Obama versus Romney using polls from 22-May-12 to 22-Jun-12


Alabama

2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Capital Survey Research Center 06-Jul-11 06-Sep-11 841 3.3 33.9 55.8 R+21.9


Alaska

2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.



Arizona

2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 27.0% wins (27,003 wins ), Romney: 73.0% wins (72,997 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 04-Jun-12 05-Jun-12 791 3.5 46.0 49.0 R+3.0


Arkansas

2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Talk Business-Hendrix College 26-Mar-12 26-Mar-12 759 3.6 33.0 56.5 R+23.5


California

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

55 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 27-May-12 29-May-12 1575 2.5 57.4 35.6 O+21.8
Field Poll 21-May-12 29-May-12 710 3.8 48.0 32.0 O+16.0


Colorado

2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

5 polls

Obama: 91.9% wins (91,913 wins ), Romney: 8.1% wins (8,087 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 14-Jun-12 17-Jun-12 799 3.5 49.0 42.0 O+7.0
Rasmussen 06-Jun-12 06-Jun-12 500 4.5 45.0 45.0 0.0
Purple Poll 31-May-12 05-Jun-12 600 4.0 48.0 46.0 O+2.0
Marist 22-May-12 24-May-12 1030 3.0 44.0 42.0 O+2.0
PNA 21-May-12 24-May-12 601 4.0 48.0 44.0 O+4.0


Connecticut

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (99,955 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (45 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 29-May-12 03-Jun-12 1408 2.6 50.0 38.0 O+12.0


Delaware

2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Obama assumed to win all elections.



D.C.

2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.

2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Obama assumed to win all elections.



Florida

2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.

29 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 83.6% wins (83,573 wins ), Romney: 16.4% wins (16,427 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 12-Jun-12 18-Jun-12 1697 2.4 46.0 42.0 O+4.0
Purple Poll 31-May-12 05-Jun-12 600 4.0 45.0 49.0 R+4.0
PPP 31-May-12 03-Jun-12 642 3.9 50.0 46.0 O+4.0


Georgia

2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.

2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.

16 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 2.9% wins (2,878 wins ), Romney: 97.1% wins (97,122 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
InsiderAdvantage 22-May-12 22-May-12 438 --- 39.9 52.3 R+12.4


Hawaii

2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.

2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 13-Oct-11 16-Oct-11 568 4.1 59.0 32.0 O+27.0


Idaho

2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.

2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.



Illinois

2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.

20 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Tribune/WGN-TV 02-Feb-12 06-Feb-12 600 4.0 56.0 35.0 O+21.0


Indiana

2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.2% wins (7,170 wins ), Romney: 92.8% wins (92,830 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Bellwether Research 26-Mar-12 28-Mar-12 503 5.0 40.0 49.0 R+9.0


Iowa

2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 53.3% wins (53,263 wins ), Romney: 46.7% wins (46,737 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
WeAskAmerica 18-Jun-12 18-Jun-12 1086 3.0 45.0 44.0 O+1.0
Rasmussen 11-Jun-12 11-Jun-12 500 4.5 46.0 47.0 R+1.0
Marist 22-May-12 24-May-12 1106 3.0 41.0 41.0 0.0


Kansas

2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.3% wins (7,258 wins ), Romney: 92.7% wins (92,742 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 18-Nov-11 22-Nov-11 510 4.4 39.0 47.6 R+8.6


Kentucky

2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.1% wins (7,102 wins ), Romney: 92.9% wins (92,898 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 25-Aug-11 28-Aug-11 600 4.0 40.0 48.0 R+8.0


Louisiana

2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.

2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.1% wins (120 wins ), Romney: 99.9% wins (99,880 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Clarus Research Group 06-Oct-11 08-Oct-11 602 4.0 37.0 53.0 R+16.0


Maine

2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.

2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

1 poll

Obama: 99.2% wins (99,217 wins ), Romney: 0.8% wins (783 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
WBUR 13-Jun-12 14-Jun-12 506 4.4 48.0 34.0 O+14.0


Maine-1

2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Maine PRC 31-Mar-12 02-Apr-12 522 4.3 60.5 33.0 O+27.5


Maine-2

2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 85.1% wins (85,106 wins ), Romney: 14.9% wins (14,894 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Maine PRC 31-Mar-12 02-Apr-12 471 4.5 48.0 41.4 O+6.6


Maryland

2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 14-May-12 21-May-12 852 3.4 58.0 35.0 O+23.0


Massachusetts

2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
WNEU 29-May-12 31-May-12 504 4.4 56.0 34.0 O+22.0
U NH 25-May-12 31-May-12 651 3.8 46.0 34.0 O+12.0


Michigan

2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.

16 Electoral votes.

6 polls

Obama: 90.3% wins (90,261 wins ), Romney: 9.7% wins (9,739 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Mitchell 18-Jun-12 18-Jun-12 750 3.6 47.0 46.0 O+1.0
WeAskAmerica 18-Jun-12 18-Jun-12 1010 3.1 43.0 45.0 R+2.0
Rasmussen 14-Jun-12 14-Jun-12 500 4.5 50.0 42.0 O+8.0
Baydoun 12-Jun-12 12-Jun-12 1783 2.3 46.9 45.5 O+1.4
EPIC/MRA 02-Jun-12 05-Jun-12 600 --- 45.0 46.0 R+1.0
PPP 24-May-12 27-May-12 600 4.4 53.0 39.0 O+14.0


Minnesota

2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (99,955 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (45 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 31-May-12 03-Jun-12 973 3.1 54.0 39.0 O+15.0


Mississippi

2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (15 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (99,985 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 04-Nov-11 06-Nov-11 796 3.5 36.0 54.0 R+18.0


Missouri

2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 26.1% wins (26,112 wins ), Romney: 73.9% wins (73,888 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 07-Jun-12 07-Jun-12 500 4.5 42.0 49.0 R+7.0
PPP 24-May-12 27-May-12 602 4.0 45.0 44.0 O+1.0


Montana

2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 9.3% wins (9,326 wins ), Romney: 90.7% wins (90,674 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 18-Jun-12 18-Jun-12 400 4.5 42.0 51.0 R+9.0


Nebraska

2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.

2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

1 poll

Obama: 1.6% wins (1,586 wins ), Romney: 98.4% wins (98,414 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PNA 11-Jun-12 13-Jun-12 601 --- 40.0 52.0 R+12.0


Nebraska-1

2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.09% Obama, 44.34% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 9.8% wins (9,766 wins ), Romney: 90.2% wins (90,234 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 432 --- 41.0 49.0 R+8.0


Nebraska-2

2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 48.76% Obama, 49.96% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 47.5% wins (47,532 wins ), Romney: 52.5% wins (52,468 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 277 --- 45.0 46.0 R+1.0


Nebraska-3

2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 319 --- 32.0 57.0 R+25.0


Nevada

2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.

2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 83.1% wins (83,099 wins ), Romney: 16.9% wins (16,901 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 07-Jun-12 10-Jun-12 500 4.4 48.0 42.0 O+6.0
Marist 22-May-12 24-May-12 1040 3.0 46.0 44.0 O+2.0


New Hampshire

2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 79.6% wins (79,595 wins ), Romney: 20.4% wins (20,405 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 20-Jun-12 20-Jun-12 500 4.5 48.0 43.0 O+5.0


New Jersey

2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.

14 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Eagleton-Rutgers 31-May-12 04-Jun-12 1065 2.9 56.0 33.0 O+23.0


New Mexico

2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.

5 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 98.9% wins (98,889 wins ), Romney: 1.1% wins (1,111 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PNA 16-May-12 21-May-12 502 4.4 48.0 35.0 O+13.0


New York

2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.

2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.

29 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Siena 03-Jun-12 06-Jun-12 807 3.4 59.0 35.0 O+24.0
Quinnipiac 22-May-12 28-May-12 1504 2.5 56.0 31.0 O+25.0


North Carolina

2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.

15 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 33.3% wins (33,258 wins ), Romney: 66.7% wins (66,742 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 07-Jun-12 10-Jun-12 810 3.4 46.0 48.0 R+2.0


North Dakota

2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.8% wins (783 wins ), Romney: 99.2% wins (99,217 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Mason-Dixon 04-Jun-12 06-Jun-12 625 4.5 39.0 52.0 R+13.0


Ohio

2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.

18 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 26.8% wins (26,771 wins ), Romney: 73.2% wins (73,229 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Purple Poll 31-May-12 05-Jun-12 600 4.0 45.0 48.0 R+3.0
Rasmussen 29-May-12 29-May-12 500 4.5 44.0 46.0 R+2.0


Oklahoma

2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SoonerPoll 07-May-12 10-May-12 504 4.4 27.0 62.0 R+35.0


Oregon

2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 85.2% wins (85,248 wins ), Romney: 14.8% wins (14,752 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 07-May-12 10-May-12 1468 2.6 47.0 43.4 O+3.6


Pennsylvania

2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.

20 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 98.6% wins (98,564 wins ), Romney: 1.4% wins (1,436 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 05-Jun-12 06-Jun-12 997 3.1 46.0 40.0 O+6.0
Franklin & Marshall 29-May-12 04-Jun-12 412 4.8 48.0 36.0 O+12.0


Rhode Island

2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.

2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 99.8% wins (99,821 wins ), Romney: 0.2% wins (179 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 16-Feb-11 22-Feb-11 544 4.2 54.0 37.0 O+17.0


South Carolina

2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 85.5% wins (85,539 wins ), Romney: 14.5% wins (14,461 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Marist 04-Dec-11 06-Dec-11 2107 2.1 45.0 42.0 O+3.0


South Dakota

2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 4.3% wins (4,268 wins ), Romney: 95.7% wins (95,732 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Neilson Brothers 15-Feb-12 17-Feb-12 559 4.2 35.0 44.0 R+9.0


Tennessee

2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.3% wins (7,347 wins ), Romney: 92.7% wins (92,653 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Vanderbilt Poll 02-May-12 09-May-12 752 4.0 40.0 47.0 R+7.0


Texas

2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.

38 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (15 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (99,985 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
U Texas 07-May-12 13-May-12 511 4.3 35.0 55.0 R+20.0


Utah

2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 08-Jul-11 10-Jul-11 732 3.6 31.0 63.0 R+32.0


Vermont

2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Castleton Poll 07-May-12 16-May-12 607 4.0 59.0 28.0 O+31.0


Virginia

2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.

2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.

13 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 89.2% wins (89,206 wins ), Romney: 10.8% wins (10,794 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 03-Jun-12 03-Jun-12 500 4.5 47.0 47.0 0.0
Purple Poll 31-May-12 05-Jun-12 600 4.0 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Quinnipiac 30-May-12 04-Jun-12 1282 2.7 47.0 42.0 O+5.0


Washington

2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.

12 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 14-Jun-12 17-Jun-12 1073 3.0 54.0 41.0 O+13.0
Elway 13-Jun-12 16-Jun-12 408 5.0 49.0 41.0 O+8.0
Strategies 360 24-May-12 27-May-12 500 4.4 51.0 40.0 O+11.0


West Virginia

2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.

2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.

5 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.6% wins (575 wins ), Romney: 99.4% wins (99,425 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
West Virginia Poll 25-Apr-12 28-Apr-12 410 4.8 37.0 54.0 R+17.0


Wisconsin

2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Obama: 97.0% wins (96,980 wins ), Romney: 3.0% wins (3,020 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Marquette 13-Jun-12 15-Jun-12 594 4.1 49.0 43.0 O+6.0
Rasmussen 12-Jun-12 12-Jun-12 500 4.5 44.0 47.0 R+3.0
We Ask America 06-Jun-12 06-Jun-12 1270 2.8 48.0 43.0 O+5.0
Marquette 23-May-12 26-May-12 625 --- 51.2 43.0 O+8.2


Wyoming

2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.