2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 330 | 7.9 | 37.8 | 55.0 | T+17.2 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1045 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | T+20.0 |
| Auburn-M | 23-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 853 | 4.4 | 38.9 | 58.1 | T+19.2 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 266 | 7.8 | 37.2 | 55.8 | T+18.6 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 37.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 3.5% wins (3,452 wins ), Trump: 96.5% wins (96,548 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Gravis | 26-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 770 | 3.5 | 43.0 | 52.0 | T+9.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
17 polls
Biden: 93.7% wins (93,666 wins ), Trump: 6.3% wins (6,334 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 409 | --- | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Marist | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 717 | 4.5 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 641 | 4.0 | 48.1 | 50.4 | T+2.3 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 732 | 3.6 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 360 | 7.1 | 50.6 | 45.7 | B+4.9 |
| Ipsos | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 610 | 4.5 | 50.0 | 48.0 | B+2.0 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 908 | 2.8 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Data Orbital | 28-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 550 | 4.2 | 45.9 | 45.3 | B+0.6 |
| Siena | 26-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 1252 | 3.0 | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
| Rasmussen | 27-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 49.0 | T+4.0 |
| RWS | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 889 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Gravis | 26-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 704 | 3.7 | 48.0 | 44.0 | B+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1059 | 3.0 | 48.4 | 46.1 | B+2.3 |
| SRSS | 23-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 865 | 4.1 | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Trafalgar | 25-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 1002 | 3.0 | 46.4 | 48.9 | T+2.5 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 304 | 7.2 | 52.4 | 43.8 | B+8.6 |
| Ipsos | 21-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 714 | 4.2 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| U AK | 09-Oct-20 | 21-Oct-20 | 591 | 3.9 | 32.0 | 65.0 | T+33.0 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 32.00% Trump.
55 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| David Binder Res | 28-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 800 | --- | 62.0 | 31.0 | B+31.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 635 | 5.2 | 62.0 | 35.3 | B+26.7 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 43.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Keating | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 502 | 4.4 | 53.0 | 41.0 | B+12.0 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 926 | 3.7 | 54.0 | 42.0 | B+12.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 455 | 6.0 | 55.4 | 40.7 | B+14.7 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 727 | 4.0 | 53.8 | 40.9 | B+12.9 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 367 | 6.2 | 64.1 | 33.7 | B+30.4 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 42.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| U DE | 21-Sep-20 | 27-Sep-20 | 847 | 4.0 | 54.0 | 33.0 | B+21.0 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 90.00% Clinton, 4.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
30 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (99,967 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (33 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01-Nov-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 400 | 4.4 | 47.0 | 48.2 | T+1.2 |
| Aspiration | 30-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 517 | --- | 45.0 | 43.0 | B+2.0 |
| Federick | 30-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 768 | --- | 51.0 | 49.0 | B+2.0 |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 806 | --- | 51.0 | 48.0 | B+3.0 |
| Susquehanna | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 46.6 | 47.4 | T+0.8 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 1261 | 3.7 | 53.0 | 45.5 | B+7.5 |
| Quinnipiac | 28-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1657 | 2.4 | 47.0 | 42.0 | B+5.0 |
| Rasmussen | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1202 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 48.0 | B+3.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 849 | 3.3 | 51.8 | 46.2 | B+5.7 |
| Ipsos | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 670 | 4.3 | 51.0 | 47.0 | B+4.0 |
| St Pete | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 2758 | 1.9 | 49.2 | 48.1 | B+1.1 |
| RMG Res | 28-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 1200 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 47.0 | B+4.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 28-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 786 | 3.0 | 48.6 | 48.5 | B+0.1 |
| PPP | 28-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 941 | --- | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| Siena | 26-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 1451 | 3.2 | 47.0 | 45.0 | B+2.0 |
| RWS | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1587 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Targoz | 25-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 1207 | --- | 51.0 | 47.0 | B+4.0 |
| Harris | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1148 | --- | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 4451 | 2.0 | 51.5 | 45.4 | B+6.1 |
| WaPo/ABC | 24-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 824 | 4.0 | 48.0 | 50.0 | T+2.0 |
| Trafalgar | 25-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 1088 | 2.9 | 46.9 | 49.6 | T+2.7 |
| Monmouth | 24-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 509 | 4.4 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Marist | 25-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 743 | 3.9 | 51.0 | 47.0 | B+4.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 1324 | 2.7 | 45.0 | 42.0 | B+3.0 |
| FAU | 24-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 937 | 3.1 | 50.2 | 48.2 | B+2.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 605 | 5.4 | 46.4 | 50.6 | T+4.2 |
| Wick | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 47.2 | 50.1 | T+2.9 |
| Ipsos | 21-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 704 | 4.2 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Susquehanna | 23-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 43.9 | 48.1 | T+4.3 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
13 polls
Biden: 82.3% wins (82,308 wins ), Trump: 17.7% wins (17,692 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Landmark | 01-Nov-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 46.0 | 50.1 | T+4.1 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 01-Nov-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 46.1 | 48.1 | T+2.0 |
| Aspiration | 30-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 380 | --- | 52.0 | 49.0 | B+3.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 749 | 3.5 | 48.7 | 49.4 | T+0.7 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 438 | 6.2 | 53.6 | 44.3 | B+9.3 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1036 | 3.0 | 50.0 | 48.0 | B+2.0 |
| Landmark | 28-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 750 | 3.6 | 47.0 | 48.0 | T+1.0 |
| PPP | 27-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 661 | 3.8 | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1743 | 2.0 | 48.8 | 46.4 | B+2.4 |
| Monmouth | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 504 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Civiqs | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 1041 | 3.3 | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 373 | 6.9 | 48.1 | 50.5 | T+2.4 |
| Wick | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 46.9 | 49.4 | T+2.5 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| MRG | 02-Oct-20 | 07-Oct-20 | 988 | 3.1 | 61.0 | 28.0 | B+33.0 |
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SPRY | 29-Aug-20 | 01-Sep-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 34.5 | 59.7 | T+25.2 |
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 56.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 55.0 | 38.0 | B+17.0 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 485 | 6.0 | 55.1 | 43.6 | B+11.5 |
| Victory Res | 26-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1208 | 2.8 | 54.1 | 38.2 | B+15.9 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 424 | 6.2 | 54.2 | 43.1 | B+11.1 |
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 264 | 7.8 | 43.0 | 55.2 | T+12.2 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1147 | 3.0 | 42.0 | 53.4 | T+11.4 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 301 | 7.4 | 42.3 | 52.9 | T+10.6 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 42.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 22.1% wins (22,103 wins ), Trump: 77.9% wins (77,897 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 01-Nov-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 871 | --- | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1084 | 3.2 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Civiqs | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 853 | 3.7 | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 604 | 3.9 | 46.0 | 47.0 | T+1.0 |
| Insider Advantage | 30-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 46.1 | 47.8 | T+1.7 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 951 | 3.2 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| Selzer | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 814 | 3.4 | 41.0 | 48.0 | T+7.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 1225 | 2.8 | 46.0 | 47.0 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1121 | 2.9 | 41.0 | 55.0 | T+14.0 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney,
2016 Result: 33.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 2.9% wins (2,866 wins ), Trump: 97.1% wins (97,134 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 383 | 7.4 | 41.5 | 55.0 | T+13.5 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.7% wins (687 wins ), Trump: 99.3% wins (99,313 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 378 | 4.2 | 39.1 | 56.6 | T+17.5 |
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 1024 | 3.5 | 52.0 | 40.0 | B+12.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 611 | 3.9 | 54.0 | 43.0 | B+11.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 1007 | 3.7 | 53.4 | 40.1 | B+13.3 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 549 | --- | 56.0 | 35.0 | B+21.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 310 | --- | 58.0 | 39.0 | B+19.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 498 | --- | 58.8 | 34.7 | B+24.1 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
3 polls
Biden: 69.4% wins (69,371 wins ), Trump: 30.6% wins (30,629 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 475 | 4.6 | 47.0 | 46.0 | B+1.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 301 | --- | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 509 | 3.7 | 47.9 | 45.4 | B+2.6 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 34.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 503 | 5.7 | 67.0 | 31.1 | B+35.9 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 33.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| MassINC | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 929 | --- | 62.0 | 28.0 | B+34.0 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
22 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 50.0 | 43.0 | B+7.0 |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 383 | --- | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Trafalgar | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1033 | 4.0 | 45.8 | 48.3 | T+2.5 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 48.8 | 46.7 | B+2.1 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 413 | 6.5 | 53.6 | 44.9 | B+8.7 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 700 | 3.4 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| Ipsos | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 654 | 4.4 | 54.0 | 43.0 | B+11.0 |
| Mitchell | 29-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 817 | 3.4 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| PPP | 29-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 745 | 3.6 | 54.0 | 44.0 | B+10.0 |
| RMG Res | 27-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| RWS | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1212 | --- | 54.0 | 41.0 | B+13.0 |
| Targoz | 25-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 993 | --- | 53.0 | 39.0 | B+14.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1736 | 2.0 | 51.8 | 44.5 | B+7.3 |
| EPIC-MRA | 25-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 500 | --- | 48.0 | 41.0 | B+7.0 |
| SRSS | 23-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 907 | 3.8 | 53.0 | 42.0 | B+11.0 |
| Trafalgar | 25-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 1058 | 2.9 | 46.6 | 49.1 | T+2.5 |
| Mitchell | 25-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 759 | 3.6 | 52.4 | 42.0 | B+10.4 |
| Siena | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 856 | 3.8 | 49.0 | 41.0 | B+8.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 394 | 6.7 | 58.6 | 39.6 | B+19.0 |
| Wick | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 48.4 | 48.1 | B+0.3 |
| Kiaer Res | 21-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 669 | 5.6 | 53.5 | 40.6 | B+12.9 |
| Glengariff | 23-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 49.3 | 46.1 | B+3.2 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 52.0 | 43.0 | B+9.0 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1259 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 43.0 | B+8.0 |
| PPP | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 770 | --- | 54.0 | 43.0 | B+11.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 466 | 5.9 | 52.7 | 43.4 | B+9.3 |
| Targoz | 25-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 1138 | --- | 53.0 | 44.0 | B+9.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 883 | --- | 52.0 | 42.0 | B+10.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 649 | 4.6 | 47.0 | 42.0 | B+5.0 |
| Gravis | 24-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 657 | --- | 53.0 | 39.0 | B+14.0 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 40.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.1% wins (52 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,948 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 562 | 4.1 | 41.0 | 55.0 | T+14.0 |
| Civiqs | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 507 | 5.3 | 41.0 | 55.0 | T+14.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 0.3% wins (273 wins ), Trump: 99.7% wins (99,727 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Remington | 28-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1010 | 3.0 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 487 | 6.6 | 43.4 | 54.6 | T+11.2 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1109 | 3.0 | 42.9 | 52.3 | T+9.4 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 13.5% wins (13,483 wins ), Trump: 86.5% wins (86,517 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 920 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| PPP | 26-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 886 | --- | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 38.4% wins (38,363 wins ), Trump: 61.6% wins (61,637 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Stragegies 360 | 16-Jul-20 | 22-Jul-20 | 400 | --- | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
2 polls
Biden: 76.4% wins (76,396 wins ), Trump: 23.6% wins (23,604 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 547 | 4.5 | 50.0 | 47.0 | B+3.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 806 | 3.5 | 50.4 | 47.8 | B+2.6 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 20.00% Clinton, 74.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Biden: 99.4% wins (99,450 wins ), Trump: 0.6% wins (550 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 720 | 3.6 | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1442 | 2.6 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Trafalgar | 28-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1024 | 3.0 | 49.4 | 47.1 | B+2.3 |
| Gravis | 27-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 688 | 3.7 | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Siena | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 809 | 3.8 | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| ARG | 26-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 57.0 | 40.0 | B+17.0 |
| UNH | 24-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 863 | 3.3 | 54.0 | 43.0 | B+11.0 |
| St Anselm | 23-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 1018 | 3.1 | 52.4 | 43.8 | B+8.5 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
14 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 56.0 | 38.0 | B+18.0 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 324 | 7.2 | 58.9 | 40.0 | B+18.9 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 386 | 6.5 | 61.8 | 37.7 | B+24.1 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 40.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.8% wins (99,846 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (154 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research & Polling | 23-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1180 | 2.9 | 54.0 | 42.0 | B+12.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 59.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 61.0 | 33.0 | B+28.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 495 | 5.8 | 65.4 | 32.8 | B+32.6 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 50.00% Trump.
15 Electoral votes.
26 polls
Biden: 94.5% wins (94,481 wins ), Trump: 5.5% wins (5,519 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Federick | 30-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 676 | --- | 51.0 | 49.0 | B+2.0 |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 473 | --- | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 43.6 | 48.0 | T+4.4 |
| AtlasIntel | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 812 | 3.0 | 47.5 | 49.5 | T+2.0 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 690 | 5.3 | 52.3 | 46.4 | B+5.9 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 855 | 3.3 | 47.4 | 47.1 | B+0.2 |
| Ipsos | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 707 | 4.2 | 50.0 | 48.0 | B+2.0 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1195 | 3.3 | 50.0 | 48.0 | B+2.0 |
| Rasmussen | 28-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 47.0 | 48.0 | T+1.0 |
| Trafalgar | 27-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1082 | 2.9 | 46.5 | 48.6 | T+2.1 |
| ECU | 27-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 1103 | 3.4 | 49.5 | 46.7 | B+2.8 |
| CardinalGPS | 27-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 750 | 3.6 | 45.9 | 48.0 | T+2.1 |
| RWS | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1489 | --- | 49.0 | 47.0 | B+2.0 |
| Harris | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 903 | --- | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
| Gravis | 26-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 614 | 4.0 | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1982 | 2.0 | 49.1 | 48.4 | B+0.7 |
| SRSS | 23-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 901 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Marist | 25-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 800 | 4.7 | 52.0 | 46.0 | B+6.0 |
| PPP | 26-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 937 | --- | 51.0 | 47.0 | B+4.0 |
| MSI | 24-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 48.2 | 45.0 | B+3.2 |
| Siena | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 1034 | 3.7 | 48.0 | 45.0 | B+3.0 |
| RMG Res | 24-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 627 | 4.9 | 48.0 | 48.0 | 0.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 396 | 6.8 | 50.2 | 47.5 | B+2.7 |
| Wick | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 47.2 | 49.4 | T+2.2 |
| Ipsos | 21-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 647 | 4.4 | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.7% wins (700 wins ), Trump: 99.3% wins (99,300 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| DFM Res | 26-Sep-20 | 29-Sep-20 | 460 | 4.6 | 37.0 | 51.0 | T+14.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney,
2016 Result: 44.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
18 Electoral votes.
13 polls
Biden: 13.5% wins (13,506 wins ), Trump: 86.5% wins (86,494 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Rasmussen | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 48.0 | T+3.0 |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 |
| Civiqs | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1136 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 49.0 | T+1.0 |
| Trafalgar | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1041 | 4.0 | 44.4 | 49.3 | T+4.9 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 516 | 5.8 | 47.0 | 52.3 | T+5.3 |
| Quinnipiac | 28-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1440 | 2.6 | 47.0 | 43.0 | B+4.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 656 | 3.8 | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 660 | 4.0 | 46.5 | 50.4 | T+3.9 |
| Gravis | 27-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 613 | 4.0 | 47.0 | 49.0 | T+2.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 2179 | 2.0 | 46.6 | 49.2 | T+2.6 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 1186 | 2.9 | 48.0 | 43.0 | B+5.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 440 | 6.3 | 43.6 | 55.3 | T+11.7 |
| Wick | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 46.5 | 49.4 | T+2.9 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney,
2016 Result: 29.00% Clinton, 65.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Sooner | 15-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 5466 | 1.3 | 36.5 | 58.5 | T+21.9 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.7% wins (99,692 wins ), Trump: 0.3% wins (308 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 324 | 7.3 | 60.4 | 37.2 | B+23.2 |
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
30 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Susquehanna | 01-Nov-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 499 | 4.3 | 48.5 | 49.3 | T+0.8 |
| Rasmussen | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 50.0 | 44.0 | B+6.0 |
| Aspiration | 30-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 340 | --- | 51.0 | 49.0 | B+2.0 |
| Federick | 30-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 879 | --- | 52.0 | 48.0 | B+4.0 |
| Trafalgar | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1062 | 2.9 | 45.1 | 45.8 | T+0.7 |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 699 | --- | 50.0 | 46.0 | B+4.0 |
| Marist | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 772 | 4.5 | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 47.4 | 48.7 | T+1.3 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 1107 | 3.9 | 49.9 | 48.4 | B+1.5 |
| Monmouth | 28-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 502 | 4.4 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 823 | 3.3 | 51.5 | 46.6 | B+4.9 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 1417 | 2.6 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| Ipsos | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 673 | 4.3 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 672 | 4.0 | 48.5 | 49.6 | T+1.1 |
| PPP | 28-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 1012 | --- | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| Siena | 26-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 1862 | 2.4 | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
| Targoz | 25-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 998 | --- | 56.0 | 42.0 | B+14.0 |
| RWS | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 2125 | --- | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| Harris | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 901 | --- | 51.0 | 46.0 | B+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 2686 | 2.0 | 51.9 | 43.2 | B+8.7 |
| WaPo/ABC | 24-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 824 | 4.0 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| RMG Res | 25-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Muhlenberg | 23-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 419 | 5.5 | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 23-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 1324 | 2.7 | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Insider Advantage | 25-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 45.5 | 48.4 | T+2.9 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 491 | 6.0 | 51.9 | 46.1 | B+5.8 |
| Civiqs | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 1145 | 3.0 | 52.0 | 45.0 | B+7.0 |
| Wick | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 46.9 | 49.0 | T+2.1 |
| Trafalgar | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 1076 | 2.9 | 45.8 | 46.7 | T+0.9 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 55.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 880 | 3.3 | 44.0 | 53.0 | T+9.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 426 | 7.4 | 48.9 | 49.8 | T+0.9 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 904 | 3.0 | 44.5 | 51.1 | T+6.6 |
| Starboard | 26-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 800 | --- | 43.9 | 51.2 | T+7.3 |
| ECU | 24-Oct-20 | 25-Oct-20 | 763 | 4.1 | 43.4 | 51.2 | T+7.9 |
| Data for Progress | 22-Oct-20 | 27-Oct-20 | 1196 | 2.8 | 44.0 | 50.0 | T+6.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 32.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.8% wins (839 wins ), Trump: 99.2% wins (99,161 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Nielson Bros | 24-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 484 | 5.1 | 40.0 | 55.0 | T+15.0 |
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.5% wins (473 wins ), Trump: 99.5% wins (99,527 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 485 | 5.9 | 40.9 | 57.6 | T+16.7 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 43.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
38 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 22.3% wins (22,306 wins ), Trump: 77.7% wins (77,694 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 1151 | 3.9 | 47.2 | 51.2 | T+4.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 763 | 3.5 | 48.8 | 49.7 | T+0.9 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 709 | 3.2 | 49.0 | 48.0 | B+1.0 |
| PPP | 28-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 775 | --- | 50.0 | 48.0 | B+2.0 |
| Gravis | 27-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 670 | 3.8 | 45.0 | 50.0 | T+5.0 |
| RMG | 27-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 46.0 | 50.0 | T+4.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 3267 | 2.0 | 48.1 | 48.1 | 0.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 552 | 5.7 | 47.5 | 48.6 | T+1.1 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.1% wins (85 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,915 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Y2 Analytics | 15-Oct-20 | 24-Oct-20 | 660 | --- | 44.0 | 51.0 | T+7.0 |
| RMG Res | 12-Oct-20 | 17-Oct-20 | 1000 | 3.1 | 38.0 | 50.0 | T+12.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney,
2016 Result: 57.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| co/efficient | 19-Oct-20 | 22-Oct-20 | 584 | 4.1 | 62.0 | 32.0 | B+30.0 |
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 44.00% Trump.
13 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 467 | 6.4 | 56.3 | 41.3 | B+15.0 |
| Data for Progress | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 690 | 3.7 | 54.0 | 43.0 | B+11.0 |
| Roanoke | 23-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 802 | 3.5 | 53.0 | 42.0 | B+11.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 351 | 7.2 | 55.2 | 44.3 | B+10.9 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
12 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.9% wins (99,928 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (72 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 489 | 6.0 | 58.9 | 38.6 | B+20.3 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 26.00% Clinton, 69.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Triton | 19-Oct-20 | 20-Oct-20 | 544 | 4.2 | 37.9 | 58.0 | T+20.1 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
13 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Research Co | 31-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 50.0 | 42.0 | B+8.0 |
| Change Res | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 553 | --- | 53.0 | 45.0 | B+8.0 |
| Civiqs | 29-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 789 | 3.6 | 51.0 | 47.0 | B+4.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 30-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 781 | 3.0 | 50.6 | 48.7 | B+1.9 |
| Swayable | 27-Oct-20 | 02-Nov-20 | 253 | 8.2 | 54.6 | 44.9 | B+9.7 |
| Susquehanna | 29-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 450 | 4.6 | 48.7 | 45.6 | B+3.1 |
| Ipsos | 27-Oct-20 | 01-Nov-20 | 696 | 4.2 | 53.0 | 43.0 | B+10.0 |
| Emerson | 29-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 751 | 3.5 | 52.6 | 45.4 | B+7.2 |
| Siena | 26-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 1253 | 3.2 | 52.0 | 41.0 | B+11.0 |
| RWS | 26-Oct-20 | 29-Oct-20 | 800 | --- | 53.0 | 41.0 | B+12.0 |
| Morning Consult | 22-Oct-20 | 31-Oct-20 | 1002 | 3.0 | 53.8 | 40.5 | B+13.3 |
| SRSS | 23-Oct-20 | 30-Oct-20 | 873 | 3.9 | 52.0 | 44.0 | B+8.0 |
| Swayable | 23-Oct-20 | 26-Oct-20 | 313 | 7.2 | 53.7 | 44.9 | B+8.8 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney,
2016 Result: 22.00% Clinton, 67.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| U WY | 08-Oct-20 | 28-Oct-20 | 614 | 4.0 | 31.0 | 59.0 | T+28.0 |