Obama versus Romney using polls from 07-Jul-12 to 07-Aug-12


Alabama

2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Research Consultants 23-Jul-12 26-Jul-12 600 4.0 34.0 59.0 R+25.0


Alaska

2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.



Arizona

2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 1.0% wins (1,036 wins ), Romney: 99.0% wins (98,964 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 23-Jul-12 25-Jul-12 833 --- 41.0 52.0 R+11.0


Arkansas

2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Talk Business-Hendrix College 26-Mar-12 26-Mar-12 759 3.6 33.0 56.5 R+23.5


California

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

55 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Field Poll 21-Jun-12 02-Jul-12 848 3.4 55.0 37.0 O+18.0


Colorado

2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 81.3% wins (81,334 wins ), Romney: 18.7% wins (18,666 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 06-Aug-12 06-Aug-12 500 4.5 47.0 47.0 0.0
PPP 02-Aug-12 05-Aug-12 779 3.5 49.0 43.0 O+6.0
Purple Poll 09-Jul-12 13-Jul-12 600 4.0 45.0 44.0 O+1.0


Connecticut

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 94.9% wins (94,920 wins ), Romney: 5.1% wins (5,080 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 26-Jul-12 29-Jul-12 771 3.5 51.0 43.0 O+8.0


Delaware

2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Obama assumed to win all elections.



D.C.

2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.

2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Obama assumed to win all elections.



Florida

2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.

29 Electoral votes.

6 polls

Obama: 84.0% wins (83,952 wins ), Romney: 16.0% wins (16,048 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 26-Jul-12 29-Jul-12 871 3.3 48.0 47.0 O+1.0
Quinnipiac 24-Jul-12 30-Jul-12 1177 --- 51.0 45.0 O+6.0
SurveyUSA 17-Jul-12 20-Jul-12 647 3.9 47.9 43.4 O+4.5
Purple Poll 09-Jul-12 13-Jul-12 600 4.0 45.0 48.0 R+3.0
Mason Dixon 09-Jul-12 11-Jul-12 800 3.5 46.0 45.0 O+1.0
Rasmussen 09-Jul-12 09-Jul-12 500 4.5 45.0 46.0 R+1.0


Georgia

2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.

2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.

16 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 0.6% wins (616 wins ), Romney: 99.4% wins (99,384 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 29-Jul-12 29-Jul-12 1169 --- 42.0 50.0 R+8.0
InsiderAdvantage 24-Jul-12 24-Jul-12 591 --- 40.5 49.8 R+9.3


Hawaii

2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.

2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 13-Oct-11 16-Oct-11 568 4.1 59.0 32.0 O+27.0


Idaho

2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.

2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.



Illinois

2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.

20 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Tribune/WGN-TV 02-Feb-12 06-Feb-12 600 4.0 56.0 35.0 O+21.0


Indiana

2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.8% wins (807 wins ), Romney: 99.2% wins (99,193 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 31-Jul-12 01-Aug-12 400 5.0 35.0 51.0 R+16.0


Iowa

2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 89.7% wins (89,741 wins ), Romney: 10.3% wins (10,259 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 12-Jul-12 15-Jul-12 1131 2.9 48.0 43.0 O+5.0


Kansas

2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.0% wins (7,018 wins ), Romney: 93.0% wins (92,982 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 18-Nov-11 22-Nov-11 510 4.4 39.0 47.6 R+8.6


Kentucky

2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 6.8% wins (6,750 wins ), Romney: 93.3% wins (93,250 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 25-Aug-11 28-Aug-11 600 4.0 40.0 48.0 R+8.0


Louisiana

2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.

2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.2% wins (162 wins ), Romney: 99.8% wins (99,838 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Clarus Research Group 06-Oct-11 08-Oct-11 602 4.0 37.0 53.0 R+16.0


Maine

2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.

2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

1 poll

Obama: 99.7% wins (99,731 wins ), Romney: 0.3% wins (269 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Critical Insights 20-Jun-12 25-Jun-12 615 4.0 49.0 35.0 O+14.0


Maine-1

2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Maine PRC 31-Mar-12 02-Apr-12 522 4.3 60.5 33.0 O+27.5


Maine-2

2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 86.2% wins (86,200 wins ), Romney: 13.8% wins (13,800 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Maine PRC 31-Mar-12 02-Apr-12 471 4.5 48.0 41.4 O+6.6


Maryland

2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 14-May-12 21-May-12 852 3.4 58.0 35.0 O+23.0


Massachusetts

2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (99,972 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (28 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Jun-12 24-Jun-12 902 3.3 55.0 39.0 O+16.0


Michigan

2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.

16 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Obama: 98.0% wins (97,982 wins ), Romney: 2.0% wins (2,018 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
EPIC/MRA 24-Jul-12 31-Jul-12 600 4.0 48.0 42.0 O+6.0
Rasmussen 23-Jul-12 23-Jul-12 500 4.5 48.0 42.0 O+6.0
Mitchell 23-Jul-12 23-Jul-12 825 3.4 44.0 45.0 R+1.0
PPP 21-Jul-12 23-Jul-12 579 4.1 53.0 39.0 O+14.0


Minnesota

2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 86.6% wins (86,581 wins ), Romney: 13.4% wins (13,419 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 17-Jul-12 20-Jul-12 552 4.3 45.9 39.7 O+6.2


Mississippi

2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 04-Nov-11 06-Nov-11 796 3.5 36.0 54.0 R+18.0


Missouri

2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 0.1% wins (123 wins ), Romney: 99.9% wins (99,877 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 30-Jul-12 30-Jul-12 500 4.5 44.0 50.0 R+6.0
Mason-Dixon 23-Jul-12 25-Jul-12 625 4.0 42.0 51.0 R+9.0
WeAskAmerica 24-Jul-12 24-Jul-12 1172 3.0 39.7 49.0 R+9.3


Montana

2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 9.5% wins (9,493 wins ), Romney: 90.5% wins (90,507 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 18-Jun-12 18-Jun-12 400 4.5 42.0 51.0 R+9.0


Nebraska

2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.

2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

1 poll

Obama: 1.6% wins (1,638 wins ), Romney: 98.4% wins (98,362 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PNA 11-Jun-12 13-Jun-12 601 --- 40.0 52.0 R+12.0


Nebraska-1

2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 10.4% wins (10,355 wins ), Romney: 89.6% wins (89,645 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 432 --- 41.0 49.0 R+8.0


Nebraska-2

2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 45.8% wins (45,812 wins ), Romney: 54.2% wins (54,188 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 277 --- 45.0 46.0 R+1.0


Nebraska-3

2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (16 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (99,984 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 22-Mar-12 25-Mar-12 319 --- 32.0 57.0 R+25.0


Nevada

2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.

2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 96.1% wins (96,118 wins ), Romney: 3.9% wins (3,882 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 24-Jul-12 24-Jul-12 500 4.5 50.0 45.0 O+5.0
WeAskAmerica 17-Jul-12 18-Jul-12 1092 3.0 49.0 43.0 O+6.0
Magellan Strategies 16-Jul-12 17-Jul-12 665 3.8 50.0 46.0 O+4.0


New Hampshire

2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 72.3% wins (72,345 wins ), Romney: 27.7% wins (27,655 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
U NH 05-Jul-12 15-Jul-12 470 4.3 49.0 45.0 O+4.0


New Jersey

2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.

14 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Fairleigh Dickinson 23-Jul-12 29-Jul-12 849 3.5 49.0 36.0 O+13.0
Monmouth 18-Jul-12 22-Jul-12 535 4.2 50.0 42.0 O+8.0
Quinnipiac 09-Jul-12 15-Jul-12 1623 2.4 49.0 38.0 O+11.0


New Mexico

2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.

5 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 99.9% wins (99,861 wins ), Romney: 0.1% wins (139 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 13-Jul-12 16-Jul-12 724 3.6 49.0 44.0 O+5.0
WeAskAmerica 09-Jul-12 10-Jul-12 1295 2.8 51.0 40.0 O+11.0


New York

2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.

2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.

29 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 17-Jul-12 23-Jul-12 1779 2.3 55.0 32.0 O+23.0
Siena 10-Jul-12 15-Jul-12 758 3.6 61.0 34.0 O+27.0


North Carolina

2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.

15 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Obama: 53.3% wins (53,285 wins ), Romney: 46.7% wins (46,715 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 02-Aug-12 05-Aug-12 813 3.4 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
Rasmussen 01-Aug-12 01-Aug-12 500 4.5 44.0 49.0 R+5.0
Civitas 16-Jul-12 18-Jul-12 600 4.0 49.0 48.0 O+1.0


North Dakota

2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 1.1% wins (1,070 wins ), Romney: 98.9% wins (98,930 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 10-Jul-12 11-Jul-12 400 5.0 36.0 51.0 R+15.0


Ohio

2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.

18 Electoral votes.

5 polls

Obama: 98.7% wins (98,748 wins ), Romney: 1.3% wins (1,252 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 24-Jul-12 30-Jul-12 1193 --- 50.0 44.0 O+6.0
WeAskAmerica 24-Jul-12 24-Jul-12 1115 3.0 47.8 40.2 O+7.6
Magellan Strategies 23-Jul-12 24-Jul-12 597 4.0 45.0 43.0 O+2.0
Rasmussen 18-Jul-12 18-Jul-12 500 4.5 47.0 45.0 O+2.0
Purple Poll 09-Jul-12 13-Jul-12 600 4.0 48.0 45.0 O+3.0


Oklahoma

2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SoonerPoll 07-May-12 10-May-12 504 4.4 27.0 62.0 R+35.0


Oregon

2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 93.7% wins (93,717 wins ), Romney: 6.3% wins (6,283 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 21-Jun-12 24-Jun-12 686 3.7 50.0 42.0 O+8.0


Pennsylvania

2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.

20 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Obama: 100.0% wins (99,988 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (12 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Quinnipiac 24-Jul-12 30-Jul-12 1168 --- 53.0 42.0 O+11.0
PPP 21-Jul-12 23-Jul-12 758 3.6 49.0 43.0 O+6.0
Rasmussen 18-Jul-12 18-Jul-12 500 4.5 48.0 44.0 O+4.0
WeAskAmerica 09-Jul-12 10-Jul-12 1227 2.8 47.0 40.0 O+7.0


Rhode Island

2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.

2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 99.8% wins (99,840 wins ), Romney: 0.2% wins (160 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
PPP 16-Feb-11 22-Feb-11 544 4.2 54.0 37.0 O+17.0


South Carolina

2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.

9 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 85.0% wins (84,979 wins ), Romney: 15.0% wins (15,021 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Marist 04-Dec-11 06-Dec-11 2107 2.1 45.0 42.0 O+3.0


South Dakota

2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 11.2% wins (11,203 wins ), Romney: 88.8% wins (88,797 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Neilson Brothers 19-Jul-12 23-Jul-12 546 4.2 42.0 49.0 R+7.0


Tennessee

2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 7.3% wins (7,306 wins ), Romney: 92.7% wins (92,694 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Vanderbilt Poll 02-May-12 09-May-12 752 4.0 40.0 47.0 R+7.0


Texas

2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.

38 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.1% wins (76 wins ), Romney: 99.9% wins (99,924 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
U Texas 07-May-12 13-May-12 511 4.3 35.0 55.0 R+20.0


Utah

2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Romney: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Dan Jones 15-Jun-12 21-Jun-12 1222 2.8 26.0 68.0 R+42.0


Vermont

2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Romney: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Castleton Poll 07-May-12 16-May-12 607 4.0 59.0 28.0 O+31.0


Virginia

2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.

2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.

13 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Obama: 71.5% wins (71,503 wins ), Romney: 28.5% wins (28,497 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Capitol Correspondent 30-Jul-12 31-Jul-12 563 4.1 44.2 39.6 O+4.6
Rasmussen 16-Jul-12 17-Jul-12 500 4.5 47.0 46.0 O+1.0
Quinnipiac 10-Jul-12 16-Jul-12 1673 2.4 44.0 44.0 0.0
Purple Poll 09-Jul-12 13-Jul-12 600 4.0 46.0 44.0 O+2.0


Washington

2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.

12 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 99.9% wins (99,872 wins ), Romney: 0.1% wins (128 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
SurveyUSA 01-Aug-12 02-Aug-12 524 4.4 54.1 37.0 O+17.1
SurveyUSA 16-Jul-12 17-Jul-12 630 4.0 46.0 37.3 O+8.7


West Virginia

2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.

2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.

5 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Obama: 0.7% wins (655 wins ), Romney: 99.3% wins (99,345 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
West Virginia Poll 25-Apr-12 28-Apr-12 410 4.8 37.0 54.0 R+17.0


Wisconsin

2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.

10 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Obama: 96.0% wins (96,038 wins ), Romney: 4.0% wins (3,962 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Obama Romney Diff
Rasmussen 25-Jul-12 25-Jul-12 500 4.5 49.0 46.0 O+3.0
WeAskAmerica 17-Jul-12 18-Jul-12 1162 2.9 49.0 42.0 O+7.0


Wyoming

2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Romney assumed to win all elections.