2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
WKRG | 19-Jul-16 | 19-Jul-16 | 4100 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 57.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 519 | 4.3 | 31.5 | 52.5 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 14.5% wins (14,526 wins ), Trump: 85.5% wins (85,474 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 27-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1244 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 44.0 | T+4.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 837 | --- | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
OHPI | 25-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 728 | 3.6 | 40.0 | 39.0 | C+1.0 |
CNN/ORC | 18-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 809 | 3.5 | 38.0 | 45.0 | T+7.0 |
OHPI | 01-Aug-16 | 01-Aug-16 | 996 | 3.1 | 45.0 | 42.0 | C+3.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 1.2% wins (1,179 wins ), Trump: 98.8% wins (98,821 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Hendrix College | 21-Jun-16 | 21-Jun-16 | 751 | 3.6 | 36.0 | 47.0 | T+11.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney.
55 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPIC | 10-Jul-16 | 19-Jul-16 | 1056 | 4.3 | 46.0 | 30.0 | C+16.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 99.9% wins (99,935 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (65 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 09-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 830 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 33.0 | C+8.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 899 | 3.3 | 41.0 | 29.0 | C+12.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 92.5% wins (92,499 wins ), Trump: 7.5% wins (7,501 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 01-Jun-16 | 05-Jun-16 | 1330 | 2.7 | 41.0 | 36.0 | C+5.0 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 98.6% wins (98,632 wins ), Trump: 1.4% wins (1,368 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 20-Jul-16 | 24-Jul-16 | 715 | 4.1 | 42.0 | 32.0 | C+10.0 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1317 | 2.7 | 65.7 | 20.2 | C+45.5 |
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
10 polls
Clinton: 99.5% wins (99,528 wins ), Trump: 0.5% wins (472 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Mason-Dixon | 22-Aug-16 | 24-Aug-16 | 625 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
FAU | 19-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 1200 | 2.7 | 40.7 | 42.9 | T+2.2 |
Cherry | 17-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 608 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 44.0 | T+3.0 |
Saint Leo | 14-Aug-16 | 18-Aug-16 | 1380 | 3.0 | 51.7 | 37.7 | C+14.0 |
Monmouth | 12-Aug-16 | 15-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 48.0 | 39.0 | C+9.0 |
Opinion Savvy | 10-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 622 | 4.0 | 45.2 | 44.2 | C+1.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 862 | 3.3 | 41.0 | 35.0 | C+6.0 |
PPP | 05-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 938 | 3.2 | 46.0 | 43.0 | C+3.0 |
Quinnipiac | 30-Jul-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 1056 | 3.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 |
Suffolk | 01-Aug-16 | 03-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.2 | 38.8 | C+4.4 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 50.1% wins (50,106 wins ), Trump: 49.9% wins (49,894 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Opinion Savvy | 17-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 730 | 3.6 | 42.7 | 43.0 | T+0.3 |
JMC | 06-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 615 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 37.0 | C+7.0 |
Gravis | 04-Aug-16 | 08-Aug-16 | 1604 | 3.0 | 39.0 | 43.0 | T+4.0 |
AJC | 01-Aug-16 | 04-Aug-16 | 766 | 4.0 | 40.7 | 37.6 | C+3.1 |
Landmark | 01-Aug-16 | 01-Aug-16 | 787 | 3.5 | 45.7 | 45.9 | T+0.2 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 999 | 3.1 | 49.6 | 30.5 | C+19.1 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Dan Jones | 05-Jul-16 | 16-Jul-16 | 601 | 4.0 | 23.0 | 44.0 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Victory | 14-Jul-16 | 16-Jul-16 | 1200 | 2.8 | 50.9 | 34.3 | C+16.6 |
Basswood | 11-Jul-16 | 12-Jul-16 | 800 | 3.5 | 46.4 | 32.5 | C+13.9 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 4.6% wins (4,571 wins ), Trump: 95.4% wins (95,429 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 13-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 403 | 4.9 | 36.0 | 47.0 | T+11.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 56.4% wins (56,414 wins ), Trump: 43.6% wins (43,586 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 09-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 846 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 39.0 | C+2.0 |
Suffolk | 08-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 35.8 | 37.0 | T+1.2 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 03-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 899 | 3.3 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 15.6% wins (15,612 wins ), Trump: 84.4% wins (84,388 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
SurveyUSA | 03-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 567 | 4.2 | 38.6 | 44.1 | T+5.5 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 1.3% wins (1,335 wins ), Trump: 98.7% wins (98,665 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Harper | 31-Jul-16 | 01-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 36.0 | 49.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1537 | 2.5 | 32.9 | 50.7 | T+17.8 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 04-Aug-16 | 08-Aug-16 | 2046 | 2.2 | 43.0 | 33.0 | C+10.0 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 97.0% wins (97,011 wins ), Trump: 3.0% wins (2,989 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPH/MST | 15-Jun-16 | 21-Jun-16 | 247 | 4.5 | 48.0 | 33.0 | C+15.0 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Clinton: 46.0% wins (45,993 wins ), Trump: 54.0% wins (54,007 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPH/MST | 15-Jun-16 | 21-Jun-16 | 222 | 4.5 | 36.0 | 37.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1537 | 2.5 | 51.1 | 32.8 | C+18.3 |
PPP | 15-Apr-16 | 17-Apr-16 | 879 | 3.3 | 61.0 | 28.0 | C+33.0 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.8% wins (99,805 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (195 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Hickman Analytics | 26-Jun-16 | 29-Jun-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 49.0 | 31.0 | C+18.0 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney.
16 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 44.8 | 39.5 | C+5.4 |
Suffolk | 22-Aug-16 | 24-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.6 | 37.2 | C+6.4 |
Mitchell | 09-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 1303 | 2.7 | 43.6 | 33.8 | C+9.8 |
EPIC-MRA | 30-Jul-16 | 04-Aug-16 | 600 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 32.0 | C+11.0 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.8% wins (99,849 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (151 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1421 | 2.6 | 45.0 | 35.2 | C+9.8 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (9 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,991 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Magellan | 11-Aug-16 | 11-Aug-16 | 1084 | 2.9 | 39.0 | 52.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 6.1% wins (6,077 wins ), Trump: 93.9% wins (93,923 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1055 | --- | 41.0 | 47.0 | T+6.0 |
Monmouth | 19-Aug-16 | 22-Aug-16 | 401 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 44.0 | T+1.0 |
PPP | 08-Aug-16 | 09-Aug-16 | 947 | --- | 42.0 | 45.0 | T+3.0 |
MO Scout | 05-Aug-16 | 06-Aug-16 | 1280 | 3.0 | 42.0 | 44.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.3% wins (261 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,739 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1421 | 2.6 | 35.8 | 45.3 | T+9.5 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (22 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,978 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1317 | 2.7 | 35.3 | 47.7 | T+12.4 |
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 84.1% wins (84,067 wins ), Trump: 15.9% wins (15,933 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Suffolk | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.8 | 41.6 | C+2.2 |
Rasmussen | 01-Aug-16 | 02-Aug-16 | 1000 | 3.0 | 44.0 | 40.0 | C+4.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,956 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (44 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 977 | --- | 46.0 | 40.0 | C+6.0 |
Vox Populi | 07-Aug-16 | 08-Aug-16 | 820 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 31.0 | C+10.0 |
PPP | 05-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 802 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 37.0 | C+13.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney.
14 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 99.9% wins (99,934 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (66 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 22-Jun-16 | 26-Jun-16 | 349 | --- | 44.0 | 32.0 | C+12.0 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 22-Jun-16 | 26-Jun-16 | 363 | --- | 52.0 | 31.0 | C+21.0 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.6% wins (99,553 wins ), Trump: 0.4% wins (447 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 19-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 1103 | --- | 40.0 | 31.0 | C+9.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney.
29 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 28-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 52.1 | 34.1 | C+18.0 |
Siena | 07-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 717 | 4.3 | 50.0 | 25.0 | C+25.0 |
Gravis | 04-Aug-16 | 08-Aug-16 | 1717 | 2.4 | 48.0 | 34.0 | C+14.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney.
15 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Clinton: 84.4% wins (84,425 wins ), Trump: 15.6% wins (15,575 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 27-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.3 | 44.8 | T+1.5 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1177 | --- | 45.0 | 44.0 | C+1.0 |
Monmouth | 20-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 401 | 4.9 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
CNN/ORC | 18-Aug-16 | 23-Aug-16 | 803 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 |
Gravis | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 723 | 3.6 | 38.0 | 39.0 | T+1.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 921 | 3.2 | 45.0 | 36.0 | C+9.0 |
PPP | 05-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 830 | 3.4 | 43.0 | 41.0 | C+2.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.5% wins (481 wins ), Trump: 99.5% wins (99,519 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1537 | 2.5 | 35.6 | 44.2 | T+8.6 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney.
18 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 90.2% wins (90,165 wins ), Trump: 9.8% wins (9,835 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1134 | --- | 46.0 | 42.0 | C+4.0 |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 42.5 | 43.4 | T+0.9 |
Monmouth | 18-Aug-16 | 21-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 39.0 | C+4.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 03-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 889 | 3.3 | 39.0 | 35.0 | C+4.0 |
Quinnipiac | 30-Jul-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 812 | 3.4 | 44.0 | 42.0 | C+2.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Sooner | 20-Jul-16 | 25-Jul-16 | 298 | 4.9 | 29.0 | 53.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 75.9% wins (75,931 wins ), Trump: 24.1% wins (24,069 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Clout | 09-Jul-16 | 13-Jul-16 | 701 | 3.7 | 43.1 | 39.7 | C+3.4 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney.
20 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 26-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 402 | 4.9 | 48.0 | 40.0 | C+8.0 |
F&M | 25-Aug-16 | 29-Aug-16 | 496 | 5.6 | 45.0 | 40.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1194 | --- | 48.0 | 43.0 | C+5.0 |
Emerson | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 800 | 3.4 | 45.8 | 42.7 | C+3.1 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 03-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 834 | 3.4 | 45.0 | 36.0 | C+9.0 |
Quinnipiac | 30-Jul-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 815 | 3.4 | 48.0 | 39.0 | C+9.0 |
Susquehanna | 31-Jul-16 | 04-Aug-16 | 772 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 36.9 | C+9.1 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 99.8% wins (99,831 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (169 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 1067 | 3.0 | 47.3 | 35.7 | C+11.6 |
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney.
9 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 15.9% wins (15,855 wins ), Trump: 84.1% wins (84,145 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 15-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 768 | 3.5 | 37.0 | 41.0 | T+4.0 |
PPP | 09-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 1290 | 2.7 | 39.0 | 41.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.1% wins (84 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,916 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 32.4 | 46.7 | T+14.3 |
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 2660 | 1.9 | 33.4 | 49.0 | T+15.6 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney.
38 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Clinton: 0.2% wins (240 wins ), Trump: 99.8% wins (99,760 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 12-Aug-16 | 14-Aug-16 | 944 | 3.2 | 38.0 | 44.0 | T+6.0 |
Dixie Strategies | 08-Aug-16 | 09-Aug-16 | 1018 | 3.1 | 35.5 | 46.3 | T+10.8 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 19-Aug-16 | 21-Aug-16 | 1018 | 3.1 | 24.0 | 39.0 | T+15.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
VPR | 11-Jul-16 | 23-Jul-16 | 637 | 3.9 | 39.0 | 17.0 | C+22.0 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney.
13 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Hampton U | 24-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 801 | --- | 43.0 | 41.0 | C+2.0 |
Quinnipiac | 09-Aug-16 | 16-Aug-16 | 808 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 34.0 | C+11.0 |
WaPo | 11-Aug-16 | 14-Aug-16 | 1002 | 4.0 | 45.0 | 34.0 | C+11.0 |
Roanoke | 07-Aug-16 | 17-Aug-16 | 803 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 32.0 | C+16.0 |
NBC/WSJ/Marist | 04-Aug-16 | 10-Aug-16 | 897 | 3.3 | 43.0 | 31.0 | C+12.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney.
12 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Elway | 09-Aug-16 | 13-Aug-16 | 500 | 4.5 | 43.0 | 24.0 | C+19.0 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.2% wins (204 wins ), Trump: 99.8% wins (99,796 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Repass Res | 09-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 386 | 4.7 | 31.0 | 49.0 | T+18.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney.
10 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Clinton: 100.0% wins (99,956 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (44 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Monmouth | 27-Aug-16 | 30-Aug-16 | 404 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 38.0 | C+5.0 |
PPP | 26-Aug-16 | 27-Aug-16 | 1054 | --- | 48.0 | 41.0 | C+7.0 |
Marquette | 25-Aug-16 | 28-Aug-16 | 650 | 5.0 | 37.0 | 32.0 | C+5.0 |
Marquette | 04-Aug-16 | 07-Aug-16 | 620 | 5.0 | 51.5 | 36.6 | C+14.8 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Clinton: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Clinton | Trump | Diff |
Morning Consult | 01-Apr-16 | 30-Jun-16 | 831 | 3.4 | 24.5 | 58.5 | T+34.0 |