2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.4% wins (428 wins ), Romney: 99.6% wins (99,572 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Capital Survey Research Center | 07-Jun-12 | 27-Jun-12 | 551 | 4.2 | 36.4 | 51.3 | R+14.9 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Romney assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 1.8% wins (1,842 wins ), Romney: 98.2% wins (98,158 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 26-Jun-12 | 26-Jun-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 41.0 | 54.0 | R+13.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Talk Business-Hendrix College | 26-Mar-12 | 26-Mar-12 | 759 | 3.6 | 33.0 | 56.5 | R+23.5 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
55 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (99,991 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (9 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Field Poll | 21-Jun-12 | 02-Jul-12 | 848 | 3.4 | 55.0 | 37.0 | O+18.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
9 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 95.0% wins (94,971 wins ), Romney: 5.0% wins (5,029 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
WeAskAmerica | 25-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1083 | 3.0 | 46.6 | 43.0 | O+3.6 |
PPP | 14-Jun-12 | 17-Jun-12 | 799 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 42.0 | O+7.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (99,981 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (19 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 29-May-12 | 03-Jun-12 | 1408 | 2.6 | 50.0 | 38.0 | O+12.0 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Obama assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Obama assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
29 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Obama: 91.0% wins (91,037 wins ), Romney: 9.0% wins (8,963 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 09-Jul-12 | 09-Jul-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 45.0 | 46.0 | R+1.0 |
WeAskAmerica | 01-Jul-12 | 02-Jul-12 | 1127 | 2.9 | 46.1 | 45.3 | O+0.8 |
Quinnipiac | 19-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1200 | 2.8 | 45.0 | 41.0 | O+4.0 |
Quinnipiac | 12-Jun-12 | 18-Jun-12 | 1697 | 2.4 | 46.0 | 42.0 | O+4.0 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
16 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 2.9% wins (2,927 wins ), Romney: 97.1% wins (97,073 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
InsiderAdvantage | 22-May-12 | 22-May-12 | 438 | --- | 39.9 | 52.3 | R+12.4 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 13-Oct-11 | 16-Oct-11 | 568 | 4.1 | 59.0 | 32.0 | O+27.0 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Romney assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
20 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (99,996 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (4 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Tribune/WGN-TV | 02-Feb-12 | 06-Feb-12 | 600 | 4.0 | 56.0 | 35.0 | O+21.0 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 6.5% wins (6,513 wins ), Romney: 93.5% wins (93,487 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Bellwether Research | 26-Mar-12 | 28-Mar-12 | 503 | 5.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | R+9.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 60.3% wins (60,299 wins ), Romney: 39.7% wins (39,701 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
WeAskAmerica | 18-Jun-12 | 18-Jun-12 | 1086 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 44.0 | O+1.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 7.0% wins (6,992 wins ), Romney: 93.0% wins (93,008 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 18-Nov-11 | 22-Nov-11 | 510 | 4.4 | 39.0 | 47.6 | R+8.6 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 6.8% wins (6,798 wins ), Romney: 93.2% wins (93,202 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 25-Aug-11 | 28-Aug-11 | 600 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | R+8.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.2% wins (194 wins ), Romney: 99.8% wins (99,806 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Clarus Research Group | 06-Oct-11 | 08-Oct-11 | 602 | 4.0 | 37.0 | 53.0 | R+16.0 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
2 polls
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Critical Insights | 20-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 615 | 4.0 | 49.0 | 35.0 | O+14.0 |
WBUR | 13-Jun-12 | 14-Jun-12 | 506 | 4.4 | 48.0 | 34.0 | O+14.0 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Maine PRC | 31-Mar-12 | 02-Apr-12 | 522 | 4.3 | 60.5 | 33.0 | O+27.5 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 85.5% wins (85,544 wins ), Romney: 14.5% wins (14,456 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Maine PRC | 31-Mar-12 | 02-Apr-12 | 471 | 4.5 | 48.0 | 41.4 | O+6.6 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 14-May-12 | 21-May-12 | 852 | 3.4 | 58.0 | 35.0 | O+23.0 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (99,992 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (8 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 22-Jun-12 | 24-Jun-12 | 902 | 3.3 | 55.0 | 39.0 | O+16.0 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
16 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Obama: 83.9% wins (83,936 wins ), Romney: 16.1% wins (16,064 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marist | 24-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1078 | 3.0 | 44.0 | 39.0 | O+5.0 |
Mitchell | 18-Jun-12 | 18-Jun-12 | 750 | 3.6 | 47.0 | 46.0 | O+1.0 |
WeAskAmerica | 18-Jun-12 | 18-Jun-12 | 1010 | 3.1 | 43.0 | 45.0 | R+2.0 |
Denno Research | 14-Jun-12 | 15-Jun-12 | 600 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 |
Rasmussen | 14-Jun-12 | 14-Jun-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 50.0 | 42.0 | O+8.0 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (99,963 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (37 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 31-May-12 | 03-Jun-12 | 973 | 3.1 | 54.0 | 39.0 | O+15.0 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 04-Nov-11 | 06-Nov-11 | 796 | 3.5 | 36.0 | 54.0 | R+18.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 12.4% wins (12,411 wins ), Romney: 87.6% wins (87,589 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 07-Jun-12 | 07-Jun-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 42.0 | 49.0 | R+7.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 9.2% wins (9,227 wins ), Romney: 90.8% wins (90,773 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 18-Jun-12 | 18-Jun-12 | 400 | 4.5 | 42.0 | 51.0 | R+9.0 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Obama: 1.4% wins (1,364 wins ), Romney: 98.6% wins (98,636 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PNA | 11-Jun-12 | 13-Jun-12 | 601 | --- | 40.0 | 52.0 | R+12.0 |
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 10.7% wins (10,684 wins ), Romney: 89.3% wins (89,316 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 22-Mar-12 | 25-Mar-12 | 432 | --- | 41.0 | 49.0 | R+8.0 |
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 46.9% wins (46,949 wins ), Romney: 53.1% wins (53,051 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 22-Mar-12 | 25-Mar-12 | 277 | --- | 45.0 | 46.0 | R+1.0 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (35 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (99,965 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 22-Mar-12 | 25-Mar-12 | 319 | --- | 32.0 | 57.0 | R+25.0 |
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 83.5% wins (83,522 wins ), Romney: 16.5% wins (16,478 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 07-Jun-12 | 10-Jun-12 | 500 | 4.4 | 48.0 | 42.0 | O+6.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Obama: 78.3% wins (78,347 wins ), Romney: 21.7% wins (21,653 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marist | 24-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1029 | 3.0 | 43.0 | 42.0 | O+1.0 |
ARG | 21-Jun-12 | 24-Jun-12 | 417 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | O+3.0 |
Rasmussen | 20-Jun-12 | 20-Jun-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 48.0 | 43.0 | O+5.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
14 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Eagleton-Rutgers | 31-May-12 | 04-Jun-12 | 1065 | 2.9 | 56.0 | 33.0 | O+23.0 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 99.8% wins (99,834 wins ), Romney: 0.2% wins (166 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
WeAskAmerica | 09-Jul-12 | 10-Jul-12 | 1295 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 40.0 | O+11.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
29 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Siena | 03-Jun-12 | 06-Jun-12 | 807 | 3.4 | 59.0 | 35.0 | O+24.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
15 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Obama: 40.5% wins (40,455 wins ), Romney: 59.5% wins (59,545 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 05-Jul-12 | 08-Jul-12 | 775 | 3.5 | 47.0 | 46.0 | O+1.0 |
PNA | 01-Jul-12 | 08-Jul-12 | 500 | 4.4 | 48.0 | 49.0 | R+1.0 |
Civitas | 29-Jun-12 | 01-Jul-12 | 558 | 4.2 | 45.0 | 50.0 | R+5.0 |
Rasmussen | 25-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 500 | 4.5 | 44.0 | 47.0 | R+3.0 |
Marist | 24-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1019 | 3.1 | 46.0 | 44.0 | O+2.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 1.1% wins (1,090 wins ), Romney: 98.9% wins (98,910 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Rasmussen | 10-Jul-12 | 11-Jul-12 | 400 | 5.0 | 36.0 | 51.0 | R+15.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
18 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 98.9% wins (98,857 wins ), Romney: 1.1% wins (1,143 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 21-Jun-12 | 24-Jun-12 | 673 | 3.8 | 47.0 | 44.0 | O+3.0 |
Quinnipiac | 19-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1237 | 2.8 | 47.0 | 38.0 | O+9.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
SoonerPoll | 07-May-12 | 10-May-12 | 504 | 4.4 | 27.0 | 62.0 | R+35.0 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 93.7% wins (93,731 wins ), Romney: 6.3% wins (6,269 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 21-Jun-12 | 24-Jun-12 | 686 | 3.7 | 50.0 | 42.0 | O+8.0 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
20 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 99.1% wins (99,143 wins ), Romney: 0.9% wins (857 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
WeAskAmerica | 09-Jul-12 | 10-Jul-12 | 1227 | 2.8 | 47.0 | 40.0 | O+7.0 |
Quinnipiac | 19-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1252 | 2.8 | 45.0 | 39.0 | O+6.0 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 99.8% wins (99,834 wins ), Romney: 0.2% wins (166 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 16-Feb-11 | 22-Feb-11 | 544 | 4.2 | 54.0 | 37.0 | O+17.0 |
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 85.4% wins (85,367 wins ), Romney: 14.6% wins (14,633 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marist | 04-Dec-11 | 06-Dec-11 | 2107 | 2.1 | 45.0 | 42.0 | O+3.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 4.9% wins (4,917 wins ), Romney: 95.1% wins (95,083 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Neilson Brothers | 15-Feb-12 | 17-Feb-12 | 559 | 4.2 | 35.0 | 44.0 | R+9.0 |
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 7.7% wins (7,656 wins ), Romney: 92.3% wins (92,344 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Vanderbilt Poll | 02-May-12 | 09-May-12 | 752 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 | R+7.0 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
38 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (32 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (99,968 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
U Texas | 07-May-12 | 13-May-12 | 511 | 4.3 | 35.0 | 55.0 | R+20.0 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Dan Jones | 15-Jun-12 | 21-Jun-12 | 1222 | 2.8 | 26.0 | 68.0 | R+42.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Castleton Poll | 07-May-12 | 16-May-12 | 607 | 4.0 | 59.0 | 28.0 | O+31.0 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
13 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 50.1% wins (50,112 wins ), Romney: 49.9% wins (49,888 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 05-Jul-12 | 08-Jul-12 | 647 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 42.0 | O+8.0 |
WeAskAmerica | 25-Jun-12 | 25-Jun-12 | 1106 | 3.0 | 43.3 | 48.0 | R+4.7 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
12 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Obama: 99.9% wins (99,942 wins ), Romney: 0.1% wins (58 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
PPP | 14-Jun-12 | 17-Jun-12 | 1073 | 3.0 | 54.0 | 41.0 | O+13.0 |
Elway | 13-Jun-12 | 16-Jun-12 | 408 | 5.0 | 49.0 | 41.0 | O+8.0 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Obama: 0.7% wins (679 wins ), Romney: 99.3% wins (99,321 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
West Virginia Poll | 25-Apr-12 | 28-Apr-12 | 410 | 4.8 | 37.0 | 54.0 | R+17.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
10 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Obama: 98.9% wins (98,899 wins ), Romney: 1.1% wins (1,101 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Obama | Romney | Diff |
Marquette | 05-Jul-12 | 08-Jul-12 | 810 | 3.5 | 50.6 | 43.3 | O+7.3 |
PPP | 05-Jul-12 | 08-Jul-12 | 1057 | 3.3 | 50.0 | 44.0 | O+6.0 |
Marquette | 13-Jun-12 | 15-Jun-12 | 594 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 43.0 | O+6.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Romney assumed to win all elections.