Did you vote yet? You have until tomorrow to get your ballot postmarked or dropped off. Probably a good idea to get it dropped off today. Just get it done. If you’ve in King County, find your dropbox location here. Let’s get Democrats into all of the statewide offices and run up the vote total for Harris. Dropboxes close at 8:00 on Tuesday and postmarks whenever your Post Office closes.
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Eager to share our brilliant political commentary and blunt media criticism, but too genteel to link to horsesass.org? Well, good news, ladies: we also answer to HASeattle.com, because, you know, whatever. You're welcome!
I got mine in the Monday after the ballot arrived.
Even without allocating EVs from Wisconsin or Nevada, Emerson’s final poll result has Donald Trump at 281 EVs.
That would be DJT47, libbies.
Gallup lays out the many reasons this election has flipped to R plus 3 from the D plus 5 level in 2020:
That’s Donald Trump winning the NPV, libbies.
⬆️🙄
It was only a few weeks ago that this dipshit troll was declaring Virginia for Fat Hitler.
Ridiculous. But fun to watch.
Boxcheck Momala did four rallies yesterday and didn’t mention Donald Trump’s name in any of them.
Weird. Why do I saw weird?
Because Tuesday night she mentioned Trump’s name 24 times.
Boxcheck Momala’s realizing way too late that all she is doing is building up Trump by making him so much more than she will ever be.
In these final days Donald Trump is having a blast. Meanwhile, Boxcheck Momala is beginning to fear the beatdown that Doug Emhoff will administer to her early Wednesday morning, when the penthouse suite door in the hotel closes for the final time on Election Night.
Doug really wants to be First Gentleman, you see.
The Democrats’ closing argument is that American should show its fear of a demonstrably strong leader by electing an exceptionally weak one.
It’s a complete mystery why the Trump campaign said no to a second CNN debate.
Which HA libbie was incensed that Trump ignored a question last week?
The Selzer poll of Iowa voters, explained in a single polling question.
Will machinists vote to hit the iceberg, or take the deal?
As we head into Election Night and beyond, it’s instructive to keep in mind that when it was time to replace Bi-Done with a warm body, the DNC did everything it could to avoid learning what might be possible before crowning Boxcheck Momala.
Dumbfuck from the last thread. I filed it in the same folder as I did with “a dozen cosplaying grandmothers”.
Since 2016 we’ve never had:
• a major presidential party’s nominee struck by an assassin’s bullet during a speech
• a major presidential party’s nominee chosen without a full primary election/caucus process
• a major presidential party’s supporters, who constitute a plurality of the US electorate, called garbage by the sitting US president
• a major presidential party’s nominee targeted for prosecution at federal and state levels due to nominee’s electoral threat to the party in power
That said, I’m pleased that he’s willing to share what’s going on in his now quickly-deteriorating dumbfuck mind with us.
@ 10
Regarding the purported major concerns of Selzer’s polled voters about threats to democracy, I will acknowledge that it’s understandable in the context of a recently defeated Democrat House candidate’s refusal to concede her loss for nearly six months after the election was held.
And then, of course, there is Stacey Abrams, who has yet to concede her loss to Brian Kemp. In 2018.
So yeah, maybe Iowans are most concerned about how their Democrat losers will be have after Tuesday night.
Otherwise, Emerson. Trump by 9 in IA.
RE-upping from FNMM.
Dumbfuck is impressed with the Tight podium shot showing no empty seats. I’m more impressed with the PBS non moving wide shot that had four empty seats just to the left of the podium for the entire speech.
And then there’s J.S. Dorton Arena where he spoke, capacity 7,100.
Thursday, Harris filled the Coastal Credit Union Arena (You can look up local news sources) with a capacity of 20,600. Granted some of that was eliminated by staging elements.
Just like staging elements probably took Trump’s arena today down 500 or so. You can’t hang a big ass banner with your campaign logo on it in camera without blocking some seats
Love that Vicious Twat
I guess they decided the Hitler thing wasn’t going to work.
Abrupt changes in campaign strategy in its final days worked out so well for #CrookedHillary and Robby Mook in 2016 that Team Momala is giving it a shot this time, too.
And Boxcheck Momala’s sister is the one leaking the new strategy to a parroting reporter.
Strong finish, DNC.
The most recent video of a Fat Hitler rally I forced myself to suffer through featured a twenty minutes extended riff of the Republican nominee complaining to his crowd about how tired he was, how incompetent his campaign was, how his microphone was not the way he likes it, how he refuses to pay his campaign vendors, how his voice was “blown out”, how his arms and back were “blown out”, and whether or not he should leave the podium and go back stage to “knock the hell out of” his campaign staff and vendors for displeasing and frustrating him.
As fan service to a few thousand professional dead head MAGATs who have driven five hours and stood in a two hour line to attend his revival show and trade garish merchandise in the parking lot, this is effective enough rhetoric. But it does not supply a thirty one year old retail assistant manager with the reason they need to go home, dig their ballot out of the recycling, fill it out, and put it in the mail. And it isn’t any normal person’s idea of “a blast”.
But it is great to see.
NY Times Tech guild are on strike.
If you are playing Wordle or Connections or any NYT Online Games they are asking that you stop until there is a contract.
Just for reference, CEO Levien was paid $7.5M in 2022 and $10.2M in 2023. Chairman A.G. Sulzberger $3.8M 2022 and $5.7M in 2023.
Oh?
Elon Musk lawyers said today that the $1m giveaway is not random but the effort Chooses winners who would make good spokespeople.
So not only is it a potentially illegal lotter, it is quite definitely fraud to collect entries declaring that everyone has an equal shot of winning.
We are not at all weird but we’re making sure you know that you should vote for us because of a dead squirrel.
@ 18
…CEO Levien was paid $7.5M in 2022 and $10.2M in 2023. Chairman A.G. Sulzberger $3.8M 2022 and $5.7M in 2023.
Written by someone who thinks that $1 million is a large sum of money.
It is not. Neither are small multiples of $1 million.
Let’s recall that $813,000 four years ago is the equivalent of $1 million today. That is how much Bidenomics and its resultant Bidenflation have devalued the purchasing power of the US dollar.
@ 20
We are not at all weird but we’re making sure you know that you should vote for us because of a dead squirrel.
This from the party which thinks that voters should support Boxcheck Momala because of a stroke and a couple of suicides.
Selzer, again:
Selzer would have you believe @ 10 that Iowans are so comfortably isolated from the effects of immigration and a shaky economy that all they have to worry about is democracy and abortion.
It will all be over soon, except for the four years of wailing from Welfare Queen YLB.
Oh, and Robinhood Dumbfuck Rabbit insisting that 51.5% of the national popular vote and 312 EVs does not constitute a mandate for anything.
@16
Beats whatever the hell the morning in Raleigh went.
Am I allowed to hit (Michelle Obama) now? She said bad about me. I can’t hit back?”
On Pelosi, “She’s a bad, sick woman. She’s crazy as a bedbug. She is a crazy–she’s a — remember she ripped up the papter behind me? She coulda gone to jail for that.”
Announces 25% Tariffs on all Mexican imports unless Mexico shuts down the border. (yesterday was all about the lower prices. Avacados, conventionally grown, $225 each. Strawberries, $4 a pint.)
And Dumbfuck DEFINITELY doesn’t want to look at the c-span re-air where they pan the camera around to see the guy in the “Trump as Garbageman” costume next to a shit ton of empty seats.
There once was a time when the conversation at HA was a-hoppin’ in the days prior to a presidential election.
These past few days of HA are no different from HA several months ago.
It’s like, seven dudes and Welfare Queen YLB. No ArtFart. No Michael. No MikeBoyScout. No Newt. No Steve. No Cz-252.
No Darryl or Goldy. (Except for tomorrow evening, when they’ll be too late to do anything except hand Welfare Queen YLB another tissue.)
Takes awhile, after brain activity stops, for the ECG tracing to hit flatline, but the last year has made one thing pretty clear;
HA is dead.
Change my mind.
I’m wondering about those four empty seats behind the podium. Did Security not catch a couple ‘Republicans for Harris?” Did they get yanked for having incredulous expressions when Don Jr. mentioned finding a whole truck loaded with fake ballots?
@ 26
… doesn’t want to look at the c-span re-air …
As both Democrats and Republicans chase the low-interest, undecided voters still out there in the swing states, I’m sure this video will be very persuasive evidence.
Meanwhile, Trump’s campaign got free air time during yesterday’s NASCAR event.
Which video do you think was more on-target?
Squirrel!
@29
Saturday Night Live.
31m views on the TikTok alone
Brought to you by the same Republicans who tell you that however nice it may be to feed hungry children breakfast before school starts, “there just isn’t enough money”.
@ 31
31m views on the TikTok alone
Californians watched it 3x each.
Trump will earn 5 million more votes from the other 49 states than will Boxcheck Momala.
This is an example of a tactic, not a strategy. The messaging strategy of the Harris campaign has been diverse and complex, but nevertheless positive since the very beginning. And it has always included specific efforts to contrast Harris and her plans with her opponent as well as a description of the grave threats that Fat Hitler represents. It has also included a pivot to a closing argument in the final days of the campaign that would be focused exclusively on Kamala Harris, her story, her positive message, and the reasons why those things support the decisions of targeted undecided voters to choose her.
And while it’s precise timing was to depend upon events of the campaign, the closing argument and a pivot to it was settled upon at the convention. The theory of the campaign at this point being that these are not either/or undecdied voters. They are will/won’t undecided voters. The closing argument aims at voters currently being contacted by canvassing operations, text banks, and phone banks in these battlegrounds whose composite turnout/support scores indicate higher likelihood to support Harris, but lower liklihood to vote.
Base motivation is done. For the Harris campaign these two days are about a very focused effort to produce just a few hundred thousand additional votes in only a few states. It’s focused on registered voters who will almost certainly vote for Kamala Harris but who might not actually vote. They already know everything they need to know about Fat Hitler. And they probably despise him. Further messaging about what a ghastly piece of shit he is would be a waste. What they need now is motivation to turnout. And they’ve already proven that the threat of having human garbage as president is not enough reason for them. They need a positive reason to want to vote for Kamala Harris.
Republican voters like Scotty P have paid Chris LaCivita close to a half a billion dollars and thanks to him they don’t even know what business they are in.
That is so cool.
there just isn’t enough money for hungry children
Daddy needs another yacht.
Here’s Bill Clinton last week, campaigning for…
Kinda hard to tell, isn’t it? The Clintons lost interest in this election after #CrookedHillary was passed over in mid-July.
Not just #CrookedHillary.
Both Josh Shapiro and True Gretch made it very clear that they had zero interest in the Veep spot on the DNC ticket.
Democrats in 2028 would look formitable with a Whitmer/Shapiro ticket. Or flip it, similarly formidable.
Less so with Hair Gel on the ticket. He will be a problem for Democrats unless someone at the top of the DNC grows a pair.
That’s the dream at least.
But the struggle at the heart of that fever dream is that in his past two elections Fat Hitler was already depending on running up absolutely massive percentage leads in rural blue tarp counties. There isn’t a whole lot of gettin’ to be got left in those places. That’s how come we saw him on Rogan and Nelk Boys. Fat Hitler must bank older, rural white voters while conjuring up stoner MMA “Bros” in suburbia who normally aren’t even registered to vote.
Remember when the troll was insisting that Biden was going to storm the stage at the Democratic convention and forcibly take back the stolen nomination from “Karmbala”?
Now he insists the convicted criminal’s gonna win. Maybe this time he will be correct
…regardless.
Regretably, even after he loses badly this week Fat Hitler will still be around for years to come defining and controlling Republican politics. He has no other choice. And due almost entirely to their own cowardice, neither do Republicans.
After he loses Fat Hitler will of course deny the outcome and claim election fraud without any evidence. At that point and in the months ahead Republicans will have their best shot at being rid of him. But doing so would require both courage and vision. So we know that ain’t happening. House and Senate Republicans will instead back his claims. And in so doing they will inevitably be in the position of backing Fat Hitler himself. Again.
It will just be easier and safer for them to go along. And they’ll see some political advantage in doing so. They’ll use the false claims as justification for procedural blocks and obstruction. And in short order that will take on a life of its own and come to define them. Again.
By the time the ambitious and foolhardy among them are ready to gather enough billionaires to their breast to launch a committee to run for the nomination it will all be too late. Again.
I don’t know if the MAGA doom loop will result in Fat Hitler being the nominee again in 2028. There are just way too many unknowable variables that will have to work themselves out in the comming years. But it is absolutely certain that Fat Hitler has no choice but to continue to raise and spend money this way. And it is also absolutely certain that Republicans are cowards. So they won’t do anything to stop that.
@2 Really not much different from the NYT/Siena poll. You get 281 for Trump by allocating Michigan to Harris, and Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia to Trump. Losing any one of those three stands would put Harris over 270, and the polls are tight in all three, so you’re staking your hopes on a thin reed.
Could it happen? Sure. But more can go wrong for Trump than for Harris in this scenario. All this speculation is meaningless, anyway. It’s just idly whiling away time and twiddling thumbs while waiting for the election results.
@7 If you don’t want “an exceptionally weak” leader, then vote for Harris.
If Trump is elected, within 15 minutes he’ll be on the phone to Putin saying, “You can have Ukraine,” and 15 minutes after that he’ll be on the phone to Xi saying, “You can have Taiwan and the South China Sea.”
@13 I guess if you count November 2020 as “recent.” And five months, not six months. The Democrat in question, Rita Hart, lost by 6 votes. She disputed 22 uncounted ballots through legal channels. She wished her Republican opponent “all the best as she serves the people of this great state.”
In that race, there were no fake electors. No discussion of the military seizing voting machines, or of a military coup. No violent attack on any capitol. No years of whining about a “stolen election.”
Not the same. Democracy was messy in that instance, but nobody tried to overthrow an election by illegitimate means. I realize the difference is more nuanced than a dumbfuck can be expected to understand.
@19 I wonder how much of the $1M they have to kick back to Elon to get paid $1,000 for participating.
@21 “Written by someone who thinks that $1 million is a large sum of money. It is not. Neither are small multiples of $1 million.”
Then Boeing should have no problem acceding to the Machinists’ demands, and Republicans should have no objection to raising the $7.25 federal minimum wage.
$1M will buy a house in Seattle. Small multiples of $1M will buy a house with a stunning view. $1M will buy a garage full of Ferraris. Or several very nice vacations for a world traveler. Small multiples of $1M might even buy a congressman.
@23 “Selzer, again: You know how I knew this was an outlier? …”
Let’s start with the link. It takes you to Hotair.com, a conservative blog, with the ensuing comments under a byline of “John Fund from NRO,” who is a conservative blogger for National Review Online. Just so we know who’s talking.
The comment begins with a link, “The Register reports:” but clicking on that link takes you to KCCI 8 Des Moines, and a video under the headline, “New Iowa Poll shows Democrats leading in two congressional races.” Nothing in that local news segment refers to any poll as an “outlier.”
Returning to Hotair.com, Mr. Fund states, “Miller-Meeks first won her seat with 50.1 percent in 2020.” He’s off by 0.19%; Miller-Meeks defeated Hart 49.91% to 49.91%. Miller-Meeks was under 50%.
So where does “outlier” come from? Well, still on Hotair.com and scrolling down a little, you come across a comment by Ed Morrisey, a conservative blogger and talk show host, who says: “You know how I knew this was an outlier? Team Kamala sent exactly no one to boost that” etc.
Nowhere do you have Selzer saying her poll was an “outlier.” Of course, Doctor Dumbfuck didn’t say Selzer said that. He simply failed to state that the “outlier” quote came from a conservative blogger as a comment posted on a conservative blog. So you have a GOP mouthpiece calling Selzer’s poll an “outlier.”
Two conservative mouthpieces, actually: Him and Doctor Dumbfuck. What you don’t have is KCCI, the Des Moines Register, or any other reputable news organization — or Selzer herself — calling it an “outlier.”
#23 is just more bullshit from the dumbfuck troll. Even if the poll is an outlier (we’ll find out tomorrow), #23 is bullshit because it fails to materially disclose that this is just hot air, unbased on any data of any kind, from a rightwing blogger bloviating on a rightwing blog.
Which is about what you expect from a dumbfuck troll nervously scratching his ass 30 hours before the vote counts begin trickling in.
HA is dead.
Change my mind.
You barely have what anyone would call a mind. It’s the main reason why your comments are so fucking stupid, making you a monumental fucking bore.
What I see is someone who is fast deteriorating. If any lib here doesn’t believe me, then go back into the archives to 2015 and read his posts and compare them to what he now posts.
I also see someone who says he’s wealthy and that the other professionals here aren’t. Yet look at his lifestyle. He lives on a shithole island, the only island in this state with its own ground zero.
How wealthy is he? He has to grow christmas trees because he needs to make some money. He’s so wealthy that he trades options in retirement. He’s so wealthy that he only has a little boat with an outboard motor.
The dumbfuck is no radiologist. He lies about that like he lies about everything else. He is a fucking fraud.
41,
Fat Hitler has three coin flips to work with.
Vice President Harris has six.
Ignoring turnout effects and ballot curing efforts, they still remain coin flips. But I’m counting on some significant turnout effects not only because the history supports that, but also because the Harris campaign, Indivisible, Mobilize, and literally thousands and thousands of smaller, state level teams have produced a bigger and more precise and coordinated turnout efort targeting previously disengaged voters than ever before in human history.
MAGA turds neeeeeeeed to believe that this kind of professionally managed but volunteer driven ground game is irrelevant because a) they know by now that their own is practically non-existent, and b) because the Fat Hitler approach has always been focused on driving turnout with greater and greater base motivation and more and more grievance and division. And if it is successful against Fat Hitler and down ballot in this election it unlocks a transferrable and repeatable approach to building the complex and diverse coalitions of American voters that Democrats will rely upon for many years to come in future elections. And also, and not-for-nothing, it’s the kind of approach that a billionaire asshole can’t just buy with a check, as Elmo is now discovering.
46,
Enjoy.
Two days later he’s still in agony over a poll… in fucking Iowa.
It’s a beautiful thing to behold.
@33
Planting the seeds to contest Donnie’s loss.
It starts with that ‘look at all these counties he won’ map.
She gave up to easily. She at least should have beaten a police officer to death with a hockey stick.
50,
I’d love it if Fat Hitler won the popular vote but lost the EC.
It’s not going to happen. But I’d love it if it did.
Suddenly lawmakers in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvatia, Virginia and Wisconsin are lining up to sponsor NPV. And it breezes to passage in those states and is signed by into law by Democratic Governors.
Unsurprisingly, Harris was concise, on time, on message and upbeat.
How’s Donny boy doing?
—
Donnie boy was so tired. Dead eyes. Weaving from women to borders to not defending the world to defending our borders to 2nd Amendment to radical Democrats in less time than it took to type.
Jeb looks spry in comparison.