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So far, so bad for R-71

by Goldy — Thursday, 8/6/09, 8:04 am

The SOS counted an additional 6,140 R-71 signatures yesterday, accepting 5,268, for a raw invalidation rate of about 14.2 percent for this batch, and 13.31 percent over the 23,457 total signatures processed thus far. They haven’t provided a breakout of the number of duplicates in this fourth batch yet, but if previous trends hold up it should be about 31, and the total, duplicate-adjusted invalidation rate should now be running about 14.9 percent.

Once he gets his hands on the break out numbers Darryl will pound the final statistical nail in R-71’s coffin, while regaling you with more than you ever wanted to know about the methodology thereof. And sometime thereafter, I’ll attempt to explain why this kind of obsessive coverage matters.

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Comments

  1. 1

    Rob spews:

    Thursday, 8/6/09 at 8:34 am

    The number of dups is now 68, which projects out to about a 1.7% rate. This projected rate has been declining since the first day. This makes me think that the batches of signatures are being checked in a somewhat geographic order. If a signature is later found to have a duplicate, that duplicate has a good chance of being found within the same batch (the same geographic area).

    Nonetheless, even excluding the dups and those missing a checkable voter-registration signature, the signatures still fall a few tenths of percent short so far, and there probably will be at least 1% dups.

  2. 2

    Roger Rabbit spews:

    Thursday, 8/6/09 at 8:47 am

    American Psychological Association Repudiates Gay ‘Therapy’

    The Associated Press filed a news report about an hour ago that says, “The American Psychological Association formally rejects therapy that seeks to change the sexual orientation of people from gay to straight. In a 125-4 vote, the group concludes that there’s no solid evidence that such therapy works and that it could be harmful to people.”

    “NEW YORK (Aug. 6) — The American Psychological Association declared Wednesday that mental health professionals should not tell gay clients they can become straight through therapy or other treatments. …

    “In a resolution adopted on a 125-to-4 vote by the APA’s governing council, and in a comprehensive report based on two years of research, the 150,000-member association put itself firmly on record in opposition of so-called ‘reparative therapy’ which seeks to change sexual orientation.

    “No solid evidence exists that such change is likely, says the report, and some research suggests that efforts to produce change could be harmful, inducing depression and suicidal tendencies.”

  3. 3

    Rujax! spews:

    Thursday, 8/6/09 at 8:50 am

    the flying spaghetti monster is answering my prayers.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F.....ti_Monster

    LOLOL

  4. 4

    Lurleen spews:

    Thursday, 8/6/09 at 9:58 am

    After last night, the anti-domestic partnership people were down 1,214 signatures from the break even point. But there are 100 times that many raw signatures still to check, or 114,232. It is still possible for them to make up the deficit.

  5. 5

    Now you see it spews:

    Thursday, 8/6/09 at 10:06 am

    I hope this dies. I’m tired of the bad guys winning. The angry dumb people need to be stopped.

    @3 – I’ve been doing my FSM sacrifices, I had a lovely spaghetti dinner last night.

  6. 6

    X'ad spews:

    Thursday, 8/6/09 at 11:07 am

    Unfortunately there will ALWAYS be fanatics and there will ALWAYS be a conspiracy against them. It’s one of the plagues in life.

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