2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WKRG | 19-Jul-16 | 19-Jul-16 | 4100 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 57.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 9.8% wins (9,760 wins ), Trump: 90.2% wins (90,240 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Moore | 05-Oct-16 | 06-Oct-16 | 500 | 4.0 | 34.0 | 37.0 | T+3.0 |
ASR | 28-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 660 | 3.8 | 30.6 | 36.1 | T+5.5 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 60.8% wins (60,821 wins ), Trump: 39.2% wins (39,179 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
OHPI | 28-Sep-16 | 30-Sep-16 | 718 | 3.7 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Hendrix Col | 15-Sep-16 | 17-Sep-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 34.0 | 55.0 | T+21.0 |
Emerson | 09-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 29.0 | 57.0 | T+28.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney.
55 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 27-Sep-16 | 28-Sep-16 | 732 | --- | 59.0 | 33.0 | C+26.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 81.8% wins (81,766 wins ), Trump: 18.2% wins (18,234 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 03-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 1246 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 |
Monmouth | 29-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 400 | 4.9 | 49.0 | 38.0 | C+11.0 |
Keating | 27-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 602 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 33.0 | C+11.0 |
CNN/ORC | 20-Sep-16 | 25-Sep-16 | 784 | 3.5 | 41.0 | 42.0 | T+1.0 |
Gravis | 22-Sep-16 | 23-Sep-16 | 799 | 3.5 | 37.0 | 41.0 | T+4.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 1000 | 3.0 | 49.8 | 34.9 | C+14.9 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
U DE | 16-Sep-16 | 28-Sep-16 | 762 | 4.1 | 51.0 | 30.0 | C+21.0 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1317 | 2.7 | 65.7 | 20.2 | C+45.5 |
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Clinton: 91.8% wins (91,766 wins ), Trump: 8.2% wins (8,234 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Opinion Savvy | 10-Oct-16 | 11-Oct-16 | 533 | 4.2 | 47.0 | 44.2 | C+2.8 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 03-Oct-16 | 05-Oct-16 | 700 | 3.7 | 45.0 | 42.0 | C+3.0 |
Gravis | 04-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 821 | 3.4 | 47.0 | 45.0 | C+2.0 |
Emerson | 02-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 44.0 | 45.0 | T+1.0 |
UNF | 27-Sep-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 696 | 3.8 | 41.0 | 37.0 | C+4.0 |
Quinnipiac | 27-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 545 | 4.2 | 46.0 | 41.0 | C+5.0 |
Opinion Savvy | 28-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 619 | 4.0 | 46.5 | 46.4 | C+0.2 |
Mason-Dixon | 27-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 820 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 42.0 | C+4.0 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Clinton: 1.3% wins (1,293 wins ), Trump: 98.7% wins (98,707 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Landmark | 21-Sep-16 | 22-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 42.9 | 46.5 | T+3.6 |
JMC | 20-Sep-16 | 22-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 38.0 | 44.0 | T+6.0 |
Quinnipiac | 13-Sep-16 | 21-Sep-16 | 638 | 3.9 | 40.0 | 47.0 | T+7.0 |
Monmouth | 15-Sep-16 | 18-Sep-16 | 401 | 4.9 | 42.0 | 45.0 | T+3.0 |
Opinion Savvy | 14-Sep-16 | 14-Sep-16 | 568 | 4.1 | 42.0 | 46.0 | T+4.0 |
Emerson | 09-Sep-16 | 13-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 39.0 | 45.0 | T+6.0 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 999 | 3.1 | 49.6 | 30.5 | C+19.1 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Dan Jones | 18-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 602 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SIU | 27-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 865 | 3.3 | 53.0 | 28.0 | C+25.0 |
Victory | 21-Sep-16 | 24-Sep-16 | 1200 | 2.8 | 48.6 | 35.1 | C+13.5 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 8.7% wins (8,745 wins ), Trump: 91.3% wins (91,255 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WTHR/Howey | 06-Sep-16 | 08-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 | T+7.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 21.9% wins (21,907 wins ), Trump: 78.1% wins (78,093 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Des Moines Reg | 03-Oct-16 | 06-Oct-16 | 642 | 4.0 | 39.0 | 43.0 | T+4.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 1.6% wins (1,641 wins ), Trump: 98.4% wins (98,359 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 06-Sep-16 | 11-Sep-16 | 595 | 4.1 | 36.1 | 47.5 | T+11.4 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 1.2% wins (1,158 wins ), Trump: 98.8% wins (98,842 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Harper | 31-Jul-16 | 01-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 36.0 | 49.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.9% wins (948 wins ), Trump: 99.1% wins (99,052 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
JMC | 22-Sep-16 | 24-Sep-16 | 905 | 3.3 | 35.0 | 45.0 | T+10.0 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Clinton: 97.1% wins (97,113 wins ), Trump: 2.9% wins (2,887 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
MPRC | 07-Oct-16 | 09-Oct-16 | 892 | 3.3 | 44.0 | 36.1 | C+7.9 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.8% wins (99,781 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (219 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
MPRC | 07-Oct-16 | 09-Oct-16 | 468 | 4.5 | 48.7 | 32.3 | C+16.4 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 40.4% wins (40,387 wins ), Trump: 59.6% wins (59,613 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
MPRC | 07-Oct-16 | 09-Oct-16 | 424 | 4.8 | 38.8 | 40.4 | T+1.6 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
U MD | 27-Sep-16 | 30-Sep-16 | 706 | 4.0 | 63.0 | 27.0 | C+36.0 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WNEU | 24-Sep-16 | 03-Oct-16 | 403 | 5.0 | 58.0 | 26.0 | C+32.0 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Mitchell | 11-Oct-16 | 11-Oct-16 | 1429 | 2.6 | 47.0 | 37.0 | C+10.0 |
Detroit News | 10-Oct-16 | 11-Oct-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 42.2 | 30.6 | C+11.6 |
Detroit Free Press | 01-Oct-16 | 03-Oct-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 32.0 | C+11.0 |
Detroit News | 27-Sep-16 | 28-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 35.0 | C+7.0 |
Mitchell | 27-Sep-16 | 27-Sep-16 | 1956 | 2.2 | 45.8 | 41.2 | C+4.6 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 96.2% wins (96,166 wins ), Trump: 3.8% wins (3,834 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 16-Sep-16 | 20-Sep-16 | 625 | 4.0 | 45.9 | 39.0 | C+6.9 |
Mason-Dixon | 12-Sep-16 | 14-Sep-16 | 625 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 38.0 | C+6.0 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.1% wins (90 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,910 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Magellan | 11-Aug-16 | 11-Aug-16 | 1084 | 2.9 | 39.0 | 52.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 0.4% wins (441 wins ), Trump: 99.6% wins (99,559 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 09-Oct-16 | 11-Oct-16 | 406 | 4.9 | 41.0 | 46.0 | T+5.0 |
Remington | 26-Sep-16 | 27-Sep-16 | 1279 | 3.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | T+10.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.2% wins (238 wins ), Trump: 99.8% wins (99,762 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1421 | 2.6 | 35.8 | 45.3 | T+9.5 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 25-Sep-16 | 26-Sep-16 | 700 | 3.6 | 29.2 | 55.6 | T+26.4 |
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.3% wins (335 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,665 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 25-Sep-16 | 26-Sep-16 | 233 | --- | 29.0 | 53.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 14.8% wins (14,766 wins ), Trump: 85.2% wins (85,234 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 25-Sep-16 | 26-Sep-16 | 233 | --- | 40.0 | 49.0 | T+9.0 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 25-Sep-16 | 26-Sep-16 | 234 | --- | 20.0 | 65.0 | T+45.0 |
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 76.6% wins (76,633 wins ), Trump: 23.4% wins (23,367 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Clarity | 10-Oct-16 | 11-Oct-16 | 1010 | 3.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 |
Emerson | 02-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 700 | 3.6 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 |
UNLV | 27-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 700 | 3.8 | 44.0 | 41.0 | C+3.0 |
LVRJ | 27-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 44.0 | C+1.0 |
Suffolk | 27-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 44.2 | 38.2 | C+6.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 98.4% wins (98,449 wins ), Trump: 1.6% wins (1,551 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Suffolk | 03-Oct-16 | 05-Oct-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.8 | 42.0 | C+1.8 |
GQR | 29-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 46.0 | 37.0 | C+9.0 |
WBUR | 27-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 502 | 4.4 | 42.0 | 35.0 | C+7.0 |
GBA Strategies | 25-Sep-16 | 27-Sep-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 37.0 | C+6.0 |
ARG | 20-Sep-16 | 25-Sep-16 | 522 | 4.2 | 46.0 | 42.0 | C+4.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney.
14 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 89.6% wins (89,573 wins ), Trump: 10.4% wins (10,427 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Stockton | 22-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 638 | 3.9 | 46.2 | 39.8 | C+6.4 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 99.2% wins (99,233 wins ), Trump: 0.8% wins (767 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 28-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 594 | 4.1 | 46.0 | 32.5 | C+13.5 |
AbqJournal | 27-Sep-16 | 29-Sep-16 | 501 | 4.4 | 35.0 | 31.0 | C+4.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 21-Sep-16 | 23-Sep-16 | 1145 | 2.9 | 57.0 | 33.0 | C+24.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney.
15 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Clinton: 86.0% wins (85,966 wins ), Trump: 14.0% wins (14,034 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Suffolk | 10-Oct-16 | 12-Oct-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 44.8 | 43.4 | C+1.4 |
High Point U | 01-Oct-16 | 06-Oct-16 | 479 | 4.5 | 43.0 | 42.0 | C+1.0 |
SurveyUSA | 29-Sep-16 | 03-Oct-16 | 656 | 3.9 | 46.0 | 44.0 | C+2.0 |
Bloomberg | 29-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 805 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 45.0 | C+1.0 |
Quinnipiac | 27-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 507 | 4.4 | 46.0 | 43.0 | C+3.0 |
Elon | 27-Sep-16 | 30-Sep-16 | 660 | 3.8 | 44.5 | 38.8 | C+5.6 |
Gravis | 23-Sep-16 | 23-Sep-16 | 694 | 3.7 | 44.0 | 43.0 | C+1.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 3.2% wins (3,218 wins ), Trump: 96.8% wins (96,782 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SSI | 12-Sep-16 | 17-Sep-16 | 400 | 4.9 | 32.0 | 43.0 | T+11.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney.
18 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 31.7% wins (31,655 wins ), Trump: 68.3% wins (68,345 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 01-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 405 | 4.9 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
Quinnipiac | 27-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 497 | 4.4 | 42.0 | 47.0 | T+5.0 |
Gravis | 22-Sep-16 | 23-Sep-16 | 850 | 3.4 | 42.0 | 43.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.3% wins (272 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,728 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Sooner | 13-Sep-16 | 15-Sep-16 | 515 | 4.3 | 35.6 | 50.9 | T+15.3 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 99.8% wins (99,822 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (178 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 04-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 1248 | 2.8 | 47.0 | 39.0 | C+8.0 |
Hoffman Res | 29-Sep-16 | 01-Oct-16 | 605 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 33.0 | C+12.0 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,979 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (21 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Bloomberg | 07-Oct-16 | 11-Oct-16 | 806 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 39.0 | C+9.0 |
Susquehanna | 04-Oct-16 | 09-Oct-16 | 764 | 3.5 | 44.4 | 40.2 | C+4.2 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 03-Oct-16 | 05-Oct-16 | 709 | 3.7 | 49.0 | 37.0 | C+12.0 |
Monmouth | 30-Sep-16 | 03-Oct-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 50.0 | 40.0 | C+10.0 |
F&M | 28-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 813 | 4.8 | 47.0 | 38.0 | C+9.0 |
Quinnipiac | 27-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 535 | 4.2 | 45.0 | 41.0 | C+4.0 |
Gravis | 23-Sep-16 | 23-Sep-16 | 949 | 3.2 | 46.0 | 43.0 | C+3.0 |
CNN/ORC | 20-Sep-16 | 25-Sep-16 | 771 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 44.0 | C+1.0 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,957 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (43 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 52.0 | 32.0 | C+20.0 |
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 23.7% wins (23,718 wins ), Trump: 76.3% wins (76,282 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Winthrop | 18-Sep-16 | 26-Sep-16 | 475 | 4.5 | 38.0 | 42.0 | T+4.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.1% wins (57 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,943 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 32.4 | 46.7 | T+14.3 |
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 0.0% wins (22 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,978 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Middle TN State U | 28-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 472 | 5.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | T+12.0 |
Vanderbilt | 19-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 1000 | 3.4 | 33.0 | 44.0 | T+11.0 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney.
38 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 6.7% wins (6,748 wins ), Trump: 93.3% wins (93,252 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Dixie Strategies | 29-Sep-16 | 01-Oct-16 | 780 | 3.5 | 38.0 | 44.9 | T+6.9 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 23.1% wins (23,068 wins ), Trump: 76.9% wins (76,932 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 10-Oct-16 | 12-Oct-16 | 403 | 4.9 | 28.0 | 34.0 | T+6.0 |
Y2 Analytics | 10-Oct-16 | 11-Oct-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 26.0 | 26.0 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 47.5 | 25.7 | C+21.8 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney.
13 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,978 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (22 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Roanoke | 02-Oct-16 | 06-Oct-16 | 814 | 3.4 | 45.0 | 36.0 | C+9.0 |
Hampton U | 28-Sep-16 | 02-Oct-16 | 800 | 4.4 | 46.0 | 34.0 | C+12.0 |
CNU | 27-Sep-16 | 30-Sep-16 | 892 | 3.7 | 42.0 | 35.0 | C+7.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney.
12 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 99.6% wins (99,628 wins ), Trump: 0.4% wins (372 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Strategies 360 | 29-Sep-16 | 03-Oct-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 33.0 | C+17.0 |
Emerson | 25-Sep-16 | 26-Sep-16 | 700 | 3.6 | 44.2 | 38.5 | C+5.7 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.3% wins (257 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,743 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Repass Res | 09-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 386 | 4.7 | 31.0 | 49.0 | T+18.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 99.5% wins (99,549 wins ), Trump: 0.5% wins (451 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Marquette | 06-Oct-16 | 09-Oct-16 | 878 | 3.9 | 46.0 | 42.0 | C+4.0 |
Loras Col | 04-Oct-16 | 05-Oct-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 46.6 | 37.0 | C+9.6 |
Gravis | 04-Oct-16 | 04-Oct-16 | 1102 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 40.0 | C+8.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SSI | 06-Sep-16 | 11-Sep-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 19.0 | 54.0 | T+35.0 |