2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Auburn-M | 30-Sep-20 | 03-Oct-20 | 1072 | 4.0 | 37.2 | 56.8 | T+19.6 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 37.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 5.0% wins (4,999 wins ), Trump: 95.0% wins (95,001 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 19-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Siena | 07-Oct-20 | 09-Oct-20 | 423 | 5.7 | 39.0 | 45.0 | T+6.0 |
| Patinkin | 30-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 46.0 | 49.0 | T+3.0 |
| ASR | 25-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 676 | --- | 46.0 | 50.0 | T+4.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
27 polls
Biden: 99.4% wins (99,390 wins ), Trump: 0.6% wins (610 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Susquehanna | 19-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 46.2 | 46.2 | 0.0 |
| Rasmussen | 18-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Ipsos | 14-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 658 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Change Res | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 232 | --- | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Data Orbital | 16-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 550 | 4.2 | 47.1 | 41.9 | B+5.2 |
| RMG Res | 14-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 47.0 | 46.0 | B+1.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1066 | 3.0 | 47.0 | 48.0 | T+1.0 |
| YouGov | 13-Oct-20 | 16-Oct-20 | 1087 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| Monmouth | 09-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 502 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Ipsos | 07-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 667 | 4.3 | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| Trafalgar | 06-Oct-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 1087 | 2.9 | 43.8 | 47.8 | T+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 1144 | 2.9 | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| RWS | 04-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 727 | --- | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
| Basswood Res | 03-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 47.8 | 47.9 | T+0.1 |
| Data Orbital | 03-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 550 | 4.5 | 47.7 | 42.2 | B+5.5 |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 633 | 3.4 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Change Res | 02-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 296 | --- | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Latino Decisions | 28-Sep-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 45.0 | B+3.0 |
| Siena | 01-Oct-20 | 03-Oct-20 | 655 | 4.2 | 49.0 | 41.0 | B+8.0 |
| Highground | 28-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 400 | --- | 45.8 | 44.8 | B+1.0 |
| Suffolk | 26-Sep-20 | 30-Sep-20 | 500 | --- | 50.2 | 46.2 | B+4.0 |
| Targoz | 23-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 1045 | 3.0 | 44.7 | 45.7 | T+1.1 |
| Strategies 360 | 24-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| Susquehanna | 25-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 808 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 836 | --- | 47.0 | 44.0 | B+3.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Hendrix Col | 11-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 647 | 4.9 | 33.5 | 58.0 | T+24.5 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 32.00% Trump.
55 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPIC | 09-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 1162 | 4.3 | 58.0 | 32.0 | B+26.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 26-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 558 | 5.3 | 59.0 | 31.6 | B+27.4 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 43.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 788 | 3.5 | 55.0 | 39.0 | B+16.0 |
| RBI | 12-Oct-20 | 16-Oct-20 | 502 | 4.4 | 55.0 | 38.0 | B+17.0 |
| Civiqs | 11-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 1013 | 3.6 | 54.0 | 42.0 | B+12.0 |
| RMG Res | 09-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 51.0 | 43.0 | B+8.0 |
| Keating | 08-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 519 | 4.3 | 54.0 | 39.0 | B+15.0 |
| YouGov | 05-Oct-20 | 09-Oct-20 | 800 | 4.7 | 47.0 | 38.0 | B+9.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 837 | 3.4 | 54.0 | 40.0 | B+14.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 01-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 1021 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 40.0 | B+10.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SurveyUSA | 19-May-20 | 24-May-20 | 808 | 4.5 | 52.3 | 31.9 | B+20.4 |
| Quinnipiac | 30-Apr-20 | 04-May-20 | 915 | 3.2 | 56.0 | 33.0 | B+23.0 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 42.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| U DE | 21-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 847 | 4.0 | 54.0 | 33.0 | B+21.0 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 90.00% Clinton, 4.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
31 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| St Pete | 21-Oct-20 | 22-Oct-20 | 2527 | 2.0 | 48.9 | 47.4 | B+1.5 |
| Rasmussen | 20-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 49.0 | T+3.0 |
| Civiqs | 17-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 863 | 3.5 | 51.0 | 47.0 | B+4.0 |
| SRSS | 15-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 847 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Change Res | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 547 | --- | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Ipsos | 14-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 662 | 4.3 | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 4685 | 1.4 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| UNF | 12-Oct-20 | 16-Oct-20 | 863 | 3.3 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Harris | 12-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 965 | --- | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
| Trafalgar | 11-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 1051 | 2.9 | 46.1 | 48.4 | T+2.3 |
| St Pete | 11-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 2215 | 2.1 | 49.2 | 47.2 | B+2.0 |
| Emerson | 10-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 690 | 3.7 | 50.0 | 47.2 | B+2.8 |
| Ipsos | 07-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 653 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Mason-Dixon | 08-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 625 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 45.0 | B+3.0 |
| Clearview | 07-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.2 | 47.0 | 40.0 | B+7.0 |
| FAU | 09-Oct-20 | 10-Oct-20 | 644 | 3.8 | 50.3 | 46.0 | B+4.3 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 4785 | 1.4 | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Insider Advantage | 06-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
| RMG | 04-Oct-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 800 | --- | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| RWS | 04-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 998 | --- | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 678 | 4.3 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 01-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 1256 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 40.0 | B+11.0 |
| Change Res | 02-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 560 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| UNF | 01-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 3142 | --- | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Suffolk | 01-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 500 | --- | 45.0 | 45.2 | T+0.2 |
| Siena | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 710 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 42.0 | B+7.0 |
| St Leo | 27-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.5 | 49.2 | 43.4 | B+5.8 |
| St Leo | 27-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 489 | --- | 44.9 | 43.9 | B+1.0 |
| Cherry | 23-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 604 | 4.0 | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| Susquehanna | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 46.0 | 43.0 | B+3.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 1019 | --- | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
18 polls
Biden: 83.4% wins (83,387 wins ), Trump: 16.6% wins (16,613 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Landmark | 21-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 45.0 | 49.0 | T+4.0 |
| Emerson | 17-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 506 | 4.3 | 46.1 | 47.5 | T+1.4 |
| Siena | 13-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 759 | 4.1 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1672 | 2.4 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
| Opinion Res | 12-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| GHY | 11-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 600 | --- | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 08-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 677 | 5.7 | 48.0 | 46.2 | B+1.8 |
| Quinnipiac | 08-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 1040 | 3.0 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Data for Progress | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 782 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 |
| PPP | 08-Oct-20 | 09-Oct-20 | 528 | 4.3 | 47.0 | 46.0 | B+1.0 |
| Landmark | 07-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 46.8 | 48.6 | T+1.8 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 1837 | 2.3 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| U GA | 27-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 1106 | 4.0 | 46.4 | 47.5 | T+1.1 |
| Landmark | 30-Sep-20 | 30-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
| Civiqs | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 969 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 1125 | 2.9 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 744 | --- | 45.0 | 44.0 | B+1.0 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| MRG | 02-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 988 | 3.1 | 61.0 | 28.0 | B+33.0 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SPRY | 29-Aug-20 | 01-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 34.5 | 59.7 | T+25.2 |
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 56.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Victory Res | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 1208 | 2.8 | 52.9 | 39.8 | B+13.1 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 8.9% wins (8,852 wins ), Trump: 91.1% wins (91,148 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SurveyUSA | 08-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 685 | 5.2 | 41.8 | 49.2 | T+7.4 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 42.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
14 polls
Biden: 68.1% wins (68,123 wins ), Trump: 31.9% wins (31,877 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Emerson | 19-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 435 | 4.7 | 48.5 | 48.5 | 0.0 |
| Siena | 18-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 753 | 3.9 | 46.0 | 43.0 | B+3.0 |
| Insider Advantage | 18-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 45.1 | 44.6 | B+0.5 |
| RMG Res | 15-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Monmouth | 15-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 501 | 4.4 | 47.0 | 48.0 | T+1.0 |
| David Binder | 10-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 200 | --- | 44.0 | 50.0 | T+6.0 |
| Data for Progress | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 819 | 3.4 | 47.0 | 48.0 | T+1.0 |
| YouGov | 06-Oct-20 | 09-Oct-20 | 1035 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 45.0 | B+1.0 |
| Opinion Res | 05-Oct-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
| Civiqs | 03-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 756 | 3.9 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 01-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 1205 | 2.8 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 743 | 3.6 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| RABA Res | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 780 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 18-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 755 | 4.0 | 41.0 | 48.0 | T+7.0 |
| PPP | 18-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 897 | 3.3 | 42.0 | 54.0 | T+12.0 |
| co/efficient | 18-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 2453 | 3.7 | 39.0 | 56.0 | T+17.0 |
| Civiqs | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 677 | 4.5 | 42.0 | 52.0 | T+10.0 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney,
2016 Result: 33.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (2 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,998 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Mason-Dixon | 12-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 625 | 4.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | T+17.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Trafalgar | 04-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 1048 | 3.0 | 35.9 | 54.1 | T+18.2 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
3 polls
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,940 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (60 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Pan Atlantic | 02-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.5 | 50.3 | 39.7 | B+10.6 |
| Critial Insights | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 466 | --- | 51.3 | 39.7 | B+11.6 |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 718 | 3.7 | 55.0 | 41.0 | B+14.0 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Pan Atlantic | 02-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 300 | --- | 54.0 | 36.5 | B+17.5 |
| Critial Insights | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 232 | --- | 61.9 | 30.3 | B+31.6 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
2 polls
Biden: 39.8% wins (39,777 wins ), Trump: 60.2% wins (60,223 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Pan Atlantic | 02-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 300 | --- | 46.5 | 43.0 | B+3.5 |
| Critial Insights | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 234 | --- | 41.2 | 48.9 | T+7.7 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 34.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Goucher | 30-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 776 | 3.5 | 61.0 | 30.0 | B+31.0 |
| Change Res | 29-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 650 | 4.6 | 61.0 | 32.0 | B+29.0 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 33.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Emerson | 25-Aug-20 | 27-Aug-20 | 763 | --- | 67.8 | 29.8 | B+38.1 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
29 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 21-Oct-20 | 22-Oct-20 | 807 | --- | 50.0 | 43.0 | B+7.0 |
| Fox News | 17-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1032 | 3.0 | 52.0 | 40.0 | B+12.0 |
| Mitchell | 18-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 900 | 3.3 | 51.0 | 41.0 | B+10.0 |
| Change Res | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 718 | --- | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Ipsos | 14-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 686 | 4.3 | 52.0 | 44.0 | B+8.0 |
| EPIC-MRA | 15-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 39.0 | B+9.0 |
| Trafalgar | 15-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 1034 | 3.0 | 44.9 | 46.7 | T+1.8 |
| Data for Progress | 15-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 830 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1717 | 2.4 | 52.0 | 44.0 | B+8.0 |
| Zia | 11-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 2851 | 2.5 | 45.0 | 49.0 | T+4.0 |
| Harris | 12-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 1289 | --- | 54.0 | 43.0 | B+11.0 |
| Trafalgar | 11-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 1025 | --- | 45.9 | 46.5 | T+0.6 |
| RMG Res | 08-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 42.0 | B+6.0 |
| Ipsos | 07-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 620 | 4.5 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| EPIC-MRA | 08-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 39.0 | B+9.0 |
| Civiqs | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 543 | 4.6 | 52.0 | 43.0 | B+9.0 |
| Siena | 06-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 614 | 4.6 | 48.0 | 40.0 | B+8.0 |
| YouGov | 06-Oct-20 | 09-Oct-20 | 1190 | 3.2 | 50.0 | 42.0 | B+8.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 1710 | 2.4 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Emerson | 06-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 716 | 3.6 | 52.4 | 42.5 | B+9.9 |
| RWS | 04-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 700 | --- | 50.0 | 42.0 | B+8.0 |
| Opinion Res | 03-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 51.0 | 42.0 | B+9.0 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 30-Sep-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 1134 | 3.2 | 50.2 | 43.2 | B+7.0 |
| Change Res | 02-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 676 | --- | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 704 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 43.0 | B+8.0 |
| Glengariff | 30-Sep-20 | 03-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 39.0 | B+9.0 |
| PPP | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 746 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Trafalgar | 26-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 1042 | 3.0 | 48.7 | 47.1 | B+1.6 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 760 | --- | 51.0 | 42.0 | B+9.0 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 17-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 840 | 3.6 | 53.0 | 43.0 | B+10.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 16-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 625 | 5.0 | 48.0 | 42.0 | B+6.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 864 | 3.3 | 51.0 | 42.0 | B+9.0 |
| Change Res | 12-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 1021 | 3.1 | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| David Binder | 10-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 200 | --- | 52.0 | 41.0 | B+11.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 898 | 2.3 | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 01-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 929 | --- | 47.0 | 40.0 | B+7.0 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 40.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 12.5% wins (12,472 wins ), Trump: 87.5% wins (87,528 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Remington | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 980 | 3.0 | 46.0 | 51.0 | T+5.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 1.3% wins (1,324 wins ), Trump: 98.7% wins (98,676 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Remington | 14-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 1010 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 51.0 | T+6.0 |
| YouGov | 24-Sep-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 931 | 3.9 | 43.2 | 51.8 | T+8.6 |
| GHY | 28-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.1 | 48.0 | 50.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Biden: 0.1% wins (121 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,879 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 18-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 758 | 4.4 | 43.0 | 49.0 | T+6.0 |
| Strategies 360 | 14-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 43.0 | 51.0 | T+8.0 |
| RMG Res | 15-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 50.0 | T+4.0 |
| PPP | 09-Oct-20 | 10-Oct-20 | 798 | --- | 46.0 | 52.0 | T+6.0 |
| Emerson | 05-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 43.0 | 56.4 | T+13.4 |
| Data for Progress | 30-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 737 | --- | 43.0 | 49.0 | T+6.0 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 39.7% wins (39,729 wins ), Trump: 60.3% wins (60,271 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Stragegies 360 | 16-Jul-20 | 22-Jul-20 | 400 | --- | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
2 polls
Biden: 97.2% wins (97,151 wins ), Trump: 2.8% wins (2,849 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| FM3 Res | 01-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 53.0 | 42.0 | B+11.0 |
| Siena | 25-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 520 | 5.3 | 48.0 | 41.0 | B+7.0 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 20.00% Clinton, 74.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,942 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (58 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 17-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 712 | 5.3 | 52.0 | 43.0 | B+9.0 |
| WPA Intel | 07-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 512 | 4.4 | 44.0 | 42.0 | B+2.0 |
| YouGov | 06-Oct-20 | 09-Oct-20 | 1036 | 4.1 | 52.0 | 46.0 | B+6.0 |
| Siena | 02-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 660 | 4.3 | 48.0 | 42.0 | B+6.0 |
| St Anselm | 01-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 1147 | 2.9 | 53.1 | 41.7 | B+11.4 |
| Rasmussen | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 750 | --- | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| UNH | 09-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 899 | 3.3 | 55.0 | 43.0 | B+12.0 |
| Suffolk | 08-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 500 | --- | 51.0 | 40.8 | B+10.2 |
| Emerson | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 700 | 3.6 | 52.3 | 45.3 | B+7.0 |
| ARG | 25-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 53.0 | 44.0 | B+9.0 |
| Pulse | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 850 | 4.0 | 56.0 | 42.0 | B+14.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
14 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Stockton | 07-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 721 | --- | 56.3 | 35.8 | B+20.5 |
| DKC Analytics | 05-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 500 | --- | 56.0 | 34.0 | B+22.0 |
| FDU | 30-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 582 | 4.6 | 58.0 | 33.0 | B+25.0 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 40.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| GBAO | 14-Oct-20 | 17-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 54.0 | 41.0 | B+13.0 |
| PPP | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 886 | 3.3 | 53.0 | 39.0 | B+14.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 59.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 27-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 504 | 4.4 | 61.0 | 29.0 | B+32.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 50.00% Trump.
15 Electoral votes.
24 polls
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,935 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (65 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Rasmussen | 20-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 49.0 | T+1.0 |
| Meredith | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 732 | 3.5 | 48.8 | 44.6 | B+4.2 |
| Change Res | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 521 | --- | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Ipsos | 14-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 660 | 4.3 | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| Data for Progress | 15-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 781 | 3.2 | 48.0 | 44.0 | B+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1904 | 2.2 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| WaPo-ABC | 12-Oct-20 | 17-Oct-20 | 646 | 4.5 | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
| Emerson | 13-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 721 | 3.6 | 48.9 | 48.9 | 0.0 |
| Civiqs | 11-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 1211 | 3.3 | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Siena | 09-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 627 | 4.5 | 46.0 | 42.0 | B+4.0 |
| Ipsos | 07-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 660 | 4.3 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 669 | 4.8 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Monmouth | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Susquehanna | 07-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 1993 | 2.2 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| RWS | 04-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 438 | --- | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| PPP | 04-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 911 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Change Res | 02-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 396 | --- | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| ECU | 02-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 1232 | 3.2 | 50.2 | 46.2 | B+4.0 |
| Data for Progress | 30-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 1285 | --- | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 693 | 4.2 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 1035 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.7% wins (653 wins ), Trump: 99.3% wins (99,347 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| DFM Res | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 460 | 4.6 | 37.0 | 51.0 | T+14.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney,
2016 Result: 44.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
18 Electoral votes.
12 polls
Biden: 7.8% wins (7,752 wins ), Trump: 92.2% wins (92,248 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Fox News | 17-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1018 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 48.0 | T+3.0 |
| Rasmussen | 18-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 2271 | 2.1 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 08-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 1160 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Civiqs | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 586 | 4.2 | 47.0 | 50.0 | T+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 2883 | 2.1 | 46.0 | 49.0 | T+3.0 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 30-Sep-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 1009 | 3.1 | 45.4 | 47.0 | T+1.6 |
| Siena | 02-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 661 | 4.3 | 45.0 | 44.0 | B+1.0 |
| Trafalgar | 01-Oct-20 | 03-Oct-20 | 1035 | 3.0 | 43.9 | 47.6 | T+3.7 |
| YouGov | 30-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 1114 | 3.7 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| On Message | 28-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 47.0 | 47.5 | T+0.5 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney,
2016 Result: 29.00% Clinton, 65.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Sooner | 15-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 5466 | 1.3 | 36.5 | 58.5 | T+21.9 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 944 | 3.5 | 56.0 | 39.0 | B+17.0 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
32 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Gravis | 23-Oct-20 | 23-Oct-20 | 602 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| PPP | 21-Oct-20 | 22-Oct-20 | 890 | --- | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Civiqs | 17-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 1577 | --- | 52.0 | 46.0 | B+6.0 |
| Fox News | 17-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1045 | 3.0 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Rasmussen | 18-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| SRSS | 15-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 843 | 4.0 | 53.0 | 43.0 | B+10.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 1241 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 43.0 | B+8.0 |
| Change Res | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 574 | --- | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| Suffolk | 15-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 500 | --- | 48.6 | 42.4 | B+6.2 |
| Muhlenberg | 13-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 416 | 5.5 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Ipsos | 13-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 653 | 4.4 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 2563 | 1.9 | 52.0 | 43.0 | B+9.0 |
| Trafalgar | 13-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 1041 | 3.0 | 47.5 | 46.4 | B+1.1 |
| Harris | 12-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 992 | --- | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Insider Advantage | 12-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 45.8 | 42.6 | B+3.2 |
| Trafalgar | 10-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 1034 | 3.0 | 47.7 | 45.1 | B+2.6 |
| RMG Res | 07-Oct-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 800 | --- | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
| Civiqs | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.2 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| Ipsos | 06-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 622 | 4.5 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Whitman | 05-Oct-20 | 09-Oct-20 | 517 | 4.3 | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| RWS | 04-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 927 | --- | 49.0 | 42.0 | B+7.0 |
| Emerson | 04-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 688 | 3.7 | 50.2 | 45.4 | B+4.8 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 30-Sep-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 1140 | 3.1 | 49.6 | 44.5 | B+5.1 |
| Quinnipiac | 01-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 1211 | 2.8 | 54.0 | 41.0 | B+13.0 |
| Change Res | 02-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 468 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 605 | --- | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Monmouth | 30-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 54.0 | 43.0 | B+11.0 |
| YouGov | 30-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 1187 | 3.1 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Siena | 30-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 706 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 42.0 | B+7.0 |
| Siena | 25-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 711 | 4.3 | 49.0 | 40.0 | B+9.0 |
| TIPP | 24-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 744 | 3.6 | 49.7 | 44.6 | B+5.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 972 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 55.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 926 | 3.2 | 45.0 | 51.0 | T+6.0 |
| Siena | 09-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 605 | 4.5 | 41.0 | 49.0 | T+8.0 |
| Data for Progress | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 801 | 3.5 | 43.0 | 52.0 | T+9.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 903 | 3.3 | 42.0 | 54.0 | T+12.0 |
| GBAO | 24-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 44.0 | 49.0 | T+5.0 |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 824 | 3.4 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 1123 | 2.9 | 47.0 | 48.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 32.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.1% wins (60 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,940 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SRSS | 05-May-20 | 22-May-20 | 1000 | 3.8 | 42.0 | 51.0 | T+9.0 |
| E_TN_U | 22-Apr-20 | 01-May-20 | 536 | --- | 36.0 | 53.0 | T+17.0 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 43.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
38 Electoral votes.
12 polls
Biden: 21.7% wins (21,730 wins ), Trump: 78.3% wins (78,270 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Quinnipiac | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 1145 | 2.9 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Data for Progress | 15-Oct-20 | 18-Oct-20 | 933 | 3.2 | 47.0 | 46.0 | B+1.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 3347 | 1.7 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| PPP | 07-Oct-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 612 | --- | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 3455 | 1.7 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| Pulse | 05-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.0 | 41.0 | 51.0 | T+10.0 |
| Civiqs | 03-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 895 | 3.4 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
| Data for Progress | 30-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 1949 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
| EMC Res | 27-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 648 | --- | 49.0 | 49.0 | 0.0 |
| YouGov | 25-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 908 | 4.2 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| PPP | 25-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 612 | 3.6 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (1 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,999 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| RMG Res | 12-Oct-20 | 17-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 38.0 | 50.0 | T+12.0 |
| Y2Analytics | 26-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 1214 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 50.0 | T+10.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney,
2016 Result: 57.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Braun Res | 03-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 586 | 4.0 | 56.0 | 32.0 | B+24.0 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 44.00% Trump.
13 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| WaPo/GMU | 13-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 908 | 4.0 | 52.0 | 41.0 | B+11.0 |
| Civiqs | 11-Oct-20 | 14-Oct-20 | 1231 | 3.1 | 55.0 | 42.0 | B+13.0 |
| Roanoke | 30-Sep-20 | 12-Oct-20 | 602 | 5.4 | 53.0 | 38.0 | B+15.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
12 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 14-Oct-20 | 15-Oct-20 | 610 | 4.0 | 60.0 | 37.0 | B+23.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 08-Oct-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 591 | 5.2 | 55.0 | 34.0 | B+21.0 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 26.00% Clinton, 69.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Triton | 19-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 544 | 4.2 | 37.9 | 58.0 | T+20.1 |
| Res America | 01-Oct-20 | 06-Oct-20 | 450 | --- | 39.0 | 53.0 | T+14.0 |
| Triton | 29-Sep-20 | 30-Sep-20 | 525 | 4.3 | 38.0 | 56.0 | T+18.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
23 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Fox News | 17-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1037 | 3.0 | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| Susquehanna | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 45.2 | 44.6 | B+0.6 |
| Change Res | 16-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 447 | --- | 52.0 | 44.0 | B+8.0 |
| RMG Res | 14-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Latino Decisions | 14-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 400 | 5.0 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Ipsos | 13-Oct-20 | 19-Oct-20 | 663 | 4.3 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 1038 | 3.0 | 54.0 | 42.0 | B+12.0 |
| Trafalgar | 14-Oct-20 | 16-Oct-20 | 1051 | 2.9 | 47.6 | 46.3 | B+1.3 |
| YouGov | 13-Oct-20 | 16-Oct-20 | 1112 | 3.5 | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Trafalgar | 11-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 1043 | 3.0 | 47.3 | 45.4 | B+1.9 |
| David Binder | 10-Oct-20 | 13-Oct-20 | 200 | --- | 53.0 | 43.0 | B+10.0 |
| Civiqs | 08-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 560 | 4.4 | 53.0 | 45.0 | B+8.0 |
| Siena | 06-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 789 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 41.0 | B+10.0 |
| Ipsos | 06-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 577 | 4.7 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| Morning Consult | 02-Oct-20 | 11-Oct-20 | 1067 | 3.0 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| RWS | 04-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 688 | --- | 51.0 | 41.0 | B+10.0 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 30-Sep-20 | 08-Oct-20 | 883 | 3.4 | 49.2 | 42.5 | B+6.7 |
| Change Res | 02-Oct-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 442 | --- | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 601 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Marquette | 30-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 700 | --- | 46.9 | 42.3 | B+4.6 |
| Trafalgar | 25-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 1084 | 2.9 | 47.2 | 44.3 | B+2.9 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 648 | --- | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
| Susquehanna | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 40.0 | 43.0 | T+3.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney,
2016 Result: 22.00% Clinton, 67.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.