I don’t claim any expertise in the Seattle Community Court. But it seems good. And I certainly don’t trust Ann Davison. So, I am pretty skeptical of her plan to send fewer people there and more to prison. Especially if they are only committing very low level misdemeanors.
Anyway, please wash your hands right now. And get vaccinated or boosted if you’re eligible.
Vicious Troll spews:
Likelihood of Trump Indictment in Manhattan Fades as Grand Jury Wraps Up
Trump broke Steve.
Steve spews:
Pregnant after being raped? It’s an opportunity, ladies!
Pregnancy From Rape Is ‘An Opportunity’ For Women, Says Republican Trying To Ban Abortion
“Trump broke Steve.”
Our broken troll seems to be a little confused this morning. He’s the one who’s broken I’m the one did it to him. All that’s left of him now is a broken, low IQ POS traitor.
Psych 101 projection. It’s a very real thing.
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 2
YLB’s already getting hot flashes. Opportunity lost for HA’s dumbest twat.
She’ll have to live vicariously through the career-long rapes her kids will suffer as a result of the poor decisions by Democrats that she has supported.
Steve spews:
@3 is yet more evidence that the low IQ traitor has been so broken by me that POS can’t even post a coherent comment anymore.
Steve spews:
“Girl, girly-girl, twat, girlfriend”
The low IQ traitor has been so broken by me that the dumbfuck has no fucking clue whatsoever just how stupid that low IQ shit of his makes him look.
Water off a duck’s back for YLB who, unlike the broken, low IQ dumbfuck, is a real man.
Steve spews:
Interesting. Of course this doesn’t mean there’s hope for our broken, low IQ traitor. There’s no hope for him.
A Major ‘Alt-Right’ Figure Just Disavowed White Nationalism
Evan McLaren marched at the deadly 2017 Charlottesville rally. Now he’s voicing “revulsion” for his former movement, and “for conservatism” in general.
Steve spews:
Epic take-down Absolutely fucking epic.
Jamie Raskin boxes in Republicans before stomping the box
A Raw Story link, which in itself causes the low IQ traitor‘s already low IQ to drop.
God bless Raw Story.
Steve spews:
The low IQ traitor believes his use of bold font triggers people. Psych 101 projection, as usual. I should thank the low IQ traitor for informing me that my using bold font will trigger the fucktard.
What a low IQ stupe.
Roger Rabbit spews:
I wonder if they have family prisons? You know, prisons where they lock the entire family up?
https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/28/politics/josh-munn-guilty-plea-capitol-riot/index.html
A family of insurrectionists.
Roger Rabbit spews:
Meanwhile, another Oath Keeper flips.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/29/politics/oath-keeper-guilty-seditious-conspiracy-brian-ulrich/index.html
Roger Rabbit spews:
Do they want him to paint himself white, too?
https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/28/us/texas-high-school-east-bernard-braided-hair-ban/index.html
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 10
I wonder why no one has video of this:
Makes January 6 sound like a skit from The Benny Hill Show.
Vicious Troll spews:
@ 11
Do they want him to paint himself white, too?
Wouldn’t have fooled anyone.
It takes away from the racism aspect of it that the school dress code also discriminates against Joe Dirt.
No corn rows. No mullets. Boo fuckin’ hoo.
Vicious Troll spews:
First a ban on corn row hairstyles
@ 11, 13, and now a ban on menthol cigarettes.
FDA proposes ban on sale of menthol cigarettes, flavored cigars
Banning only menthol cigs isn’t a “proxy for race discrimination”?
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21177368/
Vicious Troll spews:
Wonder what excuse she will come up with when she loses in November.
She can’t even beat the second-place dude.
If she were to drop, say, 80 pounds, that would help her.
Steve spews:
I understand why the low IQ traitor wants to talk about golf carts and Benny Hill.
It beats talking about his cosplaying grandmothers.
From Roger’s link @10…
“Did you do that, agree with [Oath Keepers leader Stewart] Rhodes and develop a plan to stop the lawful transfer of presidential power, by force, on January 6, 2021″ US District Judge Amit Mehta asked during the hearing on Friday.
“Yes, your honor” Ulrich said.
Elijah Dominic McDotcom spews:
https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2021/03/02/what-2020s-election-poll-errors-tell-us-about-the-accuracy-of-issue-polling/
https://www.aapor.org/AAPOR_Main/media/MainSiteFiles/AAPOR-Task-Force-on-2020-Pre-Election-Polling_Report-FNL.pdf
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020-poll-errors/2021/07/18/8d6a9838-e7df-11eb-ba5d-55d3b5ffcaf1_story.html
What’s stuck with me has been that state level polling has been consistently more plagued with unusual error rates when compared with national polling. Which of course is particularly relevant in midterms.
What also strikes me is recalling how by late April of 2020, with Biden in clear lead to take the nomination, and polls showing huge advantages over Emperor Twump, Democrats continued to campaign, organize, and communicate as the overwhelming underdogs who needed to come from behind. Good thing that. Democrats were not ahead. Once the known error is statistically backed out of those state level polls, Trump was winning in many more states and the race was essentially a dead heat.
The last thing that strikes me is how much of that error depended upon how polls accounted for “undecided”. In two candidate polls, with “undecided” as an option Trump’s share was understated by over 3 points and Biden’s share was overstated by 1 point. Removing “undecided” completely flips that error. This is a nightmare scenario for public opinion pollsters. Because it essentially tells them that a largish number of respondents are lying to them. And pollsters don’t yet understand how to account for that.
But Republican voters depend upon lies. They don’t just engage in lying. They feed on lies. Lies give them nutrition and sustenance. And so as a consequence I believe this kind of polling error is not only still with us in 2022, but it is probably even more significant. Because not only has the Republican lying grown astronomically more exaggerated, but also voter’s uncertainty is much greater – it always is in midterm elections.
Just like in 2020, I hope Democrats continue to work and fight with everything we’ve got, regardless of what the polls say. Not only because the polls will probably be very wrong, but also because Democrats are facing big disadvantages in this cycle. But Democrats faced much bigger disadvantages two years ago. Much bigger by orders of magnitude. Beating Trump was a black swan. The numerical, statistical, and practical advantages of presidential incumbency surpass all other systemic political advantages by orders of magnitude. But Democrats not only won the presidency, we flipped the Senate by flipping hard core traditional red states to blue. We can do it again if we really want it.
Roger Rabbit spews:
@12 “Makes January 6 sound like a skit from The Benny Hill Show.”
Yes, we’re well aware that you and your ilk want to paint the attempted violent overthrow of our government and attempted installation of a Putin-like dictator as a Benny Hill skit. We’re not buying it. We know terrorists when we see them. The entire Republican Party is a terrorist organization.
Roger Rabbit spews:
@13 “It takes away from the racism aspect of it that the school dress code also discriminates against Joe Dirt.”
Actually, it doesn’t. But we can count on you and your ilk to equate black culture with “dirt.”
The entire Republican Party, including you, is trying to erase black culture. The racism of this is front and center, and glows like a neon sign. You and your ilk aren’t fooling anyone.
Steve spews:
The low IQ traitor would also have to talk about this…
Ulrich, James, and Oath Keeper Mark Grods traveled together to DC on January 4. In his own plea agreement, James admitted to bringing a semi-automatic handgun on the trip, and said Grods and others brought firearms, including a rifle, a shotgun, a semi-automatic handgun, and ammunition to a Virginia hotel. Grods has also pleaded guilty and is cooperating with the investigation.
Roger Rabbit spews:
@14 Banning menthol cigarettes will save black lives. Therefore, we expect you and your fellow Republicans to vehemently oppose this proposed regulation. Also because it impinges on FREEDUMB — the freedom of black men to kill themselves.*
* Granted, holding a TV remote control in the presence of a police officer is faster
Roger Rabbit spews:
I won’t ask Doctor Dumbfuck why he’s a racist, because I’m not interested in his motivations, in the same way that I don’t care why some people sexually abuse farm animals.
Roger Rabbit spews:
@15 If Republicans are so popular in Georgia, why do they think they have to throw black people in prison for 5 years if they take a sip of water while waiting 10 hours in a voting line?
These polls make it look like they do it for the pure meanness of it.
Steve spews:
A Republican, of course.
Former Idaho Lawmaker Convicted Of Raping 19-Year-Old Intern
Elijah Dominic McDotcom spews:
20,
Sorry Steve. But that just can’t be true.
Degen has irrefutable proof that it was a mostly peaceful mob of “cosplaying grandmothers”, absolutely none of whom were carrying firearms of any kind.
Elijah Dominic McDotcom spews:
“A Republican, of course.”
So you’re saying she was an incredibly young looking 19 then.
Roger Rabbit spews:
@24, 26 More details:
1. Ex-state Rep. Aaron von Ehlinger was a first-termer, and he wasn’t elected. He was appointed by the gov. to fill a vacancy created by a legislator’s death.
2. He had a gun when he forced himself on her.
3. After she reported the rape, he doxxed her and encouraged his supporters to harass her, which they did.
4. One of his fellow GOP legislators “sought a copy of the police report and made inquiries into how the young woman herself could be referred for criminal charges for reporting the alleged rape.”
This is Idaho. This is how Idaho Republicans behave. Don’t visit or travel through that state. It’s not safe there.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/aaron-von-ehlinger-idaho-rape-conviction_n_626c40e7e4b050c90f404ae7
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/idaho-lawmaker-rape_n_6091bff9e4b0ccb91c375c8c
Roger Rabbit spews:
I remember when the GOP claimed to be the party of freedom and responsibility. Now they’re the party of freedom from responsibility.
Steve spews:
So you’re saying she was an incredibly young looking 19 then.
Indeed, the guy thought he was raping a 12 year old girl. He felt cheated when he found out her real age, so he beat her up.
Steve spews:
@27 Doxing, harassment and criminal charges for a 19 year old rape victim…that’s enough to get a low IQ traitor’s dick hard. Too bad he can’t find it. His horse told me his dick is so small and short, it looks like he’s got two belly buttons.
Ggggggeeee Money! spews:
Who were they planning to shoot? LEO? Nooooooo not LEO! Dear LEO’s! They wanted to kill LEO’s. Bob doesn’t care about LEO’s!
Ggggggeeee Money! spews:
@30 Heterosexuals?
My God. Heteros are such pigs and criminals and neanderthal animals. They’ll even fuck animals.