2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WKRG | 19-Jul-16 | 19-Jul-16 | 4100 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 57.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (19 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,981 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 519 | 4.3 | 31.5 | 52.5 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 5.6% wins (5,580 wins ), Trump: 94.4% wins (94,420 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 27-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1244 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 44.0 | T+4.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 837 | --- | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
OHPI | 25-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 728 | 3.6 | 40.0 | 39.0 | C+1.0 |
CNN/ORC | 18-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 809 | 3.5 | 38.0 | 45.0 | T+7.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.9% wins (917 wins ), Trump: 99.1% wins (99,083 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Hendrix College | 21-Jun-16 | 21-Jun-16 | 751 | 3.6 | 36.0 | 47.0 | T+11.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney.
55 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPIC | 10-Jul-16 | 19-Jul-16 | 1056 | 4.3 | 46.0 | 30.0 | C+16.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,982 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (18 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 09-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 830 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 33.0 | C+8.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 899 | 3.3 | 41.0 | 29.0 | C+12.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,981 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (19 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 1000 | 3.0 | 49.8 | 34.9 | C+14.9 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 98.5% wins (98,480 wins ), Trump: 1.5% wins (1,520 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 20-Jul-16 | 24-Jul-16 | 715 | 4.1 | 42.0 | 32.0 | C+10.0 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1317 | 2.7 | 65.7 | 20.2 | C+45.5 |
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Clinton: 99.0% wins (98,989 wins ), Trump: 1.0% wins (1,011 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 04-Sep-16 | 06-Sep-16 | 744 | 3.6 | 43.0 | 44.0 | T+1.0 |
Mason-Dixon | 22-Aug-16 | 24-Aug-16 | 625 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
FAU | 19-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 1200 | 2.7 | 40.7 | 42.9 | T+2.2 |
Cherry | 17-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 608 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 44.0 | T+3.0 |
Saint Leo | 14-Aug-16 | 18-Aug-16 | 1380 | 3.0 | 51.7 | 37.7 | C+14.0 |
Monmouth | 12-Aug-16 | 15-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 48.0 | 39.0 | C+9.0 |
Opinion Savvy | 10-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 622 | 4.0 | 45.2 | 44.2 | C+1.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 862 | 3.3 | 41.0 | 35.0 | C+6.0 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 47.3% wins (47,327 wins ), Trump: 52.7% wins (52,673 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Opinion Savvy | 17-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 730 | 3.6 | 42.7 | 43.0 | T+0.3 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 999 | 3.1 | 49.6 | 30.5 | C+19.1 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Dan Jones | 18-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 602 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Victory | 14-Jul-16 | 16-Jul-16 | 1200 | 2.8 | 50.9 | 34.3 | C+16.6 |
Basswood | 11-Jul-16 | 12-Jul-16 | 800 | 3.5 | 46.4 | 32.5 | C+13.9 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 4.8% wins (4,788 wins ), Trump: 95.2% wins (95,212 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 13-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 403 | 4.9 | 36.0 | 47.0 | T+11.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 49.0% wins (48,957 wins ), Trump: 51.0% wins (51,043 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 31-Aug-16 | 01-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 39.2 | 44.2 | T+5.0 |
PPP | 30-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 827 | --- | 45.0 | 43.0 | C+2.0 |
Quinnipiac | 09-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 846 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 39.0 | C+2.0 |
Suffolk | 08-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 35.8 | 37.0 | T+1.2 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 16.1% wins (16,123 wins ), Trump: 83.9% wins (83,877 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 03-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 567 | 4.2 | 38.6 | 44.1 | T+5.5 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 1.2% wins (1,199 wins ), Trump: 98.8% wins (98,801 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Harper | 31-Jul-16 | 01-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 36.0 | 49.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1537 | 2.5 | 32.9 | 50.7 | T+17.8 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Clinton: 97.3% wins (97,350 wins ), Trump: 2.6% wins (2,650 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.6 | 34.9 | C+8.6 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.9% wins (99,945 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (55 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 404 | --- | 52.0 | 30.0 | C+22.0 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 23.8% wins (23,847 wins ), Trump: 76.2% wins (76,153 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 399 | --- | 36.3 | 40.6 | T+4.3 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
OpinionWorks | 18-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 754 | 3.6 | 53.7 | 24.5 | C+29.2 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.9% wins (99,885 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (115 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 03-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 500 | 4.3 | 49.9 | 33.3 | C+16.6 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 99.9% wins (99,926 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (74 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 44.8 | 39.5 | C+5.4 |
Suffolk | 22-Aug-16 | 24-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.6 | 37.2 | C+6.4 |
Mitchell | 09-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 1303 | 2.7 | 43.6 | 33.8 | C+9.8 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.8% wins (99,831 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (169 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1421 | 2.6 | 45.0 | 35.2 | C+9.8 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.1% wins (126 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,874 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Magellan | 11-Aug-16 | 11-Aug-16 | 1084 | 2.9 | 39.0 | 52.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 0.4% wins (375 wins ), Trump: 99.6% wins (99,625 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
MO Scout | 01-Sep-16 | 02-Sep-16 | 1275 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | T+9.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1055 | --- | 41.0 | 47.0 | T+6.0 |
Monmouth | 19-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 401 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 44.0 | T+1.0 |
PPP | 08-Aug-16 | 09-Aug-16 | 947 | --- | 42.0 | 45.0 | T+3.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.4% wins (430 wins ), Trump: 99.6% wins (99,570 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1421 | 2.6 | 35.8 | 45.3 | T+9.5 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (37 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,963 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1317 | 2.7 | 35.3 | 47.7 | T+12.4 |
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 64.3% wins (64,279 wins ), Trump: 35.7% wins (35,721 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Suffolk | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.8 | 41.6 | C+2.2 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,981 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (19 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 41.8 | 36.7 | C+5.2 |
PPP | 30-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 585 | --- | 46.0 | 41.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 977 | --- | 46.0 | 40.0 | C+6.0 |
WMUR | 20-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 443 | 4.7 | 43.0 | 32.0 | C+11.0 |
Vox Populi | 07-Aug-16 | 08-Aug-16 | 820 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 31.0 | C+10.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney.
14 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 78.2% wins (78,153 wins ), Trump: 21.8% wins (21,847 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 46.6 | 42.9 | C+3.6 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.5% wins (99,519 wins ), Trump: 0.5% wins (481 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 19-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 1103 | --- | 40.0 | 31.0 | C+9.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 28-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 52.1 | 34.1 | C+18.0 |
Siena | 07-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 717 | 4.3 | 50.0 | 25.0 | C+25.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney.
15 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Clinton: 83.6% wins (83,583 wins ), Trump: 16.4% wins (16,417 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 27-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.3 | 44.8 | T+1.5 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1177 | --- | 45.0 | 44.0 | C+1.0 |
Monmouth | 20-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 401 | 4.9 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
CNN/ORC | 18-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 803 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 |
Gravis | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 723 | 3.6 | 38.0 | 39.0 | T+1.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 921 | 3.2 | 45.0 | 36.0 | C+9.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.3% wins (335 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,665 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1537 | 2.5 | 35.6 | 44.2 | T+8.6 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney.
18 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 81.6% wins (81,634 wins ), Trump: 18.4% wins (18,366 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1134 | --- | 46.0 | 42.0 | C+4.0 |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 42.5 | 43.4 | T+0.9 |
Monmouth | 18-Aug-16 | 21-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 39.0 | C+4.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (19 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,981 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Sooner | 20-Jul-16 | 25-Jul-16 | 298 | 4.9 | 29.0 | 53.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 76.0% wins (76,026 wins ), Trump: 24.0% wins (23,974 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Clout | 09-Jul-16 | 13-Jul-16 | 701 | 3.7 | 43.1 | 39.7 | C+3.4 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 98.6% wins (98,620 wins ), Trump: 1.4% wins (1,380 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 30-Aug-16 | 31-Aug-16 | 814 | --- | 47.0 | 42.0 | C+5.0 |
Monmouth | 26-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 48.0 | 40.0 | C+8.0 |
F&M | 25-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 496 | 5.6 | 45.0 | 40.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1194 | --- | 48.0 | 43.0 | C+5.0 |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 45.8 | 42.7 | C+3.1 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 70.3% wins (70,323 wins ), Trump: 29.7% wins (29,677 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.7 | 41.2 | C+2.5 |
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 16.3% wins (16,314 wins ), Trump: 83.7% wins (83,686 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 768 | 3.5 | 37.0 | 41.0 | T+4.0 |
PPP | 09-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 1290 | 2.7 | 39.0 | 41.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.1% wins (75 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,925 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 32.4 | 46.7 | T+14.3 |
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 2660 | 1.9 | 33.4 | 49.0 | T+15.6 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney.
38 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 0.2% wins (242 wins ), Trump: 99.8% wins (99,758 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 12-Aug-16 | 14-Aug-16 | 944 | 3.2 | 38.0 | 44.0 | T+6.0 |
Dixie Strategies | 08-Aug-16 | 09-Aug-16 | 1018 | 3.1 | 35.5 | 46.3 | T+10.8 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 19-Aug-16 | 21-Aug-16 | 1018 | 3.1 | 24.0 | 39.0 | T+15.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 02-Sep-16 | 05-Sep-16 | 600 | 3.9 | 47.5 | 25.7 | C+21.8 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney.
13 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 31-Aug-16 | 01-Sep-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.5 | 43.0 | C+0.5 |
Hampton U | 24-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 801 | --- | 43.0 | 41.0 | C+2.0 |
Quinnipiac | 09-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 808 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 34.0 | C+11.0 |
WaPo | 11-Aug-16 | 14-Aug-16 | 1002 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 34.0 | C+11.0 |
Roanoke | 07-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 803 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 32.0 | C+16.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 897 | 3.3 | 43.0 | 31.0 | C+12.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney.
12 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,981 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (19 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Elway | 09-Aug-16 | 13-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.5 | 43.0 | 24.0 | C+19.0 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.4% wins (365 wins ), Trump: 99.6% wins (99,635 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Repass Res | 09-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 386 | 4.7 | 31.0 | 49.0 | T+18.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 98.7% wins (98,712 wins ), Trump: 1.3% wins (1,288 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 27-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 404 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 38.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1054 | --- | 48.0 | 41.0 | C+7.0 |
Marquette | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 650 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 32.0 | C+5.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 24.5 | 58.5 | T+34.0 |