Biden versus Trump using polls from 02-Nov-19 to 02-Nov-20


Alabama

2004 Result: 36.84% Kerry, 62.46% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.74% Obama, 60.32% McCain.

2012 Result: 38.36% Obama, 60.55% Romney,

2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.

9 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1045 3.0 38.0 58.0 T+20.0
Auburn-M 23-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 853 4.4 38.9 58.1 T+19.2
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 266 7.8 37.2 55.8 T+18.6


Alaska

2004 Result: 35.52% Kerry, 61.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 37.89% Obama, 59.43% McCain.

2012 Result: 40.81% Obama, 54.80% Romney,

2016 Result: 37.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Biden: 2.4% wins (2,402 wins ), Trump: 97.6% wins (97,598 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Gravis 26-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 770 3.5 43.0 52.0 T+9.0
PPP 19-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 800 3.5 45.0 50.0 T+5.0


Arizona

2004 Result: 44.40% Kerry, 54.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 45.11% Obama, 53.63% McCain.

2012 Result: 44.59% Obama, 53.65% Romney,

2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.

11 Electoral votes.

19 polls

Biden: 96.1% wins (96,120 wins ), Trump: 3.9% wins (3,880 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Marist 29-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 717 4.5 48.0 47.0 B+1.0
AtlasIntel 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 641 4.0 48.1 50.4 T+2.3
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 732 3.6 48.0 46.0 B+2.0
Ipsos 27-Oct-20 02-Nov-20 610 4.5 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 908 2.8 50.0 47.0 B+3.0
Data Orbital 28-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 550 4.2 45.9 45.3 B+0.6
Siena 26-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 1252 3.0 49.0 43.0 B+6.0
Rasmussen 27-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 800 3.5 45.0 49.0 T+4.0
Gravis 26-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 704 3.7 48.0 44.0 B+4.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1059 3.0 48.4 46.1 B+2.3
SRSS 23-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 865 4.1 50.0 46.0 B+4.0
Trafalgar 25-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 1002 3.0 46.4 48.9 T+2.5
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 304 7.2 52.4 43.8 B+8.6
Ipsos 21-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 714 4.2 47.0 47.0 0.0
OHPI 22-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 716 3.7 49.0 46.0 B+3.0
Patinkin 21-Oct-20 24-Oct-20 729 3.6 52.0 45.0 B+7.0
Univision 17-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 725 3.6 50.0 45.0 B+5.0
Susquehanna 19-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 500 4.3 46.2 46.2 0.0
Y2 Analytics 15-Oct-20 24-Oct-20 700 --- 50.0 47.0 B+3.0


Arkansas

2004 Result: 44.55% Kerry, 54.31% Bush.

2008 Result: 38.86% Obama, 58.72% McCain.

2012 Result: 36.88% Obama, 60.57% Romney,

2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
U AK 09-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 591 3.9 32.0 65.0 T+33.0


California

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 44.36% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.01% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

2012 Result: 60.24% Obama, 37.12% Romney,

2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 32.00% Trump.

55 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
David Binder Res 28-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 800 --- 62.0 31.0 B+31.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 635 5.2 62.0 35.3 B+26.7


Colorado

2004 Result: 47.02% Kerry, 51.69% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.66% Obama, 44.71% McCain.

2012 Result: 51.49% Obama, 46.13% Romney,

2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 43.00% Trump.

9 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Keating 29-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 502 4.4 53.0 41.0 B+12.0
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 926 3.7 54.0 42.0 B+12.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 727 4.0 53.8 40.9 B+12.9


Connecticut

2004 Result: 54.31% Kerry, 43.95% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.59% Obama, 38.22% McCain.

2012 Result: 58.06% Obama, 40.73% Romney,

2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Sacred Heart 08-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 1000 3.0 51.4 26.4 B+25.0


Delaware

2004 Result: 53.35% Kerry, 45.75% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.94% Obama, 36.95% McCain.

2012 Result: 58.61% Obama, 39.98% Romney,

2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 42.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
U DE 21-Sep-20 27-Sep-20 847 4.0 54.0 33.0 B+21.0


D.C.

2004 Result: 89.18% Kerry, 9.34% Bush.

2008 Result: 92.46% Obama, 6.53% McCain.

2012 Result: 90.91% Obama, 7.28% Romney,

2016 Result: 90.00% Clinton, 4.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.



Florida

2004 Result: 47.09% Kerry, 52.10% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.03% Obama, 48.22% McCain.

2012 Result: 50.01% Obama, 49.13% Romney,

2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 49.00% Trump.

29 Electoral votes.

32 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
InsiderAdvantage 01-Nov-20 02-Nov-20 400 4.4 47.0 48.2 T+1.2
Aspiration 30-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 517 --- 45.0 43.0 B+2.0
Federick 30-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 768 --- 51.0 49.0 B+2.0
Susquehanna 29-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 400 4.9 46.6 47.4 T+0.8
Quinnipiac 28-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1657 2.4 47.0 42.0 B+5.0
Rasmussen 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 800 3.5 48.0 47.0 B+1.0
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1202 2.8 51.0 48.0 B+3.0
Emerson 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 849 3.3 51.8 46.2 B+5.7
Ipsos 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 670 4.3 51.0 47.0 B+4.0
St Pete 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 2758 1.9 49.2 48.1 B+1.1
RMG Res 28-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 1200 2.8 51.0 47.0 B+4.0
AtlasIntel 28-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 786 3.0 48.6 48.5 B+0.1
PPP 28-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 941 --- 52.0 45.0 B+7.0
Siena 26-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 1451 3.2 47.0 45.0 B+2.0
Targoz 25-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 1207 --- 51.0 47.0 B+4.0
Harris 26-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 1148 --- 50.0 47.0 B+3.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 4451 2.0 51.5 45.4 B+6.1
WaPo/ABC 24-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 824 4.0 48.0 50.0 T+2.0
Trafalgar 25-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 1088 2.9 46.9 49.6 T+2.7
Monmouth 24-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 509 4.4 51.0 45.0 B+6.0
Marist 25-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 743 3.9 51.0 47.0 B+4.0
Quinnipiac 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 1324 2.7 45.0 42.0 B+3.0
FAU 24-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 937 3.1 50.2 48.2 B+2.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 605 5.4 46.4 50.6 T+4.2
Ipsos 21-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 704 4.2 48.0 47.0 B+1.0
Susquehanna 23-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 400 4.9 43.9 48.1 T+4.3
YouGov 20-Oct-20 23-Oct-20 1228 3.5 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
St Pete 21-Oct-20 22-Oct-20 2527 2.0 48.9 47.4 B+1.5
Univision 17-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 743 3.6 49.0 46.0 B+3.0
RMG Res 20-Oct-20 22-Oct-20 800 3.5 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
YouGov 16-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 1200 3.2 48.0 46.0 B+2.0
Rasmussen 20-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 800 3.5 46.0 49.0 T+3.0


Georgia

2004 Result: 41.37% Kerry, 57.97% Bush.

2008 Result: 46.99% Obama, 52.20% McCain.

2012 Result: 45.48% Obama, 53.30% Romney,

2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.

16 Electoral votes.

13 polls

Biden: 76.6% wins (76,568 wins ), Trump: 23.4% wins (23,432 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Landmark 01-Nov-20 01-Nov-20 500 4.4 46.0 50.1 T+4.1
InsiderAdvantage 01-Nov-20 01-Nov-20 500 4.4 46.1 48.1 T+2.0
Aspiration 30-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 380 --- 52.0 49.0 B+3.0
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 749 3.5 48.7 49.4 T+0.7
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1036 3.0 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
Landmark 28-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 750 3.6 47.0 48.0 T+1.0
PPP 27-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 661 3.8 48.0 46.0 B+2.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1743 2.0 48.8 46.4 B+2.4
Monmouth 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 504 4.4 50.0 45.0 B+5.0
Civiqs 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 1041 3.3 51.0 46.0 B+5.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 373 6.9 48.1 50.5 T+2.4
YouGov 20-Oct-20 23-Oct-20 1090 3.4 49.0 49.0 0.0
Landmark 21-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 500 4.4 45.0 49.0 T+4.0


Hawaii

2004 Result: 54.01% Kerry, 45.26% Bush.

2008 Result: 71.85% Obama, 26.58% McCain.

2012 Result: 70.55% Obama, 27.84% Romney,

2016 Result: 62.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
MRG 02-Oct-20 07-Oct-20 988 3.1 61.0 28.0 B+33.0


Idaho

2004 Result: 30.26% Kerry, 68.38% Bush.

2008 Result: 36.10% Obama, 61.53% McCain.

2012 Result: 32.62% Obama, 64.53% Romney,

2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.

4 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
SPRY 29-Aug-20 01-Sep-20 600 4.0 34.5 59.7 T+25.2


Illinois

2004 Result: 54.82% Kerry, 44.48% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.78% McCain.

2012 Result: 57.60% Obama, 40.73% Romney,

2016 Result: 56.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.

20 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 55.0 38.0 B+17.0
Victory Res 26-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1208 2.8 54.1 38.2 B+15.9
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 424 6.2 54.2 43.1 B+11.1


Indiana

2004 Result: 39.26% Kerry, 59.94% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.95% Obama, 48.91% McCain.

2012 Result: 43.93% Obama, 54.13% Romney,

2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.

11 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Biden: 0.1% wins (54 wins ), Trump: 99.9% wins (99,946 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1147 3.0 42.0 53.4 T+11.4
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 301 7.4 42.3 52.9 T+10.6
Ragnar 18-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 629 4.0 40.0 48.0 T+8.0


Iowa

2004 Result: 49.23% Kerry, 49.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 53.93% Obama, 44.39% McCain.

2012 Result: 51.99% Obama, 46.18% Romney,

2016 Result: 42.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.

6 Electoral votes.

9 polls

Biden: 46.7% wins (46,708 wins ), Trump: 53.3% wins (53,292 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
PPP 01-Nov-20 02-Nov-20 871 --- 49.0 48.0 B+1.0
Civiqs 29-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 853 3.7 49.0 48.0 B+1.0
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 604 3.9 46.0 47.0 T+1.0
Insider Advantage 30-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 400 4.9 46.1 47.8 T+1.7
Selzer 26-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 814 3.4 41.0 48.0 T+7.0
Quinnipiac 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 1225 2.8 46.0 47.0 T+1.0
RABA Res 21-Oct-20 24-Oct-20 693 4.0 50.0 46.0 B+4.0
Emerson 19-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 435 4.7 48.5 48.5 0.0
Siena 18-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 753 3.9 46.0 43.0 B+3.0


Kansas

2004 Result: 36.62% Kerry, 62.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.65% Obama, 56.61% McCain.

2012 Result: 37.99% Obama, 59.71% Romney,

2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.

6 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1121 2.9 41.0 55.0 T+14.0
Siena 18-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 755 4.0 41.0 48.0 T+7.0
PPP 18-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 897 3.3 42.0 54.0 T+12.0
co/efficient 18-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 2453 3.7 39.0 56.0 T+17.0


Kentucky

2004 Result: 39.69% Kerry, 59.55% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.17% Obama, 57.40% McCain.

2012 Result: 37.80% Obama, 60.49% Romney,

2016 Result: 33.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 6.6% wins (6,623 wins ), Trump: 93.4% wins (93,377 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
BCTC 18-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 250 --- 38.8 52.0 T+13.2


Louisiana

2004 Result: 42.22% Kerry, 56.72% Bush.

2008 Result: 39.93% Obama, 58.56% McCain.

2012 Result: 40.58% Obama, 57.78% Romney,

2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.

8 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
UNO 22-Oct-20 22-Oct-20 755 3.6 36.0 59.0 T+23.0


Maine

2004 Result: 53.57% Kerry, 44.58% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.67% Obama, 40.36% McCain.

2012 Result: 56.27% Obama, 40.98% Romney,

2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.

2 Electoral votes. Maine allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

3 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 611 3.9 54.0 43.0 B+11.0
SurveyUSA 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 1007 3.7 53.4 40.1 B+13.3
Colby Col 21-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 879 3.3 51.0 38.0 B+13.0


Maine-1

2004 Result: 43.00% Kerry, 55.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 60.51% Obama, 37.69% McCain.

2012 Result: 59.57% Obama, 38.18% Romney,

2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.

1 Electoral vote.

3 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 310 --- 58.0 39.0 B+19.0
SurveyUSA 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 498 --- 58.8 34.7 B+24.1
Colby Col 21-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 426 --- 56.0 34.0 B+22.0


Maine-2

2004 Result: 46.00% Kerry, 52.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.61% Obama, 43.35% McCain.

2012 Result: 52.94% Obama, 44.38% Romney,

2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 51.00% Trump.

1 Electoral vote.

3 polls

Biden: 79.5% wins (79,465 wins ), Trump: 20.5% wins (20,535 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 301 --- 50.0 47.0 B+3.0
SurveyUSA 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 509 3.7 47.9 45.4 B+2.6
Colby Col 21-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 453 --- 46.0 42.0 B+4.0


Maryland

2004 Result: 55.91% Kerry, 42.93% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.92% Obama, 36.47% McCain.

2012 Result: 61.97% Obama, 35.90% Romney,

2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 34.00% Trump.

10 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Gonzalez Res 19-Oct-20 24-Oct-20 820 3.5 58.0 32.9 B+25.1


Massachusetts

2004 Result: 61.94% Kerry, 36.78% Bush.

2008 Result: 61.80% Obama, 35.99% McCain.

2012 Result: 60.65% Obama, 37.51% Romney,

2016 Result: 60.00% Clinton, 33.00% Trump.

11 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
MassINC 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 929 --- 62.0 28.0 B+34.0


Michigan

2004 Result: 51.23% Kerry, 47.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.43% Obama, 40.96% McCain.

2012 Result: 54.21% Obama, 44.71% Romney,

2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.

16 Electoral votes.

22 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 50.0 43.0 B+7.0
Trafalgar 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1033 4.0 45.8 48.3 T+2.5
InsiderAdvantage 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 500 4.4 48.8 46.7 B+2.1
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 700 3.4 52.0 45.0 B+7.0
Ipsos 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 654 4.4 54.0 43.0 B+11.0
Mitchell 29-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 817 3.4 52.0 45.0 B+7.0
PPP 29-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 745 3.6 54.0 44.0 B+10.0
RMG Res 27-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 800 3.5 51.0 44.0 B+7.0
Targoz 25-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 993 --- 53.0 39.0 B+14.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1736 2.0 51.8 44.5 B+7.3
EPIC-MRA 25-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 500 --- 48.0 41.0 B+7.0
SRSS 23-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 907 3.8 53.0 42.0 B+11.0
Trafalgar 25-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 1058 2.9 46.6 49.1 T+2.5
Mitchell 25-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 759 3.6 52.4 42.0 B+10.4
Siena 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 856 3.8 49.0 41.0 B+8.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 394 6.7 58.6 39.6 B+19.0
Kiaer Res 21-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 669 5.6 53.5 40.6 B+12.9
Glengariff 23-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 600 4.0 49.3 46.1 B+3.2
Ipsos 20-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 652 4.4 53.0 43.0 B+10.0
WaPo/ABC 20-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 789 4.0 49.0 44.0 B+5.0
PPP 21-Oct-20 22-Oct-20 807 --- 50.0 43.0 B+7.0
Gravis 20-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 679 3.8 55.0 42.0 B+13.0


Minnesota

2004 Result: 51.09% Kerry, 47.61% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.06% Obama, 43.82% McCain.

2012 Result: 52.65% Obama, 44.96% Romney,

2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 45.00% Trump.

10 Electoral votes.

8 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 52.0 43.0 B+9.0
PPP 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 770 --- 54.0 43.0 B+11.0
Targoz 25-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 1138 --- 53.0 44.0 B+9.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 883 --- 52.0 42.0 B+10.0
SurveyUSA 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 649 4.6 47.0 42.0 B+5.0
Gravis 24-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 657 --- 53.0 39.0 B+14.0
Trafalgar 14-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 1065 2.9 45.9 43.7 B+2.2
St Cloud 10-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 372 --- 54.0 39.0 B+15.0


Mississippi

2004 Result: 39.75% Kerry, 59.44% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.00% Obama, 56.18% McCain.

2012 Result: 43.79% Obama, 55.29% Romney,

2016 Result: 40.00% Clinton, 58.00% Trump.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 1.1% wins (1,101 wins ), Trump: 98.9% wins (98,899 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Civiqs 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 507 5.3 41.0 55.0 T+14.0


Missouri

2004 Result: 46.10% Kerry, 53.30% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.29% Obama, 49.43% McCain.

2012 Result: 44.38% Obama, 53.76% Romney,

2016 Result: 38.00% Clinton, 57.00% Trump.

10 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Biden: 0.7% wins (671 wins ), Trump: 99.3% wins (99,329 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Remington 28-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 1010 3.0 45.0 50.0 T+5.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1109 3.0 42.9 52.3 T+9.4


Montana

2004 Result: 38.56% Kerry, 59.07% Bush.

2008 Result: 47.25% Obama, 49.52% McCain.

2012 Result: 41.70% Obama, 55.35% Romney,

2016 Result: 36.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Biden: 5.6% wins (5,562 wins ), Trump: 94.4% wins (94,438 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
PPP 26-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 886 --- 47.0 49.0 T+2.0
MSU-B 19-Oct-20 24-Oct-20 546 4.2 45.0 52.0 T+7.0
Siena 18-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 758 4.4 43.0 49.0 T+6.0


Nebraska

2004 Result: 32.68% Kerry, 65.90% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.60% Obama, 56.53% McCain.

2012 Result: 38.03% Obama, 59.80% Romney,

2016 Result: 34.00% Clinton, 59.00% Trump.

2 Electoral votes. Nebraska allocates an elector to the winner of each congressional district, and two more electoral votes for the state-wide popular vote winner.

0 polls

Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.



Nebraska-1

2004 Result: 36.00% Kerry, 63.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.34% Obama, 54.09% McCain.

2012 Result: 40.95% Obama, 57.59% Romney,

2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 56.00% Trump.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Biden: 37.6% wins (37,613 wins ), Trump: 62.4% wins (62,387 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Stragegies 360 16-Jul-20 22-Jul-20 400 --- 46.0 48.0 T+2.0


Nebraska-2

2004 Result: 38.00% Kerry, 60.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.96% Obama, 48.76% McCain.

2012 Result: 45.78% Obama, 52.95% Romney,

2016 Result: 45.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.

1 Electoral vote.

1 poll

Biden: 69.7% wins (69,663 wins ), Trump: 30.3% wins (30,337 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Emerson 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 806 3.5 50.4 47.8 B+2.6


Nebraska-3

2004 Result: 24.00% Kerry, 75.00% Bush.

2008 Result: 29.63% Obama, 68.64% McCain.

2012 Result: 27.94% Obama, 70.56% Romney,

2016 Result: 20.00% Clinton, 74.00% Trump.

1 Electoral vote.

0 polls

Trump assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.



Nevada

2004 Result: 47.88% Kerry, 50.47% Bush.

2008 Result: 55.15% Obama, 42.65% McCain.

2012 Result: 52.36% Obama, 45.68% Romney,

2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.

6 Electoral votes.

5 polls

Biden: 99.9% wins (99,946 wins ), Trump: 0.1% wins (54 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 720 3.6 49.0 47.0 B+2.0
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 2442 2.6 51.0 44.0 B+7.0
Trafalgar 28-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 1024 3.0 49.4 47.1 B+2.3
Gravis 27-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 688 3.7 50.0 44.0 B+6.0
Siena 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 809 3.8 49.0 43.0 B+6.0


New Hampshire

2004 Result: 50.24% Kerry, 48.87% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.13% Obama, 44.52% McCain.

2012 Result: 51.98% Obama, 46.40% Romney,

2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.

4 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
ARG 26-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 600 4.0 57.0 40.0 B+17.0
UNH 24-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 863 3.3 54.0 43.0 B+11.0
St Anselm 23-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 1018 3.1 52.4 43.8 B+8.5
UMass-Lowell 20-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 757 4.5 53.0 43.0 B+10.0


New Jersey

2004 Result: 52.92% Kerry, 46.24% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.27% Obama, 41.70% McCain.

2012 Result: 58.38% Obama, 40.59% Romney,

2016 Result: 55.00% Clinton, 41.00% Trump.

14 Electoral votes.

3 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 56.0 38.0 B+18.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 386 6.5 61.8 37.7 B+24.1
Rutgers 18-Oct-20 24-Oct-20 872 4.0 61.0 37.0 B+24.0


New Mexico

2004 Result: 49.05% Kerry, 49.84% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.91% Obama, 41.78% McCain.

2012 Result: 52.99% Obama, 42.84% Romney,

2016 Result: 48.00% Clinton, 40.00% Trump.

5 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 99.8% wins (99,839 wins ), Trump: 0.2% wins (161 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Research & Polling 23-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 1180 2.9 54.0 42.0 B+12.0


New York

2004 Result: 58.37% Kerry, 40.08% Bush.

2008 Result: 62.88% Obama, 36.03% McCain.

2012 Result: 63.35% Obama, 35.17% Romney,

2016 Result: 59.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.

29 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 61.0 33.0 B+28.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 495 5.8 65.4 32.8 B+32.6


North Carolina

2004 Result: 43.58% Kerry, 56.02% Bush.

2008 Result: 49.69% Obama, 49.36% McCain.

2012 Result: 48.35% Obama, 50.39% Romney,

2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 50.00% Trump.

15 Electoral votes.

27 polls

Biden: 86.9% wins (86,950 wins ), Trump: 13.1% wins (13,050 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Federick 30-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 676 --- 51.0 49.0 B+2.0
InsiderAdvantage 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 450 4.6 43.6 48.0 T+4.4
AtlasIntel 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 812 3.0 47.5 49.5 T+2.0
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 855 3.3 47.4 47.1 B+0.2
Ipsos 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 707 4.2 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1195 3.3 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
Rasmussen 28-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 800 3.5 47.0 48.0 T+1.0
Trafalgar 27-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 1082 2.9 46.5 48.6 T+2.1
ECU 27-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 1103 3.4 49.5 46.7 B+2.8
CardinalGPS 27-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 750 3.6 45.9 48.0 T+2.1
Harris 26-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 903 --- 49.0 48.0 B+1.0
Gravis 26-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 614 4.0 49.0 46.0 B+3.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1982 2.0 49.1 48.4 B+0.7
SRSS 23-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 901 4.0 51.0 45.0 B+6.0
Marist 25-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 800 4.7 52.0 46.0 B+6.0
PPP 26-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 937 --- 51.0 47.0 B+4.0
MSI 24-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 600 4.0 48.2 45.0 B+3.2
Siena 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 1034 3.7 48.0 45.0 B+3.0
RMG Res 24-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 800 3.5 48.0 47.0 B+1.0
SurveyUSA 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 627 4.9 48.0 48.0 0.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 396 6.8 50.2 47.5 B+2.7
Ipsos 21-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 647 4.4 49.0 48.0 B+1.0
Harper 22-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 504 4.4 47.0 46.0 B+1.0
UMass-Lowell 20-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 911 4.2 48.0 48.0 0.0
YouGov 20-Oct-20 23-Oct-20 1022 4.1 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
Trafalgar 20-Oct-20 22-Oct-20 1098 2.9 46.0 48.8 T+2.8
Rasmussen 20-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 800 3.5 48.0 49.0 T+1.0


North Dakota

2004 Result: 35.50% Kerry, 62.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.62% Obama, 53.25% McCain.

2012 Result: 38.69% Obama, 58.32% Romney,

2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 63.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 1.4% wins (1,374 wins ), Trump: 98.6% wins (98,626 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
DFM Res 26-Sep-20 29-Sep-20 460 4.6 37.0 51.0 T+14.0


Ohio

2004 Result: 48.71% Kerry, 50.81% Bush.

2008 Result: 51.50% Obama, 46.91% McCain.

2012 Result: 50.67% Obama, 47.69% Romney,

2016 Result: 44.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.

18 Electoral votes.

11 polls

Biden: 21.8% wins (21,845 wins ), Trump: 78.2% wins (78,155 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Rasmussen 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 800 3.5 45.0 48.0 T+3.0
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 47.0 47.0 0.0
Civiqs 29-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1136 3.0 48.0 49.0 T+1.0
Trafalgar 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1041 4.0 44.4 49.3 T+4.9
Quinnipiac 28-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1440 2.6 47.0 43.0 B+4.0
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 656 3.8 49.0 48.0 B+1.0
AtlasIntel 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 660 4.0 46.5 50.4 T+3.9
Gravis 27-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 613 4.0 47.0 49.0 T+2.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 2179 2.0 46.6 49.2 T+2.6
Quinnipiac 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 1186 2.9 48.0 43.0 B+5.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 440 6.3 43.6 55.3 T+11.7


Oklahoma

2004 Result: 34.43% Kerry, 65.57% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.35% Obama, 65.64% McCain.

2012 Result: 33.23% Obama, 66.77% Romney,

2016 Result: 29.00% Clinton, 65.00% Trump.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Sooner 15-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 5466 1.3 36.5 58.5 T+21.9


Oregon

2004 Result: 51.35% Kerry, 47.19% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.75% Obama, 40.40% McCain.

2012 Result: 54.24% Obama, 42.15% Romney,

2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.

7 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Civiqs 26-Sep-20 29-Sep-20 944 3.5 56.0 39.0 B+17.0


Pennsylvania

2004 Result: 50.92% Kerry, 48.42% Bush.

2008 Result: 54.64% Obama, 44.29% McCain.

2012 Result: 51.97% Obama, 46.59% Romney,

2016 Result: 47.00% Clinton, 48.00% Trump.

20 Electoral votes.

32 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Susquehanna 01-Nov-20 02-Nov-20 499 4.3 48.5 49.3 T+0.8
Rasmussen 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 800 3.5 49.0 45.0 B+4.0
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 50.0 44.0 B+6.0
Aspiration 30-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 340 --- 51.0 49.0 B+2.0
Federick 30-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 879 --- 52.0 48.0 B+4.0
Trafalgar 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1062 2.9 45.1 45.8 T+0.7
Marist 29-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 772 4.5 51.0 46.0 B+5.0
InsiderAdvantage 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 500 4.4 47.4 48.7 T+1.3
Monmouth 28-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 502 4.4 50.0 45.0 B+5.0
Emerson 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 823 3.3 51.5 46.6 B+4.9
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 1417 2.6 52.0 45.0 B+7.0
Ipsos 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 673 4.3 51.0 45.0 B+6.0
AtlasIntel 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 672 4.0 48.5 49.6 T+1.1
PPP 28-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 1012 --- 52.0 45.0 B+7.0
Siena 26-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 1862 2.4 49.0 43.0 B+6.0
Targoz 25-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 998 --- 56.0 42.0 B+14.0
Harris 26-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 901 --- 51.0 46.0 B+5.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 2686 2.0 51.9 43.2 B+8.7
WaPo/ABC 24-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 824 4.0 51.0 44.0 B+7.0
RMG Res 25-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 800 3.5 51.0 45.0 B+6.0
Muhlenberg 23-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 419 5.5 49.0 44.0 B+5.0
Quinnipiac 23-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 1324 2.7 51.0 44.0 B+7.0
Insider Advantage 25-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 400 4.9 45.5 48.4 T+2.9
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 491 6.0 51.9 46.1 B+5.8
Civiqs 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 1145 3.0 52.0 45.0 B+7.0
Trafalgar 24-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 1076 2.9 45.8 46.7 T+0.9
Gravis 23-Oct-20 23-Oct-20 602 4.0 51.0 44.0 B+7.0
Ipsos 20-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 655 4.4 51.0 44.0 B+7.0
Franklin & Marshall 19-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 558 5.0 50.0 44.0 B+6.0
PPP 21-Oct-20 22-Oct-20 890 --- 51.0 46.0 B+5.0
Univision 17-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 723 3.6 50.0 45.0 B+5.0
Civiqs 17-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 1577 --- 52.0 46.0 B+6.0


Rhode Island

2004 Result: 59.42% Kerry, 38.67% Bush.

2008 Result: 63.13% Obama, 35.21% McCain.

2012 Result: 62.70% Obama, 35.24% Romney,

2016 Result: 54.00% Clinton, 39.00% Trump.

4 Electoral votes.

0 polls

Biden assumed to win all elections based on past 4 elections.



South Carolina

2004 Result: 40.90% Kerry, 57.98% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.90% Obama, 53.87% McCain.

2012 Result: 44.09% Obama, 54.56% Romney,

2016 Result: 41.00% Clinton, 55.00% Trump.

9 Electoral votes.

6 polls

Biden: 0.0% wins (38 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (99,962 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 880 3.3 44.0 53.0 T+9.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 904 3.0 44.5 51.1 T+6.6
Starboard 26-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 800 --- 43.9 51.2 T+7.3
ECU 24-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 763 4.1 43.4 51.2 T+7.9
Data for Progress 22-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 1196 2.8 44.0 50.0 T+6.0
Harper 22-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 504 4.4 47.0 46.0 B+1.0


South Dakota

2004 Result: 38.44% Kerry, 59.91% Bush.

2008 Result: 44.75% Obama, 53.16% McCain.

2012 Result: 39.87% Obama, 57.89% Romney,

2016 Result: 32.00% Clinton, 62.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 2.1% wins (2,115 wins ), Trump: 97.9% wins (97,885 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Mason-Dixon 19-Oct-20 21-Oct-20 625 4.0 40.0 51.0 T+11.0


Tennessee

2004 Result: 42.53% Kerry, 56.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 41.83% Obama, 56.90% McCain.

2012 Result: 39.08% Obama, 59.48% Romney,

2016 Result: 35.00% Clinton, 61.00% Trump.

11 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
SRSS 05-May-20 22-May-20 1000 3.8 42.0 51.0 T+9.0
E_TN_U 22-Apr-20 01-May-20 536 --- 36.0 53.0 T+17.0


Texas

2004 Result: 38.22% Kerry, 61.09% Bush.

2008 Result: 43.68% Obama, 55.45% McCain.

2012 Result: 41.38% Obama, 57.17% Romney,

2016 Result: 43.00% Clinton, 52.00% Trump.

38 Electoral votes.

11 polls

Biden: 24.2% wins (24,201 wins ), Trump: 75.8% wins (75,799 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Emerson 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 763 3.5 48.8 49.7 T+0.9
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 709 3.2 49.0 48.0 B+1.0
PPP 28-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 775 --- 50.0 48.0 B+2.0
Gravis 27-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 670 3.8 45.0 50.0 T+5.0
RMG 27-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 800 3.5 46.0 50.0 T+4.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 3267 2.0 48.1 48.1 0.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 552 5.7 47.5 48.6 T+1.1
Data for Progress 22-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 1018 3.1 49.0 48.0 B+1.0
UMass-Lowell 20-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 873 4.2 47.0 48.0 T+1.0
Siena 20-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 802 3.8 43.0 47.0 T+4.0
Univision 17-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 758 3.6 46.0 49.0 T+3.0


Utah

2004 Result: 26.00% Kerry, 71.54% Bush.

2008 Result: 34.41% Obama, 62.58% McCain.

2012 Result: 24.75% Obama, 72.79% Romney,

2016 Result: 27.00% Clinton, 46.00% Trump.

6 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 8.7% wins (8,732 wins ), Trump: 91.3% wins (91,268 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Y2 Analytics 15-Oct-20 24-Oct-20 660 --- 44.0 51.0 T+7.0


Vermont

2004 Result: 58.94% Kerry, 38.80% Bush.

2008 Result: 67.44% Obama, 30.44% McCain.

2012 Result: 66.57% Obama, 30.97% Romney,

2016 Result: 57.00% Clinton, 30.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
co/efficient 19-Oct-20 22-Oct-20 584 4.1 62.0 32.0 B+30.0


Virginia

2004 Result: 45.48% Kerry, 53.68% Bush.

2008 Result: 52.63% Obama, 46.33% McCain.

2012 Result: 51.16% Obama, 47.28% Romney,

2016 Result: 50.00% Clinton, 44.00% Trump.

13 Electoral votes.

4 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Data for Progress 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 690 3.7 54.0 43.0 B+11.0
Roanoke 23-Oct-20 29-Oct-20 802 3.5 53.0 42.0 B+11.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 351 7.2 55.2 44.3 B+10.9
CNU 15-Oct-20 27-Oct-20 908 3.4 53.0 41.0 B+12.0


Washington

2004 Result: 52.82% Kerry, 45.64% Bush.

2008 Result: 57.65% Obama, 40.48% McCain.

2012 Result: 56.16% Obama, 41.29% Romney,

2016 Result: 53.00% Clinton, 37.00% Trump.

12 Electoral votes.

2 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
PPP 14-Oct-20 15-Oct-20 610 4.0 60.0 37.0 B+23.0
SurveyUSA 08-Oct-20 08-Oct-20 591 5.2 55.0 34.0 B+21.0


West Virginia

2004 Result: 43.20% Kerry, 56.06% Bush.

2008 Result: 42.59% Obama, 55.71% McCain.

2012 Result: 35.54% Obama, 62.30% Romney,

2016 Result: 26.00% Clinton, 69.00% Trump.

5 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Triton 19-Oct-20 20-Oct-20 544 4.2 37.9 58.0 T+20.1


Wisconsin

2004 Result: 49.70% Kerry, 49.32% Bush.

2008 Result: 56.22% Obama, 42.31% McCain.

2012 Result: 52.83% Obama, 45.89% Romney,

2016 Result: 46.00% Clinton, 47.00% Trump.

10 Electoral votes.

15 polls

Biden: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ), Trump: 0.0% wins (0 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
Research Co 31-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 450 4.6 50.0 42.0 B+8.0
Civiqs 29-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 789 3.6 51.0 47.0 B+4.0
AtlasIntel 30-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 781 3.0 50.6 48.7 B+1.9
Susquehanna 29-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 450 4.6 48.7 45.6 B+3.1
Ipsos 27-Oct-20 01-Nov-20 696 4.2 53.0 43.0 B+10.0
Emerson 29-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 751 3.5 52.6 45.4 B+7.2
Siena 26-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 1253 3.2 52.0 41.0 B+11.0
Morning Consult 22-Oct-20 31-Oct-20 1002 3.0 53.8 40.5 B+13.3
SRSS 23-Oct-20 30-Oct-20 873 3.9 52.0 44.0 B+8.0
Swayable 23-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 313 7.2 53.7 44.9 B+8.8
Marquette 21-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 749 --- 47.9 42.5 B+5.3
Ipsos 20-Oct-20 26-Oct-20 664 3.5 53.0 44.0 B+9.0
Gravis 23-Oct-20 23-Oct-20 677 --- 54.0 43.0 B+11.0
WaPo/ABC 20-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 809 4.0 56.0 39.0 B+17.0
Trafalgar 14-Oct-20 25-Oct-20 1082 3.0 46.1 45.4 B+0.7


Wyoming

2004 Result: 29.07% Kerry, 68.86% Bush.

2008 Result: 32.54% Obama, 64.78% McCain.

2012 Result: 27.82% Obama, 68.64% Romney,

2016 Result: 22.00% Clinton, 67.00% Trump.

3 Electoral votes.

1 poll

Biden: 0.0% wins (0 wins ), Trump: 100.0% wins (100,000 wins ).

Start End Sample % % %
Poll date date size MOE Biden Trump Diff
U WY 08-Oct-20 28-Oct-20 614 4.0 31.0 59.0 T+28.0