2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.4% wins (407 wins ), Trump: 99.6% wins (99,593 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
FMZ Res | 14-May-20 | 18-May-20 | 601 | 4.0 | 39.0 | 53.0 | T+14.0 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 37.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 23.8% wins (23,799 wins ), Trump: 76.2% wins (76,201 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Zogby | 22-Jul-19 | 09-Aug-19 | 321 | --- | 40.0 | 45.0 | T+5.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Biden: 94.6% wins (94,568 wins ), Trump: 5.4% wins (5,432 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Data Orbital | 27-Jun-20 | 29-Jun-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 47.1 | 45.4 | B+1.7 |
Change Res | 26-Jun-20 | 28-Jun-20 | 311 | --- | 45.0 | 44.0 | B+1.0 |
Gravis | 27-Jun-20 | 27-Jun-20 | 527 | 4.3 | 45.0 | 49.0 | T+4.0 |
RWS | 14-Jun-20 | 17-Jun-20 | 865 | --- | 43.0 | 39.0 | B+4.0 |
Civiqs | 13-Jun-20 | 15-Jun-20 | 1368 | 2.9 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
Change Res | 12-Jun-20 | 14-Jun-20 | 201 | --- | 50.0 | 43.0 | B+7.0 |
Siena | 08-Jun-20 | 16-Jun-20 | 650 | 4.3 | 48.0 | 41.0 | B+7.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 32.8% wins (32,799 wins ), Trump: 67.2% wins (67,201 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Hendrix Col | 09-Jun-20 | 10-Jun-20 | 869 | 3.3 | 45.0 | 47.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 32.00% Trump.
55 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPIC | 17-May-20 | 26-May-20 | 1048 | 3.5 | 57.0 | 33.0 | B+24.0 |
SurveyUSA | 18-May-20 | 19-May-20 | 537 | 5.4 | 57.5 | 30.2 | B+27.4 |
Emerson | 08-May-20 | 09-May-20 | 800 | 3.4 | 59.0 | 29.0 | B+30.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 43.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (99,982 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (18 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 29-Jun-20 | 30-Jun-20 | 840 | --- | 56.0 | 39.0 | B+17.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 30-Apr-20 | 04-May-20 | 915 | 3.2 | 56.0 | 33.0 | B+23.0 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 42.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 98.7% wins (98,704 wins ), Trump: 1.3% wins (1,296 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Gonzalez | 16-Jan-20 | 21-Jan-20 | 410 | 5.0 | 55.9 | 40.2 | B+15.6 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 90.00% Clinton, 4.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Trafalgar | 29-Jun-20 | 02-Jul-20 | 1072 | 2.9 | 45.9 | 45.9 | 0.0 |
Change Res | 26-Jun-20 | 28-Jun-20 | 951 | --- | 50.0 | 43.0 | B+7.0 |
Fox News | 20-Jun-20 | 23-Jun-20 | 1010 | 3.0 | 49.0 | 40.0 | B+9.0 |
Hart Res | 19-Jun-20 | 22-Jun-20 | 800 | --- | 47.0 | 38.0 | B+9.0 |
RWS | 14-Jun-20 | 15-Jun-20 | 1079 | --- | 49.0 | 38.0 | B+11.0 |
Siena | 08-Jun-20 | 18-Jun-20 | 651 | 4.6 | 47.0 | 41.0 | B+6.0 |
Change Res | 12-Jun-20 | 14-Jun-20 | 713 | --- | 50.0 | 43.0 | B+7.0 |
TIPP | 09-Jun-20 | 11-Jun-20 | 875 | --- | 50.2 | 39.7 | B+10.4 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 83.7% wins (83,741 wins ), Trump: 16.3% wins (16,259 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 25-Jun-20 | 26-Jun-20 | 734 | --- | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
Fox News | 20-Jun-20 | 23-Jun-20 | 1013 | 3.0 | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
PPP | 12-Jun-20 | 13-Jun-20 | 661 | --- | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 56.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.1% wins (129 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,871 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Change Res | 10-Apr-20 | 13-Apr-20 | 1021 | 3.1 | 39.0 | 52.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 42.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 44.2% wins (44,244 wins ), Trump: 55.8% wins (55,756 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Selzer | 07-Jun-20 | 10-Jun-20 | 674 | 3.8 | 43.0 | 44.0 | T+1.0 |
Civiqs | 06-Jun-20 | 08-Jun-20 | 865 | 3.7 | 46.0 | 46.0 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 1.1% wins (1,126 wins ), Trump: 98.9% wins (98,874 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Civiqs | 30-May-20 | 01-Jun-20 | 699 | 4.2 | 40.0 | 52.0 | T+12.0 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney,
2016 Result: 33.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Civiqs | 13-Jun-20 | 15-Jun-20 | 898 | 3.8 | 37.0 | 57.0 | T+20.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Biden: 99.6% wins (99,603 wins ), Trump: 0.4% wins (397 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 02-Jul-20 | 03-Jul-20 | 1022 | --- | 53.0 | 42.0 | B+11.0 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,921 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (79 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 11-Oct-19 | 13-Oct-19 | 478 | --- | 58.0 | 38.0 | B+20.0 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 69.3% wins (69,256 wins ), Trump: 30.7% wins (30,744 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 11-Oct-19 | 13-Oct-19 | 461 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 34.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Gonzalez Res | 19-May-20 | 23-May-20 | 810 | 3.5 | 59.1 | 35.3 | B+23.8 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 33.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Emerson | 05-May-20 | 06-May-20 | 740 | 3.5 | 60.0 | 30.0 | B+30.0 |
UMass-Lowell | 27-Apr-20 | 01-May-20 | 1000 | 3.6 | 58.0 | 30.0 | B+28.0 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Change Res | 26-Jun-20 | 28-Jun-20 | 699 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
PPP | 26-Jun-20 | 27-Jun-20 | 1237 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
Hodas | 17-Jun-20 | 20-Jun-20 | 600 | --- | 54.3 | 36.8 | B+17.5 |
Trafalgar | 16-Jun-20 | 18-Jun-20 | 1101 | 3.0 | 46.2 | 45.3 | B+0.9 |
RWS | 14-Jun-20 | 16-Jun-20 | 826 | --- | 47.0 | 36.0 | B+11.0 |
Change Res | 12-Jun-20 | 14-Jun-20 | 353 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
Siena | 08-Jun-20 | 17-Jun-20 | 610 | 4.3 | 47.0 | 36.0 | B+11.0 |
TIPP | 09-Jun-20 | 11-Jun-20 | 859 | --- | 49.8 | 36.7 | B+13.1 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,875 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (125 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Gravis | 19-Jun-20 | 19-Jun-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 54.0 | 37.0 | B+17.0 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 40.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 6.0% wins (5,970 wins ), Trump: 94.0% wins (94,030 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Millsaps | 02-Jun-20 | 04-Jun-20 | 568 | 4.1 | 41.0 | 50.0 | T+9.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 10.2% wins (10,218 wins ), Trump: 89.8% wins (89,782 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Garin Hart Yang | 16-Jun-20 | 22-Jun-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
Remington | 10-Jun-20 | 11-Jun-20 | 1152 | 2.9 | 43.0 | 51.0 | T+8.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.8% wins (812 wins ), Trump: 99.2% wins (99,188 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Big Sky | 17-Jun-20 | 26-Jun-20 | 517 | 4.3 | 37.9 | 52.3 | T+14.4 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 96.0% wins (95,977 wins ), Trump: 4.0% wins (4,023 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
DCCC | 07-May-20 | 10-May-20 | 448 | 4.6 | 52.0 | 41.0 | B+11.0 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 20.00% Clinton, 74.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 79.2% wins (79,174 wins ), Trump: 20.8% wins (20,826 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
ALG Res | 27-Apr-20 | 30-Apr-20 | 763 | 3.6 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 95.1% wins (95,077 wins ), Trump: 4.9% wins (4,923 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
St Anselm | 13-Jun-20 | 16-Jun-20 | 1072 | 3.0 | 49.2 | 42.4 | B+6.8 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
14 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 30-Apr-20 | 04-May-20 | 941 | 3.2 | 54.0 | 35.0 | B+19.0 |
Rutgers | 22-Apr-20 | 02-May-20 | 698 | 4.2 | 56.0 | 33.0 | B+23.0 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 40.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.7% wins (99,705 wins ), Trump: 0.3% wins (295 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 12-Jun-20 | 13-Jun-20 | 740 | 3.6 | 53.0 | 39.0 | B+14.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 59.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Siena | 23-Jun-20 | 25-Jun-20 | 806 | 3.9 | 57.0 | 32.0 | B+25.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 50.00% Trump.
15 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 94.1% wins (94,058 wins ), Trump: 5.9% wins (5,942 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Change Res | 26-Jun-20 | 28-Jun-20 | 468 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
ECU | 22-Jun-20 | 25-Jun-20 | 1149 | 3.4 | 45.0 | 44.0 | B+1.0 |
PPP | 22-Jun-20 | 23-Jun-20 | 1157 | --- | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
Fox News | 20-Jun-20 | 23-Jun-20 | 1012 | 3.0 | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
Gravis | 17-Jun-20 | 17-Jun-20 | 631 | 3.9 | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
RWS | 14-Jun-20 | 17-Jun-20 | 902 | --- | 46.0 | 40.0 | B+6.0 |
Siena | 08-Jun-20 | 18-Jun-20 | 653 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 40.0 | B+9.0 |
Change Res | 12-Jun-20 | 14-Jun-20 | 378 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.6% wins (576 wins ), Trump: 99.4% wins (99,424 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
DFM Res | 03-Mar-20 | 05-Mar-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 38.0 | 55.0 | T+17.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney,
2016 Result: 44.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
18 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 59.0% wins (59,040 wins ), Trump: 41.0% wins (40,960 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Quinnipiac | 18-Jun-20 | 22-Jun-20 | 1139 | 2.9 | 46.0 | 45.0 | B+1.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney,
2016 Result: 29.00% Clinton, 65.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Amber Integrated | 05-Mar-20 | 08-Mar-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 33.0 | 57.0 | T+24.0 |
Sooner | 10-Feb-20 | 13-Feb-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 34.0 | 62.0 | T+28.0 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (99,981 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (19 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Trafalgar | 29-Jun-20 | 02-Jul-20 | 1062 | 2.9 | 48.0 | 42.7 | B+5.3 |
Change Res | 26-Jun-20 | 28-Jun-20 | 760 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
Susquehanna | 15-Jun-20 | 23-Jun-20 | 715 | --- | 46.0 | 41.3 | B+4.8 |
RWS | 14-Jun-20 | 16-Jun-20 | 1125 | --- | 49.0 | 39.0 | B+10.0 |
Change Res | 12-Jun-20 | 14-Jun-20 | 491 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
Siena | 08-Jun-20 | 16-Jun-20 | 651 | 4.2 | 50.0 | 40.0 | B+10.0 |
Hodas | 08-Jun-20 | 11-Jun-20 | 600 | --- | 53.5 | 41.8 | B+11.7 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 55.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 3.5% wins (3,475 wins ), Trump: 96.5% wins (96,525 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Civiqs | 23-May-20 | 26-May-20 | 591 | 4.5 | 42.0 | 52.0 | T+10.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 32.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
SRSS | 05-May-20 | 22-May-20 | 1000 | 3.8 | 42.0 | 51.0 | T+9.0 |
E_TN_U | 22-Apr-20 | 01-May-20 | 536 | --- | 36.0 | 53.0 | T+17.0 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 43.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
38 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 31.4% wins (31,435 wins ), Trump: 68.6% wins (68,565 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 24-Jun-20 | 25-Jun-20 | 729 | --- | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
U TX | 19-Jun-20 | 29-Jun-20 | 1200 | 3.3 | 44.0 | 48.0 | T+4.0 |
Fox News | 20-Jun-20 | 23-Jun-20 | 1001 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 44.0 | B+1.0 |
PPP | 18-Jun-20 | 19-Jun-20 | 907 | --- | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.8% wins (800 wins ), Trump: 99.2% wins (99,200 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Y2Analytics | 09-May-20 | 15-May-20 | 1078 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | T+10.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney,
2016 Result: 57.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 44.00% Trump.
13 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 97.9% wins (97,916 wins ), Trump: 2.1% wins (2,084 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Roanoke | 03-May-20 | 16-May-20 | 563 | 4.1 | 51.0 | 39.0 | B+12.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
12 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
PPP | 19-May-20 | 20-May-20 | 1070 | 3.0 | 59.0 | 37.0 | B+22.0 |
SurveyUSA | 16-May-20 | 19-May-20 | 530 | 5.5 | 56.6 | 31.3 | B+25.3 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 26.00% Clinton, 69.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
WPA Intel | 07-Jan-20 | 09-Jan-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 33.0 | 66.0 | T+33.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
Change Res | 26-Jun-20 | 28-Jun-20 | 502 | --- | 48.0 | 44.0 | B+4.0 |
Trafalgar | 23-Jun-20 | 25-Jun-20 | 1021 | 3.0 | 44.6 | 45.5 | T+0.9 |
RWS | 14-Jun-20 | 19-Jun-20 | 846 | --- | 45.0 | 36.0 | B+9.0 |
Marquette | 14-Jun-20 | 18-Jun-20 | 805 | --- | 49.3 | 41.2 | B+8.1 |
Hodas | 12-Jun-20 | 16-Jun-20 | 600 | --- | 54.3 | 37.8 | B+16.5 |
Change Res | 12-Jun-20 | 14-Jun-20 | 231 | --- | 48.0 | 44.0 | B+4.0 |
Siena | 08-Jun-20 | 15-Jun-20 | 655 | 4.3 | 49.0 | 38.0 | B+11.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney,
2016 Result: 22.00% Clinton, 67.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.