2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Auburn-M | 30-Sep-20 | 03-Oct-20 | 1072 | 4.0 | 37.2 | 56.8 | T+19.6 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 37.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 43.4% wins (43,440 wins ), Trump: 56.6% wins (56,560 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Harstad | 20-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 602 | 4.0 | 46.0 | 47.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
19 polls
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,872 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (128 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 01-Oct-20 | 03-Oct-20 | 655 | 4.2 | 49.0 | 41.0 | B+8.0 |
| Suffolk | 26-Sep-20 | 30-Sep-20 | 500 | --- | 50.2 | 46.2 | B+4.0 |
| Susquehanna | 25-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 808 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 836 | --- | 47.0 | 44.0 | B+3.0 |
| Change Res | 18-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 262 | --- | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
| Data for Progress | 15-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 481 | --- | 45.0 | 46.0 | T+1.0 |
| Hart Res | 17-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 53.0 | 42.0 | B+11.0 |
| WaPo-ABC | 15-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 579 | 4.5 | 48.0 | 49.0 | T+1.0 |
| Data Orbital | 14-Sep-20 | 17-Sep-20 | 550 | --- | 49.3 | 46.6 | B+2.7 |
| Ipsos | 11-Sep-20 | 17-Sep-20 | 565 | 4.7 | 47.0 | 46.0 | B+1.0 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 855 | --- | 47.0 | 42.0 | B+5.0 |
| Monmouth | 11-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 420 | 4.8 | 48.0 | 44.0 | B+4.0 |
| Siena | 10-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 653 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 40.0 | B+9.0 |
| Gravis | 10-Sep-20 | 11-Sep-20 | 684 | 3.8 | 50.0 | 48.0 | B+2.0 |
| YouGov | 09-Sep-20 | 11-Sep-20 | 1106 | 3.8 | 47.0 | 44.0 | B+3.0 |
| OHPI | 08-Sep-20 | 10-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 52.3 | 42.2 | B+10.2 |
| Kaiser | 29-Aug-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 1298 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 40.0 | B+5.0 |
| Change Res | 04-Sep-20 | 06-Sep-20 | 470 | --- | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 35.0% wins (34,965 wins ), Trump: 65.0% wins (65,035 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Hendrix Col | 09-Jun-20 | 10-Jun-20 | 869 | 3.3 | 45.0 | 47.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 32.00% Trump.
55 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SurveyUSA | 26-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 558 | 5.3 | 59.0 | 31.6 | B+27.4 |
| RWS | 19-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 1885 | --- | 62.0 | 28.0 | B+34.0 |
| UCB | 09-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 5942 | --- | 67.0 | 28.0 | B+39.0 |
| PPIC | 04-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 1168 | 4.3 | 60.0 | 31.0 | B+29.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 43.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Morning Consult | 29-Aug-20 | 07-Sep-20 | 657 | --- | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| GSG | 28-Aug-20 | 01-Sep-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 39.0 | B+11.0 |
| Hart Res | 20-Aug-20 | 05-Sep-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 40.0 | B+10.0 |
| Morning Consult | 21-Aug-20 | 30-Aug-20 | 638 | --- | 56.0 | 41.0 | B+15.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SurveyUSA | 19-May-20 | 24-May-20 | 808 | 4.5 | 52.3 | 31.9 | B+20.4 |
| Quinnipiac | 30-Apr-20 | 04-May-20 | 915 | 3.2 | 56.0 | 33.0 | B+23.0 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 42.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| U DE | 21-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 847 | 4.0 | 54.0 | 33.0 | B+21.0 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 90.00% Clinton, 4.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
16 polls
Biden: 99.6% wins (99,614 wins ), Trump: 0.4% wins (386 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 710 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 42.0 | B+7.0 |
| Susquehanna | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 46.0 | 43.0 | B+3.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 1019 | --- | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
| St Pete | 21-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 2906 | 1.8 | 49.7 | 46.5 | B+3.2 |
| Change Res | 18-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 702 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| Data for Progress | 15-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 620 | --- | 46.0 | 43.0 | B+3.0 |
| Hart Res | 17-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| WaPo-ABC | 15-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 613 | 4.5 | 47.0 | 51.0 | T+4.0 |
| YouGov | 15-Sep-20 | 18-Sep-20 | 1220 | 3.7 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Ipsos | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 586 | 4.6 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 1158 | --- | 47.0 | 44.0 | B+3.0 |
| Monmouth | 10-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 428 | 4.7 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| FAU | 11-Sep-20 | 12-Sep-20 | 631 | 3.8 | 48.8 | 46.0 | B+2.9 |
| St Pete | 07-Sep-20 | 08-Sep-20 | 2689 | 1.9 | 49.6 | 47.1 | B+2.5 |
| Kaiser | 29-Aug-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 1009 | 4.0 | 43.0 | 42.0 | B+1.0 |
| Change Res | 04-Sep-20 | 06-Sep-20 | 1144 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
11 polls
Biden: 76.2% wins (76,191 wins ), Trump: 23.8% wins (23,809 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Landmark | 30-Sep-20 | 30-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
| Civiqs | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 969 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 1125 | 2.9 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 744 | --- | 45.0 | 44.0 | B+1.0 |
| YouGov | 22-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 1164 | 3.3 | 46.0 | 47.0 | T+1.0 |
| Monmouth | 17-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 402 | 4.9 | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
| Siena | 16-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 523 | 4.9 | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 |
| Data for Progress | 14-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 800 | --- | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 |
| GBAO | 14-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 753 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 46.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| MRG | 27-Jul-20 | 30-Jul-20 | 975 | 3.1 | 56.0 | 29.0 | B+27.0 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SPRY | 29-Aug-20 | 01-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 34.5 | 59.7 | T+25.2 |
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 56.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (99,957 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (43 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Victory Res | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 1208 | 2.8 | 52.9 | 39.8 | B+13.1 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.1% wins (86 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,914 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 03-Sep-20 | 07-Sep-20 | 1033 | 3.1 | 39.0 | 53.0 | T+14.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 42.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Biden: 36.9% wins (36,936 wins ), Trump: 63.1% wins (63,064 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 743 | 3.6 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| RABA Res | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 780 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Monmouth | 18-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 402 | 4.9 | 46.0 | 49.0 | T+3.0 |
| Siena | 16-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 501 | 5.0 | 45.0 | 42.0 | B+3.0 |
| Selzer | 14-Sep-20 | 17-Sep-20 | 658 | 3.8 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 1.1% wins (1,111 wins ), Trump: 98.9% wins (98,889 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 677 | 4.5 | 42.0 | 52.0 | T+10.0 |
| Data for Progress | 14-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 883 | --- | 42.0 | 48.0 | T+6.0 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney,
2016 Result: 33.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Data for Progress | 14-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 807 | --- | 35.0 | 55.0 | T+20.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 10-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 1164 | 2.9 | 38.0 | 58.0 | T+20.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 13.0% wins (13,044 wins ), Trump: 87.0% wins (86,956 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Tyson Group | 02-Sep-20 | 05-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 42.0 | 48.0 | T+6.0 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
5 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 718 | 3.7 | 55.0 | 41.0 | B+14.0 |
| Colby Col | 17-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 847 | 3.4 | 50.0 | 39.0 | B+11.0 |
| Suffolk | 17-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 500 | --- | 50.8 | 38.6 | B+12.2 |
| Siena | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 663 | 5.1 | 55.0 | 38.0 | B+17.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 10-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 1183 | 2.9 | 59.0 | 38.0 | B+21.0 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
4 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Colby Col | 17-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 416 | --- | 54.0 | 36.0 | B+18.0 |
| Suffolk | 17-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 267 | --- | 54.3 | 32.6 | B+21.7 |
| Siena | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 355 | --- | 61.9 | 32.5 | B+29.4 |
| Quinnipiac | 10-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 707 | --- | 64.0 | 32.0 | B+32.0 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
4 polls
Biden: 90.2% wins (90,200 wins ), Trump: 9.8% wins (9,800 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Colby Col | 17-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 425 | --- | 46.0 | 43.0 | B+3.0 |
| Suffolk | 17-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 233 | --- | 46.8 | 45.5 | B+1.3 |
| Siena | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 308 | --- | 47.2 | 44.7 | B+2.5 |
| Quinnipiac | 10-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 476 | --- | 53.0 | 44.0 | B+9.0 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 34.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| OpinionWorks | 04-Sep-20 | 11-Sep-20 | 753 | --- | 62.0 | 29.9 | B+32.1 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 33.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Emerson | 25-Aug-20 | 27-Aug-20 | 763 | --- | 67.8 | 29.8 | B+38.1 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
16 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 746 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Trafalgar | 26-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 1042 | 3.0 | 48.7 | 47.1 | B+1.6 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 760 | --- | 51.0 | 42.0 | B+9.0 |
| Marist | 19-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 799 | 4.3 | 52.0 | 44.0 | B+8.0 |
| ALG Res | 17-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 52.0 | 44.0 | B+8.0 |
| Change Res | 18-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 568 | --- | 51.0 | 43.0 | B+8.0 |
| Hart Res | 17-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Data for Progress | 14-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 455 | --- | 48.0 | 42.0 | B+6.0 |
| MRG | 14-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 600 | --- | 46.0 | 41.0 | B+5.0 |
| YouGov | 10-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 641 | 4.7 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 08-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 1001 | 3.6 | 49.9 | 41.9 | B+8.0 |
| Ipsos | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 637 | 4.4 | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| Civiqs | 11-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 517 | 4.5 | 53.0 | 42.0 | B+11.0 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 930 | --- | 49.0 | 39.0 | B+10.0 |
| EPIC-MRA | 10-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 40.0 | B+8.0 |
| Change Res | 04-Sep-20 | 06-Sep-20 | 875 | --- | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Suffolk | 20-Sep-20 | 24-Sep-20 | 500 | --- | 46.6 | 40.2 | B+6.4 |
| Mason-Dixon | 21-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 42.0 | B+6.0 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 703 | 3.7 | 51.0 | 42.0 | B+9.0 |
| WaPo-ABC | 08-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 615 | 4.5 | 57.0 | 41.0 | B+16.0 |
| YouGov | 09-Sep-20 | 11-Sep-20 | 1087 | 3.6 | 50.0 | 41.0 | B+9.0 |
| Siena | 08-Sep-20 | 10-Sep-20 | 814 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 41.0 | B+9.0 |
| Morning Consult | 04-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 44.0 | B+4.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 04-Sep-20 | 07-Sep-20 | 553 | 5.2 | 48.8 | 40.1 | B+8.7 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 40.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 13.1% wins (13,143 wins ), Trump: 86.9% wins (86,857 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Remington | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 980 | 3.0 | 46.0 | 51.0 | T+5.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 3.6% wins (3,565 wins ), Trump: 96.4% wins (96,435 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Remington | 16-Sep-20 | 17-Sep-20 | 1046 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 53.0 | T+8.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 9.3% wins (9,349 wins ), Trump: 90.7% wins (90,651 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 14-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 625 | 4.8 | 42.0 | 49.0 | T+7.0 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 37.4% wins (37,371 wins ), Trump: 62.6% wins (62,629 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Stragegies 360 | 16-Jul-20 | 22-Jul-20 | 400 | --- | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
2 polls
Biden: 87.6% wins (87,604 wins ), Trump: 12.4% wins (12,396 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 25-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 520 | 5.3 | 48.0 | 41.0 | B+7.0 |
| GSG | 14-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 400 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 20.00% Clinton, 74.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 98.0% wins (98,025 wins ), Trump: 2.0% wins (1,975 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Rasmussen | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 750 | --- | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
| Fox News | 20-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 810 | 3.0 | 52.0 | 41.0 | B+11.0 |
| ALG Res | 15-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 800 | --- | 47.0 | 43.0 | B+4.0 |
| Siena | 08-Sep-20 | 10-Sep-20 | 462 | 5.3 | 46.0 | 42.0 | B+4.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (99,956 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (44 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Emerson | 30-Sep-20 | 01-Oct-20 | 700 | 3.6 | 52.3 | 45.3 | B+7.0 |
| Pulse | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 850 | 4.0 | 56.0 | 42.0 | B+14.0 |
| UMass-Lowell | 17-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 657 | 4.6 | 52.0 | 44.0 | B+8.0 |
| Siena | 08-Sep-20 | 10-Sep-20 | 445 | 5.5 | 45.0 | 42.0 | B+3.0 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
14 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| DKC Analytics | 08-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 501 | 4.4 | 52.0 | 38.0 | B+14.0 |
| Emerson | 04-Sep-20 | 07-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 58.7 | 40.2 | B+18.5 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 40.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,950 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (50 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research & Polling | 26-Aug-20 | 02-Sep-20 | 1123 | 2.9 | 54.0 | 39.0 | B+15.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 59.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 27-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 504 | 4.4 | 61.0 | 29.0 | B+32.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 50.00% Trump.
15 Electoral votes.
19 polls
Biden: 87.5% wins (87,490 wins ), Trump: 12.5% wins (12,510 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 04-Oct-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 911 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 1035 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
| YouGov | 22-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 1213 | 3.6 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| UMASS-Lowell | 18-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 921 | 4.1 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Meredith | 18-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 705 | 3.5 | 45.7 | 45.4 | B+0.3 |
| Change Res | 18-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 579 | --- | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Harper | 17-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 612 | 4.0 | 44.0 | 45.0 | T+1.0 |
| Emerson | 16-Sep-20 | 18-Sep-20 | 717 | 3.6 | 50.1 | 48.5 | B+1.5 |
| Ipsos | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 586 | 4.6 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Siena | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 653 | 4.3 | 45.0 | 44.0 | B+1.0 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 1092 | --- | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
| Suffolk | 11-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 500 | --- | 46.2 | 42.8 | B+3.4 |
| SurveyUSA | 10-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 596 | 5.6 | 46.9 | 46.6 | B+0.3 |
| SRSS | 09-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 787 | 4.4 | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| Trafalgar | 09-Sep-20 | 11-Sep-20 | 1046 | 3.0 | 46.1 | 47.8 | T+1.7 |
| Rasmussen | 07-Sep-20 | 08-Sep-20 | 1000 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 49.0 | T+1.0 |
| Kaiser | 29-Aug-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 1172 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 43.0 | B+2.0 |
| Change Res | 04-Sep-20 | 06-Sep-20 | 442 | --- | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| DFM Res | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 460 | 4.6 | 37.0 | 51.0 | T+14.0 |
| DFM Res | 12-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 500 | --- | 37.0 | 56.0 | T+19.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney,
2016 Result: 44.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
18 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Biden: 46.3% wins (46,314 wins ), Trump: 53.7% wins (53,686 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Trafalgar | 01-Oct-20 | 03-Oct-20 | 1035 | 3.0 | 43.9 | 47.6 | T+3.7 |
| YouGov | 30-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 1114 | 3.7 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| Fox News | 20-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 830 | 3.0 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 17-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 1085 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 08-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 1011 | 3.3 | 44.9 | 44.3 | B+0.6 |
| Civiqs | 11-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 556 | 4.3 | 45.0 | 48.0 | T+3.0 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney,
2016 Result: 29.00% Clinton, 65.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Amber Integrated | 17-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 33.4 | 55.0 | T+21.6 |
| Sooner | 02-Sep-20 | 08-Sep-20 | 486 | 4.4 | 35.0 | 59.4 | T+24.4 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 944 | 3.5 | 56.0 | 39.0 | B+17.0 |
| DHM Res | 03-Sep-20 | 08-Sep-20 | 502 | 4.4 | 51.0 | 39.0 | B+12.0 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
21 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 605 | --- | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| YouGov | 30-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 1187 | 3.1 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Siena | 30-Sep-20 | 02-Oct-20 | 706 | 4.1 | 49.0 | 42.0 | B+7.0 |
| Siena | 25-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 711 | 4.3 | 49.0 | 40.0 | B+9.0 |
| TIPP | 24-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 744 | 3.6 | 49.7 | 44.6 | B+5.0 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 972 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| WaPo-ABC | 21-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 568 | 5.0 | 54.0 | 45.0 | B+9.0 |
| Fox News | 20-Sep-20 | 23-Sep-20 | 856 | 3.0 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Trafalgar | 18-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 1006 | 3.0 | 48.1 | 45.9 | B+2.2 |
| Change Res | 18-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 579 | --- | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| Hart Res | 17-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 53.0 | 42.0 | B+11.0 |
| Franklin & Marshall | 14-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 480 | 6.5 | 48.0 | 42.0 | B+6.0 |
| CPEC | 15-Sep-20 | 17-Sep-20 | 820 | 2.3 | 50.3 | 45.4 | B+4.9 |
| Trafalgar | 15-Sep-20 | 17-Sep-20 | 1006 | 3.0 | 47.3 | 44.9 | B+2.4 |
| YouGov | 10-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 642 | 4.7 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 08-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 1012 | 3.6 | 47.3 | 44.6 | B+2.7 |
| Ipsos | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 611 | 4.5 | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| Civiqs | 11-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 549 | 4.4 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 1036 | --- | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| Climate Nexus | 08-Sep-20 | 11-Sep-20 | 659 | 4.0 | 46.7 | 44.3 | B+2.4 |
| Change Res | 04-Sep-20 | 06-Sep-20 | 829 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 55.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Biden: 0.4% wins (444 wins ), Trump: 99.6% wins (99,556 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Data for Progress | 23-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 824 | 3.4 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 1123 | 2.9 | 47.0 | 48.0 | T+1.0 |
| YouGov | 22-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 1080 | 3.8 | 42.0 | 52.0 | T+10.0 |
| Morning Consult | 11-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 764 | --- | 44.0 | 50.0 | T+6.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 10-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 969 | 3.2 | 45.0 | 51.0 | T+6.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 32.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.2% wins (169 wins ), Trump: 99.8% wins (99,831 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SRSS | 05-May-20 | 22-May-20 | 1000 | 3.8 | 42.0 | 51.0 | T+9.0 |
| E_TN_U | 22-Apr-20 | 01-May-20 | 536 | --- | 36.0 | 53.0 | T+17.0 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 43.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
38 Electoral votes.
7 polls
Biden: 8.8% wins (8,801 wins ), Trump: 91.2% wins (91,199 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Hart Res | 24-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| PPP | 25-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 612 | 3.6 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
| UMASS-Lowell | 18-Sep-20 | 25-Sep-20 | 882 | 4.3 | 46.0 | 49.0 | T+3.0 |
| Siena | 16-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 653 | 4.3 | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 17-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 1078 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Data for Progress | 15-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 726 | --- | 45.0 | 46.0 | T+1.0 |
| YouGov | 15-Sep-20 | 18-Sep-20 | 1161 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Y2Analytics | 26-Sep-20 | 04-Oct-20 | 1214 | 2.8 | 40.0 | 50.0 | T+10.0 |
| RMG Res | 07-Sep-20 | 12-Sep-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 35.0 | 53.0 | T+18.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney,
2016 Result: 57.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Braun Res | 03-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 586 | 4.0 | 56.0 | 32.0 | B+24.0 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 44.00% Trump.
13 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 83.9% wins (83,933 wins ), Trump: 16.1% wins (16,067 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| CNU | 09-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 746 | 3.9 | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
12 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (99,992 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (8 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Strategies 360 | 08-Sep-20 | 14-Sep-20 | 501 | 4.4 | 58.0 | 36.0 | B+22.0 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 26.00% Clinton, 69.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| WPA Intel | 07-Jan-20 | 09-Jan-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 33.0 | 66.0 | T+33.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
19 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Ipsos | 29-Sep-20 | 05-Oct-20 | 601 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Trafalgar | 25-Sep-20 | 28-Sep-20 | 1084 | 2.9 | 47.2 | 44.3 | B+2.9 |
| RWS | 23-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 648 | --- | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
| Susquehanna | 23-Sep-20 | 26-Sep-20 | 500 | 4.3 | 40.0 | 43.0 | T+3.0 |
| Trafalgar | 22-Sep-20 | 24-Sep-20 | 1189 | 2.8 | 47.7 | 44.9 | B+2.8 |
| Marist | 20-Sep-20 | 24-Sep-20 | 727 | 4.6 | 54.0 | 44.0 | B+10.0 |
| Change Res | 18-Sep-20 | 20-Sep-20 | 571 | --- | 51.0 | 42.0 | B+9.0 |
| Hart Res | 17-Sep-20 | 19-Sep-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| YouGov | 10-Sep-20 | 21-Sep-20 | 664 | 4.5 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Baldwin Wallace | 08-Sep-20 | 22-Sep-20 | 863 | 3.7 | 50.3 | 41.0 | B+9.3 |
| RWS | 12-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 636 | --- | 47.0 | 41.0 | B+6.0 |
| Ipsos | 11-Sep-20 | 16-Sep-20 | 609 | 4.5 | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
| Civiqs | 11-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 704 | 3.9 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| SRSS | 09-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 816 | 4.0 | 52.0 | 42.0 | B+10.0 |
| Morning Consult T | 06-Sep-20 | 15-Sep-20 | 797 | --- | 51.0 | 42.0 | B+9.0 |
| WaPo-ABC | 08-Sep-20 | 13-Sep-20 | 605 | 4.5 | 52.0 | 46.0 | B+6.0 |
| Siena | 08-Sep-20 | 10-Sep-20 | 760 | 4.7 | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
| Emerson | 06-Sep-20 | 08-Sep-20 | 823 | 3.4 | 50.8 | 43.9 | B+6.9 |
| Change Res | 04-Sep-20 | 06-Sep-20 | 801 | --- | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney,
2016 Result: 22.00% Clinton, 67.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.