The details have yet to be released, but the latest KING-5/Survey USA poll shows Democrat Dow Constantine surging to a 10 point lead over Republican Susan Hutchison in the race for King County Executive.
The poll, conducted over the weekend, shows Constantine leading 53-43; that’s a fifteen point swing from KING-5’s 10/13/09 poll, which showed Hutchison leading 47-42, and is consistent with other public and private polls I’ve seen over the past week and a half. Furthermore, with Constantine leading by 12 points amongst voters who had already cast their ballot, Hutchison would need to carry late voters by a better than 14-point margin in order to win.
What accounts for this stunning reversal of fortune?
Women give a 3-to-2 margin to Constantine over Hutchison. The last poll had the candidates split in that category.
Hutchison has an overwhelming edge among Republicans and conservatives in the non-partisan race, while Constantine leads overwhelmingly among Democrats and liberals.
As it should be. As Democrats in general and women in particular learned more about the candidates, their positions, and their values, traditional Democratic voters came home to Constantine.
That in the end is the fatal flaw in the Rossi-esque tabula rasa strategy Hutchison pursued. Refusing to define yourself can only work if your opponent fails to define you for you.
Update: Here is a link to the current poll results.
Hutchinson’s face/name recognition was the only reason she did well in early polling. The election wont even be close.
And speaking of face recognition it looks like Suzy’s had a little too much work done on hers.
RE: Hutchison’s face
Frankly I’m surprised she hasn’t had more done. HD is not kind to Suzy.
Whew!
Now to worry about the ballot issues: If you know anyone who should vote and hasn’t, NAG ‘EM NOW and OFTEN.
Tuesday night should be good. Hutchison and Eyman are both having their “victory party” at the Bellevue Hyatt. Suzie claims she’s against 1033, but before that, she was for it.
Timmy says that he will appear at 8:05 for his victory speech. I’ll bet he stays in his hotel room and pouts, maybe tearing up a 1033 sign or two.
This poll is quite encouraging, Goldy. We need to end Hutchison’s political career before it gets off the ground. Consider it a lesson learned, courtesy of our neighbors in Alaska.
By the way, the 53-43 link above doesn’t work.
hutch, however, holds a commanding lead among white men in mississippi and alabama:
http://yglesias.thinkprogress......essive.php
Eat shit, righties! Your stealth strategy didn’t work.
You KLOWNS did a great job of somehow making Abortion a King County Executive issue.
Reminds me of the Florida election where the opponent did a mass mailing accusing his opponent of being a “practicing HOMO SAPIEN!”
and guilty of also practicing radical Presbyterianism! King Kounty deserves Komrade Konstantine. He is perfect for taking the ship all the way down.
Link is inop.
5. Steve spews:
What’s the matter Steve, did your momma speak to you about cleaning up your act?
An actual post without vulgarity from the HA Kook.
Steve single-handedly ruined the last Open Thread citing it was because his Mom died when he was young so he got some kind of pass from God for venting with never-ending vulgarity.
Yeah right steve.
If your Mom died when you were young as you claimed, I feel for you…but to try and tie that to some free pass from God to spew vulgarity and crassness in a never-ending stream just ain’t right.
Too many useful (i.e. useless) idiots like Rabbit who mailed in their mail-in ballots without waiting for the facts.
8 Cyn
What we called her is “Republican.” And that was enough.
Some troll who thinks he’s being cute with his dumb username:
Obviously, you’re talking about the
lady newsreaderHutchison voters. Anyone interested in facts would vote for the candidate who actually understands them.(I elided the misreference to our resident left-troll)
The article to today’s poll was pulled by KING-5. Someone must have released the article prematurely.
Cynical @8,
That’s funny. So you’re complaining that we smeared her with the truth, explaining to voters that she’s an anti-choice, conservative Republican?
Why release a poll today — the day before the election? There will be official poll results released in about 28 hours …
@10 WTF? Klynical must be drinking heavily in anticipation of losing another election.
“Useful idiots” is a phrase often used by Leo Strauss.
That’s not the guy who invented Levi’s Dungarees, Cynical. Read Strauss and you might come to know yourself a little better.
17 – LOL! Oh so true. At least here in WA.
I hope anyway. Gee Big Eddie Schultz was really depressed today at the national level. Thinks Dems have blown it totally not getting health care with a robust public option out the door. He was even down on Obama not being really serious about the public option.
A guest on the show held out a ray of hope. John Garamendi, a staunch SINGLE PAYER advocate and former CA Insurance Commissioner looks like he’ll being taking Ellen Taucher’s seat in the House. This is a very Republican-leaning district.
We’ll see what happens.
So it looks like higher taxes and fewer jobs. Hell, between the local tards and the national tard leadership, there will be NO recovery in the economy. I just hope democrats taste like chicken.
Obviously, 13, I was talking about Roger. Seen him lately? Is Our Maggie still chasing him into next week? Won’t really matter because Roger voted for Dow days ago. Weeks ago.
“Dow surges …” Is that a sly reference to Dow’s messy little problem with Jane Doe? Is Dow referred to Dow Doe in those TROd allegations of harassment? To respect his modesty and privacy?
I just hope democrats taste like chicken.
Why? You planning on eating some (democrats)?
There’s YLB again, telling us about Fast Eddie again. Maybe you’ll get neo-Maoist Dow tomorrow, to thrash through the black hole of a budget he helped make while shaking down the Council for Foot Fairy Ferries, but the Real America is turning hard right. Thanks, Mr. President. I’m already high on hope and change, and it isn’t even Tuesday yet.
Useful idiots: Used most pertinently by V. I. Lenin.
YLB, that caller to Schultz’s show doesn’t know shit about CA-10, Tauscher’s former CD. Its Cook PVI is D+11, and it gave Obama 65% (Kerry 58%, Gore 51%). Tauscher got at least 65% in every election since 2002.
Winning the Democratic primary should have all but assured that Garamendi will be the next Congressman from CA-10. That recent polling hasn’t shown a cakewalk is actually a bit troubling.
KKKlown @ 8: “King Kounty deserves Komrade Konstantine. He is perfect for taking the ship all the way down.”
King County, under Democratic control for decades, is almost in the top 50 of all counties in per capita income. This is especially impressive, given our large population.
You, on the other hand, offer less than nothing–as you moniker attests. What is truly astounding however, is the fact that you are not a cynic. You are a shill, a ‘useful idiot’ for the pimps of power. That you have no shame is, well, shameful. May your god have mercy on what shrivilled soul you may yet possess. Begging humbly for forgiveness from Her might be something you should consider.
25 – I understand Tauscher took that seat from a Republican and Ellen at one time was kind of cozy with the Bushies and part of the Blue Dogs.
But things always change!
Real America is turning hard right.
A claim asserted with absolutely no evidence. Calling you delusional would be putting it kindly.
Gee I think I’ve read this before from you.
And from people like you like Mr. Klown.
Why are such people more often than not – wrong?
@27: Yes, Tauscher beat a GOP incumbent in 1998. But after the 2000 Census redistricting, it was redrawn as a safe Democratic CD.
re 24: So, you and Cynical read Lenin, but not Strauss? Amazing.
re 24: Personally, I’ve spent a great deal of time studying the works of Lennon and Marx.
@19
I don’t know if I’d take any of the races up this year as any sort of bellwether. In most cases I know of the race has it’s own dynamic independent of any sort of national mood. For example in NJ Corzine has been digging his own hole for a while, the massive corruption (on both sides) there also bodes well for a former US Attorney who’s seen as “clean”.
33 – Supposedly Christie has crafted a folksy image for himself while Corzine comes off as flat and cold and unable to make anything positive happen.
Well such should be the case with Goldman Sachs alumn. They should be wrung out of the damn system.
Let Christie make his silly tax cuts and improve the bottom line of contributors while crowing about a handful of hires the contributors make to burnish the scam.
It’ll catch up with that Rovian. Hopefully not before it’s too late.
Is Dow referred to Dow Doe in those TROd allegations of harassment?
There are no allegations “TROd”. Keith Ervin from the Seattle Times has the entire document that he requested and can print the contents at any time. Most likely, the Times read the document and determined there was no there there. What was TROed was the release of the the woman’s name, probably because the Times wanted to contact her for more information.
Even Sound Politics had a synopsis of the requested document, which consisted of an employee asking a supervisor a question about workplace policy.
ProudAss spews:
Is that why traffic is so horendous and y’all spend most of your time up each others asses in some form or another??
KingKounty is in big trouble unless their is endless borrowing and handouts from Barry O.
Boeing has opened the floodgates.
The Times doesn’t report other businesses who are fleeing.
32. headless spews:
No sh*t dumbass.
15. Goldy spews:
I’m not complaining you “smeared” her.
I’m glad you finally admit smearing her.
I don’t see Abortion as a big King Kounty issue.
BTW…when are you going to disclose the Dow K. coverup of his actions with that gal??
38 – Suzie is out of the mainstream in King County – period. Unfit for office as was David Irons Jr.
Reagan Dunn or Kathy Lambert is much more qualified than that lightweight and that’s not saying a lot.
Who the hell is “Dow K”? Yet another hallucination from a perennial loser?
If she’s anti-choice, does that make those in favor of abortion anti-life?
If she’s anti-choice, does that make those in favor of abortion anti-life?
In what alternate universe is the word ‘choice’ the opposite of ‘life’?
@8 “King Kounty deserves Komrade Konstantine.”
It certainly does, but that’s only half of it — King County doesn’t deserve Suzie Reactionary.
@20 “So it looks like higher taxes and fewer jobs.”
The “fewer jobs” came from the bursting of the Republican Bubble Economy. The “higher taxes” will come from the fiscal responsibility needed to clean up the deficits created by the GOP’s policy of borrowing trillions from China to give tax breaks to billionaires.
@21 Since you’re getting your information from a terrorist sympathizer (Griswold aka FullContactPolitics) maybe we should waterboard you to find out how much more you know.
@20 Wanna eat a rabbit?
@26 “Begging humbly for forgiveness from Her might be something you should consider.”
More immediately, he should beg for forgiveness from his goats.
Mr. Cynical @ 36
“Boeing has opened the floodgates.”
Psssst. Cynical, ol’ buddy, the 787 line is in Snohomish County.
I don’t believe the polls. I have this wrapped up. God told me so.
Me and my 20%ers have this election wrapped up. Why that Jane Doe law suit has it wrapped up. That she is keeping the case private proves Dow is guilty of something. God told me so.
Thanks for proving again that contemptible pieces of uninformed shit from dumbfuck,MT cannot read or comprehend anything more advanced than the instructions (!) on a bag of sheep food.
I will assume from his demented demeanor that KKKLYNICAL belongs to the CUT (Church Universal and Triumphant, the Montana group amassing weapons and waiting to eliminate the rest of us, or maybe to the polygamist mormons in the Bitteroot valley and other fine tourist spots in montana, and maybe his living is made by soliciting money for the militias from the true believers that he is obviously so fond of.
We sure do them here. It’s no wonder that he worships Suzie and the Discovery Institute.
Big cities, especially big growing cities, tend to have traffic. Sure there are no traffic jams in Outer Goatfuck, MT but likely there aren’t too many jobs for say Oracle DBAs there either.
“endless borrowing”, WTF are you talking about? Like both the State of Washington and the City of Seattle, King County is required by law to have a balanced budget. The County has a AAA bond rating so it isn’t exactly a credit risk.
As for “businesses fleeing” you are full of shit. I see no exodus of businesses from Seattle, King County, or Washington State. If it is happening even the Puget Sound Business Journal and the Seattle Daily Journal of Commerce aren’t seeing it.