– Hey Vancouver voters, if you dropped off your ballot at the Fisher’s Landing Transit Center, make sure it wasn’t burned in the arson attack. There’s still time to make sure that your vote is counted.
– I wish there were more details about the Diaz suspension.
– Sorry this is both late and undercooked. Weird day at work.
Elijah Dominic McDotcom spews:
Here’s the piece of shit running mate glibly referring to trading human lives as an “inconvenience”:
https://bsky.app/profile/warrenterra.bsky.social/post/3l5hqxcntwj2q
Please bear in mind as you listen that a victim of incest is by definition a minor child. And Diet Private would force her to carry her abuser’s spawn to full term like a breeding appliance.
Elijah Dominic McFuckhead spews:
Super Genius Elmo has been ordered to appear Thursday for a prelim hearing in Pennsylvania into his voter registration lottery.
FAFO
G spews:
Musky Boy should have asked Bob if he could have borrowed the horses and pulled them around in a wagon.
https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-america-pac-blitz-canvassing-michigan-uhaul/
This is the promise of America under the FuckHump admin.
G spews:
Inflation was due to the FuckHump.
https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-america-pac-blitz-canvassing-michigan-uhaul/
Companies are readying with increased if The FuckHump should win.
Fuck Bob
G spews:
Florida is a shithole with an asshole that is even a bigger piece of shit.
https://www.newsweek.com/florida-exodus-home-insurance-crisis-1976454
Still in the Orange Vest on the podium spews:
Fuuuuuuuuck!
(Heard from somewhere backstage. We think it might have been Tulsi)
G spews:
I hear the Garbage was sitting in a Garbage truck today. but he was sitting in the wrong spot. He should have been in the back end. Who let the Garbage out!
No wonder he went bankrupt – brilliant man.
G spews:
Probably has something to be that it is a woman and not a man.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/arizona-voters-arent-buying-kari-lakes-stolen-election-claims-even-bel-rcna177772
Heterosexual Neanderthal Men are groomers and groom their women they aint going to let a woman take charge.
That’s why the Heterosexual Neanderthal Neanderthal Neanderthal virus exists and kills the womenz. Kids in the way, get rid of them too, and no need for the pet after that.
G spews:
look at the smile on this bitches face. Smiling like she can keep her man’s money. She’ll get the Heterosexual Neanderthal Virus one day. Men that worship money are more prone to beat the wife or girlfriend because they know that they own them. You can grab’em by the pussy!
https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/ftxs-nishad-singh-gets-no-jail-time-role-crypto-fraud-rcna178120
Elijah Dominic McFuckhead spews:
When our politics are polarized and electorates and elections are statistically and numerically as close as they are these days it can be hard to be positive and hopeful.
But I think it helps to think about the electorate differently to simplify the analysis and also to better understand where we are. I’m actively involved in local, mostly non-partisan elections. I volunteer my services on a few campaigns directly, casually volunteer for a bunch more, and I’ll be attending some local campaign events next Tuesday night to share the drama and hopefully celebrate. Smaller races feel different. And it’s the numbers that make that so.
My father was a local elected official for a brief period when I was growing up. In Seattle actually. And I’m always reminded of something one of his campaign managers shared with me in one of his campaigns. He walked me directly through the math. The numbers of voters who would vote. The numbers who were already going to vote our way. The numbers we had to move. And the effort that would be involved. (As an aside, I still suffer a little PTSD from doorbelling and canvassing at the age of nine.)
If you begin by discarding all the states that are essentially irrelevant to the Presidential election (thanks not to the Electoral College but to “winner-take-all” laws in those states) you are left with about seven states. A tiny mathematical analysis of that leaves you forced to conclude that Fat Hitler’s only path to 270 must include at least one blue wall state (MI, PA, WI). So the race lies in those three states and those 15 to 16 million voters. That’s a California Senate race. Cool. Kamala knows how to win those. And Republicans obviously don’t.
But we shouldn’t and won’t stop there. That’s because of something I mentioned at the outset of this post. Polarization.
You see the sad fact is that a really substantial portion of those 15 million voters already decided how they were going to vote months or even years ago. You guys ought to get that. Right? Admit it. You did too. And so did our shitty trolls. But it’s not just us. It’s a lot of voters. Really it’s a huge majority of voters. Even among the voters who, when asked by some survey drone, declare themselves to be “undecided” really are not. That’s just a thing that is. And we have to accept. The “gettable” voters are probably no more than five to ten percent of those who will actually vote. Moving those larger numbers is a long term project involving the culture and a not insubstantial amount of resistance from billionaires intent upon enslaving us like their own personal herd of dairy cows. But I digress.
Now wait. That means the number of voters we are actually fighting over is pretty fucking small. Probably no more than 1.5 million total in just three states. My dad’s old campaign manager would fucking love those numbers. And we should too.
So let’s consider that Vice President Harris started out this sprint just fourteen weeks ago and immediately proceeded to raise over a billion dollars to spend on those 1.5 million voters. And that her campaign manager Jule Chavez Rodriquez and her campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon have since the beginning been laser focused on those voters. And there are more volunteers, PACs and orgs pitching in than ever before in history. They know they have a job to do as well supporting down ballot candidates. And if we can trust the polls at all, they are doing a good job of it.
So where does that leave us then? Sure, in a close race. But not actually as close as it seems once we exclude from consideration all the voters who, sadly, don’t really count. If Harris averages a 3% lead among those three states that works out to winning those 1.5 million voters 975,000 to 525,000. If she averages a 2% lead it’s a 900,000 to 600,000 race.
Yes the numbers are “small”. But only in comparison to the total turnout of 200 million nationwide, or the blue wall turnout of 15 million. Compard to the actual number of voters who are in play a 300,000 vote lead is actually pretty fucking huge. I’m not trying to pretend it isn’t “scary”. Close elections are scary. Fascism is scary. But there’s really no reason to pretend that things are worse than they really are.
Thaks for attending my Ted Talk. But it was for your own good.
Now remember what my dad’s campaign manager said about “effort”. Do something tonight.
mobilize.us
What I did Great spews:
Whale juice for all!
Road kill bear!
One of my wives killed herself after she found my diary of fifty some women I fucked during our marriage and my current wife is taking the affair with the reporter….ok.
Raw MILK!
“Oh FUCKING hell!” Tulsi.
Roger Rabbit spews:
I don’t have weird days at work anymore. I’m a capitalist now. DJT had a weird day in the market today, but DJT isn’t an investment, it’s a lottery ticket, and I don’t buy those.
RedReformed spews:
If Biden were a republican
Biden didn’t mean anything by his insult. That’s just how he talks, just Joe being Joe.
I didn’t hear Biden’s comment. Let’s talk about Open Borders.
Biden’s joke was funny in context. Stop being so sensitive.
Hey, Biden was joking! Get a sense of humor why don’t you.
Roger Rabbit spews:
@8 Lake is still the same election-denying lizard she’s always been.
Roger Rabbit spews:
@13 Just remember, Trump called Harris’s supporters “garbage” first. The GOP outrage is, as usual, steaming hypocrisy.
https://www.rawstory.com/trump-vance-garbage/
Roger Rabbit spews:
So according to Nikki Haley, if you vote for Harris, you’re being “emotional.”
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/uncomfortable-nikki-haley-backers-weigh-options-election-day-looming-rcna177934
Pretty damn insulting, if you ask me. Right in there with Trump’s “garbage” remark. I voted for Harris, and did so very rationally.
Roger Rabbit spews:
The more I hear about Nikki Haley, the less I like her.
FKA HOPS spews:
@16
Emotionally as in, “They’re killing pregnant women in Red States ad that makes me angry.”
Roger Rabbit spews:
The Seattle Times says Washington turnout is “way down” this year.
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/its-the-most-surprising-election-of-our-lifetimes-so-wont-you-vote/
I’ll bet it’s not Democrats who aren’t bothering to vote.
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 1
Please bear in mind as you listen that a victim of incest is by definition a minor child.
Then why does the Journal of the American Academy of Psychiatry and the Law have an article entitled,
Ethical Aspects of Competence
for sexual Relationships: A
Case of Adult Sibling Incest
https://jaapl.org/content/jaapl/25/2/217.full.pdf
I think it’s because incest is NOT, by definition, always with a minor child involved. So does your wife, QoS McHillbilly, who bends over for her brother while you’re on HA shilling garbage like incest by definition involves a child victim.
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 13
Biden didn’t mean anything by his insult. That’s just how he talks, just Joe being Joe.
And when Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit uses the slurs
• towelheads
• gooks
• eggplants
that’s just how he writes. He’s just being, well, himself.
And pedos, well, that’s just how they fuck. They’re just pedos being pedos.
The Even Bigger Fucking Moron, normalizing hate.
This is why you will have a bad night on Tuesday, The Even Bigger Fucking Moron.
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 15
Trump called Harris’s supporters “garbage” first.
GLWT, Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit. It’s inconsistent with the current various claims that Biden stuttered, or did it accidentally, or didn’t mean it.
So GLWT, truly. Especially since Biden didn’t turn it around by wearing a garbage man’s Day-Glo vest and roll up in a garbage truck.
The Trump campaign will be able to milk this all the way to Election Night. All because of Joe Biden’s help.
FKA HOPS spews:
@20
Arguing why incest isn’t that bad because sometimes it’s two adults.
Good point.
Well done.
How’s the sister wife? I hear she sent you to the barn.
Vicious Troll spews:
QoS McHillbilly has been panicking for weeks now. It’s manifesting itself in long, unwieldy screeds such as the one above.
Here’s some more fuel for his panic.
I guess not many Puerto Ricans live in Nevada and Arizona.
Vicious Troll spews:
More panic button fodder.
QoS Hillbilly saw the signs. He’s been shitting blood for a month.
OK, now what? spews:
25
You talk a good game, but what are you going to do if Trump loses?
When IDIOCRACY becomes your guide to ethics spews:
@21,
“Don’t worry scro. There’s plenty of tards out there livin’ really kick ass lives. My first wife was tarded. She’s a pilot now.”
Elijah Dominic McFuckhead spews:
And still lose if he doesn’t take at least one Blue Wall brick.
The loss of focus this portrays is symptomatic of the truth.
Trump is already over.
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 26
… what are you going to do if Trump loses?
I’m on the good side of the wealth gap. I’ll watch that gap widen. I’ll enjoy the fight over the sunsetting tax cuts at the end of 2025.
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 28
And still lose if he doesn’t take at least one Blue Wall brick.
Wednesday, October 30
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
FOX News
Trump 50, Harris 49
Trump
+1
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
Quinnipiac
Trump 49, Harris 47
Trump
+2
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
Susquehanna
Trump 46, Harris 46
Tie
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris
CNN*
Trump 48, Harris 48
Tie
This brick good enough, QoS McHillbilly? I know it will have a fair amount of radon in it, but I can live with the exposure. Can you?
G spews:
Her labia quivered when she said it
RedReformed spews:
@21. That’s weird. The troll is outraged when President Biden is tallked about using the same phrases Republicans use to normalize the convicted criminal. He is too blinded by partisan hate to make the connection.
Triggered when Democrats talk like Republicans. Hypocrite.
Roger Rabbit spews:
“Half of Generation Z’s voters said they have lied about their votes, according to a new Axios Vibes survey by The Harris Poll … 48 percent said they had previously ‘lied to’ those with whom they are close about which candidates received their votes …. The intense polarization this election cycle might result in some staying quiet or lying on the topic of their political beliefs when around friends and family.”
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4961700-gen-z-voters-lie-candidates-poll/
Those who go along, get along. But they don’t have to “go along” in the voting booth. Let’s see, Gen Z was born between 1997 and 2012, making these voters 18 to 27 years old. Who are they lying to? Most likely parents and boyfriends. Who’s lying? Girls more likely than boys. They wouldn’t necessarily lie to pollsters, though, so this could already be reflected in polls.
John Zogby spews:
Shame you didn’t notice those polls were either began or concluded before the Nazi Rally in MSG. The one your poster is relying on started on the 25th. Three days before.
Good post. ‘Cheating’ ‘librul cnn’
Are you enjoying your bubble.
Roger Rabbit spews:
Dodgers win the World Series.
FKA HOPS spews:
Early leader for ‘image you’d swear was AI but is 100% real Getty Image licensable…
https://www.google.com/search?vsrid=CIjl–7______wEQAhgBIiQzMjgyNTc0Ny02NGY3LTRhMjYtOTcwOS00NzRjYjU5OTQ1Y2U&gsessionid=1uIQZtQen196j8zA9A3x_j-_sbS68FT9Tgpl0wYhH98HYDI5xJI_gQ&lsessionid=5v6kvpTi76zig177HjJFqI1tsylbSSr6jry0BojRB9dqcJMN2SS_IQ&vsdim=275,183&source=lns.web.iosbcm&vsint=CAIqDAoCCAcSAggKGAEgATojChYNAAAAPxUAAAA_HQAAgD8lAACAPzABEJMCGLcBJQAAgD8&lns_mode=un&udm=26&qsubts=1730347259738&biw=320&bih=520
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 34
Shame you didn’t notice those polls were either began or concluded before the Nazi Rally in MSG.
Shame you didn’t notice those polls were concluded before Biden called a plurality of the US electorate garbage.
Elijah Dominic McFuckhead spews:
Like his Daddy Twump, the polls have dry fucked Scotty P in the ass many times before. And just like any codependent victim in an abusive relationship, he’s dropping trou’ and grabbing his ankles begging for more!
🍿🤡
Nate Silver spews:
Yesterday Dumbfuck was all excited about North Carolina.
Today, Republican’s favorite pollster…
Why?
Let’s take a look at the most recent non-GOP sponsored Poll, Survey USA. (released 10/27)
Have you already voted? Women 38% yes, men 32%
Will you definitely vote? Women 46% yes, Men 48%
That works out to a final number of 4-5% women. Women favor Harris by 7% (probably more, see husband in the room when answering calls) Men favor Trump by 6%. If that disparity of Men/Women holds Harris wins easily.
Among the ‘already voted’ over 65 and and 50-64 is doing the best at 49% each. Those demos are 4 for Donald. But the Demo Donald absolutely needs to stay home 18-24 because they are only 38% for him is at 38% already voted. The largest age demographic that HASN’T voted but report they are definitely voting is 35-49 @ 51%. They are 13% Harris.
So why might the Harris Campaign be moving resources out of NC? Well as Dumbfuck derided but seems to be true….It’s done. Harris is taking NC. Also helpful now that SCOTUS has gutted “non coordination” with PACs to see what non-campaign ad buys look like.
(Keep in mind the GOP has an anchor, an albatross, lead boots, missing wing in the NC Governor race. Who’s feeling confident that the 15-20 point blowout includes 14-17 points worth of Stein/Trump split Dem/GOP ballots?)
Cook Political Report spews:
@37
Shame you didn’t notice that no one will be talking about that outside your bubble tomorrow but everyone will be talking about Donald “I’m going to do it whether the women like it or not.”
That and the bright orange blow up sex doll on the tarmac in Green Bay.
Elijah Dominic McFuckhead spews:
39,
Golly Nate.
What kind of cruel world is it where Republicans have to worry about “safe” states like NC while they are already “locking down” Arizona and Nevada?
Should Scotty P get started on his pipe bombs yet?
Asking for a dumbshit.
Elijah Dominic McFuckhead spews:
It’s only fair to point out that a lot of NC Republicans would be quite happy to leave their ballot blank rather than vote for what Scotty P and Rich Lowry refer to as a “migger”.
Roger Rabbit spews:
Hey doc, is your beloved in this video?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jlsd1wZ9jF4
Roger Rabbit spews:
Hey dumbfuck, you’re a doctor, so you’re for access to health care, right? Right?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W4Z73RAq354
FKA HOPS spews:
Putting the FUN in Fundamentalist Christian Nationalism….
You may or may not be familiar with Pastor Greg Locke. He’s a real piece of shit who preaches a version of the Christian Bible not yet written where hate for non Republicans, Gays, Women is the central message.
Anywho…there’s a bit of a scandal brewing among the flock about misuse of tithes for personal gain so Greg took to the pulpit and said, “If you think we have absconded with money then we can look up your giving record and I’ll give it all back to you tomorrow. No matter how much you’ve given to this church you can have it.”
So at least one member sent a letter requesting just that.
Well then it gets weird. Despite all of Pastor Locke’s unhinged sermons being archived on his YouTube Channel the one in question disappeared. And the member got a letter from the church’s lawyers, which he’s made public, saying that Pastor Locke never made such an offer and any further attempt to contact the church, the pastor, or any member of the finance team would be actionable.
The problem is because Greg Locke is such a shit stain on the national dialogue there are literally thousands of YouTubers, TikTokkers and Twatter users who just love to drag him for sport and they have set up RSS downloads of every sermon as soon as it is posted. So the video of Locke making the offer is quite literally ‘wherever you get your podcasts.”
So an ex member of the church who is a lawyer sent a request for his money back…..as a lawsuit. Arguing that the offer was made clearly, in good faith, publicly and any reasonable person could assume it was a real and true offer.
Pastor Locke’s Wednesday service went live on YouTube this evening and then was deleted after several hundred commentors asked for the Tithing back. Then it was reposted anew. And several hundred commentors asked for the Tithing back. It is currently unavailable as of five minutes ago on the Global Vision Bible Church social media channels.
Cool.
FKA HOPS spews:
Well THAT didn’t take long.
https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP883yfUE/
‘Whether they like it or not.”
Roger Rabbit spews:
Hey doc, here’s your Welfare Queens:
https://www.newsweek.com/inside-republican-war-over-trump-tax-cuts-1976370