Obama versus Romney using polls from 29-Jul-12 to 29-Aug-12


Alabama

2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Research Consultants 23-Jul-12 26-Jul-12 600 4.0 34.0 59.0 R+25.0


Alaska

2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.



Arizona

2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.9% wins (862 wins ), Romney: 99.1% wins (99,138 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 23-Jul-12 25-Jul-12 833 --- 41.0 52.0 R+11.0


Arkansas

2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Talk Business-Hendrix College 26-Mar-12 26-Mar-12 759 3.6 33.0 56.5 R+23.5


California

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

55 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Field Poll 21-Jun-12 02-Jul-12 848 3.4 55.0 37.0 O+18.0


Colorado

2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

5 polls

Obama: 61.3% wins (61,317 wins ), Romney: 38.7% wins (38,683 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Keating 21-Aug-12 22-Aug-12 500 4.4 48.0 44.0 O+4.0
Purple Poll 13-Aug-12 14-Aug-12 600 4.0 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Rasmussen 06-Aug-12 06-Aug-12 500 4.5 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
PPP 02-Aug-12 05-Aug-12 779 3.5 49.0 43.0 O+6.0
Quinnipiac 31-Jul-12 06-Aug-12 1463 --- 45.0 50.0 R+5.0


Connecticut

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (99,976 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (24 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 22-Aug-12 26-Aug-12 1472 2.6 52.0 45.0 O+7.0
PPP 22-Aug-12 23-Aug-12 881 --- 53.0 40.0 O+13.0
Rasmussen 21-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 500 4.5 51.0 43.0 O+8.0


Delaware

2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Obama assumed to win all elections.



D.C.

2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.

2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Heart+Mind Strategies 26-Jul-12 29-Jul-12 100 --- 83.0 11.0 O+72.0


Florida

2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.

29 Electoral votes.

6 polls

Obama: 3.5% wins (3,528 wins ), Romney: 96.5% wins (96,472 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
CNN/TIME 22-Aug-12 26-Aug-12 895 3.5 50.0 46.0 O+4.0
Gravis Marketing 20-Aug-12 20-Aug-12 728 3.8 45.1 48.3 R+3.2
Quinnipiac 15-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 1241 3.0 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Foster McCollum White 17-Aug-12 17-Aug-12 1503 2.5 39.1 53.3 R+14.3
Rasmussen 15-Aug-12 15-Aug-12 500 4.5 43.0 45.0 R+2.0
Purple Poll 13-Aug-12 14-Aug-12 600 4.0 47.0 48.0 R+1.0


Georgia

2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.

2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.

16 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 2.3% wins (2,266 wins ), Romney: 97.7% wins (97,734 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
20/20 Insight 15-Aug-12 18-Aug-12 1158 2.9 44.0 47.0 R+3.0
SurveyUSA 29-Jul-12 29-Jul-12 1169 --- 42.0 50.0 R+8.0


Hawaii

2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.

2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 13-Oct-11 16-Oct-11 568 4.1 59.0 32.0 O+27.0


Idaho

2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.

2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.



Illinois

2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.

20 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (99,986 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (14 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Tribune/WGN-TV 02-Feb-12 06-Feb-12 600 4.0 56.0 35.0 O+21.0


Indiana

2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.7% wins (696 wins ), Romney: 99.3% wins (99,304 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 31-Jul-12 01-Aug-12 400 5.0 35.0 51.0 R+16.0


Iowa

2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 60.4% wins (60,439 wins ), Romney: 39.6% wins (39,561 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 23-Aug-12 26-Aug-12 1244 2.8 47.0 45.0 O+2.0
Rasmussen 08-Aug-12 08-Aug-12 500 4.5 44.0 46.0 R+2.0


Kansas

2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.3% wins (7,260 wins ), Romney: 92.7% wins (92,740 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 18-Nov-11 22-Nov-11 510 4.4 39.0 47.6 R+8.6


Kentucky

2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 6.9% wins (6,850 wins ), Romney: 93.2% wins (93,150 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 25-Aug-11 28-Aug-11 600 4.0 40.0 48.0 R+8.0


Louisiana

2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.

2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.1% wins (112 wins ), Romney: 99.9% wins (99,888 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Clarus Research Group 06-Oct-11 08-Oct-11 602 4.0 37.0 53.0 R+16.0


Maine

2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.

2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

1 poll

Obama: 99.8% wins (99,752 wins ), Romney: 0.2% wins (248 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Critical Insights 20-Jun-12 25-Jun-12 615 4.0 49.0 35.0 O+14.0


Maine-1

2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Maine PRC 31-Mar-12 02-Apr-12 522 4.3 60.5 33.0 O+27.5


Maine-2

2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 85.6% wins (85,611 wins ), Romney: 14.4% wins (14,389 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Maine PRC 31-Mar-12 02-Apr-12 471 4.5 48.0 41.4 O+6.6


Maryland

2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 14-May-12 21-May-12 852 3.4 58.0 35.0 O+23.0


Massachusetts

2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 16-Aug-12 19-Aug-12 1115 2.9 55.0 39.0 O+16.0


Michigan

2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.

16 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Obama: 57.4% wins (57,447 wins ), Romney: 42.6% wins (42,553 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Mitchell 23-Aug-12 23-Aug-12 1277 2.7 46.6 46.7 R+0.1
Glengariff Group 18-Aug-12 20-Aug-12 600 4.0 47.5 42.0 O+5.5
Baydoun 16-Aug-12 16-Aug-12 1733 2.3 43.9 47.7 R+3.8
Mitchell 13-Aug-12 13-Aug-12 1079 3.0 49.0 44.0 O+5.0


Minnesota

2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 85.9% wins (85,885 wins ), Romney: 14.1% wins (14,115 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 17-Jul-12 20-Jul-12 552 4.3 45.9 39.7 O+6.2


Mississippi

2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 04-Nov-11 06-Nov-11 796 3.5 36.0 54.0 R+18.0


Missouri

2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

6 polls

Obama: 4.2% wins (4,231 wins ), Romney: 95.8% wins (95,769 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Mason-Dixon 22-Aug-12 23-Aug-12 625 4.0 43.0 50.0 R+7.0
Rasmussen 22-Aug-12 22-Aug-12 500 4.5 47.0 46.0 O+1.0
PPP 20-Aug-12 20-Aug-12 500 4.4 42.0 52.0 R+10.0
SurveyUSA 09-Aug-12 12-Aug-12 585 4.1 43.6 45.5 R+1.9
Chilenski Strategies 08-Aug-12 08-Aug-12 663 3.8 46.8 47.9 R+1.1
Rasmussen 30-Jul-12 30-Jul-12 500 4.5 44.0 50.0 R+6.0


Montana

2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.3% wins (273 wins ), Romney: 99.7% wins (99,727 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 20-Aug-12 20-Aug-12 500 4.5 38.0 55.0 R+17.0


Nebraska

2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.

2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

1 poll

Obama: 1.4% wins (1,436 wins ), Romney: 98.6% wins (98,564 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PNA 11-Jun-12 13-Jun-12 601 --- 40.0 52.0 R+12.0


Nebraska-1

2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 10.4% wins (10,354 wins ), Romney: 89.6% wins (89,646 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 432 --- 41.0 49.0 R+8.0


Nebraska-2

2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 46.8% wins (46,820 wins ), Romney: 53.2% wins (53,180 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 277 --- 45.0 46.0 R+1.0


Nebraska-3

2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 0.1% wins (70 wins ), Romney: 99.9% wins (99,930 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 319 --- 32.0 57.0 R+25.0


Nevada

2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.

2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 76.9% wins (76,922 wins ), Romney: 23.1% wins (23,078 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 23-Aug-12 26-Aug-12 831 3.4 50.0 47.0 O+3.0
SurveyUSA 16-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 869 3.4 47.0 45.0 O+2.0


New Hampshire

2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 91.8% wins (91,795 wins ), Romney: 8.2% wins (8,205 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 09-Aug-12 12-Aug-12 1055 3.0 51.0 45.0 O+6.0
U NH 01-Aug-12 12-Aug-12 555 4.1 49.0 46.0 O+3.0


New Jersey

2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.

14 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 99.7% wins (99,726 wins ), Romney: 0.3% wins (274 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Eagleton-Rutgers 23-Aug-12 25-Aug-12 710 3.5 51.0 37.0 O+14.0


New Mexico

2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.

5 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 99.0% wins (99,041 wins ), Romney: 1.0% wins (959 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 21-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 500 4.5 52.0 38.0 O+14.0


New York

2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.

2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.

29 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Siena 14-Aug-12 19-Aug-12 671 3.8 62.0 33.0 O+29.0


North Carolina

2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.

15 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Obama: 44.0% wins (44,021 wins ), Romney: 56.0% wins (55,979 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
CNN/Time 22-Aug-12 26-Aug-12 766 3.5 47.0 48.0 R+1.0
SurveyUSA 18-Aug-12 23-Aug-12 540 4.3 43.0 43.0 0.0
PPP 02-Aug-12 05-Aug-12 813 3.4 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Rasmussen 01-Aug-12 01-Aug-12 500 4.5 44.0 49.0 R+5.0


North Dakota

2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 1.2% wins (1,197 wins ), Romney: 98.8% wins (98,803 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 10-Jul-12 11-Jul-12 400 5.0 36.0 51.0 R+15.0


Ohio

2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.

18 Electoral votes.

6 polls

Obama: 87.0% wins (86,978 wins ), Romney: 13.0% wins (13,022 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Columbus Dispatch 15-Aug-12 25-Aug-12 1758 2.1 45.0 45.0 0.0
Ohio Poll 16-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 847 3.4 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Quinnipiac 15-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 1253 3.0 50.0 44.0 O+6.0
Purple Poll 13-Aug-12 14-Aug-12 600 4.0 44.0 46.0 R+2.0
Rasmussen 13-Aug-12 13-Aug-12 500 4.5 45.0 45.0 0.0
PPP 09-Aug-12 12-Aug-12 961 3.2 48.0 45.0 O+3.0


Oklahoma

2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SoonerPoll 26-Jul-12 14-Aug-12 495 --- 29.0 58.0 R+29.0


Oregon

2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 93.8% wins (93,785 wins ), Romney: 6.2% wins (6,215 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 21-Jun-12 24-Jun-12 686 3.7 50.0 42.0 O+8.0


Pennsylvania

2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.

20 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 99.0% wins (98,977 wins ), Romney: 1.0% wins (1,023 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Philadelphia Inquirer 21-Aug-12 23-Aug-12 601 4.0 51.0 42.0 O+9.0
Muhlenberg 20-Aug-12 22-Aug-12 422 5.0 49.0 40.0 O+9.0
Franklin & Marshall 07-Aug-12 12-Aug-12 681 3.8 47.0 42.0 O+5.0


Rhode Island

2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.

2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 99.9% wins (99,894 wins ), Romney: 0.1% wins (106 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 16-Feb-11 22-Feb-11 544 4.2 54.0 37.0 O+17.0


South Carolina

2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 85.8% wins (85,816 wins ), Romney: 14.2% wins (14,184 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Marist 04-Dec-11 06-Dec-11 2107 2.1 45.0 42.0 O+3.0


South Dakota

2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 11.3% wins (11,305 wins ), Romney: 88.7% wins (88,695 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Neilson Brothers 19-Jul-12 23-Jul-12 546 4.2 42.0 49.0 R+7.0


Tennessee

2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.1% wins (7,089 wins ), Romney: 92.9% wins (92,911 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Vanderbilt Poll 02-May-12 09-May-12 752 4.0 40.0 47.0 R+7.0


Texas

2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.

38 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (37 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (99,963 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
U Texas 07-May-12 13-May-12 511 4.3 35.0 55.0 R+20.0


Utah

2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Dan Jones 15-Jun-12 21-Jun-12 1222 2.8 26.0 68.0 R+42.0


Vermont

2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Castleton Poll 11-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 477 --- 62.0 25.0 O+37.0


Virginia

2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.

2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.

13 Electoral votes.

6 polls

Obama: 90.0% wins (90,029 wins ), Romney: 10.0% wins (9,971 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 23-Aug-12 23-Aug-12 500 4.5 47.0 47.0 0.0
PPP 16-Aug-12 19-Aug-12 855 3.4 50.0 45.0 O+5.0
Purple Poll 13-Aug-12 14-Aug-12 600 4.0 45.0 48.0 R+3.0
Rasmussen 07-Aug-12 07-Aug-12 500 4.5 48.0 46.0 O+2.0
Quinnipiac 31-Jul-12 06-Aug-12 1412 --- 49.0 45.0 O+4.0
Capitol Correspondent 30-Jul-12 31-Jul-12 563 4.1 44.2 39.6 O+4.6


Washington

2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.

12 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 99.8% wins (99,758 wins ), Romney: 0.2% wins (242 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 01-Aug-12 02-Aug-12 524 4.4 54.1 37.0 O+17.1


West Virginia

2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.

2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.

5 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.5% wins (489 wins ), Romney: 99.5% wins (99,511 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
West Virginia Poll 25-Apr-12 28-Apr-12 410 4.8 37.0 54.0 R+17.0


Wisconsin

2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

7 polls

Obama: 97.9% wins (97,919 wins ), Romney: 2.1% wins (2,081 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 15-Aug-12 21-Aug-12 1190 3.0 49.0 47.0 O+2.0
Marquette 16-Aug-12 19-Aug-12 576 4.2 49.8 44.3 O+5.5
PPP 16-Aug-12 19-Aug-12 1308 2.7 47.0 48.0 R+1.0
Rasmussen 15-Aug-12 15-Aug-12 500 4.5 47.0 48.0 R+1.0
CNN/Opinion Research 13-Aug-12 14-Aug-12 920 3.0 49.0 45.0 O+4.0
Marquette 02-Aug-12 05-Aug-12 1428 --- 50.0 44.7 O+5.4
Quinnipiac 31-Jul-12 06-Aug-12 1412 --- 51.0 45.0 O+6.0


Wyoming

2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.