 wins ), Romney: 0.2% wins (161 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Strategies 360 | 24-May-12 | 27-May-12 | 500 | 4.4 | 51.0 | 40.0 | O+11.0 |
SurveyUSA | 08-May-12 | 09-May-12 | 557 | 4.2 | 50.0 | 36.4 | O+13.6 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.6% wins (625 wins ), Romney: 99.4% wins (99,375 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
West Virginia Poll | 25-Apr-12 | 28-Apr-12 | 410 | 4.8 | 37.0 | 54.0 | R+17.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Obama: 97.9% wins (97,902 wins ), Romney: 2.1% wins (2,098 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marquette | 23-May-12 | 26-May-12 | 625 | --- | 51.2 | 43.0 | O+8.2 |
St Norbert College | 17-May-12 | 22-May-12 | 406 | 5.0 | 49.0 | 43.0 | O+6.0 |
Reason-Rupe | 14-May-12 | 18-May-12 | 609 | 4.0 | 46.0 | 36.0 | O+10.0 |
PPP | 11-May-12 | 13-May-12 | 851 | 3.4 | 47.0 | 46.0 | O+1.0 |
Marquette | 09-May-12 | 12-May-12 | 608 | 4.1 | 45.7 | 46.2 | R+0.5 |
Rasmussen | 09-May-12 | 09-May-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 49.0 | 45.0 | O+4.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Romney assumed to win all elections.