2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Mason-Dixon | 04-Feb-20 | 06-Feb-20 | 625 | 4.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | T+20.0 |
| WPA Intel | 07-Jan-20 | 09-Jan-20 | 500 | --- | 38.0 | 59.0 | T+21.0 |
2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 37.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 25.9% wins (2,587 wins ), Trump: 74.1% wins (7,413 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Zogby | 22-Jul-19 | 09-Aug-19 | 321 | --- | 40.0 | 45.0 | T+5.0 |
2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
6 polls
Biden: 98.5% wins (9,854 wins ), Trump: 1.5% wins (146 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Fox News | 30-May-20 | 02-Jun-20 | 1002 | 3.0 | 46.0 | 42.0 | B+4.0 |
| Change Res | 29-May-20 | 31-May-20 | 329 | --- | 44.0 | 47.0 | T+3.0 |
| Highground | 18-May-20 | 22-May-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 47.0 | 45.3 | B+1.7 |
| RWS | 10-May-20 | 14-May-20 | 946 | --- | 45.0 | 41.0 | B+4.0 |
| OHPI | 09-May-20 | 11-May-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 50.5 | 42.5 | B+8.0 |
| OHPI | 07-Apr-20 | 08-Apr-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 52.0 | 43.0 | B+9.0 |
2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.
2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.
2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (2 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (9,998 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| OurProgress | 21-Feb-20 | 25-Feb-20 | 643 | --- | 36.1 | 57.9 | T+21.8 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 32.00% Trump.
55 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| SurveyUSA | 18-May-20 | 19-May-20 | 537 | 5.4 | 57.5 | 30.2 | B+27.4 |
| Emerson | 08-May-20 | 09-May-20 | 800 | 3.4 | 59.0 | 29.0 | B+30.0 |
2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 43.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| GSG | 07-May-20 | 11-May-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 53.0 | 40.0 | B+13.0 |
| K-O-M | 01-May-20 | 03-May-20 | 600 | 4.0 | 55.0 | 36.0 | B+19.0 |
| MSU-B | 10-Apr-20 | 19-Apr-20 | 380 | --- | 53.2 | 35.0 | B+18.2 |
2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Quinnipiac | 30-Apr-20 | 04-May-20 | 915 | 3.2 | 56.0 | 33.0 | B+23.0 |
2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 42.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.1% wins (9,908 wins ), Trump: 0.9% wins (92 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Gonzalez | 16-Jan-20 | 21-Jan-20 | 410 | 5.0 | 55.9 | 40.2 | B+15.6 |
2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.
2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 90.00% Clinton, 4.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
8 polls
Biden: 87.5% wins (8,753 wins ), Trump: 12.5% wins (1,247 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-May-20 | 31-May-20 | 1186 | --- | 48.0 | 45.0 | B+3.0 |
| St Pete | 26-May-20 | 27-May-20 | 4763 | 1.4 | 47.5 | 46.7 | B+0.8 |
| Point Blank | 14-May-20 | 17-May-20 | 2149 | --- | 44.5 | 43.9 | B+0.6 |
| RWS | 10-May-20 | 14-May-20 | 1014 | --- | 45.0 | 43.0 | B+2.0 |
| FAU | 08-May-20 | 12-May-20 | 928 | 3.1 | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
| Fox News | 18-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 1004 | 3.0 | 46.0 | 43.0 | B+3.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 16-Apr-20 | 20-Apr-20 | 1385 | 2.6 | 46.0 | 42.0 | B+4.0 |
| St Pete | 16-Apr-20 | 17-Apr-20 | 5659 | 1.3 | 48.3 | 47.5 | B+0.8 |
2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.
2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
4 polls
Biden: 49.4% wins (4,936 wins ), Trump: 50.6% wins (5,064 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 16-May-20 | 18-May-20 | 1339 | 3.1 | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| BK Strategies | 11-May-20 | 13-May-20 | 700 | 3.7 | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
| P.O.S. | 04-May-20 | 07-May-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 47.0 | 46.0 | B+1.0 |
| Cygnal | 25-Apr-20 | 27-Apr-20 | 591 | 4.0 | 44.2 | 45.2 | T+1.0 |
2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.
2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.
2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney,
2016 Result: 56.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.1% wins (9 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (9,991 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 10-Apr-20 | 13-Apr-20 | 1021 | 3.1 | 39.0 | 52.0 | T+13.0 |
2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 42.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 29.7% wins (2,967 wins ), Trump: 70.3% wins (7,033 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 20-Apr-20 | 01-May-20 | 1222 | --- | 46.0 | 48.0 | T+2.0 |
2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 1.1% wins (108 wins ), Trump: 98.9% wins (9,892 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 30-May-20 | 01-Jun-20 | 699 | 4.2 | 40.0 | 52.0 | T+12.0 |
2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney,
2016 Result: 33.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 14-May-20 | 15-May-20 | 1104 | --- | 39.0 | 55.0 | T+16.0 |
2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.
2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
8 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
1 poll
Biden: 98.4% wins (9,839 wins ), Trump: 1.6% wins (161 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 02-Mar-20 | 03-Mar-20 | 872 | --- | 52.0 | 42.0 | B+10.0 |
2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.
2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 11-Oct-19 | 13-Oct-19 | 478 | --- | 58.0 | 38.0 | B+20.0 |
2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 68.3% wins (6,828 wins ), Trump: 31.7% wins (3,172 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 11-Oct-19 | 13-Oct-19 | 461 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.
2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 34.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Gonzalez Res | 19-May-20 | 23-May-20 | 810 | 3.5 | 59.1 | 35.3 | B+23.8 |
2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.
2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.
2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney,
2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 33.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Emerson | 05-May-20 | 06-May-20 | 740 | 3.5 | 60.0 | 30.0 | B+30.0 |
| UMass-Lowell | 27-Apr-20 | 01-May-20 | 1000 | 3.6 | 58.0 | 30.0 | B+28.0 |
2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
16 Electoral votes.
11 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-May-20 | 31-May-20 | 620 | --- | 48.0 | 46.0 | B+2.0 |
| PPP | 18-May-20 | 19-May-20 | 1234 | 2.8 | 51.0 | 45.0 | B+6.0 |
| Change Res | 11-May-20 | 17-May-20 | 3070 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| RWS | 10-May-20 | 14-May-20 | 970 | --- | 47.0 | 39.0 | B+8.0 |
| Hodas | 01-May-20 | 05-May-20 | 600 | 3.0 | 50.3 | 41.5 | B+8.8 |
| PPP | 28-Apr-20 | 29-Apr-20 | 1270 | --- | 50.0 | 42.0 | B+8.0 |
| PPP | 20-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 1277 | --- | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Fox News | 18-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 801 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 41.0 | B+8.0 |
| IPSOS | 15-Apr-20 | 20-Apr-20 | 642 | 4.6 | 46.0 | 38.0 | B+8.0 |
| RestorationPAC(R) | 16-Apr-20 | 18-Apr-20 | 600 | 3.0 | 49.3 | 43.2 | B+6.1 |
| Hart Res | 06-Apr-20 | 08-Apr-20 | 303 | --- | 50.0 | 41.0 | B+9.0 |
2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 84.8% wins (8,477 wins ), Trump: 15.2% wins (1,523 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Mason-Dixon | 18-May-20 | 20-May-20 | 800 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 44.0 | B+5.0 |
2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.
2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 40.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 2.9% wins (285 wins ), Trump: 97.2% wins (9,715 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Millsaps | 08-Apr-20 | 09-Apr-20 | 508 | 4.3 | 38.0 | 49.0 | T+11.0 |
2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney,
2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 25.9% wins (2,591 wins ), Trump: 74.1% wins (7,409 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| We Ask America | 26-May-20 | 27-May-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 44.0 | 48.0 | T+4.0 |
2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.
2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney,
2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 17.5% wins (1,749 wins ), Trump: 82.5% wins (8,251 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| MSU-B | 10-Apr-20 | 27-Apr-20 | 459 | --- | 39.7 | 45.3 | T+5.7 |
2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney,
2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.
2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.
2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.
2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney,
2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
1 poll
Biden: 95.5% wins (9,551 wins ), Trump: 4.5% wins (449 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| DCCC | 07-May-20 | 10-May-20 | 448 | 4.6 | 52.0 | 41.0 | B+11.0 |
2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.
2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 20.00% Clinton, 74.00% Trump.
1 Electoral vote.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.
2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 79.3% wins (7,927 wins ), Trump: 20.7% wins (2,073 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| ALG Res | 27-Apr-20 | 30-Apr-20 | 763 | 3.6 | 49.0 | 45.0 | B+4.0 |
2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 96.4% wins (9,636 wins ), Trump: 3.6% wins (364 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| St Anselm | 23-Apr-20 | 27-Apr-20 | 820 | 3.4 | 49.9 | 41.6 | B+8.3 |
2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.
2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.
14 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Quinnipiac | 30-Apr-20 | 04-May-20 | 941 | 3.2 | 54.0 | 35.0 | B+19.0 |
| Rutgers | 22-Apr-20 | 02-May-20 | 698 | 4.2 | 56.0 | 33.0 | B+23.0 |
| Monmouth | 16-Apr-20 | 19-Apr-20 | 635 | 3.9 | 54.0 | 38.0 | B+16.0 |
2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney,
2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 40.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 99.7% wins (9,972 wins ), Trump: 0.3% wins (28 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 20-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 1009 | 3.1 | 52.0 | 40.0 | B+12.0 |
2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.
2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.
2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 59.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
29 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Siena | 17-May-20 | 21-May-20 | 796 | 3.7 | 57.0 | 32.0 | B+25.0 |
| Quinnipiac | 30-Apr-20 | 04-May-20 | 945 | 3.2 | 55.0 | 32.0 | B+23.0 |
| Siena | 19-Apr-20 | 23-Apr-20 | 803 | 3.7 | 65.0 | 29.0 | B+36.0 |
2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.
2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.
2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 50.00% Trump.
15 Electoral votes.
13 polls
Biden: 84.5% wins (8,449 wins ), Trump: 15.5% wins (1,551 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-May-20 | 31-May-20 | 806 | --- | 46.0 | 45.0 | B+1.0 |
| Harper | 26-May-20 | 28-May-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 44.0 | 47.0 | T+3.0 |
| NRM | 12-May-20 | 21-May-20 | 391 | --- | 42.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 |
| RWS | 10-May-20 | 14-May-20 | 859 | --- | 45.0 | 43.0 | B+2.0 |
| MSI | 09-May-20 | 13-May-20 | 500 | --- | 45.9 | 45.1 | B+0.8 |
| ECU | 07-May-20 | 09-May-20 | 1111 | 3.4 | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
| Civiqs | 02-May-20 | 04-May-20 | 1362 | 3.0 | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| Meredith | 27-Apr-20 | 28-Apr-20 | 604 | 4.0 | 47.4 | 40.4 | B+7.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 23-Apr-20 | 26-Apr-20 | 580 | 5.5 | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| PPP | 20-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 1275 | --- | 49.0 | 46.0 | B+3.0 |
| Garin Hart Yang | 13-Apr-20 | 18-Apr-20 | 800 | --- | 48.0 | 45.0 | B+3.0 |
| PPP | 14-Apr-20 | 15-Apr-20 | 1318 | --- | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
| Harper | 05-Apr-20 | 07-Apr-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 42.0 | 49.0 | T+7.0 |
2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.
2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.7% wins (70 wins ), Trump: 99.3% wins (9,930 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| DFM Res | 03-Mar-20 | 05-Mar-20 | 400 | 4.9 | 38.0 | 55.0 | T+17.0 |
2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.
2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.
2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney,
2016 Result: 44.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
18 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 48.9% wins (4,890 wins ), Trump: 51.1% wins (5,110 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Fox News | 30-May-20 | 02-Jun-20 | 803 | 3.5 | 45.0 | 43.0 | B+2.0 |
| Emerson | 08-May-20 | 10-May-20 | 800 | 3.4 | 43.0 | 46.0 | T+3.0 |
| BWU | 20-Apr-20 | 25-Apr-20 | 797 | 3.7 | 44.9 | 44.2 | B+0.7 |
2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.
2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney,
2016 Result: 29.00% Clinton, 65.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Amber Integrated | 05-Mar-20 | 08-Mar-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 33.0 | 57.0 | T+24.0 |
2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.
2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
7 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.
2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney,
2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.
20 Electoral votes.
9 polls
Biden: 99.5% wins (9,953 wins ), Trump: 0.5% wins (47 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Change Res | 29-May-20 | 31-May-20 | 579 | --- | 46.0 | 50.0 | T+4.0 |
| RWS | 10-May-20 | 14-May-20 | 963 | --- | 48.0 | 39.0 | B+9.0 |
| Hodas | 09-May-20 | 13-May-20 | 600 | 3.0 | 45.5 | 50.2 | T+4.7 |
| Harper | 21-Apr-20 | 26-Apr-20 | 644 | 3.9 | 49.0 | 43.0 | B+6.0 |
| PPP | 20-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 1251 | --- | 51.0 | 44.0 | B+7.0 |
| Fox News | 18-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 803 | 3.5 | 50.0 | 42.0 | B+8.0 |
| IPSOS | 15-Apr-20 | 20-Apr-20 | 654 | 4.8 | 46.0 | 40.0 | B+6.0 |
| Susquehanna | 14-Apr-20 | 20-Apr-20 | 693 | --- | 48.0 | 42.0 | B+6.0 |
| RestorationPAC(R) | 16-Apr-20 | 18-Apr-20 | 600 | 3.0 | 46.7 | 46.7 | 0.0 |
2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.
2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.
2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney,
2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.
4 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.
2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney,
2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 55.00% Trump.
9 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 4.2% wins (416 wins ), Trump: 95.8% wins (9,584 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Civiqs | 23-May-20 | 26-May-20 | 591 | 4.5 | 42.0 | 52.0 | T+10.0 |
2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.
2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 32.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.
2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney,
2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.
11 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.2% wins (21 wins ), Trump: 99.8% wins (9,979 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| E_TN_U | 22-Apr-20 | 01-May-20 | 536 | --- | 36.0 | 53.0 | T+17.0 |
2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.
2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.
2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney,
2016 Result: 43.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.
38 Electoral votes.
5 polls
Biden: 15.0% wins (1,499 wins ), Trump: 85.0% wins (8,501 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Quinnipiac | 18-May-20 | 01-Jun-20 | 1166 | 2.9 | 43.0 | 44.0 | T+1.0 |
| Emerson | 08-May-20 | 10-May-20 | 725 | 3.5 | 41.0 | 47.0 | T+6.0 |
| PPP | 27-Apr-20 | 28-Apr-20 | 1032 | --- | 47.0 | 46.0 | B+1.0 |
| UT Tyler | 18-Apr-20 | 27-Apr-20 | 1169 | 3.0 | 43.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 |
| U TX | 10-Apr-20 | 19-Apr-20 | 1200 | 2.8 | 44.0 | 49.0 | T+5.0 |
2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.
2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.
2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney,
2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.
6 Electoral votes.
2 polls
Biden: 0.0% wins (4 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (9,996 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Y2Analytics | 09-May-20 | 15-May-20 | 1978 | 3.0 | 41.0 | 44.0 | T+3.0 |
| Rasmussen | 15-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 964 | --- | 32.0 | 51.0 | T+19.0 |
2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.
2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.
2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney,
2016 Result: 57.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.
2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.
2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.
2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney,
2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 44.00% Trump.
13 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 98.3% wins (9,832 wins ), Trump: 1.7% wins (168 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Roanoke | 03-May-20 | 16-May-20 | 563 | 4.1 | 51.0 | 39.0 | B+12.0 |
2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.
2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.
2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney,
2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.
12 Electoral votes.
3 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| PPP | 19-May-20 | 20-May-20 | 1070 | 3.0 | 59.0 | 37.0 | B+22.0 |
| SurveyUSA | 16-May-20 | 19-May-20 | 530 | 5.5 | 56.6 | 31.3 | B+25.3 |
| EMC Res | 31-Mar-20 | 06-Apr-20 | 583 | 4.1 | 52.0 | 39.0 | B+13.0 |
2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.
2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.
2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney,
2016 Result: 26.00% Clinton, 69.00% Trump.
5 Electoral votes.
1 poll
Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (10,000 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| WPA Intel | 07-Jan-20 | 09-Jan-20 | 500 | 4.4 | 33.0 | 66.0 | T+33.0 |
2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.
2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.
2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney,
2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.
10 Electoral votes.
9 polls
Biden: 100.0% wins (9,996 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (4 wins ).
| Start | End | Sample | % | % | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | date | date | size | MOE | Biden | Trump | Diff |
| Fox News | 30-May-20 | 02-Jun-20 | 801 | 3.5 | 49.0 | 40.0 | B+9.0 |
| Change Res | 29-May-20 | 31-May-20 | 382 | --- | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 |
| RWS | 10-May-20 | 14-May-20 | 875 | --- | 48.0 | 38.0 | B+10.0 |
| Hodas | 06-May-20 | 08-May-20 | 600 | 3.0 | 50.8 | 41.7 | B+9.1 |
| Marquette | 03-May-20 | 07-May-20 | 811 | --- | 46.4 | 43.4 | B+3.0 |
| PPP | 20-Apr-20 | 21-Apr-20 | 1415 | --- | 50.0 | 45.0 | B+5.0 |
| IPSOS | 15-Apr-20 | 20-Apr-20 | 645 | 4.8 | 43.0 | 40.0 | B+3.0 |
| RestorationPAC(R) | 16-Apr-20 | 18-Apr-20 | 600 | 3.0 | 49.7 | 45.3 | B+4.4 |
| Hart Res | 06-Apr-20 | 08-Apr-20 | 301 | --- | 48.0 | 47.0 | B+1.0 |
2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.
2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.
2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney,
2016 Result: 22.00% Clinton, 67.00% Trump.
3 Electoral votes.
0 polls
Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.