2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WKRG | 19-Jul-16 | 19-Jul-16 | 4100 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 57.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 519 | 4.3 | 31.5 | 52.5 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Clinton: 7.5% wins (7,469 wins ), Trump: 92.5% wins (92,531 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 06-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 704 | 3.8 | 38.0 | 40.0 | T+2.0 |
Gravis | 27-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1244 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 44.0 | T+4.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 837 | --- | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
OHPI | 25-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 728 | 3.6 | 40.0 | 39.0 | C+1.0 |
AZ Republic | 17-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 704 | 3.3 | 35.1 | 33.5 | C+1.6 |
CNN/ORC | 18-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 809 | 3.5 | 38.0 | 45.0 | T+7.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 09-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 29.0 | 57.0 | T+28.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney.
55 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 08-Sep-16 | 11-Sep-16 | 678 | 3.8 | 57.2 | 32.3 | C+24.8 |
USC-LA Times | 01-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 4212 | 2.0 | 49.0 | 29.0 | C+20.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 50.9% wins (50,932 wins ), Trump: 49.1% wins (49,068 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 09-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 38.0 | 42.0 | T+4.0 |
Magellan | 29-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 41.0 | 36.0 | C+5.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 1000 | 3.0 | 49.8 | 34.9 | C+14.9 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 98.5% wins (98,474 wins ), Trump: 1.5% wins (1,526 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 20-Jul-16 | 24-Jul-16 | 715 | 4.1 | 42.0 | 32.0 | C+10.0 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1317 | 2.7 | 65.7 | 20.2 | C+45.5 |
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Clinton: 82.1% wins (82,139 wins ), Trump: 17.9% wins (17,861 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
CNN/ORC | 07-Sep-16 | 12-Sep-16 | 788 | 3.5 | 44.0 | 47.0 | T+3.0 |
JMC Analytics | 07-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 781 | 3.5 | 42.0 | 46.0 | T+4.0 |
PPP | 04-Sep-16 | 06-Sep-16 | 744 | 3.6 | 43.0 | 44.0 | T+1.0 |
Quinnipiac | 29-Aug-16 | 07-Sep-16 | 761 | 3.6 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 |
Mason-Dixon | 22-Aug-16 | 24-Aug-16 | 625 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
FAU | 19-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 1200 | 2.7 | 40.7 | 42.9 | T+2.2 |
Cherry | 17-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 608 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 44.0 | T+3.0 |
Saint Leo | 14-Aug-16 | 18-Aug-16 | 1380 | 3.0 | 51.7 | 37.7 | C+14.0 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 13.8% wins (13,768 wins ), Trump: 86.2% wins (86,232 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Opinion Savvy | 14-Sep-16 | 14-Sep-16 | 568 | 4.1 | 42.0 | 46.0 | T+4.0 |
Emerson | 09-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 39.0 | 45.0 | T+6.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 06-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 649 | 3.8 | 42.0 | 44.0 | T+2.0 |
Opinion Savvy | 17-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 730 | 3.6 | 42.7 | 43.0 | T+0.3 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 999 | 3.1 | 49.6 | 30.5 | C+19.1 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Dan Jones | 18-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 602 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WeAskAmerica | 12-Sep-16 | 12-Sep-16 | 955 | 3.2 | 51.2 | 32.7 | C+18.5 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 8.1% wins (8,119 wins ), Trump: 91.9% wins (91,881 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WTHR/Howey | 06-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 | T+7.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 20.3% wins (20,314 wins ), Trump: 79.7% wins (79,686 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 12-Sep-16 | 14-Sep-16 | 404 | 4.9 | 37.0 | 45.0 | T+8.0 |
Emerson | 31-Aug-16 | 01-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 39.2 | 44.2 | T+5.0 |
PPP | 30-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 827 | --- | 45.0 | 43.0 | C+2.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 2.0% wins (2,016 wins ), Trump: 98.0% wins (97,984 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 06-Sep-16 | 11-Sep-16 | 595 | 4.1 | 36.1 | 47.5 | T+11.4 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 1.1% wins (1,132 wins ), Trump: 98.9% wins (98,868 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Harper | 31-Jul-16 | 01-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 36.0 | 49.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 13.1% wins (13,057 wins ), Trump: 86.9% wins (86,943 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
ALG | 29-Aug-16 | 01-Sep-16 | 605 | --- | 40.0 | 46.0 | T+6.0 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
2 polls
Clinton: 96.8% wins (96,836 wins ), Trump: 3.2% wins (3,164 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 04-Sep-16 | 10-Sep-16 | 779 | 3.6 | 42.4 | 39.2 | C+3.2 |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.6 | 34.9 | C+8.6 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 04-Sep-16 | 10-Sep-16 | 382 | --- | 48.4 | 31.4 | C+17.0 |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 404 | --- | 52.0 | 30.0 | C+22.0 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
2 polls
Clinton: 5.6% wins (5,610 wins ), Trump: 94.4% wins (94,390 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 04-Sep-16 | 10-Sep-16 | 397 | --- | 36.5 | 46.9 | T+10.3 |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 399 | --- | 36.3 | 40.6 | T+4.3 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
OpinionWorks | 18-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 754 | 3.6 | 53.7 | 24.5 | C+29.2 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WBUR | 07-Sep-16 | 10-Sep-16 | 506 | 4.4 | 54.0 | 28.0 | C+26.0 |
Emerson | 03-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 500 | 4.3 | 49.9 | 33.3 | C+16.6 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 98.5% wins (98,485 wins ), Trump: 1.5% wins (1,515 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
EPIC-MRA | 10-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 38.0 | 35.0 | C+3.0 |
Mitchell | 06-Sep-16 | 07-Sep-16 | 940 | 3.2 | 45.0 | 39.0 | C+6.0 |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 44.8 | 39.5 | C+5.4 |
Suffolk | 22-Aug-16 | 24-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.6 | 37.2 | C+6.4 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.8% wins (99,845 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (155 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1421 | 2.6 | 45.0 | 35.2 | C+9.8 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.1% wins (97 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,903 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Magellan | 11-Aug-16 | 11-Aug-16 | 1084 | 2.9 | 39.0 | 52.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 0.0% wins (22 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,978 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 09-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 34.0 | 47.0 | T+13.0 |
MO Scout | 01-Sep-16 | 02-Sep-16 | 1275 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | T+9.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1055 | --- | 41.0 | 47.0 | T+6.0 |
Monmouth | 19-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 401 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 44.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.3% wins (285 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,715 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1421 | 2.6 | 35.8 | 45.3 | T+9.5 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (25 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,975 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1317 | 2.7 | 35.3 | 47.7 | T+12.4 |
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 63.3% wins (63,319 wins ), Trump: 36.7% wins (36,681 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 11-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 406 | 4.9 | 42.0 | 44.0 | T+2.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 06-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 627 | 3.9 | 41.0 | 42.0 | T+1.0 |
PPP | 06-Sep-16 | 07-Sep-16 | 815 | --- | 45.0 | 42.0 | C+3.0 |
Suffolk | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.8 | 41.6 | C+2.2 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 99.4% wins (99,383 wins ), Trump: 0.6% wins (617 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 06-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 737 | 3.6 | 39.0 | 37.0 | C+2.0 |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 41.8 | 36.7 | C+5.2 |
PPP | 30-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 585 | --- | 46.0 | 41.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 977 | --- | 46.0 | 40.0 | C+6.0 |
WMUR | 20-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 443 | 4.7 | 43.0 | 32.0 | C+11.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney.
14 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 78.5% wins (78,550 wins ), Trump: 21.5% wins (21,450 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 46.6 | 42.9 | C+3.6 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.4% wins (99,395 wins ), Trump: 0.6% wins (605 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 19-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 1103 | --- | 40.0 | 31.0 | C+9.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 28-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 52.1 | 34.1 | C+18.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney.
15 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Clinton: 57.5% wins (57,515 wins ), Trump: 42.5% wins (42,485 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Civitas | 11-Sep-16 | 12-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 |
Suffolk | 05-Sep-16 | 07-Sep-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 41.2 | 44.4 | T+3.2 |
Quinnipiac | 29-Aug-16 | 07-Sep-16 | 751 | 3.6 | 42.0 | 38.0 | C+4.0 |
Emerson | 27-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.3 | 44.8 | T+1.5 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1177 | --- | 45.0 | 44.0 | C+1.0 |
Monmouth | 20-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 401 | 4.9 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
CNN/ORC | 18-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 803 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 |
Gravis | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 723 | 3.6 | 38.0 | 39.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.3% wins (344 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,656 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1537 | 2.5 | 35.6 | 44.2 | T+8.6 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney.
18 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Clinton: 21.9% wins (21,855 wins ), Trump: 78.1% wins (78,145 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Suffolk | 12-Sep-16 | 14-Sep-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 38.6 | 41.6 | T+3.0 |
Bloomberg | 09-Sep-16 | 12-Sep-16 | 802 | 3.5 | 43.0 | 48.0 | T+5.0 |
CNN/ORC | 07-Sep-16 | 12-Sep-16 | 769 | 3.5 | 41.0 | 46.0 | T+5.0 |
Quinnipiac | 29-Aug-16 | 07-Sep-16 | 775 | 3.5 | 37.0 | 41.0 | T+4.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1134 | --- | 46.0 | 42.0 | C+4.0 |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 42.5 | 43.4 | T+0.9 |
Monmouth | 18-Aug-16 | 21-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 39.0 | C+4.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.1% wins (69 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,931 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Sooner | 20-Jul-16 | 25-Jul-16 | 298 | 4.9 | 29.0 | 53.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.7% wins (99,698 wins ), Trump: 0.3% wins (302 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
DHM | 01-Sep-16 | 06-Sep-16 | 517 | 4.3 | 38.0 | 25.0 | C+13.0 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Clinton: 99.4% wins (99,420 wins ), Trump: 0.6% wins (580 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 29-Aug-16 | 07-Sep-16 | 778 | 3.5 | 44.0 | 39.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 30-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 814 | --- | 47.0 | 42.0 | C+5.0 |
Monmouth | 26-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 48.0 | 40.0 | C+8.0 |
F&M | 25-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 496 | 5.6 | 45.0 | 40.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1194 | --- | 48.0 | 43.0 | C+5.0 |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 45.8 | 42.7 | C+3.1 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 68.9% wins (68,879 wins ), Trump: 31.1% wins (31,121 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.7 | 41.2 | C+2.5 |
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Trafalgar Group | 06-Sep-16 | 12-Sep-16 | 1247 | 2.8 | 37.6 | 53.0 | T+15.4 |
Palmetto | 30-Aug-16 | 01-Sep-16 | 775 | 3.5 | 38.0 | 50.0 | T+12.0 |
Gravis | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 768 | 3.5 | 37.0 | 41.0 | T+4.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (22 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,978 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 32.4 | 46.7 | T+14.3 |
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 2660 | 1.9 | 33.4 | 49.0 | T+15.6 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney.
38 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 2.8% wins (2,807 wins ), Trump: 97.2% wins (97,193 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 07-Sep-16 | 10-Sep-16 | 700 | 3.6 | 36.1 | 42.5 | T+6.4 |
Texas Lyceum | 01-Sep-16 | 11-Sep-16 | 502 | 4.4 | 32.0 | 39.0 | T+7.0 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Dan Jones | 01-Sep-16 | 09-Sep-16 | 605 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 39.0 | T+15.0 |
PPP | 19-Aug-16 | 21-Aug-16 | 1018 | 3.1 | 24.0 | 39.0 | T+15.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 47.5 | 25.7 | C+21.8 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney.
13 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 90.3% wins (90,268 wins ), Trump: 9.7% wins (9,732 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 09-Sep-16 | 11-Sep-16 | 878 | 3.3 | 45.0 | 39.0 | C+6.0 |
UMW | 06-Sep-16 | 12-Sep-16 | 685 | 4.4 | 40.0 | 37.0 | C+3.0 |
Emerson | 31-Aug-16 | 01-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.5 | 43.0 | C+0.5 |
Hampton U | 24-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 801 | --- | 43.0 | 41.0 | C+2.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney.
12 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Elway | 09-Aug-16 | 13-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.5 | 43.0 | 24.0 | C+19.0 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.2% wins (189 wins ), Trump: 99.8% wins (99,811 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Repass Res | 09-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 386 | 4.7 | 31.0 | 49.0 | T+18.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 98.3% wins (98,323 wins ), Trump: 1.7% wins (1,677 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 27-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 404 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 38.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1054 | --- | 48.0 | 41.0 | C+7.0 |
Marquette | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 650 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 32.0 | C+5.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 24.5 | 58.5 | T+34.0 |