HorsesAss.Org

Anarchy Open Thread

by — ,

Anarchy. Anarchy anarchy anarchy. Anarchy. ANARCHY.

Wash your hands right now.

Comments

  1. 1

    My Austrian stepson is studying forestry because he enjoys explosives and, man, you just can’t beat those Austrian trees!

  3. 3

    Actually, Jenny Durkan made it clear when she permitted the establishment of the Durkan Kill Zone on Capitol Hill.

    Goldy Umbrella
    @GoldyHA
    No hyperbole here: Trump & Barr are preparing for a military occupation of Seattle and other blue cities. They are openly threatening it. They are clearly planning for it. And our local police have made clear that they are no longer operating under local civilian control.
    Quote Tweet

    Goldy Umbrella
    @GoldyHA
    · 2h
    But seriously, #DefundThePolice. Trump and Barr have made it clear that they intend to nationalize local police in so-called ‘anarchist’ cities, and brutally use them against us. It would be stupid to use our local tax dollars to fund the occupying army of a fascist regime. twitter.com/GoldyHA/status…
    7:35 AM · Sep 21, 2020

  4. 4

    Maybe Janice Rogers Brown will be on his list!

    Biden says he’ll release list of Black women as potential SCOTUS nominees

    The apparent pledge from the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee comes after he previously vowed in February to nominate the first Black woman to the nation’s highest court if presented with the opportunity while in office.

    Progressive activists have called upon Biden to release a list of candidates he would consider appointing to the Supreme Court — a tactic Trump memorably embraced in 2016 in an effort to shore up conservative support during his first White House bid.

    Lemme guess: Michelle Obama will be on it.

  5. 5

    Trump will announce his selection of Michelle Obama as nominee for the vacant SCOTUS seat on Friday or Saturday of this week.

  6. 6

    Sure is amazing the mouth of Chucky Schumer back in 2016 compared to the mouth of Chucky Schumer in 2020.

    If ever there was a useless dummocretin besides dot bombed it is Chucky Schumer.

  7. 7

    So what is wrong with the mental picture Real Americans will gather from this story?

    Well besides these two:

    1) dummocretins will be dummocretins
    2) dummocretins are scum

  8. 8

    Didn’t a certain “beloved” dummocretin claim “Elections have consequences.” mic drop!

    Now that elections have real consequences that same dummocretin is having his cow now!

    Tooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
    Daaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaayuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuum
    Fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuunnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnny

  9. 9

    Pelosi wants to impeach Trump for doing his constitutionally required job?

    Please do it!

  11. 11

    @ 6

    Sure is amazing the mouth of Chucky Schumer back in 2016 compared to the mouth of Chucky Schumer in 2020.

    Republicans no longer care about fiscal sanity.

    Democrats have recently discovered the importance of fiscal sanity.

    Everyone is saying the opposite of what they said in 2016.

    There’s nothing new here. Same duplicity from each side.

    The only thing that is constant is that Roger Dumbfuck Rabbit is not a millionaire.

  15. 15

    If you look at the Dow and compare today to 1YR and then 2YR marks, it is exactly where it is today with where it was then.

    Who doesn’t find that to be arbitrary or a coincidence?

    All those Days o my Bob cheerleading were just the Market manipulators wanting to see Bob prance around in his cheerleading skirt

  16. 16

    @ 15

    DJIA is about a thousand points higher now than it was 2 years ago.

    You are correct that it’s the same as it was a year ago.

    What’s your point? Was Obama a failure because the market was down during one of the years of his administration?

    It’s up roughly 50% in less than 4 years, which is significantly higher than its historic gains over a period of that duration.

    gman, substantial money is made even if the market’s direction is sideways. It’s made from people like you, Cupcake.

  17. 17

    Breeder alert:

    Jordan Fabian
    @Jordanfabian
    ·
    48m
    NEW: President Trump is leaning toward nominating Amy Coney Barrett to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg on the Supreme Court, sources tell
    @JenniferJJacobs
    ,
    @yaffebellany
    & me. Barbara Lagoa is the only other person being seriously considered, but is distant 2nd

    Story on
    @TheTerminal

    Biggest loser: gman.

  18. 18

    One of Amy Coney Barrett’s children has Down Syndrome.

    It’s nice to know “retard” is about to become an acceptable word to use in public again.

    Say, that reminds me: Where is The Even Bigger Fucking Moron today?

  19. 19

    It’s up roughly 50% in less than 4 years, which is significantly higher than its historic gains over a period of that duration.

    Congratulations, Dumbfuck. Only 23,000 more points to go and the DJIA under your orange moron will have finally matched what it did under the socialist usurper from Kenya. And if you ever get that far, you can then set your sights on matching what what the DJIA did under Bill Clinton.

  20. 20

    Someone alerted Puddy to this thread. Now Puddy sees why? This is demented mindville! Veeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeery Innnnnnnnnnnnnnnntersting commentary here from the dead lady and her acolytes. In civics class we “were” taught back then that judges were to be impartial, apolitical, objective, and neutral. Evaluate everything through the law and the constitution. ASCJ Scalia did when he made speeches as private citizen Antonin Scalia. Well we see Notorious RBG was a dummocretin politician until the end.

    So let’s look at this closer so even PortaPotty can understand. If Trump is reelected, he’s not a new president! So Ginsburg wants us to wait another four years for 2024? Only have eight justices until then? Seems to Puddy this will be her legacy; a political slanted legacy at that.

  21. 21

    Someone alerted Puddy to this thread. Now Puddy sees why!!!!! This is demented mindville! Veeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeery Innnnnnnnnnnnnnnntersting commentary here from the dead lady and her acolytes. In civics class we “were” taught back then that judges were to be impartial, apolitical, objective, and neutral. Evaluate everything through the law and the constitution. ASCJ Scalia did when he made speeches as private citizen Antonin Scalia. Well we see Notorious RBG was a dummocretin politician until the end.

    So let’s look at this closer so even PortaPotty can understand. If Trump is reelected, he’s not a new president! So Ginsburg wants us to wait another four years for 2024? Only have eight justices until then? Seems to Puddy this will be her legacy; a political slanted legacy at that.

  23. 23

    Well assesHorse dummocretins, explain this away on Crooked Hillary’s emails on the Weiner machine.

    “I have very deep misgivings about the institutional response of the FBI to the congressional investigation into the Hillary Clinton email matter … Put simply: I don’t believe the handling of the material I have by the FBI is ethically or morally right. But my lawyer’s advice — that I simply put my SSA on notice should cover me — is that I have completed CYA [Cover Your Ass], and I have done so,” Robertson wrote. “Further, I was told by [Kramer] that should I ‘whistleblow,’ I will be prosecuted.”

    Robertson continued: “I possess — the FBI possesses — 20 times more emails than Comey testified to. … While Comey did not know at the time about what I have, people in the FBI do now, and as far as I know, we are being silent. … If I say or do nothing more, I am falling short ethically and morally. And later, I may be accused of being a Hillary Clinton hack because of the timing of all this. … But if I say something (i.e., whistleblow), I will lose my reputation, my career, and risk prosecution. I will also be accused of being a Donald Trump hack.”

    PuddyCommentary: Would be sweet if Durham found this out!

  24. 24

    Economic policy parlor tricks can usually boost short term speculation in financial markets. Republicans have only ever demonstrated this ability, mostly through crippling tax cuts. And always at the cost of massive increases in the public debt. With no sustained growth of GDP or productive capacity.

    This isn’t even a topic worthy of debate.

  25. 25

    It’s made from people like you, Cupcake.

    Not from me, once again wrong…..but maybe people like PI.

    (9/24/18 – 26,562.05) Today – 27,147.70, so yeah I was wrong, but you are wrong too – that’s not 1000 points. And I didn’t state any figure. I said right where it is 2 years ago. And essentially that right where it is 2 years ago. And at the time I posted it was closer to 25,652.05, than 27,562.05. I didn’t post at the the end of the closing bell.

    So how did you get your 1000? Did you use October 1st to make your point more valid….typical for a Repuke to cheat, and skew the true facts, never play fairly can you?

    What can I say 47% of LGBTQ are stupid to….and within that percentage there are some racists too. But when the Hump and the Repukes come for them, they’ll regret it. Christ, I’d love to see some of them get on a pro sports team. Tell them that they have a girly throw as the reason.

    I posted at 12:30 and the Dow was at 26,894. I win, you Dumbfuck. Keep pulling the horse…..maybe you can teach it how to water ski instead of fish.

  27. 27

    @16 one more thing – my point had nothing to do with making money in the stock market (when it’s sideways as you say),

    My point was at every high you put your cheerleading skirt on, as if it was some miracle that it would reach quadrillion.

    Ok? You retard. Excuse me, you fucking retard.

    When I say it, just picture The Hump on stage with his hand in the air above his shoulders, palms facing you, and his fat ugly head making a funny face with his eyeballs popping out, and him shaking the head and hands backing forth, just like a retard.

    Listen if this Supreme Court candidate, who has this kid with DS, doesn’t care that The Hump did that then how can she care if I use the word Retard? Tell Dumbfuck!

  28. 28

    So Bob, tell me, because you are so knowledgeable, when you were in you celebratory cheerleading skirt, what was the reason for the highs that day? Because it meant something? Or that you were just making money that day, to loose it the next day, that made you so happy that day. What was the celebration that glorious day of it being up?

    Or was it because the horse was farting?

  30. 30

    The Repukes should just come out and say because their supporters would love it – their new motto should be “You can’t lose when you cheat, and you can’t stand not to cheat otherwise you lose”.

    I know it’s kind of lengthy, probably too long for them folk.

  31. 31

    Demorat-China National Committee Special Announcement – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UctriMuXYS0; To All Demorats; You are ordered to not watch a propaganda video Russians have fabricated purporting to show Non-Demented Joe Biden-Einstein fondling little girls, which is completely false and never happened. BEWARE OF RUSSIAN FAKE VIDEOS THAT AREN’T REALLY THAT BAD ANYWAY EVEN IF THEY ARE TRUE AND THEY’RE NOT! RATED R-17.
    ——————–
    You can’t make this up – Twitter freezes RT Host Steve Malzberg from platform for sharing video of Joe Biden touching children by claiming it is a “Violation of Child Sexual Exploitation Policy”.
    [Article w/video]
    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/09/cant-make-twitter-locks-shows-host-steve-malzberg-linking-video-biden-violation-child-sexual-exploitation-policy/

  34. 34

    Thank you so much, Harry Reid, for this blessed bounty we are about to receive.

    Thank you so much, Hillary Clinton, for being you for those 20 or so months in 2015-16.

    Marianne LeVine
    @marianne_levine
    Graham on Fox: “We’ve got the votes to confirm Justice Ginsburg’s replacement before the election, we’re going to move forward in the committee, we’re going to report the nomination out of the committee to the floor of the United States Senate so we can vote before the election”
    6:51 PM · Sep 21, 2020

  35. 35

    Lindsey Graham: “After Kavanaugh, everything changed with me.”

    The Recount
    @therecount
    ·
    2h
    Senate Judiciary Chair Graham (R-SC): “We’ve got the votes to confirm Justice Ginsburg’s replacement before the election … that’s what’s coming.”

    Which Democrat Senate Judiciary Committee member will bring a baby aborted with a coat hanger into the confirmation hearings, I wonder. Which purple pussy hat wearer will offer up her baby to be aborted in this way, I wonder. For so many of them it would be no more effort than giving George W. Bush a blowjob so he could be impeached.

  36. 36

    Just a warning, YLB: Those Senate hearing room TV lights are really hot.

    Neal Boortz
    @Talkmaster
    ·
    Sep 20
    URGENT REQUEST! Would anyone who, in the last 30 years, was raped by Amy Coney Barrett please contact Chuck Schumer immediately. After all your years suffering in silence it’s time to speak up.

  37. 37

    When he nominated Kavanaugh, Trump saved Coney Barrett for RBG’s seat.

    When they attacked Kavanaugh, Democrat Senators saved nothing for RBG’s seat.

    Wad, shot.

  38. 38

    There were norms, before Harry Reid blew up the Senate. McConnell took to the floor and warned the then-majority that there would be payback.

    Goldy ☂️
    ✔
    @GoldyHA
    Oh Jesus. They’ll do it anyway the second they have a chance, regardless of whether the Dems do it first. What will it take for Dems to learn that there are no norms. THERE. ARE. NO. NORMS. https://twitter.com/samstein/status/1308235524780548096

    21m

    Payback IS the norm, Goldy.

  40. 40

    Roger Dumbfuck Rabbit, don’t despair. You were never gonna live long enough to be a millionaire, anyway.

    Biden’s capital gains tax hike could spark a big sell-off in stocks. Here’s what that means for the market (CNBC)

    Biden has proposed increasing the top tax rate for capital gains for the highest earners to 39.6% from 23.8%, the largest real increase in capital gains rates in history.
    …
    A research paper by Tim Dowd, a senior economist at the U.S. Congress Joint Committee on Taxation, and Robert McClelland, a senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, found that the two previous hikes in capital gains taxes lead to a wave of selling.

    So far no mention of limiting the tax deduction for donating appreciated shares. It’s the wisest way to give to charitable causes.

  41. 41

    @40 You must’ve skipped over the bullet point right under the headline that reads,

    “Yet economists say the stock market as a whole wouldn’t necessarily fall just because of the tax increase.”

    To which I can only say, I sure hope so! If rich people want to sell me their stocks at 30% off, I’ll take ’em. I won’t take ’em at current prices.

    Only a fool with no dividend stocks, dependent on capital gains for all of his investment returns, wants the stock market to go up. Dividend collectors like me want it to go down. So does Warren Buffett, who knows more about this than you do.

    You fit the caricature of a fool pretty well. So keep on playin’ the jester. Your horse is laughing at you.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U91Zp9wWS30

  42. 42

    @38 How many times will McConnell keep collecting that payback? Is he up to 500 now?

    At some point there’s gonna be payback for payback. Looks like that point has been reached this time.

    End of filibuster.

    Expand the Supreme Court.

    Statehood for D.C. and Puerto Rico.

    And, incidentally, four more permanent Democratic senate seats and four more Democratic Supreme Court justices. Permanent Democratic senate and court majorities, how does that suit you?

  43. 43

    @16 “Was Obama a failure because the market was down during one of the years of his administration?”

    No, and Trump isn’t a failure because the market is down. You can fill in the rest yourself.

  45. 45

    You must’ve skipped over the bullet point right under the headline…

    It’s not the only think he’s missed in life. To ignore is his only feature.

    Remember the days where Bob was too stupid to not realize that I lived on the East Coast? He’s a bright fellow…..as bright as The Hump.

  46. 46

    OK Republicans, keep teaching the rest of us that laws, self restraint and tolerance do not matter to you.

  47. 47

    A thread for the really crazy assesHorse dummocretins and they are all MIA so far.

    Where are the BeerPongs, dot bombeds, redreformeds, and PortaPottys? Anarchy is their game sign and they are sitting out this thread. Very telling.

    Maybe they read the same poll Pelosi did last week where the dummocretin party is losing market share due to the continual protests. Maybe that’s why Moronic Maxine and Crazy Maisie are mute right now!

    HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

  48. 48

    Imagine if more assesHorse dummocretin mothers thought like this one. There would be more peace and harmony in America and on this blog! This crying dummocretin snowflake is the perfect Urban Dictionary of a dummocretin snowflake

    Well, that’s the outcome of liberal elementary, middle, high school, college and graduate school indoctrination. WOW!

  49. 49

    31,
    Spikes his own lede every time now.

    I suppose this Troll4Trump is thinking that if he includes the derogative information about the foreign intelligence service source of the smear campaign it will de-fang it.

    Blows right past the relevant part: Russian GRU are still actively intervening in the US election for their benefit to help their puppet Trump. Trolls4Trump see their daily social media feeds filled up with the work product of pimply Moldovan teens trying to undermine US democracy. And now every single one of our Trolls4Trump routinely passes links in these comments. Nearly every day now.

    Routine treason they are all comfortable with now.

    And it’s Every Rapepublican You Know.

  50. 50

    35,
    “Which Democrat Senate Judiciary Committee member will bring a baby aborted with a coat hanger hundreds of thousands in paid-off gambling receipts, transcripts of perjury, dozens of eyewitnesses, and the Russian mortgage payments into the confirmation hearings”,

    Sure. Let’s all go there. Let’s impeach Associate Justice BeerBong.

  51. 51

    Emails Emails Emails

    PuddyCommentary: When Puddy and others tried to bring this up back in 2018 all we heard was Emails, Benghazi, Foundation BULLSH^TTIUM coming from the vile moronic assesHorse leftists here. Well, if you dingleberries would have investigated and listened to the TRUTH back then, this would be a nothing burger now. Instead it’s one of many October surprises that are coming to light now in 2020.

    FACTS are always an anathema to dummocretins!

  52. 52

    Page said, “Trump should go f himself.” Strzok responded, “F Trump.” Two days later, Page texted, “[Trump’s] not ever going to become president, right? Right?!” Strzok replied, “No. No he’s not. We’ll stop it.”

    PuddyCommentary: And now we know why the Clinton email investigation was dropped! Strzok was the lead email investigator.

    Dropped like a lead balloon.

  53. 53

    Russian GRU are still actively intervening in the US election for their benefit to help their puppet Trump.

    Pulled this from your ASS again eh dot bombed?

    Not even on this libtard abomination site Puddy gets the latest dummocretin thought from.

  55. 55

    I knew there was a reason she was my preference in the primaries.

    Amy Klobuchar
    @amyklobuchar
    The people pick the President; the President nominates the Justice. That is how it works.
    2:02 PM · Sep 21, 2020

  56. 56

    53,
    You missed it owing to all the head ‘splosions. But just the other day The Q Clearance Cat Lady passed along links to a nakedly obvious fake animal welfare org fronted by a Turkish oil trader who Pimps for Putin, just the way y’all do. Cat Lady pulled it from his social media feed, same as you too.

    Putin owns you. Kneel vassal. Open wide.

  57. 57

    Can’t you just feel the energy emanating from ol’ Joe Biden?

    Jake Schneider
    @jacobkschneider
    · 1h
    Annnnd there it is: at 9:22 a.m., 42 days before the election, a lid has been called by the Biden campaign

  58. 58

    There’s gonna be a SCOTUS vote before the election.

    Hope so. That would certainly be my preferred timeline.

    Susan Collins on the other hand…

  59. 59

    57,

    Evidence:
    The Q Clearance Cat Lady is in the follows and mentions of one of the Trump2020 Deputy Campaign Managers.

    Falsified Hypothesis: The Q Clearance Cat Lady is an EEEN-DEEE-PEN-DUNCE who has no “party” affiliation and follows his keen intellect in picking “the best” candidate.

  60. 60

    They say Mittens was offered SOS.
    Plausible. Win-win for him.
    Trump somehow pulls out of the nose dive and he gets his own independent global kingdom. Trump loses and he stays in the Senate and tries to become the rallying point for the broken party.

    He’ll run again in 2024.

    Prediction: he’ll lose the nominating race to Christopher Cantwell, The C’ville Crying Nazi.

  61. 61

    Look on the bright side:

    If Rapepublicans blow up the Senate and force Democrats to eliminate the filibuster, Ted Cruz will have lots more time to shave and perfect his Princess Bride routines, and Rand Paul will have lots more time for physical and respiratory therapy.

  62. 62

    @ 59

    Evidence:
    The Q Clearance Cat Lady is in the follows and mentions of one of the Trump2020 Deputy Campaign Managers.

    I think it was after the 2010 midterms that the accusations that I was being paid by the GOP to troll here started up. YLB can fact-check me on the timing.

    You’re just a somewhat more cerebral variation of that idiocy, QoS McHillbilly. Not the least bit original, but slightly more entertaining.

  63. 63

    Betting odds are trending Biden’s way, but I don’t believe odds-makers and polls reflect how far the GOP and Putin are willing to go to steal the election.

    “We assess that President Vladimir Putin and the senior most Russian officials are aware of and probably directing Russia’s influence operations aimed at denigrating the former U.S. vice president, supporting the U.S. president and fueling public discord ahead of the U.S. election in November”

    First the FBI, and now the CIA.

  64. 64

    Wonder how Doug Jones will vote?

    “The next Supreme Court justice could open the door to finally overturning Roe v. Wade, protecting our gun rights, and firmly securing the religious freedoms guaranteed to us by the First Amendment,” Tuberville’s statement said. “They will determine if the court follows the Constitution as written or invents new law from the bench for generations to come.”

    A Vice article from May said Jones voted for nearly 70% of Trump’s judicial nominees.

    You know how Manchin will vote.

  65. 65

    Meanwhile, in the MI Senate race:

    The margins have tightened in the race for U.S. Senate with freshman Senator Gary Peters
    holding on to a two-point lead over his Republican rival, John James. Forty-two percent of
    polled respondents conveyed support for the incumbent, compared to 40 percent conveying their
    support for James. The MRG Michigan Poll® conducted in March showed a seven-point spread
    in the U.S. Senate race with Gary Peters receiving 42 percent support compared to James’ 35
    percent.

    That’s the freshman Democrat, in a D+4 poll, up only two points in a poll with a MOE of 4 points.

  66. 66

    I think it was after the 2010 midterms that the accusations that I was

    Times have changed. Now you’re known as being a #DumbfuckForPutin who doesn’t even get a single fucking ruble for your treason.

  67. 67

    @ 66

    Better than being known as a whining crybaby unwilling to accept responsibility for the massive failure that was the 2016 presidential campaign, Steve.

    Three SCOTUS justices because the Democrats ignored Webb and O’Malley, then DWS placed a fat thumb on the scale in favor of The Chardonnay Lady 2.0.

    You weren’t being ridiculous then, Steve. You’re being ridiculous now.

  68. 68

    62,
    You’re clearly too stupid to demand proper compensation for your services.

    After all, you took top scholarship, the best grades, a good intellect, and enormous discipline and put it to work sniffing homeless taint for less than minimum wage.

    And you make a point of reminding us of it, too.

    But whether or not you are stupid is academic at this point. You’ve allowed yourself to be Conned by the Don. You obviously went all in voting for him four years ago. And now your only means of redemption lies in staying that disastrous course. For you and the other 63 million. You devotion to the campaign, the staff, and their daily feeds speaks for itself.

    #owngoal

  69. 69

    Be careful what you wish for @ 42, HA libbies.

    Sam Stein
    @samstein
    ·
    14h
    NEW — One fear expressed by members: What if Dems embrace court expansion and then don’t take back the Senate?

    “We’ve just given McConnell the basis and moral authority to go do it himself.”
    Quote Tweet

    Sam Stein
    @samstein
    · 14h
    In an all hands on deck call Saturday, Senate Dems were divided between those who wanted to go scorched earth on the SCOTUS fight and those who believe the way to win is to keep it squarely focused on health care

    https://thedailybeast.com/democrats-balk-at-using-their-biggest-weapon-in-supreme-court-fight/

    With @sambrodey

  70. 70

    @ 46

    OK Republicans, keep teaching the rest of us that laws, self restraint and tolerance do not matter to you.

    The Even Bigger Fucking Moron pledges on behalf of the Democrat members of the US Senate to demonstrate tolerance and self-restraint in response to Trump’s Saturday nomination of his selection for the SCOTUS seat vacated by Justice Ginsburg’s death.

    The Even Bigger Fucking Moron wants you to know that all of those fires, bombs, ricin-containing envelopes, assaults, and murders we will witness in the forthcoming meltdown over this nomination, while perpetuated by Democrats and liberals, do not demonstrate lack of tolerance or self-restraint, because lack of tolerance and self-restraint are demonstrated only by Republicans.

  71. 71

    65,
    Your poll has Trump losing by 6 points with only 5 points undecided.
    Same poll Senate race has Peters winning by 2 with 10 points available.

    When you cherry pick from within the very same poll you cherry picked to start with, the details do matter.

    You need a six out of the ten available to have a shot at Peters. And your strongest indicator within your own fucking poll results tells you they are not there.
    Trump has always been your biggest problem.
    And now it’s too late for you to do anything other than ignore it. Deliberately and with purpose.

  72. 72

    “We’ve just given McConnell the basis and moral authority to go do it himself.”

    When did the Senator from Gelendzhik ever need “basis and moral authority”?

    He needs votes. In both houses.
    And now you are saying he will have them.

    I refer you back to 68.

  73. 73

    @ 71

    You need a six out of the ten available to have a shot at Peters.

    If the MOE is zero, you are correct.

    The MOE is /-4. The MOE is twice the size of the gap between the candidates.

    11% of the respondents have not heard of John James (and 8% have not heard of Peters).

    I’d be a little less certain if I were you. Maybe ask Cz-252 how things sometimes work out if you’re way too declarative before an election.

  74. 74

    I should at least acknowledge that, on a purely political level, it would not be at all out of character for Rapepublicans in 2020 to run their Senate campaigns based on the mythological promise to their voters that if kept in the Senate majority they will expand the court.

    For more on this please see WALL, “Mexico will pay for it”, “China will pay for it”, REPEAL AND REPLACE, COAL JERBS, “I think it goes away in April”, Great Trade Wars, and Middle East Peace.

    Over to you Jared!

  76. 76

    @ 74

    See the implied promise by DWS that if Democrats mistreated Bernie Sanders badly enough during the DNC primary season in 2015-16, they would be rewarded by the First! Woman! President!

  77. 77

    If the MOE is zero, you are correct.

    You are math-wrong again.
    Polling error correlates.
    Isolating MOE in the way you propose only serves to delude you.
    So I get it. Saw plenty of that four years ago.

    But sure, lets’ pretend that there is a 4 point error in the Senate race that under represents the existing support for the GOP candidate in that race. Then at present James is ahead by 2 and six out of four undecideds will break to James in the coming weeks.

    Also means Trump wins Michigan 46 to 43, representing a seven point swing in the closing weeks. In a state that he won by less than a quarter of a percentage point four years ago.

    Keep fuckin’ that chicken, Cat Lady.

  78. 78

    Following up 77,
    Incumbents in particular can, and from time to time do improve their performance in a given battleground state from their initial win.

    But the question that follows is where does the information come from that might signal such a dramatic improvement in performance with those voters? It comes from factors that largely lie outside the realm of presidential polls, although the results are normally expected to be reflected in those polls. But in The Q Clearance Cat Lady’s case, we are essentially begging the belief that the polls are wrong, or are entirely missing this information.

    What kind of information is it? The biggest of these would be incumbent job performance approval, supported by a strong record of accomplishment in the first four years. Another would be a big shift in turnout favoring the incumbent.

    In 1980 Ronald Reagan won Wisconsin by about 4 points.
    In 1984 he won it by more than 9. He was able to run on a strong record of accomplishment at a time when he enjoyed huge nationwide approval.
    Trump and his party took a full employment economy and cratered it in just three years, killed a quarter of a million Americans, shut down half the economy, and left future generations with a staggering debt, and double digit unemployment that will drag on for years to come.

    But Reagan was also famous for seeking ponies in piles of shit.
    And apparently so too is The Q Clearance Cat Lady.

  79. 79

    @ 77

    Isolating MOE in the way you propose only serves to delude you.

    I didn’t isolate MOE at all. James might need only 4 of 10 undecideds. He might need 8 of 10 undecideds. I am under no delusion that he’ll get 8 of 10.

    That’s what MOE means – there’s a range. In this case it’s a broad one. All I was saying @ 73 is that the MOE exists and can’t be ignored.

    The final PPP poll in 2016, completed 11/4, had The Chardonnay Lady up by 6. MOE was 3.2. Trump won by 0.3.

    When the MOE is double the gap between the two candidates, it’s a really close race.

    One more thing: Remind me which way undecided voters tend to swing at the last minute?

  80. 80

    Following @ 79:

    The 2016 numbers I referred to were for the state of Michigan. I failed to include that little nugget of info.

  81. 81

    From the Atlanta Fed:

    Latest estimate: 32.0 percent — September 17, 2020
    The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2020 is 32.0 percent on September 17, up from 31.7 percent on September 16. After this morning’s housing starts report from the U.S. Census Bureau, the nowcast of third-quarter real residential investment growth increased from 39.3 percent to 46.1 percent.

    Here’s the link:

    https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

  82. 82

    79,
    This implies strongly that you don’t really know what MOE is or where it comes from.
    The reason MOE correlates with other races and even with other polls is that it is mostly based on an estimation of error in the sampling method and weighting. Samey same within the same poll. And very similar across most polls.

    The point you are missing is that in order for polling error, in the case of this one specific poll you picked out, to be specifically skewed in the specific way you NEEEEEEED it to be skewed would also mean that Donald J. Trump would win Michigan by improving his 2016 performance among the same group of voters by 1200%.

    This is a very stupid thing to predict.
    I can see Trump winning Michigan again. But if he can it will be by a vote margin very similar to what he got in 2016. And if that happens then, according to the specific poll you picked out James loses.

  83. 83

    @ 82

    I can see Trump winning Michigan again. But if he can it will be by a vote margin very similar to what he got in 2016. And if that happens then, according to the specific poll you picked out James loses.

    If you can see Trump overcoming a 6 point deficit in Michigan you should see James overcoming a 2 point deficit. Especially when those undecideds finally learn that in a #BLM election year the guy the GOP chose to run is, um, black.

    Here’s why, and I’ll use your @ 71 rationale (your words in italics):

    You need a six out of the ten available to have a shot at Peters.

    With 10% undecided, James would need to capture 6 of 10. OK. I agree with that contention.

    But in the presidential poll,

    Your poll has Trump losing by 6 points with only 5 points undecided.

    Using your rationale, Trump would have to score ALL 5 of the undecideds AND peel off a Biden voter, without losing any of his own.

    So you can see Trump winning MI by doing that, but James losing at the same time?

    Trump may win MI and James may lose, but your rationale does not predict that scenario.

  85. 85

    A state of emergency has been declared in Louisville due to fears that Democrats might demonstrate @ 46, 70 the tolerance and self-restraint for which they are admired by The Even Bigger Fucking Moron.

  86. 86

    Seems that when redreformed@46 got her divorce she really became dead&deformed in the mind! That BULLSH^TTIUM she spews from that “dopey Planck space” mind is “astronomically insane” even for an assesHorse dummocretin!

    Even Nancy Pelosi has seen the polls where the dummocretin marketing machine has some grinding gears over BLM/antifa violence.

  88. 88

    dummocretin led school districts are also filled with scum.

    Their jive excuse was they didn’t get 9/11 approval beforehand. One father a fireman the other’s father a policeman! dummocretin really are scum!

  89. 89

    Demorat-China Party Of Hate America, Race War & Make Riots Great Again Bombshell News – Although this article concerns Soros it likewise pertains to billionaires such as Adelson who contribute to Republican candidates. My question is, why is it that Dems, who claim to be for the common man and against the billionaire class, do nothing to prohibit the billionaire class from bribing elected officials with billions via indirect methods such as PACs, which then spend billions in indirect campaign donations through advertising. Republicans are of course also guilty, but not equally, as they at least have sufficient integrity to not repeat the Dem lie that they are against the billionaire class.
    If you Dems have made a single serious effort within the last decade to limit PACs kindly tell me about it. Please pardon me if I don’t sit by my laptop waiting.
    ——————-
    Fox News host Tucker Carlson detailed how billionaire leftist George Soros helps install like-minded prosecutors and district attorneys to cause chaos in major cities….
    “Left-wing mega-donors like George Soros realized it’s easier to install radical DAs than it is to convince the public to let their own cities burn,” he said. “Soros has worked hard to elect district attorneys who will nullify laws against rioting and violence by failing to enforce them.”
    In all, Soros-funded groups have given more than $13 million to the campaigns of left-wing DA and prosecutor candidates in 17 states, Carlson said.
    https://www.bizpacreview.com/2020/09/22/tucker-carlson-explains-how-george-soros-has-sown-chaos-into-american-cities-975793

  90. 90

    Using your rationale, Trump would have to score ALL 5 of the undecideds AND peel off a Biden voter, without losing any of his own.

    Or suppress 5% of African American turnout. Or increase turnout among white voters by 3%. Or increase turnout among non-college educated white voters by 1%. Or drive down turnout among female voters by 1%. Lather. Rinse. Repeat. All of which lie entirely outside of the poll data that you carefully hand picked to support your conclusion that your FailPresident was about to overcome a 6 point deficit in six weeks.

    Now Cat Lady you aren’t just being bad a math. You’re being bad at life. Because if you want to predict a James/Trump win you have to pave that road with these kinds of changes in voter turnout. And all of the history and data are going against you. Biden might win MI on under 40 turnout alone. Any of the predicted changes in turnout based on actual data will defeat James.

    But sure. Keep telling yourself that turnout is not a factor. That’s exactly what Hillary told us.

    Closing time finally caught up to you right around the time the seventh Bourbon kicked in and now you are ready to settle for her after all. She’s waiting there at the other end of the bar. Smiling and patting a stool.

  91. 91

    Although this article concerns Soros

    Aaaaand we’re done.
    Stand aside and allow Chairman Crying Nazi through!
    Pleading with Democrats to unilaterally disarm is going to be about as effective as Tucker trying to match wits with an actual college graduate.

    Here’s one for the Tucker fans:
    https://youtu.be/6_nFI2Zb7qE?t=30
    That’s your boy, losing his shit, and being laughed out of his own studio.

  92. 92

    McCain family has announced their endorsement.

    Congratulations to Arizona’s newest, immensely popular Hero-Senator Mark Kelly!

  93. 93

    Only a couple of years ago, if someone in the federal government uncovered what looked like corruption, they had an Inspector General they could report to within their department who would take over the investigation and protect them from retaliation.

    Now, thanks to the White House’s Ukrainian Drug Dealers folks go straight to the media:
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/09/22/democrats-pentagon-covid/

    #owngoal

  94. 94

    While on the subject of #owngoal…

    Attacking your own because well, you gotta show them dummocretin credentials to the world!

    That’s gotta hurt!

    dot bombed tees them up and Puddy strokes holes-in-one!

  98. 98

    @91 Yeah, you can kinda tell when he’s lost an argument badly. After debating badly. But then, Carlson, a HS grad, really doesn’t do anything very well. He can’t even insult or swear worth a chicken’s egg.

  100. 100

    But then, Carlson, a HS grad

    Really senile idiot wabbit? Aren’t you a HS grad?

    Don’t you wish you made his salary?

    See ya senile idiot!

  101. 101

    @85 The state of emergency declared in Louisville consists of routinely preparing for expected demonstrations that may be entirely peaceful or could turn violent especially if rightwing agitators (e.g. bikers with umbrellas) and/or rightwing vigilante gangs and/or rightwing automobile terrorists are present.

  102. 102

    @81 In other words GDP is expected to go from 0% of normal while everything was shut down to 32% of normal when barberships and donut shops are temporarily reopened.

  104. 104

    98,
    Really? No farther than High School?

    With the bow tie I figured him for either Community College or a mental institution.

  105. 105

    Based on his comment history here, I’m fairly confident The Q Clearance Cat Lady would have put a few shots into the old spank bank:

    https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-09-22/vanessa-bryant-sues-los-angeles-county-sheriff-over-kobe-bryant-crash-photos

    Which kind are these? “Heroes in Blue”, Antifa, “VigilanTeens”, or “Bad Apples”? My MAGAt identity decoder ring broke.

  106. 106

    We’ll start with your house, Goldy.

    Goldy ☂️✔
    @GoldyHA
    Mutually Assured Destruction (tit for tat) is the only strategy that might possibly dissuade Republicans and their patrons from embarking on this suicidal course. We must make clear that if they steal this election we will burn this country to fucking ground. https://twitter.com/DanteAtkins/status/1308560098524946432

    3h

  107. 107

    @104 My mistake. He has a BA from Trinity College. After being kicked out of high school. Private school, of course. His stepmother is a Swanson, as in Swanson TV dinner heiress.

  108. 108

    @106 Did you even watch the video you linked to? What, exactly, is an “unsolicited ballot”? Does he think we need his permission to vote?

  109. 109

    @106 “we will burn this country to fucking ground”

    Don’t bother. Climate change will do it.

    Is there anything Republicans don’t mismanage?

  110. 110

    For November 4, 2020:

    1. Stay away from crowds.

    2. When it comes to equipment and supplies – good enough and plenty of it.

  112. 112

    One thing is fo shure. And that is that Bob is a loser. A dumbfuck loser. His parents were right to think that he wouldn’t account to be anything. His parents were pretty smart.

    He achieved being a tool Troll for Putin! Hahaha – what a life.

  113. 113

    Greg Gutfeld nails it with so many dummocretin teevee clips. When dummocretins claim they are going to “blow up the system” it’s only rhetoric. When Trump says something close to that it’s actually spurring on the crowds.

    dummocretin are scum!

  114. 114

    Now Puddy is no fan of catholicism based on historical facts, butt when DiFi attacks someone on their religious views she is attacking the US Constitution

    “When you read your speeches, the conclusion one draws is that the dogma lives loudly within you, and that’s of concern when you come to big issues that large numbers of people have fought for, for years in this country.”

    Article VI, Clause 3.

    The Senators and Representatives before mentioned, and the members of the several state legislatures, and all executive and judicial officers, both of the United States and of the several states, shall be bound by oath or affirmation, to support this Constitution; but no religious test shall ever be required as a qualification to any office or public trust under the United States.

    And now you know why dummocretin want to change the constitution. They hate that the founding fathers thought out how 21st century dummocretin would use political tyranny to attack Real Americans. Only their belief in the Creator God and His vision of knowing time would allow the forefather drafters to contemplate the future! Seems they got it right!

  115. 115

    Roman Catholic doctrine still forbids the use of any modern medically approved form of birth control.

    Forbids sexual contact except between married persons.

    Forbids masturbation.

    Commands women to obey their fathers and their husbands in all things.

    Teaches that children of unwed parents are not true children of God and are debased.

    These are doctrines, and commands that run in direct opposition to the United States constitution and a number of laws and statutes. Any person who offers themselves to be a judge ruling on the interpretation of the constitution and our laws and statutes who professes a superseding obedience to Catholic doctrine shall be subjected to inquiry on that basis.

    Whatever their faith, they must by law set it aside in their role as a judge, just like the oath says. Any person who is offered up for consideration as a judge who makes public statements contradicting that oath shall be investigated at confirmation.

    If a nominee were offered who was a devout Muslim and who had made multiple public statements and published writings in which they declared their obedience in the law to Allah and his commands, above all other things, Trolls4Trump would have no problem with such statements being interrogated. Nor would I. Nor should anyone. Even statements or writings that merely suggest such a subordination of the constitution and our laws would be fair game for inquiry.

    Don’t like it, offer up a different nominee, one who understands and respects the constitution and their oath to protect it well enough not to make such stupid statements. Or sit the fuck back down and let Loyal American Patriots do the right thing. It’s not her religion that is under attack. It’s her stupidity.

  116. 116

    @ 115

    Biden can be Catholic and serve. First in line to the presidency, had Obama left office. Pelosi can be Catholic and serve. Second in line to the presidency, under GWB43, Obama, and Trump.

    Sotomayor can be Catholic and serve.

    But not a Trump nominee, apparently.

  117. 117

    Thank you dot bombed for going there. You are so Pavlov just like PortaPotty. Back in 2009 another Catholic woman was nominated, this time by Obummer. Her name was Sonia Sotomayor. Guess what dot bombed? The same Dianne Feinstein sang her praises and NEVER brought up her Catholic faith!

    Butt, it’s okay for libtard Catholic dummocretin judges to make policy cuz DiFi sez so!

    You are just like PortaPotty. You don’t ever see the trees or the forest! It’s just 24×7 hatred!

  118. 118

    Thank you dot bombed for going there. You are so Pavlov just like PortaPotty. Back in 2009 another Catholic woman was nominated, this time by Obummer. Her name was Sonia Sotomayor. Guess what dot bombed? The same Dianne Feinstein sang her praises and NEVER brought up her Catholic faith!

    Butt, it’s okay for libtard Catholic dummocretin judges to make policy cuz DiFi sez so!

    You are just like PortaPotty. You don’t ever see the trees or the forest! It’s just 24×7 hatred!

  119. 119

    godwinha@116,

    You need to offer their own words when the foo sh^ts and when the shoe fits! Hence #117. DiFi’s own words!

    See ya!

  120. 120

    QoS McHillbilly thinks attacking a woman based on her Catholic religion, right before the election, will play well with women who supported Trump in 2016, with Catholic voters, and with Hispanic voters.

    OK. So do that. It seems much more likely that you will succeed through vicious attacks on a mother of seven children than your achieved success attacking Kavanaugh without a shred of corroborating evidence.

    Suggestion: Try The Handmaid’s Tale approach. It worked really well for Newsweek.

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