I’m no lawyer, but I like the Attorney General’s lawsuit to block Albertsons’ dividend payments ahead of their merger with Kroger. Wait until the deal is complete. Or just don’t be a monopoly?
Again, I want to stress that I have no legal training whatsoever. But the AG’s office under Ferguson has had a good track record.
Anyway, please wash your hands right now. And get vaccinated or boosted if you’re eligible.
538 has increased the likelihood of GOP control of the Senate to 53%.
New polls!
CNN has it 51-47 GOP. And only 24% of Dems are “very enthusiastic” about voting for baby-killers.
Marist has it 49-46 GOP. Last month Dems were up 3.
Morning Consult has it 46-46. Last month Dems were up 5.
(The tie is LV. RV has Dems up 5. Which is why RV sucks a week before the election.)
Muse of the Day:
Could New Hampshire Bring Republicans to 54 Senate Seats?
Darryl’s last Senate analysis was on Tuesday, October 4.
I guess we’re stuck with @ 1. Oh, and @ 3.
An Op-Ed by George Will published in today’s WaPo calls for my feeble, senile, imbecilic, incompetent president and my equally incompetent vice president to bow out of the 2024 election.
Hey, I don’t really care who DeSantis pummels in two years.
Dumb twats like YLB are the only ones who think the Dobbs decision trumps two years of fucked-up economic and foreign policy.
Intelligent white women know Biden fucked the country. Intelligent white Democrat women aren’t as willing to watch crime overwhelm their cities as dumb twat YLB is.
Alright, who else is lookin’ forward to the Fed’s interest rate announcement later today?
50? 75? 100?
They weren’t watching the Capitol on January 6, 2021, either.
POLITICS
Capitol Police had a camera feed of Pelosi’s home during attack, but no one was monitoring it
A poll only a certain dumb twat libbie could love:
It’s gonna be worse than y’all think, libbies.
Remember when A&P was accused of being a monopoly? Then they went out of business?
How bad did all the claims we made blow up in this court hearing
@7
Just your regular reminder that it has been the policy of the Federal Reserve since the dawn of the Federal Reserve that we keep somewhere between 3-4% of
lazy freeloading welfare recipientseligible workers unemployed so wages and purchasing power of the working class don’t rise.How can you have a $1 cheeseburger if we have to pay someone more than $7.25/hr to make it?
Not so surprising when one considers how close Trump came to flipping MN in 2016.
Well now that it’s all out in the open that I’m not just a racist but also a serial abuser of women and a real dick to work for generally I guess I’ll gather my billions and go live on the beach.
Good thing my fellow billionaires never take any of this shit seriously
@ 13
Actually, it’s about three percent of otherwise eligible workers who don’t deserve to hold a job.
See Frogg, Death.
Roughly 70% of HA libbies are in that category.
@ 15
Say Hi to Al Gore for us! He’s your next-door neighbor.
Well in the first really in depth poll since the debate, doing fine…
Understands PA concerns some alot (alot)
Oz 42 (19)
Fetterman 55 (30)
Will support Definitely (Definitely Probably) / defintely not (DN Prob Not)
OZ – 32 (44) / 45 (54)
Fetterman 39 (48) / 44 (49)
Trust on issues Oz / Fetterman (post debate):
Immigration 34 / 34
Gun Control 30 / 40
Abortion 26 / 44
Jobs 36 / 41
Defending your values 34 / 43
(pre Debate / not asked in current survey)
Crime 38 / 45
Elections and Voting 34 / 44
Capable of serving a full term Yes / No
Oz 59 / 39
Fetterman 48 / 49
Is that a concern and make you reconsider your vote?
Yes 3
Yes, but still voting the same 22
No concern 49%
So if a feller is making hay about national polling he would have to come to the conclusion that Oz is toast. Behind on support, behind on all the issues, behind.
All they have is my health and then OZ can come down once again on the side of, “not every doctor who has experience in the particular field and maybe I should try ivermectin.”
Here’s where someone points out that 4 point lead is INSIDE the 4.5 MOE so the press can call this a dead heat when in actuality is IS POSSIBLE I’m down .5 points if the poll is way off but it’s equally likely I’m up 8.5. Most likely scenarios at this point is I’m up somewhere between 2 and 6 points.
“I was born a poor black child.”
@ 18
Here’s where someone points out that…
It’s a poll of RV released less than a week before the election.
A plurality think Fetterman is incapable of doing the job for 6 years.
There’s only one percent difference in the “definitely not” voters between the two candidates.
One percent in a RV sampling is a tied race, at best, for Democrats.
The last RV poll of PA Senate on RCP’s list was in mid-August.
With a week to go I think we should start keeping score on this.
Degen is now predicting:
– 54 to 57 (R) seats in the Senate which now include wins in Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, New Hampshire and even New York (???);
– 30 to 40 seat majority for violent Republicans in the House;
– Kari Lake winning in AZ;
– Jim Schultz winning in MN;
– Zelden winning in NY;
– House seat flips in California districts that Biden won by 14 to 20 points;
– House seat flips in New York districts that Biden won by 14 to 20 points;
That’s just the last couple of days. It’s not worthy of more digging than that. But I just think it’s useful to get it down on record in one spot now. For all our sakes.
Maybe he’ll be right. Who knows? If so then it’s worth it for all of us to see just how incredibly and unusually accurate and insightful Degen was this year. He’s clearly describing a massive sea change within the electorate of voters moving in vast numbers toward the GOP and GOP candidates, including massive shifts toward Trump-approved candidates who deny that Biden won. That would be a pretty huge deal. And Degen would be just about the only person foreseeing that huge sea change. So we’d better all get ready to kiss his ass if he’s right about this. Because it will mean that an overwhelming majority of voters in this election have changed their minds about a lot of stuff, and particularly about Trumpism.
Looking forward to seeing how it all works out.
Definitely will be interesting either way. But I’ll have to admit right now that if Degen is in fact right about this election, that Republicans are poised to seized complete control in nearly every state and in both chambers of Congress by substantial margins I would consider it a devastating loss for Democrats.
@15 and @17
Heteros – One big STD!
We need to ask Elon whether the rumors of him touching little boys is true or not.
@ 22
QoS McHillbilly, it would be a lot shorter if you would just insist that I plan on a complete GOP overthrow of the current leadership of the legislative branch of the federal government via a coordinated conspiracy amongst the party’s voters to cast an overwhelming number of legal ballots.
It’s both honest and sinister-sounding at the same time.
@19
The Delaware College for Colored Students was established on May 15, 1891, by the Delaware General Assembly. The name was changed to the State College for Colored Students by state legislative action in 1893 to eliminate confusion with Delaware College, which was attended by whites in Newark, Delaware. It first awarded degrees in 1898. In 1945, the Middle States Commission on Higher Education awarded the college provisional accreditation. Three years later, the institution became Delaware State College by legislative action. Although its accreditation was revoked in 1949, it was regained in 1957. On July 1, 1993, the institution changed its name yet again, this time to Delaware State University.
Carlos Holmes, a representative for DSU told Delaware Online that it was clear Biden was referring to the support he received from the school when he announced his bid for the Senate on the DSU campus in 1972 (this was fact checked in 2020, and 2019, TRUE)
Kind of like how Ronald “I’m here for the Racism and to ban Lesbians and Gays from Teaching” Reagan got his start at Neshoba State Fair talking about “State’s Rights” a couple miles from where three civil rights activists were abducted and later murdered.
@ 22
– 54 to 57 (R) seats in the Senate which now include wins in Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada, New Hampshire and even New York (???);
– 30 to 40 seat majority for violent Republicans in the House;
– Kari Lake winning in AZ;
– Jim Schultz winning in MN;
– Zelden winning in NY;
– House seat flips in California districts that Biden won by 14 to 20 points;
– House seat flips in New York districts that Biden won by 14 to 20 points;
1. 30 House flips is within the realm of possibility. 538 gives the GOP an 80% chance of winning between 215-249 seats. 249 would be well over 30 flips and a 31 seat majority. Don’t criticize me; criticize Nate Silver.
2. 54 Senate seats is a reasonable possibility, given polling within the last 72 hours. Schumer’s seat is as unrealistic as Murray’s seat.
3. Lake yes.
4. Schultz yes.
5. They aren’t the same districts as they were in 2020. But Democrat money is being redirected, now, to backstop Dems in districts Biden carried by 20 points. I’m just watching and grinning. Don’t ask me if I think D+20 seats will flip. Ask the DNC why it’s behaving as if D+20 seats might flip.
It’s noteworthy that QoS McHillbilly has gone from any hope of holding the House or Senate, and now is focusing on how wrong I might be despite the GOP flipping both chambers.
QoS McHillbilly’s Election Night victory won’t be saving the Senate and it certainly won’t be saving the House. It will be making sure that my overstuffed Xmas stocking has at least one lump of coal along with all of the Krugerrands in it.
I can live with that.
I’m reminded that while recording his interpretation of predictions I never made, QoS McHillbilly hasn’t told us of his predictions for House and Senate.
I know. He’ll be sure to tell us first thing Wednesday morning, November 9.
Time to add the Q poll to @ 2 today’s list of New polls!.
From four points down to four points up.
Since it’s a RV poll, make that six points up.
The Pain. It’s real and it’s spectacular. Get ready.
This doesn’t just mean they’ll vote better. They’ll smell better, too.
Would a bath every now and then kill y’all, Antifa?
He just posted a comment confirming all of it right before this.
Yeah, I do think he’s way the fuck out over his skis here.
Now it looks like Degen agrees.
Too late, it would seem.
Never fear, one or two shots of Jim Beam is all it will take for the pathetic lonely incel to go right back to where he was a few minutes ago dancing through the endzone tearing his shirt off.
We’ll see in a week I guess. But then again, I’m reminded that we’ve all seen this movie before several times. As far as Degen’s performance is concerned, I’m a bit bored, to say the least.
I can picture in my mind the look on his face when he would try to defend a controversial position, it looked very contemptfully (I know that isn’t a word – but suck on it).
Sell! Sell! Sell!
@ 31
As far as Degen’s performance is concerned, I’m a bit bored, to say the least.
Well, after all that time you’ve spent matching wits with The Even Bigger Fucking Moron, I think you’d pretty much have to be.
You want me on that wall. You need me on that wall.
The White House tweeted that the coming whopper of a Social Security monthly increase is due to Biden’s leadership.
It was fact-checked.
The White House deleted its tweet.
There’s a new sheriff in TwitterTown.
Kind of like an in-kind donation to the Zeldin campaign, no?
LEE ZELDIN
Cops Recover Gun Used in Shooting at Lee Zeldin’s Home, Make Arrest
Two men were shot Oct. 9 in the front yard of Rep. Lee Zeldin’s Long Island home
By NBC New York Staff • Published November 1, 2022 • Updated on November 1, 2022 at 1:38 pm
Thanks, NBC!
Just an FYI y’all:
Since Musk took over there has been zero change in Twitter’s moderation policy or algorithms.
Musk himself admits that it’s far too complex for him to immediately interfere with and that he’s having to “speed run the learning curve”.
Just one more thing for Republicans to be completely wrong about. Which is nearly all the time now.
@ 37
Yes, far be it from a CEO without oversight by a board to say one thing publicly and do another privately, WRT to his solely owned company.
Musk himself might not interfere. All those dudes he brought over from Tesla to scour Twitter code, OTOH…
Which of these would you believe?
QoS McHillbilly @ 37:
Since Musk took over there has been zero change in Twitter’s moderation policy or algorithms.
Or, Aaron Blake of WaPo:
It doesn’t take a platform-wide change of policy to begin keeping a few Twitter feeds originating from the neighborhood of 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue a bit more honest in the final week before the midterms, QoS McHillbilly.
It’s a shame Musk didn’t do this in the summer of 2020.
(whispering to the Twitter engineers) How do you keep it from bursting into flames?
McDonald’s has 4.7 million Twitter followers.
Taco Bell, 2 million.
Chik-Fil-A, 1.1 million.
Twitter isn’t going away any time soon.
John Eastman must have hired Alex Jones’ lawyers:
https://mobile.twitter.com/kyledcheney/status/1587880117828997120
Another in-kind donation to the GOP, from Biden’s pick for Fed Chair:
The S&P 500 dropped 2+% upon hearing him, and is now back in bear-market territory.
Milo won’t be getting his account back any time soon.
Carl, the AG’s public statement is here, and the legal complaint is here.
Generally, the AG would have grounds to sue if there’s price-fixing, deceptive consumer practices, antitrust issues, or violation of state securities laws.
Reading Ferguson’s announcement and the legal filing, which is a request for injunction brought under the state consumer protection act, his argument appears to be this:
1. Kroger and Albertsons together own so many grocery stores there’s a monopoly issue.
2. To avoid creating a monopoly, they would be required to divest several hundred of those stores.
3. The purpose of the special dividend, three-fourths of which would go to a private equity firm that controls Albertsons, is to set up those divested stores for bankruptcy. By way of explanation, only $2.5B of the $4B special dividend is covered by cash on hand, and Albertsons would borrow the other $1.5B, then shift that debt to the spin-off entity, which would be unable to pay that debt and would go under. That would put all of the stores required to be divested in order to maintain a competitive grocery market out of business.
4. This mimics a similar maneuver Albertsons pulled off when it acquired Safeway, with the spun-off stores going to Haggen, which went bankrupt following the merger. The legal filing describes in detail how Albertsons turned the Haggen spinoff into a dumpster for old inventory and fixtures, etc.
Basically, he’s arguing the merger is anti-competitive and the special dividend is a tactic to drive competition out of business.
While this lawsuit is brought under WA’s consumer protection act, and the State of WA is the only plaintiff, the reference in the press release to other state AGs of both parties suggests additional legal challenges to the proposed merger are being made under federal laws at the federal level.
My assessment is this has legs and might go somewhere. It’s quite a sophisticated scheme. Washington grocery consumers got burned by Albertsons once before, and Ferguson seems to be saying “stop,” this is as far as grocery business consolidation is going to go in our state.
If DOJ is negotiating a cooperation agreement with Kash Patel (big “if”, depending on the sourcing for this story which I’m skeptical of), then it can only be because they are intending to go after Trump now on the stolen documents.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/nov/02/kash-patel-immunity-deal-trump-documents-doj
Big if true.
‘My resume against his resume, I’ll put it up any time of the day’
Why’s that Obummer dude talking about me anyway?
@8 “Capitol Police had a camera feed of Pelosi’s home during attack, but no one was monitoring it”
That’s right, because Republicans defunded the Capitol Police.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/charlestiefer/2021/07/09/how-congressional-republicans-maneuver-against-funding-the-capitol-police-for-january-6/?sh=32983f3a4857
@7 The Dow dropped 500 points today, and that’s exactly what I want to see. More please! Stocks were obscenely inflated by Fed policy. I’m gradually selling off my oil stocks, which are at historic highs, and cautiously buying financial, industrial, and consumer stocks that have fallen in price. As of yesterday, my portfolio was nearly 20% ahead of the S&P 500 year-to-date. The Fed has a patriotic duty to bring down inflation and stock prices, and to its credit is not wavering in the face of pressure from bond and stock markets or the Doctor Dumbfucks of the world. Green lettuce for rabbits!
For now, at least, I have to regard the Guardian reporting as speculation without authoritative sources. But speculation is fun. So here goes:
Seeking a use immunity agreement, especially in the case of a Trump cock-gobbler like Kash Patel, also means DOJ has receipts. A use immunity agreement would allow DOJ to compel testimony from Patel about specific criminal acts he participated in without invoking his Fifth amendment right. There are generally limited circumstances in which such an agreement is productive when employed to obtain testimony from an uncooperative witness avowedly hostile to the prosecution. Those circumstances most often involve compelling evidence of the witnesses’ involvement in criminal acts related to the testimony and about which the prosecution is prepared to move forward with a criminal indictment and prosecution against the witness. In other words, Patel is fucked. They have him on surveillance tape rubbing his dick all over classified nuclear secrets and destroying documents or some shit.
And those circumstances also tend to involve compelled testimony from the witness about specific criminal acts that are already known by the prosecution to involve targets much higher on the food chain, and the facts of which testimony are already in the possession of the prosecution. That way if the worthless skell lies in their sworn testimony in a way to exonerate the boss the immunity agreement is voided.
So if it is true that Bratt is seeking a use immunity agreement for Patel then it’s a very sure bet that means Bratt is gunning for Trump and already has all the documentary ammo needed to convict. Considering that we only learned the first hints about the stolen classified secrets in April, and that the sex club warrant was served in August, this is actually astonishingly fast.
@16 “don’t deserve to hold a job”
Why, because they don’t shovel coal fast enough for 12 hours a day to earn their $1.50 a day?
In case you’ve forgotten, that’s how you assholes got the United Mine Workers of America.
@20 “A plurality think Fetterman is incapable of doing the job for 6 years.”
Still better than someone who promotes quack medicines and votes for the GOP agenda in the eyes of several million voters.
@22 “Because it will mean that an overwhelming majority of voters in this election have changed their minds about a lot of stuff, and particularly about Trumpism.”
I grant it’s conceivable a majority of voters admire godfathers and want to live in a society ruled by gangsters and their enforcers (Proud Boys, etc.), and the more criminal and violent Republicans become, the more they’re admired. I just don’t think it’s likely, that’s all.
This report about a use immunity agreement for Patel was preceded a couple of days ago by Bratt hiring into his team David Raskin. Raskin is a superstar counterintel and terrorism prosecutor with more complex trial experience in these kinds of prosecutions that just about anybody else. He worked as the senior crim prosecutor for DOJ in NY for many years and obtained convictions in the embassy bombing prosecutions and the Moussaoui case. Prosecutions such as might be expected against a fucktard like Trump, are quite complex and require strong coordination and leadership of a large team of specialists. Raskin has that experience aplenty. He’s either there to help assemble such a team or to run it, or both. But his presence indicates that such a team is probably being assembled.
@31 I get the feeling he’s been neglecting his stock portfolio.
@42 I hope so.
Reminds me of the incompetence of Dino Rossi’s lawyers. They were paid $2 million to increase Gregoire’s margin of victory from 129 to 133 votes.
But here’s the kicker. The Democrats picked up over 700 votes by collecting signatures from voters who either didn’t sign their ballots or whose signatures were questioned. Republicans collected 200-300 valid signatures, but their lawyers advised them not to submit them, believing that would strengthen their argument before the state Supreme Court to throw out the Democrats’ signatures — but they lost that case. And that’s how Rossi lost the election.
Which raises this question: Why are Republican lawyers so fucking incompetent?
“Former President Donald Trump and his company settled a lawsuit alleging his security assaulted a group of men protesting Trump’s rhetoric outside of Trump Tower in 2015, averting a public trial.”
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/02/politics/trump-tower-lawsuit-settlement/index.html
The article goes on to say, “Benjamin Dictor, an attorney … who brought the lawsuit, said he could not comment on the existence of an agreement, whether there is a nondisclosure agreement or whether any money was paid to the men.”
But …, “Trump sat for a four-and-a-half hour videotaped deposition. Excerpts of it were released earlier this year. The entire deposition was expected to be played before the jury at trial. Lawyers for the plaintiffs wanted to question Trump to determine whether he was responsible for his employees’ conduct outside Trump Tower that day.”
Yes, money was paid. Enough to make the assaulted protesters happy. We know what he paid to buy two women’s silence. That would be a good starting point for deducing how much he paid to buy a whole group’s silence. It’s probably covered by insurance anyway, if he can get insurance.
You mean the guy that touched little boys? He’ll just police them so he can have more boys for himself.
You mean the guy that touches the little boys? He’ll just police them so he can have more boys for himself.
“A lawyer for former President Donald Trump described Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas as ‘key’ to Trump’s plan to delay Congress’ certification of President Joe Biden’s victory through litigation after the 2020 election, according to emails recently turned over to the House select committee investigating January 6.
“’We want to frame things so that Thomas could be the one to issue’ a temporary order putting Georgia’s results in doubt, Trump attorney Kenneth Chesebro wrote in a December 31, 2020, email, adding that a favorable order from Thomas was their “only chance” to hold up Congress from counting electoral votes for Biden from Georgia.
John Eastman, another attorney for Trump, responded to that email saying he agreed with the plan. In the email exchanges with several other lawyers working on Trump’s legal team, they were discussing filing a lawsuit that they hoped would result in an order that ‘TENTATIVELY’ held that Biden electoral votes from Georgia were not valid because of election fraud.
“Having a case pending in front of the Supreme Court, Chesebro wrote, would be enough to prevent the Senate from counting Biden’s electors. Thomas would end up being ‘the key here,’ Chesebro wrote, noting that Thomas is the justice assigned to dealing with emergency matters coming from the southeastern part of the country.”
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/02/politics/clarence-thomas-trump-eastman-emails/index.html
The story does not suggest Thomas was in on the plan, or Thomas was communicating with the schemers in a cooperative fashion through his wife. If that changes, the House should immediately impeach Thomas, regardless of how the Senate might vote.
@ 55
… he’s been neglecting his stock portfolio.
Thank God for neglect. Neglect is what keeps you from doing stupid shit with your holdings, the way Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit keeps doing with his.
I am so glad I neglected those shares I bought in my retirement accounts in ’93, ’95, ’97. They’re languishing. It’s so sad. Those shares are so lonely they are fucking themselves and splitting, 28-for-1 since purchase in one holding.
Meanwhile Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit paid in the high 170s for 3M, high 60s for Citigroup, and well over 25 for AT&T. His lack of neglect has cost him 20-30%.
Upthread @ 18 Fetterman claims the debate didn’t hurt him. He bases it on a RV poll.
Well, the Susqehanna poll just released was LV, and indicates otherwise:
Democrats permitted Fetterman to talk himself into a GOP Senate majority.
Democrats permitted Fetterman to grant the GOP authority to shut down federal judicial nominations for the next two years.
Was it worth it?
My president is feeble.
My vice president isn’t any better.
Another in-kind donation to the GOP from Biden Fed Chair nominee Jay Powell!
What’s important is that Momma YLB’s fucked kids feel every bit of the pain their mother’s stupidity has created for them.
Please pass on to King County Elections that we in the Deep State have made no provisions to insure Patty Murray wins the election next week. KCE will have to “find” more votes the way they did when they rigged the 2004 gubernatorial election. We are confident KCE will make sure Patty wins.
Hang this fucker! Dude thought he could be the President himself.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/02/politics/clarence-thomas-trump-eastman-emails/index.html
Tiffany Smiley is outstanding.
…outstanding
…outstanding
…outstanding
Law enforcement has gotten easier, in some respects, ever since perps took up boasting online about the crimes they’ve committed and are planning to commit.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/ohio-boogaloo-boi-arrested-allegedly-threatening-blow-irs-kill-federal-rcna55226
Another in-kind donation to the GOP from
Bidendrumpf Fed Chair nominee Jay Powell!And remember Jimmy Carter appointed Paul Volker who “unfucked” Carter voter lord kreepshit of widbee with TWO count ’em TWO hard landings.
and AFTER the “real” miracle on ice..
History speaks so kindly to lord kreepshit’s “intelligence”..
@67 Are you the same idiot who called me a communist in the previous thread?
@41
Someone’s not familiar with how email lists and live engagements work.
Does anyone have any photo evidence that YLB dressed up as a man on Halloween?
Elon, come clean. Are you or aren’t you touching the boys?
Does anyone have photo evidence of the second asshole Paul Volker gave teh kreepshit of widbee?
One hole for each hard landing.
@ 68
You meant lynch, not hang, didn’t you, G-clown?
Maybe do it high-tech, as he expects.
57)Don’t need to be competent with the Supreme Court stacked in their favor,
A bit of controversy is brewing in the 10th legislative district, where the Everett Herald has switched its endorsement from Shavers (D) to incumbent Gilday (R), claiming Shavers made “serious misrepresentations” about his background. I don’t think Shiver His Timbers votes in that district; I believe he’s in the 40th.
The facts are complicated, the issue nuanced, and I wrote about it in detailhere.
Basically, the Herald doesn’t like that Shavers, a Yale Law School graduate, described himself as an “attorney” (it’s not clear he did) before passing the bar; or as a Navy submariner when all he did was graduate from the Naval Academy and submarine school, and then serve as a public affairs officer.
The flap began when Shavers’ Republican father wrote a letter to his opponent calling him a liar. But dad has his own credibility problems; he was at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, trying to overthrow our government. And as I point out in my Handbill.US post linked above, few Republican candidates would pass the “higher standard of integrity” the Herald is applying to Shavers.
I’m not saying it’s OK to exaggerate or embellish. But double standards aren’t OK, either, and there are worse offenders than Shavers; so I expect the Herald to not endorse them, either. They should endorse candidates by a consistent standard regardless of their party. Otherwise, it looks partisan.
Why are Biden and Harris campaigning in Chicago the weekend before the midterm elections?
Is it because no battleground state wants them?
@ 79
There is no reason to read Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit’s pitiful shill of a story.
The Everett Herald did a fine job and published the father’s letter, in its entirety.
The Everett Herald tells you that the Democrat is a carpetbagger who is living in a BnB on Whidbey in order to feign “residence” in the legislative district other members of the Democrat party told him might possibly be flipped.
So the lying POS is trying to win a seat through means his own father considers dishonorable. The facts are not nuanced – the POS claimed he was a submarine officer when he never served on a sub. Once caught he stopped claiming that.
Perhaps the nuance is that the POS failed the bar and yet referred to himself as an attorney with Perkins Coie in his PDS filing. He’ll try again, but not until next year. He claimed to be working for Perkins Coie in January but has yet to begin work for that repeatedly disgraced legal firm. Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit embarrasses himself on a daily basis with his legal wizardry on HA and sees nothing wrong with continuing to embarrass himself; to him it’s nuance while to the rest of us it’s face-palm.
Shill for your pitiful blog elsewhere, Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit. Better yet, spend some of your capitalist dollars to help out the POS in Oak Harbor as he attempts to slither his way into a seat through dishonorable means.
Y’all shoulda stood by him. His revenge begins with taking down Hochul.
Andrew Cuomo: Democrats ‘tongue-tied when it comes to crime’
Cuomo’s not wrong.
WSJ told us white women are leaving Democrats in droves to vote for the GOP.
Apparently so are the independents:
Get ready for The Pain.
@81 “claimed he was a submarine officer when he never served on a sub”
What’s your proof of that? Got links? Something better than a letter written by a guy who was at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, trying to overthrow our government, please.
@83 You may be right. There might be a red wave. Conceivably, even Murray could lose. Which would prove that a lot of voters either haven’t been paying attention, don’t care, or are willing to hand our country over to the kind of people the Everett Herald argues shouldn’t hold public office.
Because Clyde Shaver’s fibs, if he fibbed at all, are nothing compared to the trainloads of lies Republican candidates shovel out every single day.
@81 “carpetbagger”
Now do Dr. Oz, hypocrite.
On the Seattle ballot, Prop 1 is an interesting two part referendum on changing how city offices are elected, Part 1 is a yay or nay on whether to change, 1A is for Approval Voting, where a voter can cast votes for all candidates They approve of. 1B is for Ranked Choice Voting. I supported 1B because for better or worse, RCV has more use already while Approval Voting only is in use in Fargo and Saint Louis.
Also will be interesting to see how Portland measure 26-228 and Multnomah County 26-232, both will adopt RCV. 26-228 actually will triple the size of the Portland City Council from 4 commissioners plus the Mayor to 12 plus the mayor, The 12 Councilmembers would be elected from 4 three seat districts, using Proportional RCV. Even in Liberal Cities, it can be a hard sell increasing the size of the city council.
https://www.sightline.org/2022/10/28/cascadians-get-ready-to-vote-on-voting/
@77
You want lynch, we’ll then you get free speech. Lynch re fucker. I’m sure he feels the same way of gay people, and as you. Amorite Shiver?
@ 84
@81 “claimed he was a submarine officer when he never served on a sub”
What’s your proof of that? Got links?
I got better than that, Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit. I got a direct quote from the candidate himself, right in that Everett Herald story you decided to rewrite from your preferred perspective, asswipe:
Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit, I know you’re getting on in years, and each and every one of us has noticed how much you are now missing. That’s why I highlighted in bold each of the three references to “submarine officer” used by the journalists in that article. One of those references is from his website, and the other was directly from him.
Three times, Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit. Plus the mention that he scrubbed the reference from his site when he got caught. They’re all there, and all you had to do was comprehend. You couldn’t.
Gentlemen and YLB, I reiterate my call to simply ignore what Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit posts on his pitiful blog, in the same way one ignores First Vegetable Joe Biden when he claims to have spoken to people who died before he was born or that he was born a poor black child.
Because Democrats deserve to lose them.
YLB has stepped in to give Goldy another platform on which to espouse his far-left conspiratorial schtick. YLB insisted on naming rights, as the effort was hers.
YLB named it Twatter.
Is America ready to give up democracy because gas is expensive?
92,
You’re seeing normal poll narrowing. The difference not only in this cycle but in the last few cycles, is that it is narrowing within an electorate that is more polarized and more divided. Nationwide popular splits and blue/red analysis in elections going back a few decades show much bigger shifts and movements. That made polls look better at picking outcomes. The polls often performed quite poorly, finishing outside the MOE, but it didn’t matter when one side or one candidate was twenty five points ahead. Back then polls missed the composition and margins all the time. But people didn’t notice because they got the winner right.
But today we are in an environment where every election in every state and district is relatively very close every time. And that’s happening at the worst possible time for polling where more than 95% of actual voters simply refuse to participate in surveys. A fairly small introduction of polling bias is capable of shifting predicted outcomes one way or another. And so far there’s no way to predict or even credibly speculate about bias in polling. Each cycle is different from the last.
I personally think one significant reason for this is that the electorate is passing through a kind of demographic choke point. For many previous cycles and even decades the composition of the electorate was dominated by a single generational cohort born during a twenty year period between 1945 and 1965. The sheer size of that cohort of voters contributed to greater uniformity and predictability among voters. They were and are more herd-like.
But that cohort is now in a fairly steep decline. And a couple of other cohorts have grown up, increased their turnout, and begun to take over the dominant influence in elections. Their voting behavior is different and their polling response is very different. They are more racially and ethnically diverse, marry later in life, have smaller family sizes, are more highly educated (especially among women), and have a higher rate of workforce participation compared to Boomers.
These post-Boomer voters are now a slight and growing majority of the vote in each election. And the big difference in the way they respond to current events as well as the big difference in the way they respond to polls when compared to Boomers probably explains a lot of the close splits in elections and polls. While there are obvious splits within each group, Boomers tend to go more one way, post-Boomers the other. That isn’t always a strict blue/red division. But it’s getting that way more and more as the Republican party has moved farther and farther to the right on many social issues.
The result then is really close elections year after year for now and for a while to come. And that means more outcomes well inside the MOE at a time when a growing component of the electorate is probably not well sampled in polls and may never be.
For Democrats then, the ray of sunshine in all this is that their fate can be in their own hands. Again, while the participation rate among post-Boomers has been growing rapidly, they remain a very rich vein of potential voters to mine with GOTV when compared to Boomers. Not just in terms of raw numbers of non-voters available, but especially in terms of micro-targeting. House campaigns in swing districts have at their disposal a means of moving the dial well within the polling margins. They just have to use it. More and more they are.
Cohorts? What is this, Ancient Rome?
@ 93
That made polls look better at picking outcomes.
So did the days of Republicans not being threatened with violence for answering a pollster.
Democrats deservedly will be pummeled.
Gallup:
CNN’s Harry Enten:
Lie back and enjoy it, libbies.
Democrats spent $53 million to support election-questioning, MAGAish GOP candidates during the primaries.
A substantial number of them will clean Democrat clocks on Tuesday.
Lie back and enjoy it.
“Very likely voters”, 1,000 of them, based on 2022 turnout modeling.
Oh, and about that “democracy” thing y’all libbies are tryin’ out as yer last gasp:
Abort the effort. It’s a silly one. Silly attracts dumb twats like YLB. She’s already married to the liberal line, no matter how insane it might be.
Lie back and enjoy it.
Half of voters (50%) say the debate worsened their opinion of Fetterman…
Link @ 97
Fetterman will be a new Op-Ed columnist at handbill.us. Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit issued a press release claiming,
“John Fetterman and I share the same comprehension skills.”
Mere hours after a Trump supporter fire bombs a Tulsa minority woman owned donut shop for hosting a fundraiser. Mere days after a Republican attempted to murder the spouse of the Speaker of the House.
Degen has become so predictably trite and irrelevant that it has almost stopped being funny.
Sadly the growing tide of Republican political violence is anything but funny.
94,
The unimaginative and desperately lonely troll who, in 1982 dutifully popped the collar on his pique-knit polo shirt precisely like every other douche-bro, wonders what a “cohort” is.
A priceless moment is self-klownsmanship.
@ 100
Sadly the growing tide of Republican political violence is anything but funny.
You forgot the MAGA dudes who laid into Jussie, QoS McHillbilly.
Bibi!
Israel Prime Minister Yair Lapid congratulates Benjamin Netanyahu on election victory
@ 93
For many previous cycles and even decades the composition of the electorate was dominated by a single generational cohort born during a twenty year period between 1945 and 1965. The sheer size of that cohort of voters contributed to greater uniformity and predictability among voters. They were and are more herd-like.
If you mean the bulls knew which cows to fuck without having to lift their tails first, I’m with you.
WSJ this morning confirms The Guardian reporting from yesterday that the DOJ has obtained a use immunity agreement enabling them to subpoena Kash Patel and compel his testimony before a South Florida criminal grand jury in relation to the criminal theft, mishandling, destruction, and exposure of top secret classified documents at Trump’s Florida sex club.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/trump-aide-granted-immunity-set-to-testify-at-grand-jury-probing-mar-a-lago-documents-11667429590
For me this substantially overcomes my skepticism about the Guardian story. Other major print outlets are still trying to independently source this. Both WSJ and The Guardian reports continue to rely on anonymous sourcing. But the reporting standards of both papers imply that each has obtained independent, credible sourcing that corroborates the story. WSJ’s report goes on to specify that a federal judge (this would be Beryl Howell in this case) has previously approved the agreement and that it is now in place, allowing Patel to be compelled to give incriminating testimony before the grand jury without prejudicing his Fifth amendment rights. It is still possible that both outlets are being broadly trolled by lawyers representing Patel or Trump. But for that to be the case the trolling would have to be somewhat widely coordinated and coming directly from attorneys of record, not just minions or supporters.
This most likely then means that Bratt is intending to obtain grand jury testimony from Patel that would enable him to bring a criminal indictment against Trump soon after the mid terms.
Pretty big story. Probably the most politically significant criminal prosecution in the U.S. since Watergate. Republicans will lose their shit and there’s a very good chance for a lot of serious political violence and terrorism from Republicans as a result.
Stay away from crowds this holiday season. Republicans will be wilding and killing.
94. Words too big. Brain hurts. Make it stop.
@ 105
Pretty big story. Probably the most politically significant criminal prosecution in the U.S. since Watergate.
Perhaps. But if so, only because of Comey’s decision in July, 2016. That one would’ve been much more significant.
Went from record high October Temps to SDOT already installing snow plow equipment and de-icer on trucks. Saw one go by while switching from LINK to the bus at U-District.
583 now gives the GOP a 54% chance of controlling the Senate after the midterms.
Get ready for The Pain.
I mean every single one of them kept a copy of The Preppy Handbook under their pillow for a decade.
For example.
Never before in American history has a single generation been more fiercely devoted to conformity and shared ritual experience. Dude-bros like Degen depended on that conformity to overcome their crippling fears and confusion about sex – that and plenty of cheap beer. It’s also why they experience any deviation from that conformity as an existential crisis.
When you ask how in the ever-loving fuck does the marriage of two completely unrelated individuals of the same sex “imperil” the matrimonial stability of some other random, hypothetical opposite sex couple or interfere with them getting pregnant and having babies, this right here is your answer. Dudes like Degen experience the mere existence of that same sex married couple as so completely disorienting and confusing to their normal expectation of conformity and shared ritual norms that they have no choice but to drink themselves into a blind stupor and pay a tranny-hooker to take a shit on their chest while they jack off.
Once again, it’s your fault, not theirs. Get it?
102,
Nothing fake about these airborne shoes:
https://media-cldnry.s-nbcnews.com/image/upload/t_fit-1240w,f_auto,q_auto:best/newscms/2018_50/2117991/170812-charlottesville-car-crash-graphic-ew-413p.jpg
@ 110
When you ask how in the ever-loving fuck does the marriage of two completely unrelated individuals of the same sex…
I do not need to ask why Miss Portugal and Miss Argentina married. John Lennon asked me to imagine. I am pleased to do so.
In college my cheap beer was Coors while I was in the dorms – the bigger round circle you punched at the top worked like a dime in the dryers, which effectively made a six-pack 60 cents less expensive – and then became wide-mouth Mickey’s.
@ 111
Nothing fake about these airborne shoes:
Nothing fake about Rand Paul’s excised lung lobe or Steve Scalise’s multiple surgical incisions, either.
Y’all think it’s just me. It’s not.
Even the Veep is gettin’ ready for The Pain.
And then Momala is gettin’ ready to give my feeble, senile, imbecilic, incompetent president The Twentyfifth.
Nope. Those two things are very real.
Those two things.
I mean, I’m not at all surprised that FOX and Degen are going to need to pretend that political violence in the U.S. is all “even-steven”. I just don’t think it’s a credible claim before the audience that matters.
For example, women have been getting their teeth punched in by drunken, angry white guys since before time began. Emmett Till’s mom had to force herself to undergo the unspeakable sadness and humiliation of having her murdered son’s mutilated corpse put on display just so maybe, possibly a few more white folks in the North might comprehend what the Jim Crow South is really like. In my high school days a self-selecting group of varsity football players formed a weekend drinking club that included cat phishing at park bathrooms to find gay men to beat. Socially conservative white males are the most common demographic to sexually batter children in America. Etc. We can go on and on, of course.
The point is that it may be persuasive to a FOX news audience to claim that “white dudes got it just as bad” or that political violence is not disproportionately Republican. But that’s bullshit. And the folks who know it best are not watching FOX. But they are deciding elections.
Since 2001 conservative violent political attacks in the United States outnumber liberal violent political attacks by more than ten to one. And the trendline in that twenty year period is very clear, and shows a very alarming uptick in conservative political violence. At the current rate of increase by 2040 it will be 100 to 1.
And it’s not as if Republicans even repudiate this basic fact. They may dispute the number when it suits them. But about half of all self-identified Republicans now admit willingly to strangers polling them over the phone that violent attacks against their political opponents are a justifiable approach to obtaining their political ends. That compares to only about one in five Democrats.
Republicans support violence. Republicans commit violence. And Republican leaders urge them on. Even today, having learned that he is very likely to face a criminal indictment for stealing, mishandling, destroying, and exposing top secret, classified documents, Donald J. Trump is urging his followers to lash out against the government for holding him accountable to the law. Degen himself has repeatedly suggested that the hammer attack against Paul Pelosi was justified somehow, even if he had to fabricate justifications. The point is that NOTHING justifies attacking an innocent, frail 82 year old man in his home. But that simply is not what Republicans believe anymore.
Republicans believe in violence. Republicans commit violence.
I didn’t feel like quibbling that much. But the truth is it’s really only one thing. Sen. Paul was injured in a dispute with a neighbor of how he was disposing of his yard waste. His neighbor’s political animus may have contributed to the suddenness and violence of the attack. But the motivation for the attack was Senator Paul’s repeated construction of a trailerbilly midden heap on his neighbor’s property line.
Republicans want to ban education and teach ignorance.
https://www.rawstory.com/watch-extremist-republicans-openly-public-schools-teaching-science-math-history-and-social-studies-to-kids/
The Ninth Circuit validates YLB’s insistence that only women like her be treated as women, when it comes to looks.
Miss USA Has First Amendment Right To Exclude Transgender Women, Court Says
“Show your tits!” isn’t crude, it turns out. It’s an offer for YLB and others like her to validate their femininity before the world.
Hearing rumors again. Elon let us know the truth! Are the rumors true? Are the kids safe from your touching?
Is there photo evidence that lord kreepshit of widbee dressed as a horse for Halloween?
Talk about “trans”… heh..
“Show your tits!” isn’t crude, it turns out.
It’s a profit center for surgeons referred by clinicians at the affirm clinic to remediate lord kreepshit’s moobs problem.
Is the troll who tried to buy his manhood at the Island Feed Store now man enough to talk about this stuff?
His violent 1/6 insurrection intended to end our democracy.
His ongoing slo-mo coup to end our democracy.
His desire to see Christo-fascists completely re-write our Constitution.
His leader’s theft of our nation’s Top Secret documents.
No, of course not. He won’t talk about these things because, as we all know, he is not a man. He’s a fucking coward and a fucking traitor.
Generally, I am not in favor of student loan forgiveness. However, we should look at student loan forgiveness without paying the lenders the money owed to them out of the public trough. Let the former students declare bankruptcy, have that financial disgrace on their records and maybe the lenders will wake up to the fact that financing non-lucrative degrees is an unwise business decision. You see, the lenders thought it was “a lead-pipe cinch” that they would be re-paid by government if the kids defaulted. Take that guarantee away and lenders will make more wise lending decisions. It will do wonders to reduce the price of higher education, too.
@123 Shows how little you know about bankruptcy law. Student loans can’t be discharged in bankruptcy absent “undue hardship” as defined by Brunner v. New York State Higher Education Services Corp., 831 F.2d 395 (2d Cir. 1987) ( except in the 1st and 8th Circuits).
What is a “non-lucrative degree”? One that leads to a teaching job? Or public health nurse? The world has plenty of MBAs. What America needs is more teachers and nurses.
You must be a product of a Republican educational system. I’d like to hear what your mother would say about your report cards.
@124 With his 0.56 GPA, my worthless son never graduated from HS.
@125 Your son is dumber than a box of hammers, but it’s not your fault. His kind of stupidity isn’t inherited, it’s self-taught.
@93 Well, we do know that old men run school boards that young voters, if they turned out, probably wouldn’t vote for.
https://www.rawstory.com/where-is-nancy-costume/
@96 Yes, Democrats are stupid at times (and some campaign consultants absolutely deserve to get fired); but they’re still better than Republicans, who are venal and criminal all the time.
@104 You obviously know nothing about ranching. A few years ago, I visited a ranch that had two pastures, with 1 bull and 50 cows in each pasture, and every spring 50 calves were born in each pasture. The only way the bull could go wrong was by trying to fuck himself. But this would require instruction from Republicans, who manage this feat every day.
@112 “In college my cheap beer was Coors while I was in the dorms – the bigger round circle you punched at the top worked like a dime in the dryers, which effectively made a six-pack 60 cents less expensive ….”
Wherein the dumbfuck informs us — no, he brags — that he drank rightwing piss water and ripped off laundromats in college.
This prepared him for Caribbean mail-order med school to become a strip-mall radiologist.
Would be nice to see Marsh in a loin cloth
How about the Neanderthal breeders just teach there own kids.
Harper too! He’d be great in a loin cloth and club in his hand. One of the Flintstones. I’d love to see him pedal his car.
@124 – Actually, I have a master’s degree, and you’re not my mom. She died over 30 years ago.
@125 – You’re just wrong again, rodent.
Let’s see. I don’t think Clearance would have a problem with lynching a gay guy, so guess what!?, I don’t care if anyone would want to lynch him! Well I do care really, but fuck him, no loss.
Actually, I have a master’s degree,
LMFAO!!
Actually, I have a master’s degree,
Heh. And Ben “kookoo” Karsen was a brain surgeon who babbled that the Egyptian pyramids were built for grain storage.
And it wrote in its book that a belt buckle stopped him from stabbing his friend in the gut with knife. Even drumpf made fun of that.
It babbled all kinds of idiocy.. “Smart” guy.
Roughly 10 hours ago @ 109 I shared that 538 gave the GOP a 54% chance of retaking control of the Senate.
It’s now 55%.
In college my cheap beer was Coors while I was in the dorms – the bigger round circle you punched at the top worked like a dime in the dryers, which effectively made a six-pack 60 cents less expensive
oooh.. free stuff.. hops are estrogenic.. moobs alert!
@ 129
You obviously know nothing about ranching. A few years ago, I visited a ranch …
Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit knows everything about ranching ’cause he watched City Slickers AND City Slickers II.
The reason why the troll will never talk about what I listed @122 is because he’s a fucking coward. The reason why he’s a coward is because he is weak.
Having broken the treasonous troll, he is now my cowardly, weak bitch.
I see Steve @ 141 has given up on women, permanently.
@142 I see Republicans everywhere have given up on democracy. Which is worse?
To Democrats,
“We’re losing our democracy.” = “We’re losing.’
More Republicans than Democrats have voted, so far, in Miami-Dade County in FL.
Democrats appear not to be turning out in Clark County, NV.
That’s not a loss of democracy, Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit. That’s a red wave.
You’re losing, you know why you’re losing, but you don’t like that you’re losing.
Don’t blame it on democracy. Think on your sins instead.
Think on your sins.
Poor Degen.
All his “friends” are going home to eat supper and watch television in the family room, while he remains out in the street with nothing to do but torture pets and set trash on fire.
Trump’s SPAC scam missed another deadline yesterday.
DWAC, the scam investment vehicle created by CHICOM paper cutout Patrick Orlando, postponed for the sixth time a shareholder vote on extending the scam’s existence past a December 8th mandatory liquidation date.
It’s financial musical chairs with Trumpalo Dumbshits like Degen being left standing when the music stops.
When the deadline arrives the fund plan would reimburse bumbling, emotionally dependent Republican investors at a rate of about ten cents on the dollar. But that’s only if the fraudsters in charge haven’t already hollowed out most of the fund value – which they almost certainly have. DWAC will be the third SPAC in a row operated by Orlando that has failed to merge and been forced to liquidate at a loss.
“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.” – Albert Einstein
Poor QoS McHillbilly.
McMullin will lose by double digits and Romney will face a stiff primary challenge.
Also yesterday, persistent fraud in the Trump Organization prompted the New York Supreme Court to order immediate court oversight and monitoring of all Trump Organization business activities. The order effectively freezes all Trump Organization assets from any transfer or disposal without court approval.
This is the kind of shit they do to companies right before they force them into liquidation to settle civil, and criminal liabilities.
Great news for Degen, at least in the short term, because it means he can probably afford to get Don Jr. Cameos for both names on his Christmas shopping list: The horse, and OfDumbfuck’s trainer/bull.
https://www.cameo.com/donaldjtrumpjr